ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 2-20-05. Home court advantage is 0.634, or about 4.85 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  27-0   0.956   38  0.630

  2 North Carolina*            22-3   0.938    9  0.674

  3 Oklahoma St.*              20-3   0.926   19  0.659

  4 Kansas*                    20-3   0.922    3  0.710

  5 Duke*                      19-4   0.907   10  0.674

  6 Wake Forest*               22-4   0.905    1  0.713

  7 Kentucky*                  20-3   0.903   43  0.626

  8 Boston College*            22-1   0.895   79  0.596

  9 Michigan St.*              19-4   0.886   58  0.608

 10 Washington*                21-4   0.881   42  0.626

 11 Louisville*                23-4   0.875  142  0.515

 12 Alabama*                   21-4   0.874   51  0.619

 13 Arizona*                   23-4   0.871   37  0.631

 14 Oklahoma*                  19-6   0.862   25  0.647

 15 Utah*                      23-3   0.852  163  0.496

 16 Villanova*                 17-6   0.850   31  0.637

 17 Syracuse*                  22-5   0.849   70  0.601

 18 Wisconsin*                 17-6   0.848   18  0.660

 19 Connecticut*               17-6   0.847   30  0.637

 20 Cincinnati*                20-6   0.844   72  0.600

 21 Gonzaga*                   21-4   0.836   62  0.605

 22 Florida*                   16-7   0.832   69  0.601

 23 Texas Tech*                16-7   0.827   28  0.643

 24 Pacific*                   22-2   0.824  164  0.494

 25 Pittsburgh*                18-5   0.815  103  0.558

 26 Texas*                     18-7   0.814   59  0.607

 27 Southern Illinois*         22-6   0.813   67  0.601

 28 Georgia Tech*              15-8   0.807   29  0.643

 29 Charlotte*                 19-4   0.806   91  0.571

 30 Maryland*                  16-8   0.795   22  0.655

 31 Vermont*                   19-5   0.792  150  0.509

 32 Mississippi St.*           18-8   0.789   44  0.624

 33 Nevada*                    20-5   0.782  127  0.525

 34 Iowa*                      16-9   0.781   24  0.655

 35 Ohio St.*                  18-9   0.777   68  0.601

 36 Arkansas*                  17-9   0.774   90  0.574

 37 Wichita St.*               18-6   0.774   81  0.595

 38 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       21-5   0.773  186  0.474

 39 Old Dominion*              24-4   0.772  235  0.433

 40 Vanderbilt*                16-10  0.771   34  0.634

 41 Notre Dame*                16-7   0.768   54  0.615

 42 Utah St.*                  19-7   0.765  193  0.467

 43 George Washington*         17-5   0.765  162  0.497

 44 North Carolina St.*        15-10  0.763   35  0.634

 45 South Carolina*            14-9   0.760   21  0.655

 46 Minnesota*                 17-9   0.759   47  0.622

 47 Iowa St.*                  15-8   0.758   32  0.636

 48 Holy Cross*                20-5   0.755  212  0.452

 49 Louisiana St.*             15-8   0.754   15  0.661

 50 DePaul*                    16-7   0.749   78  0.597

 51 Northern Iowa*             19-8   0.748   94  0.567

 52 Stanford                   15-9   0.744   13  0.663

 53 Georgetown                 16-8   0.744   50  0.621

 54 Texas A&M                  16-7   0.738  165  0.494

 55 Miami OH*                  17-6   0.737   97  0.563

 56 Oral Roberts*              21-5   0.736  231  0.437

 57 Boston University          19-6   0.732  204  0.459

 58 West Virginia              16-8   0.731   60  0.606

 59 UCLA                       14-9   0.731   11  0.673

 60 St. Mary's                 22-7   0.730  152  0.507

 61 UAB                        16-9   0.724   85  0.589

 62 Creighton                  17-10  0.723   71  0.600

 63 Arizona St.                18-9   0.721   88  0.579

 64 Texas El Paso              20-7   0.717  191  0.469

 65 Miami FL                   15-9   0.716   39  0.630

 66 New Mexico                 19-6   0.715  242  0.428

 67 Temple                     13-10  0.713   33  0.636

 68 Southwest Missouri St.     14-10  0.713   80  0.595

 69 Akron                      16-7   0.712  141  0.517

 70 Indiana                    12-11  0.712    2  0.711

 71 Memphis                    16-10  0.710   87  0.582

 72 Virginia                   13-11  0.702    4  0.705

 73 Buffalo                    17-7   0.696   98  0.561

 74 Clemson                    12-13  0.694   12  0.667

 75 Western Kentucky*          19-6   0.689  190  0.470

 76 Saint Joseph's             14-9   0.688   92  0.571

 77 Air Force                  15-10  0.687  116  0.539

 78 Houston                    17-10  0.687   76  0.597

 79 Louisiana Lafayette        17-8   0.687  106  0.551

 80 Davidson*                  18-7   0.685  173  0.485

 81 Marquette                  18-8   0.681  114  0.542

 82 Western Michigan           16-10  0.677  109  0.549

 83 Oregon                     12-11  0.668   16  0.661

 84 Illinois St.               17-9   0.662  115  0.540

 85 Bowling Green              16-7   0.660  145  0.512

 86 Nebraska                   11-12  0.658   63  0.604

 87 Denver                     16-9   0.658  157  0.500

 88 Pennsylvania*              15-8   0.657  160  0.497

 89 Colorado                   13-11  0.655   14  0.663

 90 Washington St.             10-13  0.653    5  0.702

 91 Texas Christian            16-10  0.652  107  0.550

 92 Providence                 11-15  0.652   26  0.646

 93 Kent St.                   16-10  0.651  104  0.557

 94 Winthrop*                  22-5   0.650  309  0.355

 95 Virginia Tech              14-10  0.649   82  0.591

 96 Toledo                     13-11  0.641   75  0.598

 97 Ohio                       14-9   0.641  112  0.545

 98 Kansas St.                 13-10  0.640   96  0.566

 99 Hofstra                    18-7   0.640  224  0.442

100 Missouri                   13-13  0.639   17  0.661

101 Hawaii                     14-8   0.633  146  0.512

102 Drexel                     14-10  0.628  126  0.529

103 San Francisco              14-11  0.628   83  0.590

104 Tennessee                  11-14  0.625   23  0.655

105 Mississippi                13-13  0.624   55  0.613

106 Bucknell                   18-8   0.624  203  0.461

107 Dayton                     15-8   0.623  155  0.501

108 Wyoming                    14-10  0.622   89  0.578

109 Oregon St.                 14-11  0.621   73  0.599

110 Northeastern               17-8   0.620  182  0.477

111 Nevada Las Vegas           12-11  0.619   74  0.599

112 Southern California        11-15  0.617    8  0.675

113 Chattanooga                16-9   0.616  236  0.433

114 Xavier                     13-10  0.615  136  0.521

115 Florida St.                11-15  0.614   27  0.644

116 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     19-7   0.614  304  0.359

117 Northwestern               13-12  0.610   52  0.618

118 San Diego                  14-11  0.608  123  0.533

119 Southeastern Louisiana*    19-7   0.606  315  0.350

120 Rice                       13-10  0.606  133  0.521

121 Virginia Commonwealth      15-11  0.606  134  0.521

122 Bradley                    12-12  0.606   45  0.623

123 Ball St.                   12-11  0.605   99  0.561

124 Seton Hall                 11-12  0.605   64  0.603

125 Louisiana Tech             13-11  0.602   95  0.567

126 California                 12-12  0.599   57  0.611

127 Michigan                   12-15  0.597   20  0.658

128 Middle Tennessee           17-10  0.593  232  0.436

129 Niagara*                   17-8   0.592  254  0.417

130 Southern Methodist         12-11  0.592  110  0.547

131 George Mason               16-10  0.591  209  0.454

132 Arkansas Little Rock       16-9   0.589  148  0.511

133 Cal St. Northridge         15-10  0.586  181  0.477

134 Pepperdine                 15-13  0.581  102  0.559

135 Auburn                     12-13  0.579   49  0.622

136 Cal St. Fullerton          15-8   0.579  223  0.443

137 Furman                     15-11  0.578  243  0.427

138 Santa Clara                14-13  0.577  108  0.549

139 NC Wilmington              17-8   0.575  200  0.464

140 Portland                   15-13  0.574  122  0.533

141 Massachusetts              14-9   0.569  120  0.536

142 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-8   0.564  175  0.484

143 College of Charleston      16-9   0.560  221  0.444

144 St. John's                  9-14  0.560   40  0.628

145 Purdue                      7-16  0.560    6  0.686

146 Fresno St.                 14-10  0.556  166  0.493

147 Richmond                   11-13  0.553   41  0.626

148 Princeton                  12-11  0.553  129  0.524

149 Rutgers                     8-15  0.551    7  0.679

150 Sam Houston St.            15-9   0.547  282  0.389

151 Eastern Kentucky*          17-8   0.545  291  0.378

152 Murray St.                 15-10  0.545  257  0.414

153 Northwestern St.           15-11  0.541  195  0.465

154 Georgia Southern           16-11  0.536  251  0.417

155 Northern Illinois           9-15  0.532   61  0.605

156 Drake                       9-15  0.529   36  0.631

157 Loyola Marymount           11-15  0.528   77  0.597

158 IUPUI                      14-10  0.524  219  0.445

159 Evansville                 11-13  0.523  100  0.560

160 Lamar                      15-9   0.520  298  0.366

161 Appalachian St.            15-10  0.514  260  0.413

162 Missouri Kansas City       14-9   0.514  230  0.438

163 Wright St.                 13-13  0.512  138  0.520

164 Tennessee Tech             15-10  0.512  279  0.393

165 Illinois Chicago           13-12  0.511  170  0.490

166 North Texas                13-12  0.508  178  0.480

167 Rider                      15-10  0.507  253  0.417

168 South Florida              11-13  0.505  158  0.500

169 Arkansas St.               13-12  0.505  215  0.449

170 Portland St.*              18-7   0.502  327  0.319

171 Indiana St.                10-16  0.502   65  0.602

172 Colorado St.               10-14  0.501  143  0.513

173 American                   13-11  0.501  206  0.459

174 San Diego St.              10-13  0.497  118  0.537

175 Manhattan                  13-12  0.496  210  0.454

176 Valparaiso                 14-13  0.495  137  0.521

177 Gardner Webb*              15-10  0.493  284  0.386

178 Central Florida            18-8   0.490  319  0.340

179 Albany                     13-12  0.488  246  0.424

180 Cal Irvine                 12-11  0.488  201  0.461

181 Wofford                    13-12  0.486  247  0.424

182 Texas San Antonio          12-11  0.483  218  0.446

183 Fairleigh Dickinson*       15-10  0.482  290  0.379

184 St. Peter's                13-11  0.481  227  0.441

185 Brigham Young               9-17  0.477   93  0.570

186 Fordham                    11-13  0.476  130  0.522

187 Samford                    14-11  0.475  266  0.404

188 Butler                     11-14  0.474  213  0.452

189 NC Greensboro              14-11  0.473  202  0.461

190 Fairfield                  12-13  0.473  192  0.469

191 South Carolina St.*        14-10  0.471  303  0.363

192 Detroit                    10-15  0.462  139  0.519

193 Eastern Michigan           12-13  0.461  205  0.459

194 Georgia St.                13-13  0.453  180  0.478

195 New Orleans                12-14  0.452  144  0.513

196 East Carolina               8-17  0.451   46  0.623

197 Yale                        9-12  0.450  125  0.529

198 Georgia                     8-15  0.448   56  0.613

199 Southeast Missouri St.     13-12  0.447  269  0.401

200 Birmingham Southern        14-12  0.445  275  0.395

201 Loyola Chicago             10-16  0.444  124  0.532

202 Austin Peay                11-16  0.434  154  0.505

203 Baylor                      9-14  0.433  135  0.521

204 Iona                       11-14  0.430  184  0.475

205 Tennessee St.              12-16  0.430  156  0.501

206 Oakland                     7-17  0.428   84  0.589

207 Tulsa                       7-16  0.427  119  0.537

208 Montana                    12-12  0.426  233  0.436

209 Cal Santa Barbara           9-14  0.423  121  0.534

210 Hampton                    12-11  0.423  265  0.405

211 Penn St.                    7-18  0.420   53  0.616

212 Coppin St.                 11-13  0.420  131  0.522

213 Florida International      10-14  0.418  153  0.507

214 Belmont                    12-14  0.410  239  0.430

215 St. Louis                   7-18  0.408   66  0.601

216 Mercer                     14-11  0.406  310  0.355

217 High Point                 12-15  0.404  292  0.375

218 Binghamton                 10-15  0.399  172  0.486

219 Monmouth                   13-12  0.397  285  0.385

220 Robert Morris              12-13  0.395  263  0.407

221 Delaware St.               12-13  0.395  241  0.430

222 Cleveland St.               9-14  0.394  179  0.479

223 McNeese St.                10-13  0.394  267  0.404

224 Texas St.                  13-11  0.393  293  0.373

225 Harvard                    10-13  0.392  211  0.453

226 Montana St.                13-12  0.391  288  0.382

227 Marist                     11-13  0.391  220  0.444

228 Stephen F. Austin          11-12  0.390  316  0.349

229 Southern Mississippi       10-15  0.389  196  0.465

230 NC Asheville               11-14  0.388  197  0.465

231 St. Francis PA             13-11  0.386  286  0.383

232 Maine                      12-13  0.384  256  0.414

233 Eastern Illinois           11-14  0.384  199  0.464

234 Marshall                    5-18  0.384   48  0.622

235 Utah Valley St.            12-12  0.382  296  0.370

236 Texas Pan American         12-13  0.381  249  0.420

237 Texas Arlington            12-11  0.380  272  0.397

238 Northern Arizona           11-15  0.379  271  0.398

239 Lehigh                     13-12  0.379  307  0.356

240 Mississippi Valley St.*    11-12  0.376  295  0.372

241 Cornell                    11-12  0.375  261  0.410

242 Boise St.                  11-15  0.374  198  0.464

243 Western Illinois            8-16  0.373  171  0.486

244 Norfolk St.                12-11  0.372  318  0.344

245 Troy                       12-15  0.372  245  0.424

246 Columbia                   12-11  0.370  313  0.351

247 Delaware                   10-17  0.370  176  0.484

248 La Salle                    8-16  0.368  117  0.538

249 Brown                       9-13  0.367  217  0.447

250 Tulane                      9-14  0.366  177  0.481

251 Lipscomb                   14-11  0.364  321  0.339

252 Chicago St.                 7-16  0.362  113  0.542

253 St. Francis NY             12-12  0.360  317  0.348

254 Florida Atlantic            9-16  0.358  222  0.444

255 Central Michigan            9-15  0.356  147  0.511

256 East Tennessee St.          9-16  0.355  234  0.435

257 Cal Riverside               9-15  0.351  207  0.457

258 Southern Utah              12-14  0.349  268  0.403

259 Colgate                    11-14  0.343  276  0.394

260 Cal Davis                  10-15  0.342  226  0.441

261 South Alabama               8-16  0.341  168  0.491

262 Alabama A&M                13-10  0.340  330  0.301

263 San Jose St.                6-17  0.339   86  0.587

264 Idaho                       8-18  0.336  194  0.466

265 Weber St.                  11-15  0.334  262  0.409

266 Central Connecticut        10-13  0.333  287  0.382

267 Liberty                    12-14  0.325  237  0.432

268 Stony Brook                10-15  0.325  228  0.440

269 The Citadel                12-13  0.325  312  0.352

270 Duquesne                    6-19  0.321  101  0.559

271 Eastern Washington          8-17  0.321  185  0.475

272 Long Beach St.              6-18  0.316  105  0.556

273 Western Carolina            8-19  0.312  189  0.471

274 Jacksonville               14-11  0.312  326  0.333

275 Stetson                    10-15  0.311  240  0.430

276 Sacramento St.             11-15  0.309  277  0.394

277 Canisius                    9-16  0.308  258  0.413

278 New Hampshire               8-16  0.308  225  0.442

279 Morgan St.                 11-14  0.295  299  0.366

280 Coastal Carolina            9-17  0.294  274  0.396

281 Northern Colorado           7-18  0.293  167  0.493

282 Alabama St.                11-11  0.291  314  0.351

283 Bethune Cookman            12-12  0.290  322  0.336

284 Florida A&M                10-13  0.289  255  0.416

285 Lafayette                   8-17  0.288  208  0.456

286 Radford                    10-15  0.284  311  0.355

287 Southern                   12-11  0.281  329  0.302

288 Wagner                      9-16  0.279  273  0.396

289 Morehead St.               11-14  0.278  283  0.387

290 Dartmouth                   8-15  0.274  244  0.425

291 Long Island                11-14  0.272  300  0.366

292 Charleston Southern        10-14  0.269  289  0.380

293 Jackson St.                12-14  0.263  324  0.333

294 Quinnipiac                 10-14  0.262  323  0.335

295 Rhode Island                4-19  0.262  140  0.518

296 MD Baltimore County         9-16  0.257  280  0.392

297 Idaho St.                   9-17  0.255  302  0.364

298 Elon                        6-21  0.250  169  0.491

299 Towson                      5-20  0.250  161  0.497

300 Louisiana Monroe            7-16  0.249  264  0.405

301 New Mexico St.              5-21  0.241  159  0.499

302 North Dakota St.           16-11  0.239  333  0.192

303 William & Mary              6-19  0.237  183  0.476

304 Grambling                  10-11  0.232  331  0.291

305 Nicholls St.                6-18  0.224  270  0.400

306 Tennessee Martin            6-19  0.224  214  0.450

307 Jacksonville St.            7-20  0.223  281  0.391

308 IUPU Fort Wayne             5-20  0.221  149  0.510

309 Navy                        8-17  0.220  308  0.356

310 Hartford                    7-18  0.218  216  0.449

311 Siena                       5-22  0.206  187  0.473

312 Virginia Military Inst      8-17  0.202  325  0.333

313 Loyola MD                   6-19  0.200  252  0.417

314 James Madison               4-20  0.197  128  0.525

315 Cal Poly                    4-19  0.192  174  0.485

316 Mount St. Mary's            6-18  0.188  297  0.366

317 Texas Southern              6-15  0.180  328  0.308

318 South Dakota St.            9-17  0.175  332  0.287

319 Youngstown St.              5-20  0.170  229  0.440

320 Arkansas Pine Bluff         6-17  0.167  294  0.372

321 Centenary                   3-22  0.166  151  0.507

322 North Carolina A&T          4-21  0.162  238  0.432

323 Howard                      5-18  0.156  301  0.364

324 Sacred Heart                4-20  0.153  278  0.393

325 St. Bonaventure             2-22  0.133  132  0.522

326 Prairie View A&M            4-18  0.117  259  0.413

327 Campbell                    2-23  0.116  188  0.473

328 Alcorn St.                  5-20  0.112  320  0.339

329 Army                        3-21  0.103  305  0.358

330 Longwood                    1-27  0.073  248  0.422

331 Wild Card U.               15-309 0.067  111  0.545

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      2-21  0.051  306  0.357

333 Savannah St.                0-28  0.031  250  0.419







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.772

  2 Big Twelve                        0.739

  3 Big East                          0.739

  4 Southeastern                      0.728

  5 Big Ten                           0.719

  6 Pacific 10                        0.711

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.659

  8 West Coast                        0.633

  9 Conference USA                    0.632

 10 Mountain West                     0.621

 11 Mid-American                      0.596

 12 Western Athletic                  0.563

 13 Sun Belt                          0.516

 14 Atlantic 10                       0.507

 15 Colonial                          0.487

 16 Big West                          0.486

 17 Horizon                           0.478

 18 Southern                          0.474

 19 America East                      0.452

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.438

 21 Southland                         0.430

 22 Ivy League                        0.430

 23 Ohio Valley                       0.409

 24 Metro Atlantic                    0.408

 25 Patriot                           0.401

 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.371

 27 Big Sky                           0.365

 28 Big South                         0.362

 29 Northeast                         0.319

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.302

 31 Independents                      0.275

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.236







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-21-05:



AIR FORCE 10 over BYU, total 110

Alabama St 5 over ALCORN ST, total 122

APPALACHIAN ST 13 over Western Carolina, total 144

Coppin St Pick 'em over BETHUNE-COOKMAN, total 130

COASTAL CAROLINA 5 over Charleston Southern, total 125

COLORADO ST 1 over UNLV, total 149

CONNECTICUT 10 over Notre Dame, total 143

DELAWARE ST 2 over South Carolina St, total 125

Chattanooga 5 over EAST TENN ST, total 150

FAIRFIELD 5 over St. Peter's, total 139

FLORIDA A&M 5 over Morgan St, total 146

FRESNO ST 3 over Rice, total 143

HAWAII 1 over UTEP, total 140

HOWARD 5 over North Carolina A&T, total 150

TAMU-CC 10 over IPFW, total 139

Iona 1 over Marist, total 132

JAMES MADISON 15 over Longwood, total 137

LONG BEACH 4 over UC Davis, total 131

Hampton 18 over MD-EASTERN SHORE, total 138

St. Francis-PA 4 over MT ST. MARY'S, total 133

NEVADA 17 over Tulsa, total 129

Utah 2 over NEW MEXICO, total 126

NEW ORLEANS 6 over Florida Intl, total 131

Kansas 1 over OKLAHOMA, total 138

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 1 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 130

QUINNIPIAC 2 over Central Connecticut, total 152

SAN JOSE ST 4 over Boise St, total 140

SOUTHERN U 3 over Alabama A&M, total 144

ST. FRANCIS-NY Pick 'em over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 146

TX-PAN AMERICAN 5 over Utah Valley St, total 137

Miss Valley St 4 over TEXAS SOUTHERN, total 139

UCF 16 over South Dakota St, total 121

VERMONT 25 over New Hampshire, total 144

WOFFORD 4 over Georgia So, total 159

WYOMING 10 over San Diego St, total 152



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