ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 1-30-05. Home court advantage is 0.632, or about 5.07 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  21-0   0.946   58  0.585

  2 Duke*                      16-1   0.934   36  0.605

  3 Kansas*                    16-1   0.933    3  0.689

  4 North Carolina*            17-2   0.929   16  0.636

  5 Kentucky*                  16-2   0.906   46  0.597

  6 Oklahoma St.*              15-3   0.902   17  0.636

  7 Boston College*            18-0   0.898   87  0.561

  8 Wake Forest*               17-3   0.888    4  0.684

  9 Oklahoma*                  16-3   0.881   47  0.595

 10 Washington*                17-3   0.880   30  0.612

 11 Louisville*                18-3   0.878  175  0.490

 12 Syracuse*                  20-2   0.866  118  0.537

 13 Alabama*                   17-3   0.863   51  0.590

 14 Michigan St.*              14-3   0.862  101  0.547

 15 Cincinnati*                17-3   0.861  105  0.545

 16 Wisconsin*                 14-4   0.853   14  0.639

 17 Arizona*                   17-4   0.842   15  0.638

 18 Villanova*                 12-4   0.838   45  0.600

 19 Texas*                     15-5   0.826   40  0.602

 20 Wichita St.*               16-2   0.825   86  0.562

 21 Gonzaga*                   15-4   0.822   24  0.622

 22 Texas Tech*                12-5   0.822   52  0.589

 23 Florida*                   13-4   0.817  136  0.519

 24 Utah*                      17-3   0.811  212  0.466

 25 Pacific*                   15-2   0.809  110  0.542

 26 Vermont*                   15-3   0.809  170  0.492

 27 Mississippi St.*           16-5   0.807   62  0.582

 28 Iowa*                      15-5   0.806   31  0.611

 29 Pittsburgh*                14-3   0.806  174  0.490

 30 Georgia Tech*              12-6   0.803   35  0.605

 31 Connecticut*               12-5   0.803   64  0.580

 32 Maryland*                  13-5   0.798   41  0.602

 33 Southern Illinois*         16-5   0.782   74  0.572

 34 Arkansas*                  14-6   0.773  147  0.511

 35 Old Dominion*              18-3   0.766  275  0.416

 36 Minnesota*                 14-6   0.763   59  0.584

 37 Charlotte*                 14-4   0.760  102  0.546

 38 Utah St.*                  15-5   0.753  229  0.451

 39 Ohio St.*                  14-7   0.753   71  0.573

 40 North Carolina St.*        13-7   0.749   83  0.565

 41 Arizona St.*               15-6   0.749   81  0.565

 42 Western Michigan*          14-5   0.748  120  0.537

 43 Texas El Paso*             17-4   0.747  246  0.436

 44 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       15-5   0.745  185  0.481

 45 UAB*                       15-5   0.744  108  0.543

 46 Georgetown*                13-6   0.743   34  0.606

 47 Holy Cross*                15-5   0.743  177  0.488

 48 South Carolina*            11-7   0.742   22  0.624

 49 St. Mary's*                19-5   0.741  176  0.489

 50 Temple*                     9-8   0.741    6  0.677

 51 Texas A&M*                 14-4   0.739  279  0.409

 52 Notre Dame*                13-5   0.738   99  0.548

 53 Vanderbilt                 12-8   0.737   27  0.613

 54 DePaul                     13-5   0.737   88  0.561

 55 Stanford                   12-7   0.736    9  0.652

 56 Boston University          14-5   0.734  193  0.475

 57 Nevada                     14-5   0.732  138  0.518

 58 George Washington          13-5   0.730  152  0.506

 59 Miami FL                   13-6   0.724   50  0.591

 60 Louisiana St.              11-6   0.714   21  0.624

 61 Northern Iowa              14-7   0.712  106  0.544

 62 UCLA                       11-6   0.708   18  0.628

 63 Southwest Missouri St.     10-8   0.703   39  0.603

 64 Marquette                  15-5   0.700  137  0.518

 65 Miami OH                   12-5   0.700  109  0.542

 66 New Mexico                 15-5   0.699  271  0.418

 67 Clemson                    10-10  0.699   10  0.648

 68 Oregon                     11-7   0.698   19  0.626

 69 Air Force                  13-7   0.698  149  0.510

 70 West Virginia              12-6   0.697   98  0.549

 71 Washington St.              9-9   0.695    1  0.707

 72 Virginia                   10-8   0.692    7  0.672

 73 Creighton                  13-8   0.689   73  0.573

 74 Oral Roberts*              15-5   0.687  232  0.447

 75 Nebraska                    9-8   0.685   49  0.592

 76 Kansas St.                 13-4   0.683  230  0.449

 77 Indiana                     9-9   0.682    2  0.692

 78 Akron                      12-6   0.679  168  0.493

 79 Memphis                    12-9   0.679   56  0.586

 80 Chattanooga*               13-5   0.676  286  0.402

 81 San Francisco              13-7   0.673   67  0.578

 82 Illinois St.               14-6   0.670  145  0.512

 83 Ball St.                   10-6   0.664   92  0.560

 84 Western Kentucky*          13-5   0.661  213  0.464

 85 Buffalo                    13-5   0.659  134  0.520

 86 Princeton*                 10-6   0.658   85  0.563

 87 Hawaii                     12-5   0.658  162  0.498

 88 Kent St.                   13-7   0.656  122  0.533

 89 Saint Joseph's              9-8   0.654   23  0.622

 90 Providence                  9-10  0.654   29  0.612

 91 Michigan                   12-9   0.653   43  0.601

 92 Florida St.                11-9   0.648   72  0.573

 93 Louisiana Lafayette        12-7   0.647   63  0.581

 94 Bowling Green              12-5   0.644  173  0.490

 95 Mississippi                11-10  0.640   57  0.586

 96 Davidson                   13-7   0.639  189  0.478

 97 Bucknell                   14-6   0.639  206  0.469

 98 Houston                    12-9   0.637   37  0.604

 99 Hofstra                    12-6   0.636  195  0.474

100 Pennsylvania                9-7   0.635  103  0.546

101 Rice                       10-7   0.635  112  0.542

102 Seton Hall                 10-7   0.635  104  0.545

103 Colorado                   10-8   0.635   11  0.644

104 Bradley                    11-7   0.634   80  0.567

105 Drexel                     10-7   0.634  124  0.532

106 California                 11-8   0.632   84  0.563

107 Denver                     11-7   0.632  163  0.498

108 Iowa St.                    9-8   0.630   55  0.587

109 Texas Christian            13-8   0.630  129  0.523

110 Tennessee                  10-10  0.626   25  0.621

111 Nevada Las Vegas            9-8   0.625   61  0.583

112 Fresno St.                 12-6   0.624  171  0.490

113 Ohio                       10-7   0.619  160  0.500

114 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     13-6   0.618  237  0.443

115 Portland                   13-9   0.616  115  0.540

116 Louisiana Tech             10-8   0.615   75  0.572

117 Wyoming                    11-8   0.607   79  0.567

118 Furman                     11-8   0.607  261  0.422

119 Southern California         9-11  0.607   12  0.642

120 Virginia Tech              11-7   0.606  141  0.516

121 Niagara*                   13-6   0.605  263  0.421

122 Missouri                   10-10  0.605   28  0.613

123 Richmond                    9-9   0.603   13  0.640

124 Toledo                      8-9   0.602   32  0.609

125 Winthrop*                  15-5   0.600  306  0.376

126 Xavier                      9-8   0.598  123  0.532

127 Dayton                     12-6   0.598  190  0.476

128 Santa Clara                12-10  0.597  113  0.540

129 Rutgers                     7-10  0.593    8  0.663

130 Southern Methodist          9-8   0.592  119  0.537

131 Auburn                     10-9   0.581   69  0.575

132 Southeastern Louisiana*    14-6   0.580  318  0.355

133 College of Charleston      13-6   0.579  256  0.425

134 Murray St.*                11-7   0.576  244  0.436

135 NC Wilmington              12-6   0.576  209  0.468

136 Wisconsin Green Bay        14-5   0.575  205  0.470

137 San Diego                  10-10  0.575  125  0.530

138 Oregon St.                 11-9   0.574   89  0.561

139 Eastern Kentucky           13-6   0.573  296  0.388

140 Evansville                 10-9   0.573   90  0.560

141 Virginia Commonwealth      10-8   0.571  140  0.517

142 Northern Illinois           7-11  0.570   20  0.624

143 Cal St. Northridge         10-9   0.568  157  0.504

144 Middle Tennessee           13-8   0.567  252  0.428

145 NC Greensboro              13-6   0.565  203  0.470

146 Northwestern                9-10  0.563   44  0.601

147 Arkansas St.               13-7   0.557  293  0.393

148 George Mason               10-8   0.556  218  0.462

149 Pepperdine                 12-10  0.555  126  0.529

150 American                   12-7   0.555  223  0.459

151 Rider                      12-7   0.550  250  0.429

152 Wright St.                 10-10  0.549  121  0.536

153 Loyola Marymount           10-10  0.544   78  0.568

154 Missouri Kansas City       10-7   0.544  167  0.493

155 Northeastern               12-7   0.543  194  0.474

156 Cal Irvine                 10-7   0.538  222  0.460

157 Massachusetts              10-8   0.538   95  0.555

158 Gardner Webb*              11-7   0.538  285  0.404

159 Illinois Chicago           10-9   0.537  151  0.506

160 St. John's                  7-10  0.537   66  0.579

161 Purdue                      5-13  0.534    5  0.684

162 Manhattan                  10-8   0.533  166  0.494

163 San Diego St.               9-9   0.532  139  0.517

164 Tennessee Tech             12-7   0.530  294  0.390

165 Sam Houston St.            11-8   0.525  287  0.402

166 Colorado St.                9-10  0.523  179  0.484

167 Northwestern St.           11-10  0.523  172  0.490

168 Arkansas Little Rock       12-8   0.520  196  0.474

169 North Texas                10-8   0.519  164  0.495

170 Cal St. Fullerton          10-7   0.518  240  0.441

171 Lamar                      12-6   0.510  328  0.327

172 IUPUI                      10-9   0.507  198  0.473

173 Georgia Southern           12-8   0.505  284  0.404

174 Drake                       7-11  0.503   26  0.615

175 Valparaiso                  9-11  0.502   60  0.583

176 Fairfield                  10-9   0.501  192  0.476

177 Albany                      9-10  0.499  220  0.461

178 Texas San Antonio           9-8   0.499  231  0.448

179 Portland St.*              14-6   0.496  331  0.316

180 South Florida               8-10  0.493  165  0.494

181 Samford                    11-8   0.492  278  0.410

182 Detroit                     8-11  0.484  114  0.540

183 Fordham                     8-10  0.482  107  0.543

184 Brigham Young               7-13  0.482   93  0.556

185 Birmingham Southern        10-9   0.476  265  0.421

186 Brown                       8-8   0.476  183  0.481

187 Indiana St.                 8-13  0.475   82  0.565

188 Eastern Michigan            9-9   0.471  225  0.457

189 St. Peter's                 8-10  0.468  180  0.484

190 Baylor                      9-8   0.463  264  0.421

191 Central Florida            13-7   0.462  322  0.348

192 Wofford                     8-10  0.459  251  0.428

193 The Citadel                12-6   0.454  325  0.336

194 South Carolina St.*        10-9   0.454  297  0.387

195 Cal Santa Barbara           7-11  0.453  100  0.547

196 Montana                    10-10  0.453  199  0.472

197 Penn St.                    7-13  0.450   76  0.571

198 Monmouth*                   8-8   0.450  202  0.471

199 Marist                     10-8   0.449  260  0.422

200 High Point                 10-10  0.448  309  0.369

201 Southern Mississippi       10-9   0.446  280  0.409

202 Maine                      10-9   0.446  259  0.423

203 Columbia                   12-5   0.443  332  0.308

204 Appalachian St.             8-9   0.439  228  0.454

205 Oakland                     5-13  0.438   33  0.607

206 Georgia                     7-10  0.438   97  0.551

207 Tennessee St.               9-13  0.437  128  0.529

208 Mercer                     10-7   0.435  303  0.381

209 Georgia St.                 9-11  0.432  159  0.500

210 Fairleigh Dickinson        11-9   0.429  308  0.375

211 East Carolina               7-13  0.427   65  0.580

212 Stephen F. Austin           9-8   0.427  330  0.325

213 Northern Arizona            9-11  0.422  272  0.416

214 Butler                      7-11  0.420  242  0.440

215 Texas Arlington            10-8   0.420  258  0.423

216 St. Francis PA             10-8   0.419  283  0.405

217 New Orleans                 9-11  0.416  182  0.482

218 Austin Peay                 7-13  0.415  116  0.539

219 Southeast Missouri St.      9-10  0.415  300  0.383

220 Coppin St.                  7-11  0.415   48  0.594

221 Montana St.                10-10  0.414  255  0.425

222 Utah Valley St.            10-9   0.414  299  0.384

223 Delaware St.                8-11  0.412  144  0.512

224 Iona                        8-12  0.412  187  0.481

225 Texas St.                  10-9   0.411  302  0.382

226 Robert Morris               9-10  0.410  267  0.421

227 Texas Pan American         10-10  0.409  253  0.427

228 Western Illinois            7-12  0.406  169  0.493

229 Hampton                     8-10  0.406  210  0.468

230 Cleveland St.               7-10  0.405  201  0.471

231 Belmont                     7-12  0.404  181  0.483

232 Southern Utah              10-9   0.401  288  0.402

233 St. Francis NY              8-9   0.400  292  0.397

234 Tulsa                       4-14  0.399   70  0.575

235 Troy                        9-11  0.398  221  0.460

236 Tulane                      8-11  0.397  219  0.461

237 San Jose St.                6-12  0.396   68  0.577

238 Mississippi Valley St.*     8-9   0.390  257  0.424

239 Norfolk St.                 8-9   0.390  291  0.397

240 Harvard                     7-10  0.387  207  0.469

241 Yale                        4-11  0.387   42  0.601

242 Cal Riverside               7-11  0.387  211  0.467

243 St. Louis                   5-14  0.385   54  0.587

244 Florida International       8-12  0.381  191  0.476

245 Lehigh                     10-10  0.374  317  0.355

246 Delaware                    7-13  0.373  153  0.505

247 Boise St.                   9-11  0.373  234  0.445

248 NC Asheville                7-12  0.372  156  0.504

249 Lipscomb                   10-8   0.371  321  0.352

250 Idaho                       7-13  0.371  217  0.462

251 Eastern Illinois            8-11  0.369  186  0.481

252 Loyola Chicago              6-14  0.369  148  0.511

253 East Tennessee St.          6-13  0.361  204  0.470

254 Central Michigan            7-11  0.360  146  0.512

255 Cal Davis                   8-11  0.358  233  0.447

256 McNeese St.                 7-11  0.357  304  0.380

257 Florida Atlantic            6-13  0.353  200  0.472

258 South Alabama               6-13  0.350  143  0.513

259 Chicago St.                 4-13  0.347   53  0.588

260 New Hampshire               7-12  0.345  216  0.462

261 Marshall                    3-14  0.342   38  0.604

262 Stetson                     8-11  0.341  208  0.469

263 Eastern Washington          7-13  0.341  154  0.505

264 Duquesne                    6-14  0.338  132  0.521

265 Cornell                     7-10  0.336  289  0.399

266 Central Connecticut         7-11  0.335  254  0.425

267 Radford                     9-10  0.335  316  0.358

268 Binghamton                  5-14  0.330  111  0.542

269 Alabama A&M                 9-9   0.329  323  0.340

270 Weber St.                   8-12  0.329  270  0.418

271 Western Carolina            7-14  0.328  214  0.463

272 Bethune Cookman             8-10  0.328  276  0.414

273 Colgate                     8-12  0.323  295  0.390

274 La Salle                    5-13  0.323  117  0.537

275 Idaho St.                   8-12  0.321  310  0.368

276 Liberty                     7-12  0.320  155  0.505

277 Jacksonville               11-8   0.319  329  0.326

278 Rhode Island                4-13  0.318  131  0.522

279 Florida A&M                 5-11  0.308   94  0.555

280 Morgan St.                  7-11  0.305  277  0.411

281 Lafayette                   6-14  0.305  184  0.481

282 Long Island                 8-10  0.304  282  0.407

283 Alabama St.                 8-9   0.301  290  0.399

284 Sacramento St.              7-13  0.301  243  0.440

285 Quinnipiac                  7-10  0.300  313  0.365

286 MD Baltimore County         9-10  0.299  319  0.354

287 Coastal Carolina            6-13  0.297  248  0.434

288 Stony Brook                 7-12  0.297  262  0.422

289 Canisius                    6-13  0.296  245  0.436

290 Northern Colorado           5-16  0.292   96  0.551

291 Morehead St.                9-10  0.291  305  0.378

292 New Mexico St.              5-15  0.288  178  0.486

293 Charleston Southern         7-11  0.287  249  0.431

294 Louisiana Monroe            6-12  0.285  269  0.420

295 Hartford                    7-12  0.278  236  0.444

296 Southern                    8-10  0.277  326  0.334

297 Long Beach St.              3-16  0.274   77  0.569

298 Towson                      5-14  0.267  224  0.459

299 William & Mary              5-13  0.259  197  0.474

300 Jackson St.                 7-13  0.255  273  0.416

301 Cal Poly                    4-14  0.250  158  0.502

302 Nicholls St.                6-13  0.247  298  0.385

303 Texas Southern              5-11  0.238  314  0.360

304 James Madison               4-13  0.238  135  0.519

305 Mount St. Mary's            6-12  0.234  312  0.365

306 Dartmouth                   4-13  0.229  239  0.442

307 Tennessee Martin            4-15  0.226  188  0.479

308 IUPU Fort Wayne             4-16  0.222  150  0.507

309 Grambling                   6-9   0.216  324  0.336

310 North Dakota St.            8-11  0.214  333  0.278

311 Jacksonville St.            4-16  0.214  268  0.420

312 North Carolina A&T          4-15  0.209  215  0.463

313 Siena                       3-17  0.203  142  0.514

314 Navy                        6-14  0.203  320  0.353

315 Howard                      5-12  0.203  301  0.383

316 South Dakota St.            5-14  0.190  315  0.359

317 Elon                        2-19  0.189  133  0.520

318 Virginia Military Inst      5-12  0.187  327  0.331

319 Wagner                      3-15  0.177  238  0.442

320 Loyola MD                   3-16  0.176  241  0.441

321 Centenary                   2-17  0.169  127  0.529

322 Arkansas Pine Bluff         4-13  0.169  266  0.421

323 Alcorn St.                  5-15  0.154  307  0.376

324 Campbell                    2-16  0.146  130  0.522

325 Sacred Heart                2-15  0.142  247  0.435

326 Youngstown St.              3-16  0.139  274  0.416

327 Prairie View A&M            3-14  0.128  226  0.457

328 Army                        3-16  0.124  311  0.367

329 St. Bonaventure             1-17  0.120  161  0.498

330 Longwood                    1-21  0.103  227  0.456

331 Wild Card U.               14-288 0.076   91  0.560

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      1-17  0.049  281  0.408

333 Savannah St.                0-23  0.037  235  0.445







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.770

  2 Big East                          0.734

  3 Big Twelve                        0.734

  4 Southeastern                      0.720

  5 Big Ten                           0.715

  6 Pacific 10                        0.712

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.657

  8 West Coast                        0.641

  9 Conference USA                    0.627

 10 Mountain West                     0.622

 11 Mid-American                      0.593

 12 Western Athletic                  0.577

 13 Atlantic 10                       0.504

 14 Sun Belt                          0.503

 15 Big West                          0.492

 16 Colonial                          0.488

 17 Southern                          0.483

 18 Horizon                           0.469

 19 America East                      0.458

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.445

 21 Ivy League                        0.444

 22 Southland                         0.435

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.419

 24 Ohio Valley                       0.413

 25 Patriot                           0.408

 26 Big Sky                           0.384

 27 Atlantic Sun                      0.382

 28 Big South                         0.369

 29 Northeast                         0.327

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.316

 31 Independents                      0.286

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.246







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-31-05:



AIR FORCE 7 over UNLV, total 116

Utah 8 over BYU, total 125

BALL STATE 14 over Eastern Michigan, total 154

BETHUNE-COOKMAN 2 over Delaware St, total 125

COASTAL CAROLINA 2 over UNC Asheville, total 147

DAVIDSON 4 over Chattanooga, total 137

UNC Greensboro 10 over ELON, total 126

FLORIDA A&M 12 over Howard, total 158

FLORIDA ATLANTIC 3 over Belmont, total 141

FURMAN 16 over Western Carolina, total 142

GEORGE MASON 12 over Delaware, total 140

Miss Valley St 3 over GRAMBLING, total 148

HAMPTON 9 over Morgan St, total 133

HOFSTRA 22 over William & Mary, total 149

JACKSON ST 9 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 123

Gardner-Webb 3 over JACKSONVILLE, total 139

VCU 8 over JAMES MADISON, total 128

KANSAS 25 over Missouri, total 134

LONG ISLAND Pick 'em over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 143

South Carolina St 20 over MD-EASTERN SHORE, total 136

MERCER 8 over Troy, total 168

NEW MEXICO 12 over San Diego St, total 139

NORFOLK ST 3 over Coppin St, total 116

OLD DOMINION 10 over Drexel, total 127

PACIFIC 24 over UC Davis, total 138

PITTSBURGH 13 over Providence, total 147

Alabama A&M 6 over PRAIRIE VIEW A&M, total 133

Birmingham Southern Pick 'em over RADFORD, total 137

Monmouth 9 over SACRED HEART, total 130

Georgia So 28 over SAVANNAH ST, total 152

Oral Roberts 7 over SOUTHERN UTAH, total 151

ST. PETER'S 6 over Marist, total 154

STETSON 14 over Campbell, total 129

TX-PAN AMERICAN 13 over IPFW, total 139

TEXAS SOUTHERN 2 over Alabama St, total 124

THE CITADEL 5 over Wofford, total 135

Western Michigan 1 over TOLEDO, total 134

UNC Wilmington 7 over TOWSON, total 133

UCF 8 over Lipscomb, total 121

Sam Houston 4 over UL MONROE, total 137

Quinnipiac 1 over WAGNER, total 144

WINTHROP 21 over VMI, total 130

WIS-GREEN BAY 11 over Butler, total 135



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