ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 1-16-05. Home court advantage is 0.634, or about 5.16 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Kansas*                    13-0   0.951    3  0.674

  2 Duke*                      13-0   0.949   62  0.569

  3 Illinois*                  18-0   0.941   82  0.550

  4 Oklahoma St.*              13-1   0.933   30  0.603

  5 Wake Forest*               15-1   0.911    9  0.650

  6 North Carolina*            14-2   0.907   35  0.596

  7 Boston College*            14-0   0.895  111  0.532

  8 Syracuse*                  17-1   0.882  171  0.495

  9 Washington*                15-2   0.881   57  0.575

 10 Oklahoma*                  13-2   0.875  107  0.534

 11 Kentucky*                  12-2   0.872   98  0.539

 12 Cincinnati*                14-2   0.850  151  0.505

 13 Arizona*                   14-3   0.847   17  0.626

 14 Louisville*                14-3   0.847  172  0.494

 15 Mississippi St.*           15-3   0.845   90  0.543

 16 Wisconsin*                 12-3   0.843   29  0.605

 17 Georgia Tech*              11-4   0.841   39  0.593

 18 Michigan St.*              10-3   0.838  104  0.535

 19 Florida*                   11-3   0.833  136  0.514

 20 Gonzaga*                   13-3   0.829   21  0.618

 21 Alabama*                   13-3   0.824   49  0.583

 22 Texas*                     13-3   0.822  134  0.517

 23 Iowa*                      13-3   0.818   44  0.586

 24 Texas Tech*                10-4   0.816   68  0.561

 25 Connecticut*               10-3   0.813  131  0.520

 26 Pittsburgh*                12-2   0.798  269  0.429

 27 Southern Illinois*         14-3   0.797   95  0.541

 28 Pacific*                   12-2   0.789  100  0.539

 29 Arkansas*                  13-4   0.788  190  0.480

 30 Vermont*                   11-3   0.785  132  0.519

 31 Wichita St.*               11-2   0.784  105  0.535

 32 Western Michigan*          12-3   0.783   89  0.544

 33 Old Dominion*              15-2   0.781  301  0.392

 34 Oregon*                    11-3   0.780   36  0.595

 35 Villanova*                  9-3   0.779  140  0.511

 36 Ohio St.*                  12-5   0.776   63  0.569

 37 Texas A&M*                 12-2   0.775  318  0.352

 38 Utah*                      14-3   0.774  257  0.440

 39 Marquette*                 14-2   0.771  240  0.450

 40 George Washington*         11-3   0.770  163  0.502

 41 Charlotte*                 12-2   0.770  195  0.476

 42 Minnesota*                 12-4   0.768  135  0.516

 43 Maryland*                  10-4   0.766   93  0.542

 44 UAB*                       13-4   0.763   76  0.556

 45 Arizona St.*               13-4   0.761  123  0.524

 46 UCLA*                      10-4   0.761   13  0.640

 47 Texas El Paso*             14-3   0.760  288  0.406

 48 Vanderbilt*                11-6   0.758   23  0.609

 49 Boston University*         11-4   0.756  166  0.500

 50 South Carolina*            10-5   0.753   45  0.586

 51 Clemson                    10-6   0.751   22  0.612

 52 Miami FL                   12-3   0.751  143  0.510

 53 Georgetown                 11-4   0.749   66  0.562

 54 Temple                      6-7   0.743    1  0.738

 55 Northern Iowa              12-4   0.741  160  0.502

 56 Virginia                    9-5   0.740   10  0.648

 57 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       11-4   0.738  211  0.469

 58 Chattanooga*               11-3   0.736  293  0.402

 59 New Mexico                 14-3   0.735  311  0.376

 60 North Carolina St.         11-5   0.733  147  0.506

 61 West Virginia              11-3   0.727  209  0.470

 62 Nevada                     12-4   0.726  182  0.489

 63 Oral Roberts*              12-4   0.720  227  0.461

 64 Holy Cross*                10-5   0.719   85  0.548

 65 Michigan                   12-5   0.716   79  0.553

 66 DePaul                     10-4   0.710   80  0.553

 67 Creighton                  11-6   0.706   60  0.572

 68 Notre Dame                 11-3   0.706  233  0.456

 69 Air Force                  11-6   0.704  156  0.503

 70 Princeton*                  8-5   0.701    8  0.653

 71 St. Mary's                 15-5   0.699  219  0.466

 72 Western Kentucky*          10-4   0.693  189  0.482

 73 Bucknell                   12-4   0.693  178  0.490

 74 Utah St.                   11-5   0.693  234  0.455

 75 Bowling Green              10-3   0.686  223  0.463

 76 Nebraska                    8-5   0.685  150  0.505

 77 Hawaii                     10-3   0.684  202  0.473

 78 Providence                  9-7   0.683   50  0.583

 79 Texas Christian            12-5   0.681  146  0.507

 80 Louisiana St.               8-5   0.680   51  0.583

 81 Bradley                    10-4   0.679   91  0.543

 82 Mississippi                11-6   0.679  121  0.524

 83 Rice                        9-4   0.678  117  0.526

 84 Kent St.                   10-6   0.678   59  0.573

 85 Hofstra                    10-4   0.676  186  0.485

 86 Southwest Missouri St.      7-7   0.675   38  0.595

 87 Houston                    11-6   0.671   37  0.595

 88 Washington St.              8-7   0.671    6  0.655

 89 Iowa St.                    8-6   0.661   40  0.590

 90 Portland                   13-6   0.661  165  0.500

 91 Stanford                    8-7   0.658   14  0.637

 92 Furman                     10-6   0.655  270  0.429

 93 Indiana                     7-7   0.651    5  0.660

 94 Buffalo                    10-4   0.649  113  0.528

 95 Kansas St.                 11-3   0.644  305  0.386

 96 Middle Tennessee           12-5   0.644  252  0.445

 97 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     11-5   0.643  256  0.441

 98 Fresno St.                 11-4   0.636  250  0.446

 99 Rutgers                     6-7   0.636   11  0.647

100 Southern California         8-9   0.633    4  0.663

101 Akron                       9-5   0.632  200  0.473

102 Missouri                    9-7   0.632   32  0.597

103 Colorado                    8-6   0.631   18  0.625

104 Saint Joseph's              7-6   0.631   28  0.605

105 Southern Methodist          8-6   0.629   81  0.551

106 Illinois St.               11-5   0.628  198  0.475

107 Tennessee                   9-7   0.627   70  0.560

108 San Francisco              10-6   0.623  108  0.533

109 Denver                      8-6   0.621  153  0.504

110 Miami OH                    8-5   0.621  110  0.532

111 Toledo                      7-7   0.620   26  0.607

112 Pepperdine                 12-7   0.617  116  0.527

113 Memphis                     9-8   0.616   86  0.548

114 Evansville                  9-6   0.615  120  0.525

115 Auburn                      9-7   0.614   64  0.565

116 Florida St.                 9-8   0.612  128  0.522

117 Ball St.                    7-5   0.611  114  0.528

118 Niagara*                    9-6   0.601  226  0.461

119 Drexel                      7-6   0.600   72  0.559

120 Louisiana Lafayette         8-7   0.600   19  0.620

121 Nevada Las Vegas            7-7   0.598   56  0.577

122 Eastern Kentucky*          10-5   0.598  262  0.435

123 Massachusetts               8-6   0.591   27  0.607

124 Davidson                    9-7   0.590  175  0.493

125 Seton Hall                  8-6   0.585  152  0.505

126 Xavier                      7-6   0.585  161  0.502

127 Winthrop*                  12-5   0.579  300  0.393

128 Oregon St.                 10-6   0.579  129  0.521

129 Colorado St.                9-6   0.579  275  0.424

130 Loyola Marymount            9-8   0.578   47  0.584

131 Virginia Commonwealth       7-7   0.578   83  0.549

132 South Florida               8-6   0.578  230  0.458

133 Richmond                    6-8   0.577    7  0.654

134 San Diego                   9-7   0.577  177  0.491

135 Cal St. Northridge          8-7   0.576  148  0.506

136 Arkansas Little Rock       11-5   0.576  207  0.470

137 Wyoming                     8-7   0.573   61  0.570

138 Birmingham Southern         8-6   0.571  188  0.484

139 Wisconsin Green Bay        11-4   0.569  222  0.464

140 California                  8-7   0.569  109  0.533

141 Dayton                      9-5   0.568  229  0.458

142 College of Charleston      10-5   0.568  271  0.428

143 Ohio                        7-6   0.568  194  0.478

144 Northern Illinois           6-8   0.566   34  0.596

145 Lamar*                     10-4   0.563  323  0.342

146 Northwestern                8-8   0.560   55  0.577

147 Louisiana Tech              7-8   0.560   33  0.597

148 Pennsylvania                5-7   0.559   31  0.602

149 North Texas                 8-5   0.557  155  0.504

150 Cal Irvine                  7-6   0.554  174  0.493

151 NC Wilmington               9-5   0.554  247  0.447

152 Murray St.                  8-6   0.554  249  0.446

153 NC Greensboro              10-5   0.548  218  0.466

154 San Diego St.               8-7   0.548  158  0.502

155 IUPUI                       9-6   0.546  215  0.467

156 Santa Clara                 9-9   0.544  126  0.523

157 Cal St. Fullerton           8-5   0.542  243  0.449

158 Virginia Tech               8-6   0.541  265  0.432

159 Southeastern Louisiana     11-6   0.535  322  0.344

160 Northeastern                9-6   0.532  181  0.490

161 Portland St.*              12-4   0.531  329  0.320

162 Northwestern St.           10-8   0.531  213  0.467

163 Fairfield                   8-7   0.531  118  0.526

164 Wofford                     8-7   0.530  261  0.437

165 St. John's                  6-7   0.530  112  0.530

166 Manhattan                   7-6   0.528  183  0.488

167 Gardner Webb*               8-6   0.526  272  0.428

168 Illinois Chicago            8-7   0.526  164  0.501

169 Eastern Michigan            9-6   0.525  266  0.432

170 Central Florida            12-4   0.524  328  0.329

171 Arkansas St.               10-6   0.524  313  0.373

172 American                    9-6   0.524  204  0.472

173 Mercer                     10-4   0.523  315  0.370

174 George Mason                7-7   0.522  176  0.491

175 Wright St.                  8-8   0.522  154  0.504

176 Sam Houston St.             8-7   0.521  264  0.433

177 Albany                      8-7   0.520  258  0.440

178 Missouri Kansas City        6-7   0.513   73  0.559

179 Samford                     9-6   0.511  292  0.402

180 Texas San Antonio           7-6   0.507  263  0.434

181 Drake                       6-8   0.503   41  0.589

182 Rider                       8-6   0.494  251  0.445

183 South Carolina St.*         8-7   0.492  277  0.421

184 Detroit                     6-8   0.491   77  0.555

185 Butler                      6-8   0.488  248  0.446

186 Southern Mississippi        9-7   0.484  286  0.407

187 Maine                       8-7   0.483  237  0.453

188 Tennessee Tech              9-6   0.480  316  0.366

189 Northern Arizona            9-8   0.480  281  0.412

190 Fairleigh Dickinson*        8-8   0.478  241  0.450

191 St. Francis PA              8-6   0.477  216  0.467

192 St. Peter's                 6-8   0.476  162  0.502

193 Purdue                      4-10  0.475   12  0.642

194 Columbia                    9-4   0.475  326  0.330

195 Cal Santa Barbara           6-8   0.472   94  0.541

196 Indiana St.                 7-10  0.471   87  0.548

197 Georgia Southern            8-7   0.471  273  0.427

198 Brown                       7-7   0.469  228  0.459

199 Tennessee St.               8-10  0.461  119  0.525

200 Valparaiso                  6-10  0.461   20  0.619

201 The Citadel                10-4   0.461  333  0.288

202 Brigham Young               6-11  0.451  124  0.524

203 Marist                      8-7   0.451  254  0.442

204 High Point                  8-9   0.450  302  0.389

205 Baylor                      8-5   0.448  332  0.312

206 Cal Riverside               6-8   0.445  187  0.484

207 Penn St.                    6-11  0.445   84  0.548

208 Central Michigan            7-7   0.444  193  0.478

209 Fordham                     6-9   0.442  101  0.538

210 Georgia St.                 7-9   0.442  125  0.523

211 Belmont                     5-9   0.434  103  0.536

212 Texas Arlington             7-7   0.433  221  0.464

213 Coppin St.                  5-10  0.432    2  0.679

214 Appalachian St.             6-8   0.428  201  0.473

215 Florida International       7-9   0.427  170  0.497

216 East Carolina               5-11  0.424   71  0.559

217 Montana                     7-9   0.420  185  0.486

218 Oakland                     4-10  0.418   42  0.589

219 Norfolk St.                 6-7   0.416  244  0.448

220 Southern Utah               8-7   0.415  295  0.399

221 Yale                        4-9   0.413   54  0.579

222 Lipscomb                    8-5   0.412  324  0.341

223 Montana St.                 8-8   0.411  279  0.418

224 Austin Peay                 5-11  0.411   67  0.561

225 Mississippi Valley St.*     5-8   0.409  122  0.524

226 Georgia                     6-8   0.409  184  0.486

227 Texas St.                   8-7   0.405  308  0.382

228 Iona                        5-10  0.404  139  0.512

229 McNeese St.                 7-8   0.404  314  0.372

230 Stephen F. Austin           7-7   0.401  331  0.315

231 Delaware                    7-9   0.398  203  0.472

232 Southeast Missouri St.      6-9   0.395  280  0.417

233 Monmouth                    5-8   0.393  159  0.502

234 Lehigh                      9-7   0.392  320  0.347

235 St. Francis NY              6-7   0.391  298  0.396

236 East Tennessee St.          6-9   0.389  267  0.430

237 Texas Pan American          7-9   0.388  231  0.457

238 Tulsa                       3-11  0.386   65  0.562

239 Marshall                    3-11  0.379   25  0.608

240 New Orleans                 7-9   0.378  232  0.457

241 Western Illinois            5-11  0.377  145  0.507

242 Harvard                     6-9   0.372  210  0.470

243 La Salle                    5-9   0.370   96  0.540

244 Robert Morris               5-10  0.370  191  0.480

245 Cal Davis                   6-9   0.368  192  0.480

246 Charleston Southern         7-7   0.367  259  0.440

247 Stony Brook                 7-8   0.363  291  0.403

248 New Hampshire               6-9   0.362  224  0.463

249 Quinnipiac                  6-6   0.362  306  0.386

250 Binghamton                  4-11  0.362   46  0.584

251 Chicago St.                 3-11  0.361   16  0.632

252 Delaware St.                4-11  0.360   43  0.588

253 Bethune Cookman             6-8   0.356  212  0.468

254 Idaho                       5-11  0.355  206  0.470

255 Tulane                      6-9   0.354  290  0.404

256 Loyola Chicago              4-12  0.353   99  0.539

257 Utah Valley St.             7-9   0.350  299  0.395

258 Hampton                     5-9   0.349  130  0.520

259 San Jose St.                4-10  0.347   53  0.579

260 Eastern Illinois            5-10  0.344  115  0.527

261 Boise St.                   7-9   0.343  282  0.410

262 Lafayette                   5-10  0.341  180  0.490

263 Cleveland St.               4-9   0.337  208  0.470

264 Western Carolina            5-13  0.336  168  0.499

265 Eastern Washington          5-11  0.336   92  0.542

266 Cornell                     5-9   0.334  235  0.454

267 Central Connecticut         5-9   0.331  239  0.451

268 Howard                      5-8   0.329  246  0.448

269 St. Louis                   3-12  0.328   48  0.584

270 Stetson                     5-9   0.328  127  0.523

271 Florida A&M                 3-9   0.327   15  0.636

272 NC Asheville                4-11  0.325   88  0.545

273 Rhode Island                3-11  0.324   97  0.540

274 Morehead St.                7-8   0.321  274  0.426

275 Duquesne                    4-13  0.320   69  0.560

276 Long Beach St.              2-13  0.316   24  0.608

277 Colgate                     5-10  0.312  284  0.410

278 Louisiana Monroe            6-9   0.311  297  0.397

279 Troy                        5-11  0.310  169  0.497

280 Southern                    7-7   0.310  319  0.350

281 Idaho St.                   6-10  0.308  309  0.379

282 Long Island                 6-8   0.307  276  0.423

283 Northern Colorado           5-14  0.306   74  0.558

284 Radford                     6-9   0.303  312  0.376

285 Alabama A&M                 6-9   0.303  304  0.387

286 Weber St.                   5-11  0.300  260  0.438

287 Tennessee Martin            4-11  0.297  142  0.510

288 Florida Atlantic            3-11  0.296  167  0.499

289 Coastal Carolina            5-11  0.295  278  0.420

290 Texas Southern              4-8   0.294  285  0.408

291 South Alabama               4-11  0.291  173  0.493

292 New Mexico St.              4-12  0.290  179  0.490

293 Canisius                    4-10  0.289  255  0.441

294 Towson                      4-11  0.286  220  0.465

295 Nicholls St.                5-10  0.284  289  0.404

296 Sacramento St.              5-11  0.282  205  0.472

297 Jacksonville                7-7   0.277  327  0.329

298 Alabama St.                 5-9   0.274  225  0.462

299 Hartford                    5-10  0.271  236  0.454

300 Liberty                     4-11  0.269   78  0.554

301 Dartmouth                   4-10  0.268  238  0.452

302 Grambling                   5-7   0.267  296  0.398

303 Morgan St.                  4-11  0.261  214  0.467

304 Cal Poly                    3-10  0.257  157  0.503

305 William & Mary              4-10  0.255  196  0.476

306 MD Baltimore County         6-9   0.253  317  0.355

307 Mount St. Mary's            5-9   0.244  310  0.377

308 IUPU Fort Wayne             4-13  0.244  144  0.508

309 James Madison               3-10  0.237  137  0.514

310 Jackson St.                 5-12  0.236  253  0.444

311 Jacksonville St.            4-12  0.234  287  0.407

312 Siena                       3-12  0.233  141  0.511

313 Virginia Military Inst      5-8   0.228  330  0.317

314 South Dakota St.            4-11  0.216  303  0.389

315 North Dakota St.            5-11  0.211  321  0.346

316 Centenary                   2-13  0.207   75  0.557

317 Arkansas Pine Bluff         3-10  0.202  133  0.518

318 Elon                        2-15  0.199  138  0.513

319 Campbell                    2-12  0.199   52  0.582

320 Loyola MD                   3-11  0.191  294  0.402

321 Navy                        4-11  0.185  325  0.341

322 North Carolina A&T          2-13  0.184  106  0.534

323 Wagner                      2-12  0.183  217  0.466

324 Alcorn St.                  3-12  0.158  268  0.430

325 Sacred Heart                1-12  0.150  149  0.506

326 Youngstown St.              3-13  0.148  283  0.410

327 Prairie View A&M            2-11  0.142  102  0.538

328 Army                        2-13  0.131  307  0.384

329 St. Bonaventure             1-13  0.119  199  0.473

330 Longwood                    1-20  0.110  197  0.476

331 Wild Card U.               13-282 0.078   58  0.574

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      1-12  0.066  242  0.449

333 Savannah St.                0-22  0.038  245  0.448







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.773

  2 Big Twelve                        0.739

  3 Big East                          0.732

  4 Southeastern                      0.724

  5 Pacific 10                        0.714

  6 Big Ten                           0.712

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.660

  8 West Coast                        0.641

  9 Conference USA                    0.632

 10 Mountain West                     0.620

 11 Mid-American                      0.597

 12 Western Athletic                  0.575

 13 Sun Belt                          0.509

 14 Atlantic 10                       0.503

 15 Big West                          0.500

 16 Southern                          0.493

 17 Colonial                          0.489

 18 America East                      0.469

 19 Horizon                           0.464

 20 Ivy League                        0.449

 21 Mid-Continent                     0.446

 22 Southland                         0.445

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.420

 24 Ohio Valley                       0.419

 25 Patriot                           0.412

 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.388

 27 Big Sky                           0.384

 28 Big South                         0.376

 29 Northeast                         0.335

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.325

 31 Independents                      0.287

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.260







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-15-05:



ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-17-05:

ALCORN ST 2 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 124

BIRMINGHAM SOUTHERN 15 over UNC Asheville, total 139

CAL POLY Pick 'em over UC Davis, total 154

CHARLESTON SO 9 over Liberty, total 127

High Point 1 over COASTAL CAROLINA, total 147

COLL OF CHARLESTON 2 over Furman, total 133

Utah 3 over COLORADO ST, total 128

COPPIN ST 7 over Bethune-Cookman, total 123

DARTMOUTH 3 over Colgate, total 140

Wichita St 3 over EVANSVILLE, total 149

FLORIDA INTL Pick 'em over North Texas, total 134

Chattanooga 6 over GEORGIA SO, total 150

GEORGIA ST 2 over Gardner-Webb, total 140

HAMPTON 24 over MD-East Shore, total 137

Belmont 1 over JACKSONVILLE, total 133

KENT ST 22 over IPFW, total 132

Detroit Pick 'em over LOYOLA-CHICAGO, total 120

MANHATTAN 8 over St. Peter's, total 156

MORGAN ST 2 over Florida A&M, total 148

Quinnipiac Pick 'em over MT ST. MARY'S, total 142

Columbia 9 over NAVY, total 154

Howard 2 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 151

Jackson St 1 over PRAIRIE VIEW A&M, total 130

Rider 14 over Loyola-Maryland, total 146

Central Conn 4 over SACRED HEART, total 136

Connecticut 5 over SETON HALL, total 139

SIENA 3 over Canisius, total 143

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 9 over Delaware St, total 120

SOUTHERN U 1 over Miss Valley St, total 142

ST. FRANCIS-NY 2 over St. Francis-PA, total 137

STETSON 2 over Lipscomb, total 123

TX-PAN AMERICAN 1 over TX-San Antonio, total 147

TEXAS SOUTHERN 7 over Grambling, total 145

Oklahoma St 6 over TEXAS, total 150

UMKC 18 over South Dakota St, total 138

Robert Morris 4 over WAGNER, total 140

WIS-MILWAUKEE 14 over Wright St, total 134

WOFFORD 7 over The Citadel, total 131

WYOMING 11 over BYU, total 155



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