ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 1-12-03. Home court advantage is 0.633, or about 5.18 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Duke*                      11-0   0.928  112  0.533

  2 Arizona*                   11-1   0.913   19  0.620

  3 Louisville*                10-1   0.910   48  0.582

  4 St. Joseph's (PA)*         11-1   0.901   27  0.603

  5 Creighton*                 13-1   0.899  134  0.513

  6 Pittsburgh*                12-1   0.898  192  0.477

  7 Illinois*                  12-1   0.888  179  0.485

  8 Notre Dame*                13-2   0.880   68  0.567

  9 Florida*                   13-2   0.879   34  0.597

 10 Oklahoma St.*              12-1   0.863  181  0.484

 11 Georgia*                    9-4   0.859    1  0.728

 12 Missouri*                  10-1   0.856  150  0.502

 13 Butler*                    13-1   0.850  184  0.483

 14 Wake Forest*               10-1   0.849  252  0.440

 15 Alabama*                   11-2   0.846   45  0.584

 16 Texas*                     10-2   0.843   75  0.563

 17 Kansas*                    11-3   0.836  151  0.502

 18 Mississippi St.*           10-3   0.831   69  0.566

 19 Cincinnati*                 9-3   0.829   23  0.610

 20 Oklahoma*                  10-2   0.827  161  0.495

 21 Kentucky*                  11-3   0.826   16  0.629

 22 Auburn*                    13-2   0.822  221  0.457

 23 Xavier (OH)*               10-4   0.822   13  0.631

 24 Texas Tech*                10-2   0.820  131  0.514

 25 Purdue*                     9-3   0.819   56  0.578

 26 Maryland*                   9-3   0.818  132  0.514

 27 Indiana*                   11-3   0.818   20  0.620

 28 LSU*                       11-2   0.817  189  0.480

 29 Connecticut*               10-1   0.817  258  0.434

 30 Syracuse*                  10-1   0.817  292  0.401

 31 Arizona St.*               11-4   0.801   36  0.594

 32 North Carolina*             9-5   0.800    5  0.696

 33 Stanford*                  11-4   0.799   11  0.637

 34 Brigham Young*             11-4   0.797   35  0.596

 35 Utah*                      11-3   0.788  111  0.534

 36 Tulsa*                      9-3   0.784   32  0.600

 37 Oregon*                    10-4   0.783   49  0.582

 38 Marquette*                 10-3   0.779  129  0.519

 39 Wisconsin*                 10-4   0.777  136  0.513

 40 Georgetown*                 9-2   0.776  295  0.396

 41 Western Michigan*           9-4   0.772   84  0.554

 42 UNLV*                      11-2   0.762  119  0.528

 43 Kent St.*                   9-2   0.759  164  0.494

 44 Memphis*                   10-3   0.759   59  0.573

 45 Iowa*                      10-3   0.752  140  0.509

 46 Michigan St.*               9-5   0.750   42  0.585

 47 Fresno St.*                11-2   0.749  217  0.459

 48 California                 10-2   0.749  149  0.503

 49 Dayton                     10-3   0.747   41  0.585

 50 Wyoming                    12-2   0.742  270  0.423

 51 Gonzaga*                   11-5   0.740   62  0.569

 52 Southern Illinois           9-3   0.739   96  0.544

 53 Hawaii                     10-2   0.737  240  0.445

 54 DePaul                      8-4   0.736   81  0.555

 55 Colorado                   10-4   0.735  113  0.533

 56 Virginia                   10-3   0.734   95  0.545

 57 Holy Cross*                10-3   0.733  213  0.462

 58 Vanderbilt                  8-5   0.729   38  0.591

 59 Louisiana Lafayette*       10-5   0.728   90  0.548

 60 Richmond                    8-5   0.727   54  0.580

 61 Clemson                    10-1   0.724  319  0.353

 62 Davidson*                   8-4   0.721  193  0.477

 63 Utah St.*                  12-3   0.715  232  0.451

 64 Tennessee                   8-3   0.710  133  0.514

 65 Kansas St.                 10-4   0.709  234  0.450

 66 UAB                        10-3   0.708  262  0.431

 67 Providence                  8-5   0.708   44  0.584

 68 Illinois Chicago            8-4   0.703   72  0.564

 69 Central Michigan            9-3   0.700  105  0.537

 70 Chattanooga                11-3   0.700  259  0.434

 71 NC Wilmington*              8-4   0.700  123  0.525

 72 Villanova                   9-5   0.699   60  0.571

 73 Pennsylvania*               5-4   0.698   66  0.567

 74 Western Kentucky            9-6   0.697   25  0.604

 75 Georgia Tech                7-5   0.697   71  0.564

 76 Manhattan*                 10-3   0.691  206  0.469

 77 Mississippi                 9-4   0.689  229  0.452

 78 East Carolina              10-3   0.687  282  0.410

 79 North Carolina St.          8-3   0.684  277  0.415

 80 Florida St.                 9-4   0.680  170  0.490

 81 Iowa St.                   10-3   0.677  306  0.386

 82 Wisconsin Milwaukee        12-4   0.676  163  0.495

 83 St. Bonaventure             6-9   0.672    4  0.709

 84 Yale                        6-6   0.664   17  0.628

 85 George Mason                8-5   0.663  122  0.525

 86 West Virginia               9-4   0.663  125  0.524

 87 St. John's (NY)             8-4   0.662  187  0.480

 88 Rice                        9-4   0.662  197  0.475

 89 Cal Irvine                  8-4   0.660  183  0.483

 90 New Mexico St.              9-4   0.660  159  0.496

 91 South Carolina              7-5   0.656   50  0.581

 92 Marshall                    8-3   0.656  231  0.451

 93 Murray St.*                 8-5   0.655  143  0.506

 94 Ohio St.                    8-5   0.651   80  0.558

 95 College of Charleston      11-4   0.651  243  0.445

 96 Miami (FL)                  7-6   0.647  108  0.536

 97 Eastern Washington*        10-6   0.645   67  0.567

 98 Pacific                     8-4   0.640  101  0.539

 99 Minnesota                   8-4   0.639  167  0.493

100 Rhode Island                9-4   0.629  146  0.504

101 Baylor                      9-3   0.628  323  0.346

102 Stephen F. Austin*          9-3   0.628  318  0.355

103 Colorado St.               11-4   0.627  288  0.404

104 Siena                       9-4   0.627  176  0.486

105 San Diego St.              10-4   0.627  260  0.434

106 Boston College              6-6   0.626   24  0.606

107 Michigan                    9-6   0.623  104  0.538

108 Boston University*          8-6   0.622   51  0.581

109 Troy St.*                  12-4   0.622  242  0.445

110 Air Force                   9-5   0.621  245  0.444

111 Morehead St.                8-5   0.618  202  0.474

112 Texas A&M                   8-4   0.616  215  0.460

113 Oral Roberts*              10-5   0.616  271  0.422

114 Appalachian St.             8-3   0.615  274  0.417

115 Pepperdine                  9-6   0.611   73  0.564

116 Central Florida            10-5   0.610  226  0.456

117 Bowling Green               8-4   0.609  204  0.473

118 Princeton                   5-7   0.608   21  0.615

119 Southern Mississippi        9-4   0.607  148  0.503

120 Rutgers                     8-5   0.607  196  0.475

121 South Alabama               7-7   0.605   61  0.570

122 Drexel                      7-6   0.605   58  0.575

123 Delaware                    8-5   0.604   98  0.541

124 Denver                     10-6   0.601  185  0.482

125 Sam Houston St.             8-4   0.600  313  0.374

126 La Salle                    7-5   0.599  114  0.532

127 St. Louis                   6-7   0.596   14  0.630

128 Charlotte                   6-7   0.593   31  0.600

129 Weber St.                  10-5   0.591  194  0.477

130 South Florida               7-6   0.586  117  0.530

131 Nevada                      7-7   0.585  100  0.540

132 Valparaiso                  6-7   0.580   15  0.629

133 SW Missouri St.             6-6   0.579  116  0.530

134 New Orleans                 9-5   0.577  283  0.410

135 Tulane                      7-7   0.577  205  0.473

136 East Tennessee St.          8-6   0.576  255  0.438

137 St. Mary's (CA)             8-6   0.576  227  0.453

138 Washington                  6-7   0.574   40  0.587

139 Harvard                     9-5   0.571  177  0.486

140 Santa Clara                10-4   0.567  253  0.439

141 Toledo                      7-6   0.566   57  0.576

142 Arkansas                    5-8   0.566   26  0.604

143 Southern California         6-5   0.566  152  0.501

144 Fairfield                   8-5   0.563  128  0.520

145 Wichita St.                 8-4   0.559  287  0.404

146 George Washington           6-7   0.557   47  0.583

147 Nebraska                    8-6   0.557  158  0.496

148 Seton Hall                  5-7   0.557   28  0.601

149 Jacksonville St.           10-3   0.554  324  0.345

150 Oregon St.                  7-6   0.552  160  0.496

151 Iona                        8-6   0.551  168  0.493

152 SW Texas St.                8-5   0.543  278  0.415

153 Tennessee Tech              7-8   0.543  141  0.509

154 Belmont                     7-7   0.541   70  0.566

155 Louisiana Tech              5-5   0.540   91  0.548

156 Austin Peay                 8-5   0.540  201  0.474

157 Southern Methodist          6-7   0.539   18  0.621

158 Mercer                      8-3   0.539  291  0.401

159 Old Dominion                6-6   0.537  165  0.494

160 Wagner*                     6-6   0.536   94  0.545

161 Detroit                     6-7   0.535  138  0.512

162 Eastern Illinois            5-9   0.532    9  0.649

163 Miami (OH)                  4-8   0.529    7  0.662

164 Coastal Carolina*           9-5   0.528  174  0.487

165 Tennessee Martin            9-4   0.528  317  0.362

166 Hampton*                    7-4   0.527  216  0.460

167 McNeese St.                 7-6   0.524  175  0.486

168 VA Commonwealth             7-5   0.522  268  0.426

169 San Diego                   6-8   0.520   93  0.546

170 Wofford                     5-7   0.520   85  0.554

171 Northern Arizona            9-5   0.519  302  0.392

172 Ohio                        4-7   0.515    8  0.656

173 TCU                         6-7   0.514   92  0.547

174 Loyola Chicago              7-10  0.513   52  0.581

175 Evansville                  5-7   0.512   33  0.599

176 Ball St.                    5-8   0.510   22  0.612

177 Vermont                     8-7   0.509  241  0.445

178 Arkansas Little Rock       10-6   0.504  281  0.414

179 Idaho St.                   6-6   0.503  195  0.476

180 Cal St. Northridge          6-7   0.502  222  0.456

181 UCLA                        4-7   0.501  103  0.538

182 Northwestern                8-5   0.494  298  0.395

183 Canisius                    5-8   0.490   83  0.554

184 Akron                       7-5   0.487  311  0.380

185 Wright St.                  7-6   0.484  225  0.456

186 North Texas                 6-8   0.483   65  0.567

187 Northeastern                7-8   0.482  257  0.436

188 Binghamton                  7-6   0.480  214  0.460

189 Cal Santa Barbara           5-9   0.480  109  0.535

190 Georgia Southern            9-4   0.476  322  0.347

191 Arkansas St.                6-8   0.474  304  0.390

192 Lehigh                      9-5   0.470  320  0.352

193 Niagara                     6-7   0.468  110  0.534

194 Massachusetts               6-8   0.467  139  0.509

195 Prairie View A&M*           4-7   0.467   12  0.633

196 Delaware St.                5-6   0.467   77  0.561

197 Drake                       6-9   0.464  118  0.528

198 Boise St.                   8-6   0.459  239  0.445

199 Birmingham Southern         8-6   0.459  310  0.381

200 Temple                      3-10  0.459    2  0.712

201 Northern Illinois           6-8   0.457   63  0.569

202 Eastern Michigan            6-5   0.452  305  0.388

203 Texas Arlington             6-6   0.451  199  0.475

204 Virginia Tech               6-7   0.451  190  0.478

205 Washington St.              5-8   0.448   78  0.560

206 Bradley                     4-10  0.447   88  0.550

207 Bucknell                    7-6   0.442  266  0.427

208 IUPUI                       7-9   0.436  102  0.538

209 Idaho                       6-7   0.434  247  0.443

210 Quinnipiac                  6-5   0.434  299  0.395

211 Hartford                    7-6   0.434  233  0.450

212 Middle Tennessee St.        6-9   0.433  121  0.527

213 Duquesne                    7-9   0.432  120  0.528

214 SE Missouri St.             6-8   0.431  154  0.498

215 Portland                    8-7   0.431  228  0.452

216 Winthrop                    8-7   0.430  303  0.391

217 Montana St.                 7-8   0.430  265  0.427

218 Penn St.                    5-8   0.426   82  0.555

219 Northern Iowa               4-8   0.425   89  0.549

220 Montana                     7-10  0.424  180  0.484

221 Charleston Southern         7-7   0.422  224  0.456

222 Oakland                     6-7   0.422  276  0.416

223 James Madison               6-8   0.418  210  0.465

224 Southern Utah               7-7   0.417  285  0.406

225 Georgia St.                 6-7   0.415  236  0.448

226 Marist                      6-8   0.415  188  0.480

227 Indiana St.                 5-9   0.413   76  0.561

228 Texas San Antonio           5-7   0.411  153  0.501

229 American                    5-9   0.409  156  0.496

230 Monmouth (NJ)               5-6   0.405  238  0.446

231 San Francisco               5-9   0.403  173  0.488

232 Lafayette                   6-7   0.401  300  0.393

233 Alabama St.                 6-7   0.400  244  0.445

234 Cleveland St.               7-9   0.398  203  0.474

235 Eastern Kentucky            7-6   0.397  326  0.328

236 Texas Southern              5-6   0.394  246  0.444

237 Maine                       6-9   0.394  294  0.399

238 Centenary                   6-9   0.390  126  0.523

239 Samford                     5-9   0.386  115  0.530

240 High Point                  5-8   0.386  166  0.494

241 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      6-8   0.382  208  0.468

242 Florida Atlantic            4-11  0.382   37  0.593

243 Lamar                       5-7   0.381  251  0.440

244 New Mexico                  5-7   0.381  219  0.458

245 Loyola Marymount            6-11  0.378  212  0.464

246 St. Francis (PA)            6-5   0.376  284  0.406

247 NC Asheville                5-8   0.376   74  0.563

248 Cal Poly-SLO                6-7   0.376  250  0.441

249 Jackson St.                 3-9   0.375   10  0.647

250 South Carolina St.          4-7   0.371   97  0.542

251 St. Peter's                 5-7   0.370  237  0.447

252 Florida A&M                 5-6   0.365  135  0.513

253 Furman                      6-11  0.365  248  0.442

254 Brown                       4-9   0.364  106  0.537

255 Rider                       5-7   0.362  267  0.426

256 Mount St. Mary's            5-6   0.358  172  0.488

257 Western Carolina            4-9   0.356  275  0.417

258 Liberty                     7-7   0.356  290  0.402

259 Colgate                     6-8   0.353  316  0.363

260 Wisconsin Green Bay         5-11  0.352  130  0.517

261 Norfolk St.                 6-6   0.348  263  0.431

262 The Citadel                 5-8   0.343  312  0.378

263 Buffalo                     3-9   0.338  171  0.490

264 Florida International       6-9   0.338  293  0.400

265 NC Greensboro               3-11  0.337   30  0.600

266 SE Louisiana                4-9   0.336  178  0.485

267 Fairleigh Dickinson         6-5   0.334  321  0.347

268 Cornell                     4-7   0.328  207  0.468

269 Howard                      3-9   0.324  127  0.522

270 VMI                         5-8   0.321  296  0.396

271 William & Mary              5-6   0.320  325  0.330

272 St. Francis (NY)            3-8   0.320  209  0.466

273 Stony Brook                 5-8   0.319  309  0.383

274 Cal St. Sacramento          6-8   0.318  220  0.458

275 Cal St. Fullerton           5-8   0.314  272  0.420

276 Youngstown St.              5-8   0.311  307  0.386

277 Central Connecticut         4-7   0.311  230  0.452

278 Mississippi Valley St.      3-8   0.309  261  0.433

279 Robert Morris               4-7   0.308  273  0.419

280 Long Island                 3-9   0.308  124  0.524

281 Jacksonville                5-9   0.305  264  0.429

282 Louisiana Monroe            4-8   0.298  182  0.484

283 Dartmouth                   4-8   0.296  286  0.405

284 Navy                        4-10  0.295  297  0.395

285 Western Illinois            3-9   0.290  107  0.536

286 Houston                     2-10  0.273   39  0.590

287 Gardner Webb                2-12  0.270   64  0.569

288 IUPU Ft. Wayne              3-14  0.267   79  0.559

289 Grambling                   4-10  0.265  142  0.508

290 Fordham                     2-11  0.261   55  0.579

291 MD Baltimore County         3-8   0.261  147  0.504

292 Albany (NY)                 4-9   0.253  249  0.442

293 Illinois St.                1-11  0.253   29  0.600

294 Texas Pan American          4-14  0.253  191  0.478

295 Alabama A&M                 4-7   0.252  308  0.385

296 Coppin St.                  2-11  0.251   43  0.584

297 Alcorn St.                  2-13  0.245   86  0.551

298 Cal Riverside               2-8   0.244  162  0.495

299 San Jose St.                3-10  0.235  279  0.414

300 Chicago St.                 3-11  0.231  144  0.506

301 Bethune Cookman             1-8   0.230    6  0.676

302 Elon                        4-8   0.228  254  0.439

303 Portland St.                3-12  0.227  200  0.474

304 Northwestern St.            1-9   0.223   87  0.550

305 Lipscomb                    3-13  0.221  280  0.414

306 Hofstra                     2-11  0.218  137  0.512

307 Sacred Heart                3-10  0.218  198  0.475

308 Campbell                    3-10  0.217  256  0.437

309 Army                        4-8   0.215  315  0.368

310 Missouri Kansas City        2-12  0.211  155  0.497

311 Texas El Paso               3-10  0.196  289  0.403

312 Radford                     4-11  0.192  211  0.464

313 Towson                      3-10  0.180  301  0.393

314 Loyola (MD)                 3-9   0.175  314  0.372

315 New Hampshire               2-11  0.171  186  0.481

316 Nicholls St.                3-11  0.170  145  0.505

317 Stetson                     1-11  0.169  157  0.496

318 Long Beach St.              1-11  0.164  169  0.491

319 Tennessee St.               2-10  0.161  235  0.449

320 Southern                    2-7   0.140  328  0.242

321 Columbia                    2-11  0.140  218  0.458

322 Savannah St.                1-12  0.110   99  0.541

323 Morgan St.                  2-12  0.107  327  0.308

324 Morris Brown                1-13  0.095  223  0.456

325 Wild Card U.               13-217 0.080   53  0.581

326 MD Eastern Shore            0-12  0.079  269  0.424

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         0-12  0.073    3  0.711

328 North Carolina A&T          0-9   0.070   46  0.583







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.769

  2 Atlantic Coast                    0.768

  3 Big Twelve                        0.747

  4 Big East                          0.700

  5 Big Ten                           0.694

  6 Pacific 10                        0.669

  7 Mountain West                     0.668

  8 Conference USA                    0.654

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.606

 10 Mid-American                      0.565

 11 Sun Belt                          0.554

 12 Western Athletic                  0.549

 13 Horizon                           0.536

 14 Missouri Valley                   0.529

 15 West Coast                        0.528

 16 Southern                          0.498

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.489

 18 Colonial                          0.477

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.471

 20 Ivy League                        0.459

 21 Big Sky                           0.457

 22 Big West                          0.453

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.418

 24 Southland                         0.415

 25 Patriot                           0.415

 26 America East                      0.407

 27 Mid-Continent                     0.400

 28 Big South                         0.375

 29 Northeast                         0.347

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.292

 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.285

 32 Independents                      0.245







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-13-03:



Alabama A&M 9 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 144

BETHUNE-COOKMAN 17 over MD-East Shore, total 138

CHATTANOOGA 4 over Davidson, total 150

COLORADO ST 15 over New Mexico, total 146

Vermont 2 over CORNELL, total 132

EAST TENN ST 2 over Coll of Charleston, total 160

Coastal Carolina 7 over ELON, total 128

FLORIDA A&M 8 over Howard, total 157

Appalachian St Pick 'em over GEORGIA SO, total 167

GEORGIA ST 21 over Tennessee St, total 170

GRAMBLING 7 over Alcorn St, total 148

HAMPTON 14 over Coppin St, total 118

HAWAII 4 over Fresno St, total 133

HIGH POINT 4 over Charleston So, total 139

JACKSON ST 19 over Southern U, total 150

JACKSONVILLE 16 over Savannah St, total 128

MERCER 2 over UCF, total 138

MISS VALLEY ST 1 over Alabama St, total 133

Brown 5 over NEW HAMPSHIRE, total 148

NORFOLK ST 20 over Morgan St, total 145

Centenary 2 over NORTHWESTERN ST, total 132

OKLAHOMA ST 8 over Oklahoma, total 135

ROBERT MORRIS 3 over Mt St. Mary's, total 151

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 1 over Delaware St, total 125

ST. FRANCIS-NY 5 over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 166

ST. FRANCIS-PA 9 over UMBC, total 129

STETSON 2 over Lipscomb, total 163

SYRACUSE 3 over Missouri, total 163

TEXAS SOUTHERN 12 over TX-Pan American, total 144

Wofford 2 over THE CITADEL, total 138

UNC GREENSBORO 6 over VMI, total 140

WAGNER 10 over Quinnipiac, total 155

Wright St 1 over YOUNGSTOWN ST, total 119



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