ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 12-31-04. Home court advantage is 0.642, or about 5.41 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  14-0   0.940   96  0.539

  2 Duke*                       8-0   0.940  209  0.470

  3 Kansas*                     8-0   0.939   77  0.556

  4 Oklahoma St.*               9-1   0.912   92  0.541

  5 North Carolina*            11-1   0.911   78  0.556

  6 Pittsburgh*                10-0   0.904  295  0.390

  7 Washington*                11-1   0.876  107  0.532

  8 West Virginia*              9-0   0.870  306  0.360

  9 Wake Forest*               11-1   0.870   41  0.600

 10 Arkansas*                  12-1   0.869  272  0.411

 11 Kentucky*                   9-1   0.864  245  0.443

 12 Georgia Tech*               9-1   0.863  273  0.409

 13 Virginia*                   8-1   0.862   53  0.581

 14 Wisconsin*                  9-2   0.861   54  0.579

 15 Cincinnati*                11-1   0.858  214  0.467

 16 Iowa*                      12-1   0.854  103  0.535

 17 Arizona*                   10-2   0.849   33  0.609

 18 Wichita St.*                9-0   0.849  154  0.498

 19 Oregon*                     9-1   0.835   64  0.565

 20 Syracuse*                  13-1   0.834  278  0.407

 21 Connecticut*                8-1   0.832  294  0.390

 22 Oklahoma*                   9-2   0.831  141  0.508

 23 Alabama*                   10-2   0.829   76  0.557

 24 Gonzaga*                   10-2   0.829   43  0.599

 25 Boston College*            10-0   0.829  268  0.413

 26 Michigan St.*               8-2   0.825  182  0.485

 27 Texas A&M*                 10-0   0.823  333  0.182

 28 Mississippi St.*           12-2   0.822  164  0.495

 29 Texas*                      9-2   0.813  222  0.461

 30 Hofstra*                    9-1   0.812  160  0.497

 31 Arizona St.*               11-1   0.809  271  0.411

 32 Old Dominion*              11-1   0.807  302  0.374

 33 Maryland*                   8-2   0.802  189  0.482

 34 Ohio St.*                  11-2   0.801  253  0.438

 35 George Washington*          8-2   0.800   55  0.579

 36 Louisville*                10-2   0.799  283  0.404

 37 South Carolina*             8-3   0.793   57  0.573

 38 Florida*                    8-2   0.793  293  0.391

 39 Marquette*                 11-1   0.790  244  0.444

 40 Texas Tech*                 6-3   0.790   98  0.538

 41 Southern Illinois*         10-2   0.785  161  0.497

 42 Pacific*                    7-2   0.783   45  0.599

 43 North Carolina St.*        10-2   0.781  282  0.406

 44 Clemson*                    9-3   0.773  153  0.499

 45 UAB*                        9-3   0.773   60  0.571

 46 Villanova*                  7-1   0.771  299  0.380

 47 Western Kentucky*           9-1   0.765  267  0.419

 48 Minnesota                   8-3   0.758  102  0.535

 49 Kent St.*                   8-3   0.757   70  0.560

 50 Northern Iowa               9-2   0.755  236  0.448

 51 Utah St.                    9-3   0.753  234  0.451

 52 Vermont*                    5-3   0.753   30  0.613

 53 Oral Roberts*               9-3   0.752  173  0.489

 54 Boston University           7-3   0.751   93  0.540

 55 Charlotte                   9-2   0.750  210  0.469

 56 Southwest Missouri St.      6-3   0.740  119  0.524

 57 Western Michigan            8-3   0.738  117  0.527

 58 Utah*                      10-3   0.737  226  0.457

 59 New Mexico                 12-2   0.735  320  0.332

 60 Wisconsin Milwaukee*        7-3   0.733  176  0.488

 61 Texas El Paso*             10-2   0.725  313  0.347

 62 Miami FL                    8-2   0.722  242  0.445

 63 Creighton                   9-4   0.720   97  0.538

 64 Hawaii                      8-1   0.717  213  0.468

 65 Holy Cross*                 6-4   0.713   37  0.604

 66 Vanderbilt                  8-4   0.712   99  0.537

 67 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      8-3   0.712  138  0.510

 68 Providence                  8-4   0.711  100  0.537

 69 Nevada                      8-3   0.706  220  0.463

 70 Georgetown                  8-3   0.704  192  0.482

 71 Iowa St.                    8-2   0.702  223  0.459

 72 Temple                      4-5   0.701    4  0.727

 73 Nevada Las Vegas            6-4   0.700   35  0.607

 74 Auburn                      9-4   0.697   91  0.542

 75 Air Force                   7-5   0.696   87  0.545

 76 Richmond                    5-5   0.695    3  0.729

 77 Bradley                     7-2   0.692  139  0.509

 78 Mississippi                 9-4   0.692  218  0.465

 79 Kansas St.                  9-1   0.690  310  0.355

 80 St. Mary's                 11-4   0.689  232  0.453

 81 Princeton*                  7-4   0.687   31  0.612

 82 Texas Christian             9-4   0.685  158  0.497

 83 Chattanooga*                6-3   0.683  279  0.406

 84 San Francisco               8-3   0.682  196  0.478

 85 Southern California         7-5   0.682   22  0.620

 86 Portland                   10-4   0.682  143  0.507

 87 Miami OH                    6-3   0.674  114  0.528

 88 DePaul                      7-3   0.671  140  0.508

 89 Houston                     8-5   0.668   27  0.615

 90 Northern Illinois           5-4   0.666   38  0.603

 91 Illinois St.                9-3   0.665  247  0.442

 92 Rice                        6-3   0.663  135  0.514

 93 Birmingham Southern*        7-4   0.661  133  0.516

 94 Colorado                    7-3   0.658   82  0.549

 95 Furman                      7-4   0.655  296  0.388

 96 Rutgers                     6-4   0.654   58  0.572

 97 Niagara*                    7-4   0.650  208  0.470

 98 Notre Dame                  8-2   0.648  318  0.337

 99 Louisiana Tech              6-4   0.645   48  0.594

100 Fresno St.                  7-3   0.640  246  0.443

101 Washington St.              6-4   0.640   20  0.623

102 Nebraska                    5-4   0.640  187  0.483

103 Bucknell                    8-4   0.639  165  0.495

104 Loyola Marymount            8-4   0.633  115  0.527

105 UCLA                        6-3   0.633  125  0.521

106 Bowling Green               6-2   0.632  284  0.404

107 Louisiana St.               6-3   0.632  190  0.482

108 Michigan                    8-5   0.631  121  0.522

109 Winthrop                    8-4   0.629  180  0.486

110 Eastern Kentucky*           8-3   0.629  288  0.398

111 Buffalo                     7-2   0.626  203  0.471

112 Akron                       6-3   0.625  261  0.428

113 Gardner Webb*               5-4   0.625  127  0.520

114 Cal Irvine                  6-3   0.623  217  0.466

115 Evansville                  7-3   0.620  212  0.468

116 Wofford                     7-4   0.620  240  0.446

117 Oregon St.                  9-3   0.619  254  0.438

118 Ohio                        5-3   0.612  216  0.467

119 California                  7-4   0.611  195  0.478

120 South Carolina St.*         7-5   0.608  134  0.514

121 Missouri                    7-5   0.607   88  0.544

122 Northwestern                7-5   0.599   86  0.546

123 Florida St.                 7-6   0.597  163  0.495

124 College of Charleston       7-3   0.595  256  0.438

125 Ball St.                    5-4   0.595  142  0.507

126 Pepperdine                  9-5   0.595  168  0.492

127 Pennsylvania                4-4   0.595   28  0.615

128 Louisiana Lafayette         5-5   0.591   29  0.615

129 Memphis                     7-6   0.590  132  0.516

130 George Mason                6-4   0.590  198  0.475

131 Lamar*                      8-3   0.589  317  0.339

132 San Diego                   8-5   0.589  241  0.446

133 Southern Methodist          5-4   0.588  144  0.506

134 South Florida               7-4   0.588  270  0.411

135 St. Francis PA*             6-4   0.586  104  0.533

136 Tennessee                   6-5   0.583  130  0.518

137 Colorado St.                8-4   0.582  307  0.360

138 Wyoming                     6-5   0.582   50  0.587

139 North Texas                 7-4   0.581  151  0.500

140 Stanford                    6-5   0.575   74  0.559

141 Dayton                      6-4   0.573  157  0.497

142 Wisconsin Green Bay         7-3   0.573  152  0.500

143 Seton Hall                  6-3   0.573  230  0.453

144 Massachusetts               6-3   0.572  116  0.527

145 Arkansas Little Rock        7-4   0.572  174  0.488

146 Toledo                      4-5   0.571   36  0.606

147 Indiana                     4-6   0.571   17  0.642

148 Middle Tennessee            8-4   0.568  292  0.392

149 Wright St.                  6-6   0.565   83  0.548

150 Xavier                      5-4   0.561  193  0.480

151 Central Florida             8-2   0.560  326  0.310

152 Murray St.                  5-4   0.555  260  0.429

153 Mercer                      6-2   0.553  285  0.401

154 Butler                      5-5   0.552  264  0.424

155 American                    5-4   0.551  123  0.521

156 Virginia Commonwealth       4-5   0.543   69  0.560

157 NC Wilmington               6-4   0.542  211  0.469

158 Cal Santa Barbara           4-5   0.540   47  0.595

159 Southern Mississippi        9-3   0.534  330  0.276

160 Virginia Tech               6-5   0.533  265  0.424

161 St. John's                  6-4   0.533  255  0.438

162 Davidson                    5-6   0.526  199  0.475

163 Cal St. Fullerton           5-4   0.523  186  0.483

164 Maine                       6-4   0.522  237  0.448

165 NC Greensboro               7-4   0.522  201  0.474

166 Denver                      5-5   0.521  231  0.453

167 Eastern Michigan            7-3   0.519  319  0.336

168 Texas San Antonio           4-5   0.516  155  0.497

169 Texas Pan American          7-5   0.515  269  0.412

170 Northern Arizona*           7-6   0.515  252  0.439

171 Northeastern                5-5   0.512   90  0.543

172 Lipscomb                    6-2   0.512  323  0.322

173 Portland St.                8-4   0.511  308  0.358

174 Saint Joseph's              3-6   0.509   13  0.654

175 Southeastern Louisiana      7-5   0.507  312  0.350

176 Florida International       7-5   0.506  179  0.487

177 IUPUI                       6-5   0.505  183  0.485

178 Southern Utah               7-4   0.504  291  0.393

179 Sam Houston St.             5-6   0.502  177  0.488

180 St. Peter's                 5-5   0.501  202  0.474

181 Albany                      5-5   0.499  243  0.445

182 Penn St.                    6-6   0.496  228  0.454

183 Arkansas St.                6-5   0.496  286  0.400

184 Drexel                      4-5   0.495  108  0.531

185 Columbia                    7-3   0.492  311  0.355

186 San Diego St.               5-7   0.492  124  0.521

187 Fairfield                   5-5   0.480  148  0.504

188 Santa Clara                 7-8   0.480  159  0.497

189 Brigham Young               5-8   0.479   85  0.547

190 Appalachian St.             5-5   0.478  191  0.482

191 Valparaiso                  4-8   0.475   10  0.680

192 Manhattan                   4-4   0.472  149  0.503

193 Samford                     5-6   0.469  251  0.439

194 Yale                        3-7   0.468   18  0.640

195 Drake                       4-5   0.468   63  0.567

196 Brown                       6-5   0.466  225  0.458

197 Idaho St.                   6-5   0.463  304  0.366

198 Cal Riverside               4-6   0.459  112  0.529

199 The Citadel                 8-2   0.456  332  0.225

200 Montana                     5-7   0.455   65  0.564

201 Northwestern St.            5-8   0.455  122  0.522

202 Purdue                      3-6   0.455   24  0.618

203 Oakland                     2-8   0.454    9  0.691

204 Eastern Illinois            5-5   0.454  145  0.506

205 Central Michigan            5-4   0.452  224  0.458

206 Cal St. Northridge          3-7   0.450  106  0.532

207 Texas Arlington             5-4   0.449  235  0.450

208 Indiana St.                 5-7   0.449  136  0.511

209 Central Connecticut         3-6   0.449   51  0.587

210 Georgia                     6-4   0.447  290  0.393

211 East Carolina               4-7   0.446   46  0.597

212 Delaware St.                3-9   0.434    6  0.698

213 La Salle                    3-7   0.434   42  0.600

214 McNeese St.                 5-6   0.434  297  0.387

215 Illinois Chicago            4-7   0.433  105  0.533

216 Fairleigh Dickinson         5-7   0.433  200  0.475

217 Tennessee St.               5-8   0.432  101  0.536

218 Howard                      4-6   0.429  110  0.531

219 Mississippi Valley St.*     2-7   0.426   11  0.677

220 Tennessee Tech              5-6   0.422  277  0.408

221 Baylor                      6-3   0.417  331  0.270

222 Western Carolina            5-9   0.416  131  0.517

223 Marshall                    2-7   0.414   15  0.648

224 Robert Morris               3-7   0.412   68  0.560

225 Stony Brook                 5-5   0.411  259  0.430

226 Rider                       5-5   0.407  281  0.406

227 Georgia Southern            5-6   0.407  274  0.409

228 Iona                        4-7   0.405  205  0.471

229 Fordham                     4-6   0.403  197  0.477

230 Tulane                      6-5   0.402  321  0.323

231 Georgia St.                 3-7   0.401   26  0.616

232 Tulsa                       2-7   0.401  111  0.531

233 Austin Peay                 2-9   0.401   12  0.665

234 Southeast Missouri St.      4-6   0.399  238  0.447

235 Louisiana Monroe            6-5   0.398  280  0.406

236 Binghamton                  3-7   0.396   23  0.618

237 Belmont                     2-7   0.395   44  0.599

238 Detroit                     4-7   0.395  128  0.520

239 Quinnipiac                  4-5   0.395  215  0.467

240 High Point                  4-8   0.392  258  0.433

241 Florida A&M                 2-7   0.391    1  0.754

242 Western Illinois            4-7   0.389  170  0.490

243 St. Francis NY              3-5   0.387  167  0.492

244 Stephen F. Austin           5-5   0.384  327  0.308

245 NC Asheville                3-8   0.382   21  0.622

246 New Hampshire               4-6   0.380  162  0.496

247 East Tennessee St.          4-7   0.378  249  0.442

248 New Mexico St.              4-7   0.376  137  0.510

249 Cleveland St.               3-5   0.376  239  0.447

250 Nicholls St.                5-6   0.375  266  0.420

251 Bethune Cookman             3-6   0.375   56  0.576

252 Harvard                     4-8   0.374  109  0.531

253 Long Beach St.              2-9   0.373   25  0.617

254 Delaware                    4-7   0.369  118  0.526

255 Texas St.                   6-4   0.369  329  0.304

256 Chicago St.                 1-7   0.365    7  0.697

257 Eastern Washington          3-9   0.362   19  0.628

258 Marist                      4-7   0.361  204  0.471

259 Cal Davis                   5-7   0.357  250  0.441

260 Coppin St.                  2-9   0.354    2  0.750

261 New Orleans                 5-7   0.353  219  0.465

262 Loyola Chicago              2-9   0.350   40  0.603

263 Lehigh                      5-6   0.348  303  0.368

264 Jacksonville St.            4-8   0.344  207  0.470

265 Weber St.                   4-7   0.344  227  0.455

266 Boise St.                   6-5   0.338  322  0.322

267 Stetson                     3-6   0.338   49  0.591

268 Rhode Island                2-8   0.334   66  0.562

269 Long Island                 4-6   0.334  178  0.487

270 Virginia Military Inst      5-4   0.334  314  0.345

271 Radford                     5-6   0.333  301  0.375

272 Utah Valley St.             4-8   0.333  233  0.452

273 William & Mary              4-5   0.331  263  0.427

274 San Jose St.                3-7   0.331   79  0.552

275 Hartford                    3-6   0.328  221  0.463

276 Montana St.                 5-7   0.328  309  0.356

277 Duquesne                    3-10  0.327   81  0.550

278 Morehead St.                6-5   0.326  298  0.382

279 Tennessee Martin            3-8   0.321   72  0.559

280 South Alabama               3-8   0.317  147  0.504

281 Norfolk St.                 3-6   0.316  248  0.442

282 Colgate                     4-8   0.313  276  0.408

283 Texas Southern              2-6   0.311  156  0.497

284 Coastal Carolina            3-8   0.306  257  0.434

285 Alabama A&M                 3-7   0.305  206  0.470

286 Grambling                   3-4   0.305  169  0.491

287 Lafayette                   3-7   0.305  181  0.485

288 Towson                      3-8   0.302  185  0.484

289 MD Baltimore County         5-5   0.300  325  0.316

290 Missouri Kansas City        0-7   0.299    5  0.719

291 James Madison               2-7   0.297   67  0.561

292 Monmouth                    2-7   0.292   73  0.559

293 Jackson St.                 4-8   0.291  113  0.529

294 Hampton                     3-9   0.286   94  0.539

295 Florida Atlantic            1-8   0.283   34  0.607

296 Southern                    3-6   0.282  229  0.454

297 St. Louis                   2-10  0.281   61  0.569

298 Northern Colorado           3-12  0.281   32  0.610

299 Jacksonville                5-4   0.276  328  0.307

300 Idaho                       2-9   0.275  194  0.479

301 Campbell                    2-7   0.275   14  0.648

302 Sacramento St.              3-9   0.269  126  0.520

303 Arkansas Pine Bluff         2-7   0.269   16  0.643

304 Morgan St.                  3-8   0.268  166  0.494

305 Cal Poly                    3-6   0.260  275  0.409

306 Elon                        2-10  0.258   75  0.557

307 Alabama St.                 2-7   0.254   62  0.569

308 Mount St. Mary's            3-6   0.252  305  0.365

309 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-10  0.251  146  0.505

310 Cornell                     3-7   0.249  289  0.395

311 Troy                        2-9   0.244   89  0.543

312 North Dakota St.            4-8   0.243  316  0.341

313 Centenary                   2-8   0.239   59  0.571

314 Dartmouth                   3-7   0.236  287  0.398

315 Siena                       2-9   0.234  129  0.518

316 Canisius                    1-8   0.218  172  0.490

317 Navy                        4-7   0.216  324  0.321

318 Liberty                     2-8   0.216   80  0.551

319 Charleston Southern         2-7   0.212  175  0.488

320 Wagner                      1-9   0.193   95  0.539

321 Loyola MD                   1-8   0.186  171  0.490

322 Youngstown St.              3-8   0.179  300  0.377

323 South Dakota St.            2-10  0.179  262  0.428

324 North Carolina A&T          1-11  0.177   39  0.603

325 Sacred Heart                1-9   0.177   84  0.548

326 Army                        2-8   0.161  315  0.343

327 Alcorn St.                  1-9   0.149   71  0.560

328 St. Bonaventure             1-10  0.130  184  0.484

329 Longwood                    1-16  0.124  120  0.523

330 Maryland Eastern Shore      1-9   0.093  150  0.501

331 Prairie View A&M            0-9   0.080    8  0.695

332 Wild Card U.               12-265 0.080   52  0.587

333 Savannah St.                0-16  0.052  188  0.482







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.787

  2 Big East                          0.739

  3 Big Twelve                        0.735

  4 Southeastern                      0.728

  5 Pacific 10                        0.713

  6 Big Ten                           0.708

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.674

  8 West Coast                        0.647

  9 Conference USA                    0.631

 10 Mountain West                     0.625

 11 Mid-American                      0.606

 12 Western Athletic                  0.576

 13 Sun Belt                          0.513

 14 Colonial                          0.509

 15 Big West                          0.504

 16 Atlantic 10                       0.503

 17 Southern                          0.499

 18 America East                      0.485

 19 Horizon                           0.462

 20 Southland                         0.453

 21 Ivy League                        0.446

 22 Mid-Continent                     0.443

 23 Ohio Valley                       0.432

 24 Big Sky                           0.406

 25 Patriot                           0.406

 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.406

 27 Metro Atlantic                    0.391

 28 Big South                         0.385

 29 Northeast                         0.355

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.339

 31 Independents                      0.305

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.267







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-1-05:



ALABAMA 27 over New Orleans, total 145

UTEP 10 over BOISE ST, total 137

FRESNO ST 15 over San Jose St, total 124

KANSAS 15 over Georgia Tech, total 149

MINNESOTA 19 over Coppin St, total 122

NEVADA 5 over Hawaii, total 128

PORTLAND ST 11 over Weber St, total 126

RICE 6 over La Tech, total 127

SETON HALL 19 over Liberty, total 129

TAMU-CC 18 over Chicago St, total 133

TEXAS TECH 11 over San Francisco, total 149

SMU 2 over TULSA, total 128

WESTERN KY 19 over Fordham, total 134



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