BUG FIX: I found a bug which had teams playing Non-D1 teams getting unpredictable but on average way too much schedule strength for playing them. This bug is fixed as of January 30, 2002. This will drop most notably the Southern Conference but certain other schools in the rankings, effective immediately.
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2001-2002 season, after games of 2-3-02. Home court advantage is 0.632, or about 4.92 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.
1 Duke* 20-1 0.945 2 Cincinnati* 20-2 0.929 3 Kansas* 19-2 0.907 4 Oklahoma* 17-3 0.903 5 Maryland* 18-3 0.891 6 Florida* 16-4 0.885 7 Marquette* 19-3 0.877 8 Alabama* 19-3 0.876 9 Kentucky* 15-5 0.875 10 Ohio St.* 17-3 0.865 11 Gonzaga* 20-3 0.855 12 Indiana* 14-7 0.853 13 Xavier (OH)* 17-3 0.850 14 Arizona* 15-6 0.848 15 Oregon* 17-5 0.843 16 Georgia* 17-5 0.843 17 Butler* 20-3 0.838 18 Miami (FL)* 19-3 0.838 19 Oklahoma St.* 17-5 0.836 20 Western Kentucky* 20-3 0.835 21 Memphis* 19-4 0.832 22 Texas Tech* 16-4 0.832 23 Pittsburgh* 19-4 0.830 24 Stanford* 13-6 0.829 25 Illinois* 15-7 0.828 26 Southern California* 16-5 0.824 27 Wake Forest* 16-6 0.824 28 Connecticut* 14-5 0.816 29 Mississippi St.* 17-5 0.809 30 Charlotte* 14-6 0.808 31 Notre Dame* 15-6 0.807 32 Virginia* 14-5 0.804 33 Mississippi* 17-5 0.802 34 Utah* 16-3 0.799 35 North Carolina St.* 16-6 0.798 36 UCLA* 15-6 0.793 37 Texas* 14-7 0.793 38 Southern Illinois* 19-4 0.791 39 Kent St.* 16-5 0.790 40 Tulsa* 18-4 0.790 41 California* 15-5 0.787 42 Utah St.* 16-4 0.780 43 Dayton* 13-6 0.778 44 South Carolina* 13-8 0.777 45 Syracuse* 17-6 0.777 46 Iowa* 15-8 0.774 47 Missouri* 16-6 0.771 48 Pepperdine* 15-6 0.766 49 Brigham Young* 13-6 0.761 50 Hawaii* 19-3 0.755 51 Minnesota 13-7 0.753 52 Michigan St. 13-8 0.753 53 Arkansas 12-9 0.753 54 Georgetown 14-7 0.750 55 Valparaiso* 17-6 0.749 56 Ball St. 14-7 0.736 57 Bowling Green 16-4 0.733 58 Louisville 13-7 0.729 59 Tennessee Tech* 16-4 0.725 60 St. John's (NY) 14-7 0.723 61 South Florida 14-7 0.721 62 St. Bonaventure 13-7 0.721 63 Tennessee 11-10 0.714 64 Boston College 15-6 0.711 65 Wyoming 14-5 0.701 66 St. Joseph's (PA) 13-7 0.700 67 San Diego St. 13-8 0.699 68 Fresno St. 14-9 0.696 69 Pennsylvania* 15-5 0.696 70 NC Wilmington* 14-7 0.690 71 Creighton 14-6 0.689 72 Cal Irvine 16-6 0.688 73 College of Charleston* 16-5 0.685 74 Vanderbilt 13-8 0.683 75 Villanova 12-7 0.680 76 Manhattan* 16-4 0.678 77 Arizona St. 11-9 0.672 78 Cal Santa Barbara 12-8 0.672 79 Davidson 15-6 0.671 80 Northwestern 12-8 0.668 81 Wisconsin 12-11 0.668 82 New Mexico 13-7 0.661 83 UNLV 11-7 0.658 84 NC Greensboro 14-7 0.657 85 Louisiana Tech 13-7 0.656 86 Rutgers 14-7 0.654 87 Arkansas Little Rock 15-6 0.651 88 Pacific 14-6 0.650 89 LSU 12-9 0.649 90 Baylor 13-8 0.647 91 Providence 13-10 0.643 92 Colorado 12-7 0.640 93 Purdue 11-12 0.639 94 Ohio 12-6 0.638 95 Tulane 12-8 0.635 96 VA Commonwealth 15-7 0.631 97 Southern Methodist 11-9 0.627 98 Florida St. 10-10 0.622 99 East Tennessee St. 12-9 0.620 100 Marist 15-6 0.616 101 Seton Hall 11-10 0.612 102 Richmond 11-10 0.611 103 Temple 8-12 0.609 104 Central Connecticut* 16-4 0.609 105 Wright St. 13-8 0.607 106 Detroit 12-9 0.607 107 Auburn 9-11 0.607 108 Weber St.* 15-7 0.606 109 Chattanooga 13-10 0.599 110 Nebraska 10-9 0.596 111 Montana St. 14-7 0.593 112 New Mexico St. 15-8 0.593 113 Hampton* 16-5 0.593 114 Northern Iowa 12-8 0.592 115 Texas Pan American 17-7 0.591 116 Houston 11-10 0.589 117 Texas San Antonio* 13-6 0.589 118 Michigan 9-10 0.588 119 Massachusetts 9-10 0.587 120 Clemson 11-11 0.587 121 UAB 10-11 0.584 122 Princeton 9-7 0.583 123 Wisconsin Milwaukee 12-9 0.583 124 Troy St.* 13-7 0.581 125 Louisiana Lafayette 12-7 0.580 126 Nevada 12-9 0.579 127 McNeese St. 13-8 0.575 128 TCU 11-12 0.574 129 Loyola Chicago 12-8 0.573 130 Vermont* 16-5 0.571 131 Washington 8-13 0.569 132 Georgia Tech 9-13 0.569 133 Jacksonville 15-8 0.564 134 San Diego 11-10 0.564 135 The Citadel 13-8 0.563 136 Colorado St. 9-11 0.562 137 Cal Poly-SLO 12-7 0.556 138 Louisiana Monroe 14-8 0.556 139 Oakland 13-10 0.555 140 Kansas St. 9-10 0.555 141 George Mason 12-7 0.553 142 Oregon St. 10-11 0.550 143 Illinois Chicago 13-11 0.546 144 Georgia St. 13-8 0.545 145 Oral Roberts 12-11 0.545 146 Wichita St. 12-10 0.544 147 Brown 13-6 0.544 148 Wagner 13-6 0.540 149 Gardner Webb 12-8 0.538 150 St. Louis 9-13 0.538 151 Georgia Southern 12-9 0.536 152 Central Florida 12-8 0.534 153 San Francisco 11-10 0.533 154 Illinois St. 10-12 0.532 155 Sam Houston St. 11-10 0.530 156 Western Michigan 10-10 0.528 157 Drexel 11-10 0.527 158 George Washington 10-11 0.525 159 Rider 13-8 0.524 160 Florida Atlantic 12-8 0.524 161 SW Missouri St. 11-12 0.523 162 Samford 11-11 0.522 163 Arkansas St. 12-12 0.521 164 Delaware 10-11 0.519 165 Marshall 10-10 0.517 166 North Texas 11-10 0.516 167 La Salle 9-12 0.513 168 IUPUI 11-10 0.513 169 Murray St. 10-11 0.511 170 Boston University 13-9 0.508 171 Miami (OH) 8-12 0.507 172 North Carolina 6-13 0.505 173 James Madison 10-9 0.500 174 Austin Peay 12-12 0.500 175 Furman 11-10 0.495 176 Iowa St. 9-14 0.494 177 Eastern Illinois 13-10 0.493 178 Missouri Kansas City 12-8 0.492 179 Yale 13-7 0.492 180 Cal St. Northridge 8-11 0.489 181 Old Dominion 10-11 0.488 182 West Virginia 8-12 0.487 183 Middle Tennessee St. 11-11 0.487 184 DePaul 8-12 0.484 185 Wofford 10-12 0.483 186 Fordham 8-12 0.481 187 Buffalo 10-11 0.479 188 Tennessee Martin 12-10 0.479 189 Eastern Washington 10-11 0.476 190 Texas El Paso 9-14 0.475 191 Northern Arizona 10-10 0.474 192 Toledo 7-11 0.472 193 Cleveland St. 10-11 0.472 194 Texas A&M 9-13 0.469 195 Western Carolina 11-10 0.468 196 St. Francis (NY) 13-5 0.462 197 Morehead St. 11-8 0.462 198 Columbia 10-10 0.461 199 Lafayette* 11-10 0.459 200 Centenary 11-9 0.458 201 Holy Cross 11-12 0.458 202 Northern Illinois 9-10 0.453 203 American 12-9 0.452 204 Drake 10-11 0.451 205 Texas Arlington 11-8 0.451 206 East Carolina 8-13 0.447 207 Monmouth (NJ) 12-9 0.444 208 Central Michigan 6-11 0.444 209 MD Baltimore County 12-7 0.444 210 Belmont 9-11 0.443 211 Montana 10-11 0.441 212 Hofstra 10-12 0.440 213 Air Force 7-12 0.439 214 Radford* 10-14 0.438 215 Harvard 11-7 0.435 216 Colgate 12-9 0.432 217 Appalachian St. 8-13 0.431 218 Southern Mississippi 7-12 0.431 219 Santa Clara 9-12 0.430 220 Long Beach St. 8-14 0.429 221 William & Mary 7-12 0.428 222 Washington St. 5-14 0.425 223 Southern Utah 9-12 0.424 224 Alcorn St.* 11-7 0.423 225 Niagara 11-12 0.421 226 Winthrop 11-9 0.420 227 Virginia Tech 6-15 0.418 228 Rice 8-13 0.418 229 New Orleans 9-13 0.418 230 Bradley 7-13 0.417 231 Howard 11-9 0.412 232 Siena 10-13 0.409 233 Duquesne 6-14 0.407 234 Loyola Marymount 9-13 0.398 235 Boise St. 8-13 0.396 236 Northwestern St. 8-13 0.389 237 Stetson 9-11 0.384 238 Delaware St. 10-9 0.383 239 Western Illinois 10-11 0.382 240 Jacksonville St. 8-10 0.379 241 Portland St. 8-12 0.378 242 Akron 8-13 0.378 243 Penn St. 5-15 0.377 244 Tennessee St. 9-12 0.376 245 Iona 10-14 0.376 246 Florida International 10-14 0.375 247 Lamar 9-11 0.371 248 Rhode Island 6-13 0.371 249 VMI 7-14 0.370 250 Alabama A&M 10-7 0.369 251 St. Mary's (CA) 6-15 0.365 252 Stephen F. Austin 9-10 0.365 253 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 8-13 0.360 254 Alabama St. 13-8 0.355 255 Cal Riverside 6-13 0.352 256 South Carolina St. 10-12 0.348 257 Idaho St. 9-11 0.345 258 NC Asheville 10-12 0.344 259 Elon 10-11 0.344 260 Navy 9-14 0.343 261 Indiana St. 4-16 0.334 262 Maine 9-11 0.324 263 Fairfield 6-13 0.324 264 SW Texas St. 6-14 0.323 265 Quinnipiac 7-12 0.319 266 Wisconsin Green Bay 5-14 0.315 267 San Jose St. 8-15 0.308 268 Army 10-11 0.305 269 Portland 5-17 0.299 270 Bucknell 8-13 0.298 271 High Point 8-13 0.296 272 South Alabama 5-15 0.295 273 Denver 5-15 0.292 274 Birmingham Southern 10-11 0.288 275 Norfolk St. 7-14 0.287 276 Cal St. Sacramento 8-13 0.284 277 Charleston Southern 7-14 0.279 278 MD Eastern Shore 8-12 0.276 279 Eastern Kentucky 6-14 0.276 280 Idaho 7-13 0.274 281 North Carolina A&T 7-13 0.273 282 SE Louisiana 6-14 0.264 283 Evansville 4-16 0.261 284 Florida A&M 5-14 0.259 285 Grambling 7-12 0.259 286 Hartford 9-14 0.258 287 Canisius 6-14 0.255 288 Dartmouth 7-12 0.253 289 Robert Morris 8-13 0.253 290 St. Francis (PA) 5-14 0.251 291 New Hampshire 8-13 0.250 292 Mississippi Valley St. 8-12 0.247 293 Cal St. Fullerton 4-16 0.245 294 Campbell 6-15 0.243 295 Bethune Cookman 7-12 0.238 296 Coastal Carolina 6-14 0.235 297 Sacred Heart 5-14 0.227 298 Towson 6-15 0.219 299 Lipscomb 6-16 0.217 300 Northeastern 5-17 0.216 301 Lehigh 4-17 0.215 302 Jackson St. 5-14 0.213 303 Binghamton 7-15 0.211 304 Youngstown St. 3-17 0.207 305 Cornell 3-16 0.204 306 Albany (NY) 6-14 0.202 307 Eastern Michigan 5-17 0.201 308 IUPU Ft. Wayne 3-17 0.198 309 Mercer 3-19 0.195 310 SE Missouri St. 3-18 0.193 311 St. Peter's 3-17 0.187 312 Texas Southern 4-13 0.180 313 Prairie View A&M 6-14 0.178 314 Stony Brook 3-18 0.138 315 Chicago St. 2-19 0.137 316 Fairleigh Dickinson 3-18 0.129 317 Southern 3-16 0.122 318 Loyola (MD) 3-18 0.117 319 Morgan St. 1-18 0.117 320 Coppin St. 3-19 0.115 321 Liberty 3-20 0.090 322 Long Island 2-17 0.089 323 Wild Card U. 17-242 0.088 324 Morris Brown 2-21 0.085 325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 1-19 0.084 326 Mount St. Mary's 2-17 0.082 327 Savannah St. 2-19 0.078 328 Nicholls St. 1-19 0.077
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences: 9 Atlantic 10 0.596 2 Atlantic Coast 0.727 31 America East 0.298 22 Atlantic Sun 0.447 4 Big Ten 0.706 5 Big Twelve 0.704 6 Big East 0.696 21 Big Sky 0.450 29 Big South 0.304 15 Big West 0.514 18 Colonial 0.500 8 Conference USA 0.656 13 Horizon 0.527 28 Independents 0.316 20 Ivy League 0.458 25 Metro Atlantic 0.391 12 Mid-American 0.529 19 Mid-Continent 0.475 30 Mideastern Athletic 0.300 16 Missouri Valley 0.513 7 Mountain West 0.660 27 Northeast 0.321 23 Ohio Valley 0.446 3 Pacific 10 0.714 26 Patriot 0.370 17 Sun Belt 0.506 1 Southeastern 0.773 24 Southland 0.408 11 Southern 0.548 32 Southwestern Athletic 0.243 10 Western Athletic 0.570 14 West Coast 0.526
ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-4-02: San Diego St 4 over AIR FORCE, total 125 Alabama St 10 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 127 AUSTIN PEAY 6 over Morehead St, total 136 BYU 12 over Colorado St, total 133 BELMONT 8 over Jacksonville St, total 146 CENTRAL MICH 2 over Western Mich, total 146 DELAWARE ST 9 over North Carolina A&T, total 128 ELON 2 over Winthrop, total 139 Monmouth 10 over FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON, total 138 FLORIDA A&M 4 over MD-East Shore, total 143 FLORIDA ATL 19 over Mercer, total 143 GEORGIA SO 7 over Furman, total 147 Alcorn St 2 over GRAMBLING, total 160 HAMPTON 26 over Coppin St, total 139 HIGH POINT 5 over Birmingham Southern, total 132 HOWARD 8 over South Carolina St, total 155 JACKSON ST 12 over Southern U, total 157 JACKSONVILLE 17 over Campbell, total 139 JAMES MADISON 7 over William & Mary, total 132 Kansas 15 over KANSAS ST, total 152 KENT ST 8 over Bowling Green, total 146 Charleston So 7 over LIBERTY, total 138 Wagner 21 over LONG ISLAND, total 170 LOYOLA-CHICAGO 5 over Wis-Milwaukee, total 150 MEMPHIS 15 over Tulane, total 147 MIDDLE TENN ST 1 over TX-Pan American, total 138 Alabama A&M Pick 'em over MISS VALLEY ST, total 149 UL-Lafayette 1 over NEW ORLEANS, total 141 NORFOLK ST 16 over Morgan St, total 149 OLD DOMINION 14 over Towson, total 128 RADFORD 14 over Coastal Carolina, total 148 Central Conn 8 over ROBERT MORRIS, total 127 SACRED HEART 16 over Mt St. Mary's, total 144 SAM HOUSTON 11 over Northwestern St, total 155 ST. FRANCIS-NY 6 over UMBC, total 161 ST. FRANCIS-PA 2 over Quinnipiac, total 141 Georgia St 1 over STETSON, total 159 SYRACUSE 18 over West Virginia, total 156 TX-San Antonio Pick 'em over TX-ARLINGTON, total 164 Murray St Pick 'em over TENNESSEE ST, total 153 TENNESSEE TECH 23 over Eastern Ky, total 147 THE CITADEL Pick 'em over Coll of Charleston, total 126 UCF 3 over Troy St, total 155 UNC WILMINGTON 11 over Drexel, total 141 UTAH 10 over Wyoming, total 147 VCU 13 over Hofstra, total 153 VMI 3 over Appalachian St, total 166 East Tenn St 1 over WESTERN CAR, total 156 WOFFORD 1 over Chattanooga, total 135 Illinois-Chi 10 over YOUNGSTOWN ST, total 151
Click here to send me feedback