ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 2-13-05. Home court advantage is 0.631, or about 4.84 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  25-0   0.952   42  0.618

  2 Kansas*                    20-1   0.943    2  0.697

  3 North Carolina*            20-3   0.934    7  0.680

  4 Oklahoma St.*              19-3   0.919   16  0.655

  5 Duke*                      18-3   0.913   15  0.658

  6 Kentucky*                  19-2   0.912   54  0.605

  7 Wake Forest*               21-3   0.906    5  0.688

  8 Boston College*            20-1   0.891   74  0.591

  9 Washington*                20-4   0.874   38  0.620

 10 Michigan St.*              17-4   0.873   70  0.596

 11 Syracuse*                  22-3   0.867   87  0.575

 12 Louisville*                21-4   0.867  151  0.509

 13 Arizona*                   21-4   0.865   19  0.643

 14 Alabama*                   19-4   0.863   47  0.612

 15 Oklahoma*                  17-6   0.849   26  0.640

 16 Utah*                      21-3   0.843  172  0.487

 17 Wisconsin*                 16-6   0.840   11  0.666

 18 Gonzaga*                   19-4   0.835   43  0.616

 19 Cincinnati*                18-6   0.834   55  0.604

 20 Florida*                   15-6   0.834   67  0.597

 21 Connecticut*               15-6   0.827   39  0.620

 22 Villanova*                 14-6   0.825   29  0.636

 23 Texas Tech*                15-6   0.825   52  0.607

 24 Pacific*                   20-2   0.818  156  0.504

 25 Mississippi St.*           18-6   0.810   62  0.603

 26 Pittsburgh*                17-4   0.809  145  0.515

 27 Wichita St.*               18-4   0.804   83  0.580

 28 Georgia Tech*              14-8   0.801   25  0.640

 29 Vermont*                   18-4   0.797  175  0.485

 30 Southern Illinois*         20-6   0.794   77  0.587

 31 Maryland*                  15-7   0.794   32  0.632

 32 Iowa*                      16-7   0.794   31  0.633

 33 Texas*                     16-7   0.793   51  0.608

 34 Charlotte*                 17-4   0.787   98  0.561

 35 Old Dominion*              23-3   0.786  252  0.422

 36 Arkansas*                  17-7   0.786  112  0.539

 37 Nevada*                    18-5   0.774  120  0.533

 38 Utah St.*                  18-6   0.767  213  0.457

 39 Ohio St.*                  17-8   0.767   82  0.582

 40 Georgetown*                16-6   0.766   61  0.603

 41 DePaul*                    16-5   0.765   95  0.567

 42 George Washington*         15-5   0.762  142  0.518

 43 Boston University*         18-5   0.762  190  0.470

 44 Minnesota*                 16-8   0.757   65  0.599

 45 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       19-5   0.754  205  0.459

 46 South Carolina*            13-8   0.752   33  0.630

 47 Notre Dame*                14-7   0.749   57  0.604

 48 UAB*                       16-7   0.748   81  0.582

 49 Holy Cross*                19-5   0.747  216  0.454

 50 North Carolina St.*        14-10  0.746   34  0.629

 51 Vanderbilt*                14-10  0.741   35  0.626

 52 Southwest Missouri St.     14-8   0.740   76  0.588

 53 Northern Iowa              17-8   0.739   92  0.570

 54 Texas A&M                  15-6   0.737  204  0.460

 55 Miami FL                   15-7   0.733   50  0.610

 56 St. Mary's                 20-7   0.732  136  0.522

 57 Stanford                   13-9   0.732    8  0.674

 58 Miami OH*                  15-6   0.728   88  0.572

 59 Iowa St.                   13-8   0.724   41  0.618

 60 Texas El Paso              19-6   0.723  211  0.457

 61 Louisiana St.              13-8   0.721   22  0.642

 62 UCLA                       13-8   0.721   14  0.658

 63 West Virginia              14-8   0.713   64  0.602

 64 Virginia                   13-9   0.713    6  0.684

 65 Air Force                  15-8   0.712  138  0.521

 66 Arizona St.                16-9   0.712   79  0.584

 67 Oral Roberts*              19-5   0.710  253  0.420

 68 Memphis                    15-10  0.703   78  0.586

 69 Indiana                    11-10  0.701    3  0.696

 70 Western Michigan           16-8   0.700  123  0.531

 71 New Mexico                 17-6   0.700  242  0.432

 72 Temple                     11-10  0.698   23  0.642

 73 Western Kentucky*          18-5   0.697  191  0.470

 74 Creighton                  15-10  0.692   66  0.598

 75 Clemson                    11-12  0.690   17  0.654

 76 Saint Joseph's             12-9   0.686   56  0.604

 77 Nebraska                   11-10  0.685   72  0.592

 78 Oregon                     12-9   0.683   30  0.634

 79 Marquette                  17-7   0.681  118  0.535

 80 Akron                      13-7   0.679  152  0.509

 81 Colorado                   12-10  0.679    4  0.695

 82 Davidson*                  17-7   0.678  177  0.483

 83 Buffalo                    15-7   0.673  100  0.555

 84 Washington St.             10-12  0.673    1  0.704

 85 Kent St.                   16-8   0.672  113  0.539

 86 Providence                 11-13  0.670   20  0.643

 87 Houston                    15-10  0.668   53  0.605

 88 Pennsylvania*              14-7   0.666  166  0.493

 89 Louisiana Lafayette        15-8   0.663   94  0.568

 90 Texas Christian            16-9   0.660  114  0.539

 91 Illinois St.               16-8   0.656  129  0.525

 92 Kansas St.                 13-8   0.655  110  0.543

 93 Ohio                       13-8   0.652  117  0.536

 94 Hawaii                     13-7   0.651  130  0.525

 95 Bowling Green              14-7   0.651  139  0.520

 96 Denver                     15-8   0.647  169  0.489

 97 California                 12-10  0.642   44  0.614

 98 Bucknell                   17-7   0.641  222  0.449

 99 Wyoming                    14-8   0.639   96  0.564

100 Winthrop*                  20-5   0.639  313  0.358

101 Louisiana Tech             13-9   0.637   86  0.576

102 Rice                       13-8   0.636  149  0.510

103 Mississippi                12-12  0.636   59  0.603

104 Toledo                     12-10  0.631   75  0.590

105 Drexel                     13-9   0.631  132  0.524

106 Bradley                    12-10  0.630   45  0.613

107 Florida St.                11-13  0.629   27  0.637

108 Tennessee                  11-13  0.627   18  0.647

109 Oregon St.                 14-9   0.625   93  0.568

110 Xavier                     12-9   0.625  125  0.531

111 Missouri                   11-13  0.624   10  0.670

112 Hofstra                    16-7   0.623  223  0.449

113 Ball St.                   12-9   0.622  105  0.549

114 Seton Hall                 11-10  0.620   84  0.579

115 Portland                   15-11  0.617  107  0.546

116 Chattanooga                14-8   0.617  257  0.418

117 Auburn                     12-11  0.617   37  0.622

118 Michigan                   12-13  0.614   21  0.642

119 Virginia Tech              12-10  0.613   85  0.579

120 Dayton                     14-8   0.612  160  0.499

121 San Francisco              13-10  0.612   90  0.571

122 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     17-6   0.612  299  0.374

123 Virginia Commonwealth      13-10  0.609  127  0.529

124 Nevada Las Vegas           11-11  0.606   68  0.597

125 Furman                     14-9   0.605  256  0.418

126 Southern Methodist         11-10  0.603  104  0.550

127 Northwestern               11-12  0.598   24  0.640

128 Southern California        10-14  0.598   12  0.666

129 Niagara*                   16-7   0.598  267  0.412

130 San Diego                  13-10  0.591  153  0.508

131 Southeastern Louisiana*    17-7   0.590  320  0.348

132 Santa Clara                13-12  0.588   99  0.560

133 College of Charleston      15-7   0.580  231  0.439

134 Northeastern               15-8   0.579  184  0.473

135 Richmond                   11-11  0.575   40  0.619

136 Fresno St.                 13-9   0.573  157  0.504

137 Pepperdine                 14-12  0.571  109  0.543

138 Cal St. Northridge         13-10  0.569  171  0.488

139 Arkansas Little Rock       15-8   0.569  178  0.480

140 George Mason               14-9   0.568  234  0.438

141 Rutgers                     8-13  0.565   13  0.660

142 Cal St. Fullerton          13-8   0.564  220  0.450

143 Middle Tennessee           15-10  0.564  232  0.439

144 NC Wilmington              15-8   0.562  195  0.466

145 Lamar                      15-7   0.561  308  0.362

146 Northern Illinois           9-13  0.559   63  0.602

147 Sam Houston St.            13-8   0.559  271  0.409

148 Princeton                  11-10  0.557  126  0.529

149 Wisconsin Green Bay        16-7   0.555  192  0.469

150 Georgia Southern           15-9   0.547  259  0.416

151 St. John's                  8-13  0.542   36  0.623

152 Massachusetts              12-9   0.541  116  0.537

153 Illinois Chicago           12-10  0.540  161  0.499

154 Eastern Kentucky*          15-8   0.539  285  0.389

155 Purdue                      6-15  0.539    9  0.673

156 Loyola Marymount           11-13  0.534   80  0.583

157 Murray St.                 13-9   0.531  268  0.410

158 Arkansas St.               13-10  0.529  247  0.429

159 Evansville                 10-12  0.527   91  0.570

160 Appalachian St.            13-9   0.527  246  0.429

161 IUPUI                      13-10  0.524  208  0.459

162 Northwestern St.           14-11  0.521  214  0.457

163 American                   13-10  0.519  203  0.462

164 Drake                       8-14  0.517   28  0.636

165 Rider                      14-9   0.516  254  0.418

166 Portland St.*              17-6   0.515  328  0.316

167 Tennessee Tech             13-10  0.508  264  0.414

168 Missouri Kansas City       12-9   0.507  196  0.465

169 Fairfield                  12-11  0.507  180  0.475

170 San Diego St.              10-12  0.506  119  0.534

171 Manhattan                  12-11  0.506  200  0.463

172 South Florida              10-12  0.505  165  0.495

173 Samford                    14-9   0.503  284  0.389

174 Colorado St.                9-13  0.502  141  0.519

175 Gardner Webb*              14-9   0.499  294  0.378

176 Cal Irvine                 11-10  0.496  189  0.471

177 Albany                     12-11  0.494  243  0.430

178 Wright St.                 11-13  0.489  131  0.525

179 Indiana St.                 9-16  0.489   60  0.603

180 Valparaiso                 12-12  0.488  121  0.533

181 North Texas                11-11  0.483  167  0.492

182 South Carolina St.*        13-9   0.483  303  0.368

183 Texas San Antonio          11-10  0.482  229  0.444

184 Brigham Young               8-16  0.481   89  0.571

185 Southeast Missouri St.     13-10  0.481  282  0.392

186 Central Florida            16-8   0.480  319  0.350

187 Fordham                    10-12  0.475  140  0.519

188 St. Peter's                11-11  0.471  217  0.454

189 Fairleigh Dickinson*       14-10  0.469  298  0.376

190 Eastern Michigan           11-12  0.468  194  0.468

191 NC Greensboro              13-10  0.468  212  0.457

192 Butler                     10-13  0.460  239  0.433

193 Wofford                    10-12  0.460  235  0.437

194 Oakland                     7-15  0.455   73  0.592

195 Detroit                     9-14  0.451  135  0.522

196 Montana                    12-11  0.449  225  0.447

197 Birmingham Southern        12-11  0.447  269  0.410

198 Monmouth                   12-10  0.444  263  0.415

199 Georgia St.                12-12  0.443  193  0.469

200 Tennessee St.              11-15  0.442  144  0.517

201 Baylor                      9-12  0.442  162  0.499

202 Georgia                     7-14  0.439   46  0.613

203 Stephen F. Austin          11-9   0.439  324  0.334

204 Coppin St.                 10-12  0.438  103  0.551

205 Iona                       11-13  0.438  188  0.471

206 Montana St.                13-10  0.435  283  0.390

207 New Orleans                11-13  0.435  164  0.497

208 Belmont                    11-13  0.432  210  0.458

209 East Carolina               7-16  0.431   48  0.612

210 Penn St.                    7-16  0.430   69  0.596

211 Austin Peay                 9-15  0.429  122  0.531

212 Tulsa                       6-15  0.425  102  0.554

213 Hampton                    11-11  0.415  266  0.412

214 Cal Santa Barbara           8-13  0.414  128  0.526

215 Cleveland St.               9-12  0.409  202  0.462

216 Yale                        7-12  0.409  111  0.541

217 Brown                       9-11  0.407  224  0.448

218 Delaware St.               11-12  0.407  218  0.451

219 Binghamton                  9-14  0.406  155  0.505

220 Lehigh                     13-11  0.404  302  0.370

221 Harvard                     9-12  0.404  185  0.473

222 Utah Valley St.            11-11  0.402  288  0.387

223 St. Francis PA             13-10  0.401  290  0.384

224 Maine                      11-12  0.400  262  0.415

225 Florida Atlantic            9-14  0.398  206  0.459

226 St. Louis                   6-17  0.397   58  0.604

227 Southern Mississippi       10-13  0.397  241  0.432

228 Mercer                     13-10  0.395  322  0.343

229 High Point                 11-14  0.394  301  0.370

230 Texas Pan American         11-12  0.394  236  0.437

231 Loyola Chicago              8-16  0.392  147  0.513

232 Delaware                   10-15  0.388  181  0.475

233 The Citadel                12-10  0.386  316  0.352

234 Columbia                   12-9   0.385  323  0.338

235 Florida International       8-14  0.384  148  0.512

236 Texas St.                  11-11  0.383  286  0.389

237 Marist                     10-13  0.382  219  0.451

238 Marshall                    5-17  0.382   49  0.611

239 Northern Arizona           10-14  0.381  273  0.407

240 Eastern Illinois           10-13  0.379  197  0.465

241 Boise St.                  10-14  0.377  182  0.474

242 Tulane                      9-13  0.377  183  0.474

243 Cornell                    10-11  0.375  272  0.407

244 Norfolk St.                10-11  0.374  291  0.379

245 Robert Morris              10-13  0.373  255  0.418

246 Southern Utah              12-12  0.371  277  0.397

247 Texas Arlington            10-11  0.371  249  0.424

248 NC Asheville                9-14  0.369  176  0.484

249 San Jose St.                6-15  0.368   71  0.596

250 Troy                       10-15  0.365  221  0.450

251 Cal Riverside               8-14  0.364  199  0.464

252 Western Illinois            7-15  0.360  168  0.491

253 Mississippi Valley St.*     9-12  0.359  279  0.394

254 La Salle                    7-15  0.356  108  0.544

255 Lipscomb                   12-11  0.356  309  0.362

256 McNeese St.                 8-13  0.355  276  0.398

257 Colgate                    11-13  0.352  287  0.388

258 Chicago St.                 6-16  0.349  101  0.555

259 South Alabama               7-15  0.346  146  0.513

260 Idaho                       8-16  0.345  207  0.459

261 Cal Davis                  10-14  0.343  244  0.430

262 Central Connecticut         9-12  0.342  278  0.395

263 East Tennessee St.          7-16  0.341  215  0.455

264 Weber St.                  10-14  0.339  265  0.414

265 Alabama A&M                12-10  0.338  329  0.314

266 St. Francis NY              9-12  0.335  306  0.365

267 Liberty                    10-13  0.329  201  0.462

268 Western Carolina            8-17  0.329  186  0.471

269 Jacksonville               14-10  0.324  325  0.331

270 Duquesne                    6-17  0.323  115  0.538

271 Stetson                    10-14  0.323  240  0.432

272 Central Michigan            7-15  0.321  137  0.521

273 Eastern Washington          7-16  0.318  150  0.510

274 Radford                    10-12  0.318  315  0.353

275 Stony Brook                 9-14  0.315  238  0.433

276 Canisius                    8-15  0.309  251  0.422

277 Sacramento St.              9-15  0.304  258  0.417

278 Coastal Carolina            9-15  0.304  289  0.387

279 Long Beach St.              5-18  0.302   97  0.564

280 New Hampshire               7-16  0.301  209  0.459

281 Alabama St.                11-10  0.300  317  0.351

282 Idaho St.                   9-15  0.297  305  0.367

283 Morgan St.                 10-13  0.295  300  0.372

284 Southern                   11-10  0.286  331  0.303

285 Bethune Cookman            10-12  0.283  314  0.358

286 Rhode Island                4-17  0.283  124  0.531

287 Northern Colorado           6-18  0.280  133  0.522

288 Lafayette                   7-17  0.278  198  0.464

289 Florida A&M                 8-13  0.278  230  0.440

290 Long Island                10-13  0.275  296  0.378

291 Quinnipiac                  9-13  0.275  321  0.348

292 Louisiana Monroe            7-14  0.274  261  0.415

293 Morehead St.               10-13  0.272  275  0.399

294 Wagner                      8-15  0.266  281  0.392

295 MD Baltimore County         9-14  0.266  295  0.378

296 Jackson St.                10-14  0.265  304  0.367

297 Charleston Southern         9-13  0.261  292  0.379

298 New Mexico St.              5-19  0.258  179  0.479

299 Dartmouth                   6-15  0.252  226  0.447

300 Towson                      5-19  0.248  174  0.486

301 Elon                        5-20  0.245  158  0.502

302 Grambling                   9-10  0.238  330  0.308

303 Nicholls St.                6-16  0.234  280  0.394

304 Jacksonville St.            7-18  0.228  293  0.379

305 North Dakota St.           13-11  0.228  333  0.207

306 Hartford                    7-16  0.226  227  0.444

307 IUPU Fort Wayne             5-19  0.225  154  0.506

308 William & Mary              5-18  0.224  173  0.487

309 Navy                        7-17  0.211  310  0.359

310 Cal Poly                    4-17  0.209  170  0.488

311 Tennessee Martin            5-18  0.209  233  0.438

312 Loyola MD                   6-17  0.208  270  0.410

313 James Madison               4-18  0.206  143  0.518

314 Siena                       4-20  0.206  159  0.500

315 Mount St. Mary's            6-15  0.196  311  0.359

316 Texas Southern              5-14  0.183  326  0.326

317 Centenary                   3-20  0.181  134  0.522

318 Virginia Military Inst      6-16  0.174  327  0.326

319 Arkansas Pine Bluff         5-16  0.174  274  0.403

320 South Dakota St.            7-15  0.173  332  0.297

321 North Carolina A&T          4-19  0.167  245  0.429

322 Howard                      5-16  0.166  307  0.364

323 Youngstown St.              4-19  0.154  228  0.444

324 Sacred Heart                3-18  0.154  250  0.423

325 St. Bonaventure             2-20  0.130  163  0.497

326 Prairie View A&M            4-16  0.130  248  0.428

327 Alcorn St.                  5-18  0.123  318  0.350

328 Campbell                    2-21  0.120  187  0.471

329 Army                        3-20  0.107  312  0.358

330 Longwood                    1-25  0.076  260  0.416

331 Wild Card U.               15-299 0.071  106  0.549

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      2-19  0.058  297  0.376

333 Savannah St.                0-27  0.033  237  0.435







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.770

  2 Big Twelve                        0.740

  3 Big East                          0.737

  4 Southeastern                      0.728

  5 Big Ten                           0.715

  6 Pacific 10                        0.712

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.659

  8 West Coast                        0.635

  9 Conference USA                    0.630

 10 Mountain West                     0.624

 11 Mid-American                      0.595

 12 Western Athletic                  0.577

 13 Sun Belt                          0.507

 14 Atlantic 10                       0.505

 15 Big West                          0.485

 16 Colonial                          0.485

 17 Southern                          0.482

 18 Horizon                           0.467

 19 America East                      0.455

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.438

 21 Southland                         0.433

 22 Ivy League                        0.432

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.414

 24 Ohio Valley                       0.411

 25 Patriot                           0.407

 26 Big Sky                           0.380

 27 Atlantic Sun                      0.376

 28 Big South                         0.360

 29 Northeast                         0.321

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.306

 31 Independents                      0.277

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.240







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-14-05:



AKRON 7 over Toledo, total 136

APPALACHIAN ST 2 over Furman, total 139

ARK-PINE BLUFF 8 over Alcorn St, total 125

BYU 4 over Colorado St, total 141

Valparaiso 8 over CENTENARY, total 139

CHATTANOOGA 10 over UNC Greensboro, total 137

COLL OF CHARLESTON 1 over Davidson, total 133

COLORADO 26 over South Dakota St, total 139

COPPIN ST 17 over Howard, total 139

DREXEL 7 over UNC Wilmington, total 125

EAST TENN ST 6 over Western Carolina, total 156

Wofford 3 over ELON, total 123

Arkansas St Pick 'em over FLORIDA INTL, total 142

GEORGIA SO 11 over The Citadel, total 145

GRAMBLING 8 over Texas Southern, total 147

HAMPTON 2 over South Carolina St, total 133

HIGH POINT 10 over Charleston Southern, total 133

ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 4 over Wis-Green Bay, total 140

JACKSON ST 12 over Prairie View A&M, total 134

LIBERTY 6 over Coastal Carolina, total 146

UMKC 19 over LONGWOOD, total 148

Bethune-Cookman 12 over MD-EASTERN SHORE, total 141

MISS VALLEY ST 8 over Southern U, total 138

MORGAN ST Pick 'em over Delaware St, total 125

Central Connecticut 2 over MT ST. MARY'S, total 129

NEW MEXICO 4 over Air Force, total 112

NORFOLK ST 14 over North Carolina A&T, total 129

RADFORD 12 over VMI, total 143

Florida A&M 18 over SAVANNAH ST, total 150

STEPHEN F. AUSTIN Pick 'em over Sam Houston, total 125

SYRACUSE 9 over Pittsburgh, total 148

Kansas 7 over TEXAS TECH, total 153

UNC ASHEVILLE 2 over Birmingham Southern, total 138

UTAH 14 over Wyoming, total 133

VCU 7 over George Mason, total 141



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