ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 2-27-05. Home court advantage is 0.636, or about 4.83 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  28-0   0.959   48  0.626

  2 North Carolina*            24-3   0.943    6  0.690

  3 Kansas*                    21-4   0.917    1  0.727

  4 Duke*                      21-4   0.914    8  0.683

  5 Oklahoma St.*              20-5   0.911    7  0.688

  6 Kentucky*                  22-3   0.909   37  0.638

  7 Wake Forest*               24-4   0.903   10  0.682

  8 Washington*                23-4   0.886   42  0.633

  9 Boston College*            23-2   0.886   63  0.614

 10 Louisville*                24-4   0.883  128  0.527

 11 Michigan St.*              20-5   0.880   53  0.622

 12 Oklahoma*                  21-6   0.875   32  0.648

 13 Arizona*                   24-5   0.867   31  0.650

 14 Villanova*                 19-6   0.864   28  0.651

 15 Connecticut*               19-6   0.863   29  0.651

 16 Alabama*                   21-6   0.856   38  0.638

 17 Cincinnati*                22-6   0.855   68  0.607

 18 Syracuse*                  24-5   0.855   82  0.592

 19 Wisconsin*                 18-7   0.849    9  0.682

 20 Florida*                   18-7   0.848   59  0.617

 21 Gonzaga*                   22-4   0.842   70  0.605

 22 Utah*                      24-4   0.839  151  0.508

 23 Pacific*                   23-2   0.824  172  0.485

 24 Southern Illinois*         24-6   0.822   73  0.603

 25 Texas Tech*                17-8   0.820   25  0.656

 26 Texas*                     19-8   0.814   58  0.618

 27 Georgia Tech*              16-9   0.810   23  0.659

 28 Charlotte*                 21-4   0.808  106  0.556

 29 Mississippi St.*           20-8   0.798   55  0.621

 30 Nevada*                    22-5   0.792  133  0.522

 31 Iowa*                      17-10  0.784   21  0.661

 32 Pittsburgh*                18-7   0.783   98  0.565

 33 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       22-5   0.781  184  0.472

 34 Arkansas*                  18-9   0.777   94  0.573

 35 Minnesota*                 19-9   0.775   46  0.629

 36 Maryland*                  16-10  0.773   22  0.660

 37 Louisiana St.*             17-8   0.773   17  0.666

 38 Vanderbilt*                17-11  0.772   40  0.635

 39 Wichita St.*               19-7   0.772   69  0.607

 40 Utah St.*                  21-7   0.771  210  0.447

 41 Texas A&M*                 18-7   0.768  149  0.509

 42 Ohio St.*                  18-10  0.767   67  0.607

 43 North Carolina St.*        16-11  0.763   36  0.638

 44 Old Dominion*              25-5   0.760  238  0.434

 45 Vermont*                   21-6   0.758  169  0.487

 46 George Washington*         18-6   0.758  134  0.519

 47 Holy Cross*                22-5   0.756  239  0.433

 48 West Virginia*             18-8   0.755   62  0.615

 49 UCLA*                      16-9   0.755   13  0.673

 50 Notre Dame*                16-9   0.749   39  0.637

 51 Stanford*                  16-10  0.748   14  0.673

 52 DePaul                     18-7   0.746   89  0.577

 53 Northern Iowa              20-9   0.745   91  0.575

 54 St. Mary's                 24-7   0.743  135  0.518

 55 South Carolina             14-11  0.742   19  0.664

 56 New Mexico                 21-6   0.739  225  0.441

 57 Texas El Paso              23-7   0.736  183  0.474

 58 UAB                        18-9   0.732   92  0.574

 59 Indiana                    14-11  0.732    3  0.705

 60 Iowa St.                   15-10  0.732   34  0.645

 61 Creighton                  19-10  0.730   85  0.587

 62 Georgetown                 16-9   0.729   51  0.623

 63 Oral Roberts*              22-6   0.726  215  0.444

 64 Miami OH*                  17-8   0.725   84  0.588

 65 Miami FL                   16-10  0.721   41  0.635

 66 Arizona St.                18-11  0.715   72  0.603

 67 Boston University          20-7   0.715  199  0.459

 68 Southwest Missouri St.     15-11  0.714   71  0.605

 69 Akron                      17-8   0.714  122  0.534

 70 Clemson                    14-13  0.710   18  0.664

 71 Buffalo                    18-7   0.705  103  0.559

 72 Nebraska                   13-12  0.703   44  0.630

 73 Temple                     14-11  0.701   52  0.623

 74 Houston                    18-10  0.696   75  0.600

 75 Memphis                    16-12  0.695   78  0.597

 76 Davidson*                  20-7   0.695  180  0.477

 77 Virginia                   13-12  0.693    2  0.713

 78 Air Force                  16-11  0.692  117  0.540

 79 Western Michigan           17-10  0.691  108  0.553

 80 Saint Joseph's             15-10  0.687   88  0.577

 81 Marquette                  18-9   0.682  100  0.565

 82 Western Kentucky*          20-7   0.678  182  0.475

 83 Pennsylvania*              17-8   0.677  160  0.495

 84 Hofstra                    20-7   0.676  197  0.460

 85 Kent St.                   18-10  0.674  105  0.557

 86 Louisiana Lafayette        17-10  0.669  101  0.563

 87 Providence                 12-16  0.664   20  0.663

 88 Oregon                     13-12  0.660   27  0.652

 89 Kansas St.                 15-10  0.659   99  0.565

 90 Ohio                       16-9   0.659  120  0.538

 91 Denver                     18-9   0.659  175  0.479

 92 Bowling Green              17-8   0.659  126  0.528

 93 Washington St.             11-14  0.658    4  0.703

 94 Winthrop*                  24-5   0.658  311  0.351

 95 Missouri                   14-14  0.652   12  0.674

 96 Texas Christian            17-11  0.646  110  0.551

 97 Toledo                     14-12  0.643   83  0.592

 98 Tennessee                  12-15  0.643   16  0.667

 99 Oregon St.                 16-11  0.641   81  0.594

100 Illinois St.               17-11  0.640  104  0.557

101 Colorado                   13-13  0.639   15  0.668

102 Virginia Tech              14-11  0.639   74  0.602

103 Nevada Las Vegas           14-11  0.637   79  0.596

104 Drexel                     16-10  0.637  139  0.516

105 Rice                       16-10  0.635  144  0.514

106 Northeastern               19-8   0.633  192  0.465

107 Mississippi                13-14  0.625   50  0.624

108 Xavier                     14-11  0.623  129  0.525

109 San Francisco              15-12  0.619   86  0.584

110 Dayton                     16-9   0.619  155  0.503

111 Bradley                    13-13  0.618   43  0.630

112 Wyoming                    15-11  0.618   90  0.576

113 Virginia Commonwealth      17-11  0.614  154  0.506

114 Northwestern               14-13  0.609   47  0.627

115 Ball St.                   13-12  0.609   97  0.567

116 Chattanooga                17-10  0.607  240  0.432

117 Southern California        11-16  0.606   11  0.680

118 Bucknell                   19-9   0.606  196  0.460

119 San Diego                  15-12  0.600  130  0.524

120 Southern Methodist         13-12  0.600  111  0.551

121 Southeastern Louisiana*    20-7   0.599  320  0.339

122 Florida St.                11-17  0.597   26  0.653

123 Arkansas Little Rock       18-9   0.594  158  0.499

124 Middle Tennessee           17-11  0.594  204  0.452

125 Hawaii                     14-11  0.591  125  0.529

126 Seton Hall                 11-14  0.590   54  0.622

127 College of Charleston      18-9   0.590  217  0.443

128 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     20-8   0.589  316  0.342

129 Michigan                   13-16  0.589   33  0.648

130 Cal St. Fullerton          17-8   0.588  236  0.436

131 Niagara*                   18-9   0.587  246  0.426

132 Pepperdine                 16-13  0.584  109  0.552

133 California                 12-14  0.581   49  0.624

134 Sam Houston St.            17-9   0.581  270  0.397

135 Cal St. Northridge         15-11  0.581  162  0.492

136 Furman                     16-12  0.580  235  0.436

137 Auburn                     12-15  0.575   35  0.641

138 Louisiana Tech             13-13  0.574   95  0.572

139 George Mason               16-12  0.572  179  0.478

140 Murray St.*                17-10  0.572  248  0.424

141 NC Wilmington              18-9   0.571  190  0.466

142 Richmond                   12-13  0.565   57  0.619

143 Santa Clara                14-15  0.562  102  0.560

144 Portland                   15-14  0.562  119  0.538

145 Massachusetts              15-10  0.559  123  0.533

146 Northern Illinois          11-15  0.557   77  0.598

147 Eastern Kentucky           19-8   0.554  291  0.373

148 St. John's                  9-16  0.554   30  0.650

149 Princeton                  13-12  0.549  136  0.518

150 Purdue                      7-18  0.545    5  0.693

151 Northwestern St.           17-11  0.543  203  0.453

152 Drake                      11-15  0.536   65  0.610

153 Georgia Southern           17-12  0.533  251  0.420

154 Rutgers                     9-16  0.532   24  0.657

155 Tennessee Tech             17-10  0.529  278  0.388

156 Fresno St.                 14-12  0.528  159  0.499

157 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-10  0.528  170  0.486

158 Rider                      17-10  0.525  254  0.417

159 IUPUI                      15-11  0.524  229  0.440

160 Loyola Marymount           11-16  0.521   76  0.599

161 Arkansas St.               15-12  0.520  228  0.440

162 Evansville                 11-15  0.518   93  0.574

163 Wright St.                 14-14  0.516  132  0.522

164 Lamar                      16-10  0.515  288  0.377

165 Illinois Chicago           14-13  0.514  165  0.490

166 Missouri Kansas City       15-11  0.507  207  0.449

167 Central Florida*           21-8   0.506  322  0.332

168 Appalachian St.            16-11  0.504  264  0.401

169 South Florida              11-14  0.503  147  0.512

170 American                   15-11  0.503  231  0.439

171 Portland St.*              19-8   0.498  325  0.331

172 Colorado St.               11-15  0.498  150  0.509

173 St. Peter's                15-12  0.494  233  0.439

174 Butler                     13-14  0.494  220  0.443

175 Indiana St.                10-18  0.492   61  0.615

176 Fordham                    12-13  0.492  143  0.514

177 Detroit                    12-15  0.488  153  0.507

178 Valparaiso                 15-14  0.488  137  0.518

179 Wofford                    14-13  0.487  237  0.435

180 Manhattan                  14-13  0.487  212  0.446

181 Gardner Webb               16-11  0.484  286  0.378

182 San Diego St.              10-15  0.480  112  0.549

183 Albany                     13-14  0.480  216  0.444

184 NC Greensboro              16-11  0.479  214  0.444

185 North Texas                14-13  0.478  193  0.462

186 Cal Irvine                 13-12  0.477  186  0.471

187 Texas San Antonio          13-12  0.471  243  0.431

188 Brigham Young               9-19  0.468   80  0.595

189 Fairleigh Dickinson*       17-11  0.467  298  0.365

190 Samford                    15-12  0.465  272  0.396

191 South Carolina St.*        15-11  0.465  302  0.358

192 Fairfield                  14-14  0.463  211  0.447

193 Tulsa                       9-17  0.460  121  0.534

194 New Orleans                13-16  0.458  138  0.516

195 Loyola Chicago             11-16  0.456  124  0.531

196 Eastern Michigan           12-15  0.453  181  0.476

197 East Carolina               9-18  0.453   66  0.609

198 Coppin St.                 13-13  0.449  163  0.491

199 Birmingham Southern        15-13  0.441  276  0.389

200 Southeast Missouri St.     14-13  0.440  275  0.389

201 Montana                    14-12  0.438  250  0.421

202 Georgia St.                14-14  0.434  202  0.454

203 Georgia                     8-17  0.430   45  0.629

204 Tennessee St.              14-16  0.430  177  0.479

205 Hampton                    14-11  0.427  287  0.377

206 Florida International      11-15  0.425  141  0.515

207 Oakland                     8-18  0.425   96  0.571

208 Baylor                      9-16  0.422  107  0.554

209 Austin Peay                11-18  0.420  146  0.513

210 Mercer                     16-11  0.417  319  0.339

211 Maine                      13-14  0.416  224  0.442

212 Harvard                    12-13  0.415  234  0.437

213 Binghamton                 11-16  0.415  167  0.489

214 Iona                       13-15  0.415  213  0.445

215 Delaware St.               14-13  0.414  245  0.427

216 McNeese St.                12-13  0.411  274  0.390

217 Belmont                    13-15  0.410  247  0.424

218 Monmouth                   14-12  0.407  281  0.386

219 St. Louis                   7-20  0.407   64  0.611

220 Utah Valley St.            14-12  0.407  297  0.365

221 Cal Santa Barbara          10-15  0.406  148  0.512

222 Yale                        9-15  0.400  145  0.513

223 Penn St.                    7-20  0.397   56  0.621

224 Stephen F. Austin          12-13  0.395  308  0.353

225 Western Illinois           10-16  0.392  185  0.472

226 Montana St.                14-13  0.391  289  0.374

227 Southern Mississippi       10-17  0.381  168  0.488

228 Boise St.                  13-16  0.380  200  0.458

229 La Salle                    9-17  0.377  118  0.538

230 Lipscomb                   16-11  0.376  324  0.331

231 Texas St.                  13-12  0.376  293  0.369

232 Delaware                   10-19  0.374  156  0.502

233 Brown                      10-15  0.373  198  0.459

234 Eastern Illinois           12-15  0.373  209  0.448

235 High Point                 12-17  0.372  296  0.367

236 Cornell                    12-13  0.371  256  0.412

237 Cleveland St.               9-16  0.367  178  0.479

238 Robert Morris              13-14  0.365  280  0.386

239 Texas Arlington            12-13  0.363  258  0.410

240 Chicago St.                 8-17  0.362  114  0.543

241 South Alabama              10-17  0.362  174  0.480

242 Northern Arizona           11-16  0.361  277  0.388

243 St. Francis PA             14-12  0.359  300  0.360

244 St. Francis NY             13-13  0.359  313  0.348

245 Florida Atlantic           10-17  0.359  219  0.443

246 Southern Utah              13-14  0.359  265  0.401

247 Lehigh                     13-14  0.359  301  0.359

248 Mississippi Valley St.*    12-13  0.359  307  0.353

249 Troy                       12-17  0.358  242  0.432

250 Norfolk St.                12-12  0.355  318  0.340

251 Marshall                    5-20  0.354   60  0.617

252 Colgate                    12-15  0.354  268  0.399

253 Marist                     11-16  0.353  241  0.432

254 Columbia                   12-13  0.353  299  0.363

255 NC Asheville               11-16  0.350  205  0.451

256 Texas Pan American         12-15  0.349  257  0.412

257 Weber St.                  12-15  0.347  267  0.400

258 Tulane                      9-16  0.346  161  0.495

259 Long Beach St.              8-19  0.339  115  0.543

260 East Tennessee St.          9-18  0.339  230  0.439

261 Liberty                    13-14  0.339  244  0.429

262 Central Michigan            9-17  0.336  131  0.524

263 Cal Davis                  10-16  0.333  226  0.440

264 Stony Brook                11-16  0.331  227  0.440

265 Alabama A&M                14-11  0.328  330  0.295

266 Central Connecticut        11-15  0.328  283  0.381

267 Sacramento St.             12-15  0.322  273  0.396

268 Jacksonville               15-12  0.321  314  0.347

269 New Hampshire               9-18  0.321  191  0.465

270 Cal Riverside               9-17  0.321  206  0.450

271 Duquesne                    7-20  0.316  116  0.541

272 Canisius                   10-17  0.314  249  0.421

273 The Citadel                12-15  0.312  290  0.373

274 Radford                    12-15  0.310  310  0.352

275 Florida A&M                12-13  0.308  263  0.402

276 San Jose St.                6-20  0.307   87  0.581

277 Eastern Washington          8-19  0.307  173  0.482

278 Idaho                       8-20  0.303  208  0.448

279 Stetson                    10-17  0.301  232  0.439

280 Western Carolina            8-21  0.294  188  0.468

281 Long Island                13-14  0.293  309  0.353

282 Dartmouth                  10-15  0.288  259  0.409

283 Rhode Island                5-20  0.287  127  0.527

284 Northern Colorado           8-19  0.286  187  0.470

285 Morgan St.                 11-15  0.285  295  0.367

286 Wagner                     10-16  0.283  282  0.384

287 Coastal Carolina           10-18  0.282  284  0.380

288 Lafayette                   9-18  0.281  218  0.443

289 Alabama St.                12-12  0.278  327  0.325

290 Southern                   13-12  0.275  332  0.281

291 Bethune Cookman            12-14  0.274  315  0.344

292 MD Baltimore County        10-17  0.274  266  0.401

293 Charleston Southern        11-16  0.269  285  0.379

294 Morehead St.               11-16  0.263  279  0.387

295 Elon                        7-22  0.261  164  0.491

296 IUPU Fort Wayne             7-21  0.258  157  0.500

297 Jackson St.                12-15  0.256  321  0.336

298 William & Mary              7-20  0.252  171  0.486

299 Quinnipiac                 10-16  0.252  317  0.340

300 Idaho St.                   9-18  0.245  292  0.369

301 Louisiana Monroe            7-18  0.243  255  0.415

302 New Mexico St.              5-23  0.243  142  0.514

303 Grambling                  11-11  0.242  331  0.290

304 Navy                        9-18  0.232  304  0.356

305 Towson                      5-22  0.226  176  0.479

306 North Dakota St.           16-12  0.223  333  0.188

307 Jacksonville St.            7-22  0.223  262  0.402

308 Hartford                    8-19  0.223  223  0.442

309 Siena                       6-23  0.220  189  0.467

310 Tennessee Martin            6-21  0.216  201  0.457

311 Nicholls St.                6-20  0.216  261  0.406

312 James Madison               6-21  0.209  166  0.489

313 Texas Southern              8-15  0.207  328  0.305

314 Virginia Military Inst      9-18  0.206  323  0.332

315 Cal Poly                    5-20  0.202  194  0.461

316 South Dakota St.           10-18  0.191  329  0.300

317 Mount St. Mary's            7-19  0.189  312  0.348

318 Loyola MD                   6-21  0.185  260  0.409

319 North Carolina A&T          5-22  0.169  253  0.417

320 Arkansas Pine Bluff         7-18  0.168  305  0.355

321 Centenary                   3-23  0.162  152  0.508

322 Youngstown St.              5-22  0.160  222  0.442

323 Sacred Heart                4-22  0.153  269  0.399

324 Howard                      5-20  0.144  306  0.354

325 St. Bonaventure             2-24  0.125  140  0.516

326 Alcorn St.                  6-21  0.112  326  0.329

327 Campbell                    2-25  0.110  195  0.461

328 Prairie View A&M            4-20  0.105  271  0.397

329 Army                        3-23  0.101  294  0.367

330 Longwood                    1-29  0.074  221  0.443

331 Wild Card U.               15-313 0.066  113  0.545

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      2-23  0.046  303  0.357

333 Savannah St.                0-28  0.030  252  0.419







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.770

  2 Big Twelve                        0.743

  3 Big East                          0.735

  4 Southeastern                      0.729

  5 Big Ten                           0.717

  6 Pacific 10                        0.712

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.659

  8 Conference USA                    0.631

  9 West Coast                        0.629

 10 Mountain West                     0.621

 11 Mid-American                      0.598

 12 Western Athletic                  0.560

 13 Sun Belt                          0.516

 14 Atlantic 10                       0.509

 15 Colonial                          0.489

 16 Big West                          0.481

 17 Horizon                           0.478

 18 Southern                          0.473

 19 America East                      0.456

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.438

 21 Ivy League                        0.428

 22 Southland                         0.428

 23 Ohio Valley                       0.408

 24 Metro Atlantic                    0.404

 25 Patriot                           0.399

 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.371

 27 Big Sky                           0.364

 28 Big South                         0.358

 29 Northeast                         0.314

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.303

 31 Independents                      0.274

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.233







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-28-05:



ALABAMA A&M 18 over Prairie View A&M, total 145

ALABAMA ST 8 over Texas Southern, total 129

ARK-PINE BLUFF Pick 'em over Jackson St, total 128

BOSTON COLLEGE 12 over Pittsburgh, total 138

BRADLEY 8 over Drake, total 150

CS NORTHRIDGE 14 over UC Davis, total 144

Oakland 7 over CENTENARY, total 145

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT 9 over Quinnipiac, total 148

SMS 3 over EVANSVILLE, total 148

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 11 over Wagner, total 133

Middle Tenn St 1 over FLORIDA INTL, total 129

GONZAGA 30 over Northern Colorado, total 156

HAMPTON 5 over Delaware St, total 126

Oral Roberts 3 over IUPUI, total 143

ILLINOIS ST 1 over Creighton, total 135

Southern Illinois 7 over INDIANA ST, total 116

MISS VALLEY ST 10 over Grambling, total 145

MORGAN ST 24 over MD-Eastern Shore, total 142

NORFOLK ST 15 over Howard, total 134

Bethune-Cookman 1 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 142

NORTHERN ARIZONA 2 over Montana, total 152

ROBERT MORRIS 12 over Mt St. Mary's, total 135

St. Francis-PA 5 over SACRED HEART, total 140

Air Force 2 over SAN DIEGO ST, total 113

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 11 over Florida A&M, total 144

ST. FRANCIS-NY 3 over Monmouth, total 132

TEXAS 1 over Oklahoma, total 140

Drexel 10 over TOWSON, total 135

UMKC 6 over Valparaiso, total 144

UNLV 1 over New Mexico, total 149

WESTERN ILLINOIS 6 over Chicago St, total 128

WICHITA ST 6 over Northern Iowa, total 141



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