ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 1-2-05. Home court advantage is 0.641, or about 5.40 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Duke*                       9-0   0.942  173  0.490

  2 Illinois*                  14-0   0.939  103  0.535

  3 Kansas*                     9-0   0.938   55  0.580

  4 North Carolina*            12-1   0.911  107  0.532

  5 Oklahoma St.*               9-1   0.911   95  0.538

  6 West Virginia*             10-0   0.892  270  0.417

  7 Wake Forest*               12-1   0.892   19  0.634

  8 Washington*                12-1   0.868  119  0.520

  9 Kentucky*                   9-1   0.867  235  0.451

 10 Arkansas*                  12-1   0.866  283  0.406

 11 Cincinnati*                11-1   0.860  211  0.472

 12 Boston College*            11-0   0.860  230  0.453

 13 Arizona*                   11-2   0.858   30  0.612

 14 Wisconsin*                  9-2   0.857   60  0.572

 15 Iowa*                      12-1   0.856   93  0.538

 16 Georgia Tech*               9-2   0.849  181  0.486

 17 Oklahoma*                  10-2   0.849  149  0.506

 18 Texas A&M*                 11-0   0.842  333  0.217

 19 Wichita St.*                9-0   0.839  199  0.481

 20 Pittsburgh*                10-1   0.837  291  0.398

 21 Syracuse*                  13-1   0.836  275  0.410

 22 Connecticut*                8-1   0.834  294  0.394

 23 Michigan St.*               8-2   0.828  171  0.491

 24 Gonzaga*                   10-2   0.825   43  0.593

 25 Texas*                     10-2   0.823  207  0.477

 26 Mississippi St.*           12-2   0.823  164  0.497

 27 Alabama*                   11-2   0.821  106  0.532

 28 Virginia*                   8-2   0.818   39  0.601

 29 Texas Tech*                 7-3   0.816   91  0.539

 30 Louisville*                11-2   0.807  293  0.396

 31 George Washington*          8-2   0.806   49  0.588

 32 Ohio St.*                  11-2   0.804  247  0.442

 33 Maryland*                   8-2   0.803  185  0.485

 34 Hofstra*                    9-1   0.802  201  0.481

 35 Marquette*                 12-1   0.799  266  0.420

 36 South Carolina*             8-3   0.790   66  0.569

 37 Oregon*                     9-2   0.788   70  0.561

 38 Arizona St.*               11-2   0.782  219  0.467

 39 Southern Illinois*         11-2   0.780  200  0.481

 40 UAB*                       10-3   0.774   77  0.552

 41 Pacific*                    8-2   0.772   81  0.550

 42 Clemson*                    9-4   0.770   82  0.548

 43 Western Kentucky*          10-1   0.767  288  0.399

 44 Old Dominion*              11-2   0.766  280  0.407

 45 Vermont*                    6-3   0.765   69  0.561

 46 Villanova*                  7-1   0.764  305  0.371

 47 Florida*                    8-3   0.761  262  0.426

 48 Minnesota*                  9-3   0.760  131  0.512

 49 Boston University           8-3   0.759   85  0.545

 50 Western Michigan*           9-3   0.756   88  0.544

 51 Northern Iowa               9-2   0.751  246  0.442

 52 Utah St.                    9-3   0.750  239  0.447

 53 Oral Roberts*               9-3   0.749  186  0.485

 54 Charlotte                   9-2   0.748  218  0.467

 55 Texas El Paso*             11-2   0.744  306  0.364

 56 Southwest Missouri St.      7-3   0.743  117  0.520

 57 North Carolina St.         10-3   0.738  263  0.423

 58 New Mexico*                12-2   0.735  320  0.332

 59 Kent St.                    8-4   0.735   54  0.581

 60 Wisconsin Milwaukee*        7-3   0.734  174  0.490

 61 Utah                       10-3   0.732  237  0.450

 62 Vanderbilt                  9-4   0.728  113  0.524

 63 Holy Cross*                 7-4   0.723   37  0.603

 64 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      9-3   0.718  193  0.482

 65 Creighton                   9-4   0.717  102  0.535

 66 Miami FL                    9-2   0.715  273  0.414

 67 Nevada                      9-3   0.715  220  0.466

 68 Providence                  8-4   0.711   96  0.537

 69 DePaul                      8-3   0.704  118  0.520

 70 Bradley                     8-2   0.702  159  0.499

 71 UCLA                        7-3   0.700   59  0.572

 72 Temple                      4-5   0.700    4  0.726

 73 Georgetown                  8-3   0.698  209  0.475

 74 Portland                   11-4   0.698  176  0.489

 75 Nevada Las Vegas            6-5   0.697   16  0.640

 76 Air Force                   7-5   0.697   83  0.545

 77 Iowa St.                    8-2   0.696  233  0.452

 78 Richmond                    5-5   0.693    3  0.726

 79 Texas Christian             9-4   0.693  145  0.507

 80 Mississippi                 9-4   0.693  221  0.465

 81 Hawaii                      8-2   0.692  161  0.498

 82 Rice                        7-3   0.688  151  0.505

 83 Princeton*                  8-4   0.688   41  0.598

 84 Auburn                      9-4   0.688  109  0.531

 85 Bucknell                    9-4   0.686  101  0.535

 86 Chattanooga*                6-3   0.685  279  0.408

 87 Miami OH                    6-3   0.683   94  0.538

 88 Kansas St.                  9-1   0.682  313  0.346

 89 St. Mary's                 11-4   0.682  243  0.445

 90 Houston                     8-5   0.671   26  0.618

 91 Nebraska                    6-4   0.665  225  0.460

 92 Illinois St.                9-3   0.663  249  0.441

 93 Colorado                    7-3   0.662   76  0.553

 94 Notre Dame                  8-2   0.657  312  0.347

 95 Birmingham Southern*        7-4   0.657  134  0.511

 96 Bowling Green               7-2   0.656  268  0.419

 97 Southern California         7-6   0.655   22  0.622

 98 Rutgers                     6-4   0.652   64  0.569

 99 Niagara*                    7-4   0.650  214  0.470

100 Akron                       7-3   0.645  260  0.427

101 Oregon St.                 10-3   0.644  238  0.448

102 California                  8-4   0.638  196  0.481

103 Northern Illinois           5-5   0.637   35  0.605

104 Louisiana St.               6-3   0.636  180  0.486

105 Michigan                    8-5   0.635  112  0.526

106 Furman                      7-5   0.632  272  0.414

107 Southern Methodist          6-4   0.632  115  0.522

108 Ball St.                    6-4   0.631  122  0.518

109 Florida St.                 8-6   0.630  141  0.508

110 Loyola Marymount            8-4   0.625  121  0.519

111 San Francisco               8-4   0.625  154  0.503

112 Eastern Kentucky*           8-3   0.624  296  0.393

113 Winthrop                    9-4   0.621  252  0.438

114 Gardner Webb*               5-4   0.621  126  0.516

115 Wofford                     7-4   0.619  241  0.446

116 Evansville                  7-4   0.617  150  0.505

117 Fresno St.                  8-3   0.616  285  0.402

118 Cal Irvine                  6-3   0.613  228  0.456

119 Louisiana Tech              6-5   0.611   33  0.609

120 Indiana                     5-6   0.608   20  0.633

121 Buffalo                     7-3   0.606  157  0.500

122 South Carolina St.*         7-5   0.606  133  0.512

123 Missouri                    7-5   0.605   90  0.542

124 Washington St.              6-5   0.603   21  0.625

125 Seton Hall                  7-3   0.603  271  0.416

126 Tennessee                   7-5   0.603  175  0.490

127 Northwestern                7-5   0.598   86  0.545

128 Pennsylvania                4-4   0.598   25  0.619

129 College of Charleston       8-3   0.598  281  0.407

130 Pepperdine                  9-5   0.593  172  0.490

131 South Florida               7-4   0.588  274  0.411

132 Memphis                     7-6   0.587  129  0.513

133 George Mason                6-4   0.587  212  0.472

134 Lamar*                      8-3   0.586  319  0.337

135 Stanford                    6-6   0.584   47  0.590

136 Dayton                      6-4   0.583  143  0.507

137 St. Francis PA*             6-4   0.583  110  0.530

138 Colorado St.                8-4   0.582  307  0.360

139 North Texas                 7-4   0.581  158  0.500

140 Wyoming                     6-5   0.577   52  0.583

141 San Diego                   8-5   0.576  256  0.433

142 Ohio                        5-4   0.575  178  0.488

143 Middle Tennessee            9-4   0.575  298  0.388

144 Louisiana Lafayette         5-6   0.568   17  0.640

145 Wright St.                  6-6   0.568   78  0.551

146 American                    6-4   0.568  137  0.510

147 Wisconsin Green Bay         7-3   0.565  168  0.492

148 Xavier                      5-4   0.564  192  0.483

149 Arkansas Little Rock        8-4   0.559  248  0.441

150 Toledo                      4-6   0.559   24  0.620

151 Central Florida             8-2   0.555  329  0.305

152 Mercer                      6-2   0.552  286  0.400

153 Butler                      5-5   0.550  264  0.423

154 Massachusetts               6-4   0.543   79  0.551

155 Murray St.                  5-5   0.536  210  0.474

156 NC Wilmington               6-4   0.535  223  0.462

157 Maine                       7-4   0.534  258  0.429

158 Virginia Commonwealth       4-6   0.534   57  0.578

159 Southern Mississippi        9-3   0.534  331  0.276

160 Eastern Michigan            8-3   0.532  318  0.337

161 Virginia Tech               6-5   0.530  265  0.421

162 Davidson                    5-7   0.527  156  0.501

163 Cal St. Fullerton           5-4   0.522  195  0.481

164 St. John's                  6-4   0.521  261  0.427

165 NC Greensboro               7-4   0.518  213  0.471

166 IUPUI                       6-5   0.515  166  0.494

167 Portland St.*               9-4   0.515  314  0.345

168 Northern Arizona            7-6   0.514  251  0.439

169 Denver                      5-5   0.513  242  0.445

170 Northeastern                6-5   0.512  135  0.511

171 Lipscomb                    6-2   0.511  321  0.322

172 St. Peter's                 5-5   0.509  198  0.481

173 Southeastern Louisiana      7-5   0.507  311  0.350

174 Saint Joseph's              3-6   0.507   13  0.651

175 Texas San Antonio           4-5   0.503  188  0.484

176 Florida International       7-5   0.503  189  0.483

177 Fairfield                   6-5   0.501  202  0.480

178 Drexel                      4-5   0.499   99  0.536

179 Arkansas St.                6-5   0.493  290  0.398

180 Texas Pan American          7-6   0.493  229  0.456

181 Purdue                      4-6   0.493   50  0.587

182 Sam Houston St.             5-6   0.493  203  0.478

183 Southern Utah               7-4   0.491  301  0.382

184 Cal St. Northridge          4-7   0.485  125  0.517

185 Central Michigan            6-4   0.485  224  0.461

186 Cal Santa Barbara           4-6   0.480   53  0.583

187 Drake                       4-6   0.479   40  0.601

188 Penn St.                    6-7   0.477  226  0.458

189 San Diego St.               5-7   0.477  148  0.506

190 Manhattan                   4-4   0.477  142  0.508

191 Santa Clara                 7-8   0.475  169  0.492

192 Appalachian St.             5-5   0.474  206  0.478

193 Samford                     5-6   0.473  245  0.443

194 Valparaiso                  4-8   0.473   10  0.677

195 Albany                      5-6   0.470  244  0.445

196 Yale                        3-7   0.469   18  0.640

197 Brigham Young               5-8   0.468  100  0.536

198 Cal Riverside               4-6   0.464  105  0.534

199 Oakland                     2-8   0.461    8  0.697

200 Brown                       6-5   0.460  232  0.453

201 Columbia                    7-4   0.454  309  0.355

202 Georgia                     6-4   0.454  287  0.400

203 Northwestern St.            5-8   0.453  120  0.520

204 Texas Arlington             5-4   0.450  236  0.451

205 The Citadel                 8-2   0.450  332  0.220

206 Indiana St.                 5-8   0.447  104  0.534

207 Illinois Chicago            4-7   0.443   89  0.543

208 East Carolina               4-7   0.440   44  0.592

209 Central Connecticut         4-6   0.434  108  0.532

210 Montana                     6-7   0.433  140  0.508

211 Idaho St.                   6-6   0.432  295  0.393

212 Delaware St.                3-9   0.428    9  0.693

213 New Hampshire               5-6   0.427  170  0.491

214 Baylor                      6-3   0.427  330  0.278

215 McNeese St.                 5-6   0.427  302  0.381

216 Fairleigh Dickinson         5-7   0.426  216  0.468

217 Tennessee St.               5-9   0.426   65  0.569

218 Eastern Illinois            5-6   0.426  123  0.518

219 La Salle                    3-7   0.425   45  0.591

220 Tennessee Tech              5-6   0.423  277  0.409

221 Howard                      4-6   0.419  116  0.521

222 Mississippi Valley St.*     2-7   0.418   11  0.669

223 Detroit                     4-7   0.412   98  0.537

224 Western Carolina            5-9   0.412  128  0.513

225 Robert Morris               3-7   0.410   73  0.558

226 Southeast Missouri St.      5-6   0.407  289  0.399

227 Austin Peay                 2-9   0.404   12  0.667

228 Louisiana Monroe            6-5   0.401  276  0.409

229 Georgia Southern            5-6   0.401  284  0.403

230 Tulane                      6-5   0.401  323  0.321

231 Georgia St.                 3-7   0.400   28  0.615

232 Fordham                     4-7   0.398  127  0.515

233 Rider                       5-5   0.398  292  0.397

234 Belmont                     2-7   0.397   38  0.601

235 Western Illinois            4-7   0.392  167  0.493

236 Stephen F. Austin           5-5   0.390  324  0.313

237 Florida A&M                 2-7   0.389    2  0.752

238 High Point                  4-8   0.388  257  0.430

239 Quinnipiac                  5-5   0.387  269  0.418

240 Iona                        4-8   0.385  187  0.484

241 Stony Brook                 5-6   0.383  253  0.437

242 Harvard                     5-8   0.383  147  0.506

243 NC Asheville                3-8   0.382   23  0.621

244 St. Francis NY              3-5   0.380  183  0.485

245 Binghamton                  3-8   0.379   29  0.613

246 Bethune Cookman             3-6   0.378   56  0.580

247 New Mexico St.              4-7   0.377  136  0.510

248 Cleveland St.               3-5   0.375  240  0.446

249 Nicholls St.                5-6   0.375  267  0.420

250 Marshall                    2-8   0.374   27  0.617

251 East Tennessee St.          4-7   0.373  254  0.437

252 Texas St.                   6-4   0.372  328  0.307

253 New Orleans                 5-8   0.369  153  0.504

254 Lehigh                      6-6   0.369  310  0.354

255 Marist                      4-7   0.368  204  0.478

256 Long Beach St.              2-9   0.366   31  0.610

257 Tulsa                       2-8   0.366  114  0.522

258 Coppin St.                  2-10  0.360    1  0.766

259 Loyola Chicago              2-9   0.352   36  0.605

260 Cal Davis                   5-7   0.352  255  0.436

261 Chicago St.                 1-8   0.351    5  0.718

262 Jacksonville St.            4-8   0.340  222  0.465

263 Lafayette                   4-7   0.339  194  0.482

264 Stetson                     3-6   0.337   46  0.590

265 Delaware                    4-8   0.335  152  0.504

266 Weber St.                   4-8   0.333  217  0.468

267 Radford                     5-6   0.333  304  0.374

268 Rhode Island                2-9   0.330   68  0.563

269 San Jose St.                3-8   0.330   67  0.565

270 William & Mary              4-6   0.328  191  0.483

271 Duquesne                    3-10  0.328   80  0.550

272 Virginia Military Inst      5-4   0.328  317  0.339

273 Boise St.                   6-6   0.326  315  0.342

274 Long Island                 4-6   0.326  205  0.478

275 Morehead St.                6-5   0.322  303  0.378

276 Norfolk St.                 3-7   0.322  182  0.486

277 Tennessee Martin            3-8   0.322   72  0.560

278 Utah Valley St.             4-8   0.321  250  0.439

279 Texas Southern              2-6   0.320  144  0.507

280 South Alabama               3-8   0.319  146  0.506

281 Eastern Washington          3-10  0.319   48  0.588

282 Grambling                   3-4   0.312  160  0.499

283 Montana St.                 5-8   0.311  299  0.387

284 Colgate                     4-8   0.311  282  0.406

285 Alabama A&M                 3-7   0.310  208  0.476

286 Idaho                       3-9   0.302  215  0.469

287 Towson                      3-8   0.301  190  0.483

288 Hartford                    3-7   0.298  163  0.498

289 James Madison               2-7   0.294   74  0.557

290 Jackson St.                 4-8   0.291  111  0.529

291 Missouri Kansas City        0-7   0.291    6  0.711

292 Coastal Carolina            3-9   0.286  227  0.458

293 Hampton                     3-9   0.286   92  0.538

294 St. Louis                   2-10  0.282   63  0.570

295 Cornell                     4-7   0.282  297  0.392

296 Northern Colorado           3-12  0.281   32  0.610

297 Southern                    3-6   0.280  234  0.452

298 Jacksonville                5-4   0.276  327  0.307

299 Florida Atlantic            1-8   0.274   42  0.596

300 Arkansas Pine Bluff         2-7   0.273   14  0.648

301 Morgan St.                  3-8   0.271  162  0.498

302 Campbell                    2-7   0.271   15  0.643

303 Cal Poly                    3-7   0.268  231  0.453

304 Siena                       3-9   0.267  138  0.509

305 Sacramento St.              3-9   0.263  130  0.512

306 Monmouth                    2-8   0.256  124  0.518

307 Alabama St.                 2-7   0.256   62  0.571

308 Elon                        2-10  0.256   75  0.555

309 MD Baltimore County         5-6   0.256  326  0.308

310 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-11  0.255   84  0.545

311 Mount St. Mary's            3-6   0.245  308  0.357

312 Troy                        2-9   0.245   87  0.544

313 Centenary                   2-8   0.244   58  0.577

314 North Dakota St.            4-8   0.242  316  0.339

315 Dartmouth                   3-8   0.238  278  0.408

316 Canisius                    1-9   0.214  132  0.512

317 Charleston Southern         2-7   0.211  177  0.488

318 Navy                        4-7   0.207  325  0.308

319 Liberty                     2-9   0.206   61  0.571

320 Loyola MD                   1-9   0.185  179  0.488

321 Youngstown St.              3-8   0.183  300  0.383

322 North Carolina A&T          1-11  0.180   34  0.609

323 South Dakota St.            2-10  0.179  259  0.428

324 Sacred Heart                1-9   0.170   97  0.537

325 Wagner                      1-10  0.161  155  0.501

326 Alcorn St.                  1-9   0.149   71  0.560

327 Army                        2-9   0.142  322  0.321

328 St. Bonaventure             1-10  0.131  184  0.485

329 Longwood                    1-17  0.121  139  0.509

330 Maryland Eastern Shore      1-9   0.091  165  0.496

331 Prairie View A&M            0-9   0.082    7  0.698

332 Wild Card U.               12-269 0.080   51  0.585

333 Savannah St.                0-16  0.051  197  0.481







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.782

  2 Big Twelve                        0.743

  3 Big East                          0.739

  4 Southeastern                      0.727

  5 Big Ten                           0.714

  6 Pacific 10                        0.712

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.674

  8 West Coast                        0.637

  9 Conference USA                    0.635

 10 Mountain West                     0.621

 11 Mid-American                      0.606

 12 Western Athletic                  0.572

 13 Sun Belt                          0.511

 14 Big West                          0.502

 15 Atlantic 10                       0.501

 16 Colonial                          0.498

 17 Southern                          0.495

 18 America East                      0.478

 19 Horizon                           0.465

 20 Southland                         0.450

 21 Ivy League                        0.446

 22 Mid-Continent                     0.441

 23 Ohio Valley                       0.428

 24 Patriot                           0.418

 25 Atlantic Sun                      0.404

 26 Metro Atlantic                    0.395

 27 Big Sky                           0.390

 28 Big South                         0.379

 29 Northeast                         0.344

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.339

 31 Independents                      0.301

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.269







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-3-05:



AIR FORCE 22 over Navy, total 123

ALABAMA A&M 5 over Grambling, total 140

ALABAMA ST 3 over Jackson St, total 115

ALCORN ST 11 over Prairie View A&M, total 133

Miss Valley St 1 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 130

Chattanooga 5 over AUSTIN PEAY, total 126

BAYLOR 9 over Chicago St, total 143

CAMPBELL Pick 'em over Belmont, total 137

Robert Morris 3 over CHARLESTON SO, total 121

GARDNER-WEBB 10 over Lipscomb, total 149

UCF Pick 'em over GEORGIA ST, total 135

HIGH POINT 8 over Utah Valley St, total 144

IUPUI 14 over UMKC, total 141

JACKSONVILLE 3 over Stetson, total 133

UNC Wilmington 4 over JAMES MADISON, total 125

LOYOLA-CHICAGO 4 over Cleveland St, total 135

MERCER 18 over Florida Atl, total 154

MINNESOTA 12 over Loyola-Marymount, total 143

NORTHERN IOWA 9 over Illinois St, total 140

OAKLAND 15 over Centenary, total 147

PEPPERDINE 6 over Colorado St, total 151

PROVIDENCE 18 over Brown, total 163

SAN DIEGO ST 18 over South Dakota St, total 133

Bethune-Cookman 17 over SAVANNAH ST, total 137

Seton Hall 12 over Morgan St, total 128

SOUTHERN U 4 over Texas Southern, total 148

ST. PETER'S 11 over Rider, total 155

Oklahoma St 7 over TAMU-CC, total 133

TCU 19 over Texas St, total 145

New Mexico 6 over TX-ARLINGTON, total 152

TX-SAN ANTONIO 11 over New Mexico St, total 146

UTAH 10 over LSU, total 141

WESTERN CAR 7 over Georgia So, total 158

WICHITA ST 25 over Manhattan, total 161

WIS-GREEN BAY 5 over Wright St, total 124

WIS-MILWAUKEE 17 over Detroit, total 127

XAVIER Pick 'em over Iowa State, total 137

Illinois-Chi 6 over YOUNGSTOWN ST, total 140



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