ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 1-19-03. Home court advantage is 0.637, or about 5.26 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Arizona*                   13-1   0.923   14  0.623

  2 Louisville*                12-1   0.915   48  0.586

  3 Pittsburgh*                14-1   0.910  163  0.499

  4 Creighton*                 15-1   0.906  146  0.509

  5 Duke*                      12-1   0.893   72  0.566

  6 St. Joseph's (PA)*         12-2   0.883   18  0.618

  7 Florida*                   15-2   0.882   39  0.597

  8 Oklahoma St.*              14-1   0.879  151  0.505

  9 Georgia*                   10-4   0.871    1  0.730

 10 Notre Dame*                14-3   0.868   37  0.599

 11 Wake Forest*               12-1   0.867  193  0.474

 12 Texas*                     12-2   0.863   70  0.569

 13 Kentucky*                  13-3   0.855    6  0.645

 14 Kansas*                    13-3   0.853  147  0.507

 15 Cincinnati*                11-3   0.851   26  0.611

 16 Illinois*                  12-3   0.847   96  0.550

 17 Auburn*                    15-2   0.844  170  0.489

 18 Butler*                    15-1   0.842  206  0.467

 19 Purdue*                    11-3   0.840   40  0.597

 20 Alabama*                   12-3   0.835   22  0.615

 21 Xavier (OH)*               12-4   0.835   27  0.610

 22 Indiana*                   13-3   0.832   17  0.619

 23 Oklahoma*                  11-3   0.831   91  0.551

 24 Texas Tech*                11-2   0.830  138  0.515

 25 Maryland*                  10-4   0.827   64  0.572

 26 Marquette*                 12-3   0.817   81  0.560

 27 Mississippi St.*           10-4   0.817   42  0.590

 28 Wisconsin*                 12-4   0.814   98  0.548

 29 Missouri*                  10-3   0.814   50  0.583

 30 Syracuse*                  11-2   0.812  185  0.480

 31 Brigham Young*             12-4   0.810   29  0.606

 32 North Carolina*            11-5   0.803    3  0.683

 33 Western Michigan*          10-4   0.800   66  0.572

 34 Connecticut*               11-2   0.794  222  0.458

 35 Arizona St.*               12-5   0.793   33  0.603

 36 Stanford*                  12-5   0.787    7  0.642

 37 California*                12-2   0.784  121  0.526

 38 LSU*                       12-3   0.780  235  0.449

 39 Oregon*                    12-4   0.779   87  0.554

 40 Kent St.*                  11-2   0.777  160  0.500

 41 Gonzaga*                   13-5   0.769   47  0.586

 42 Dayton*                    12-3   0.764   63  0.573

 43 Tulsa*                     10-4   0.759   46  0.587

 44 Holy Cross*                12-3   0.759  240  0.447

 45 Villanova*                 11-5   0.755   34  0.602

 46 Iowa*                      11-3   0.755  156  0.502

 47 Utah*                      12-4   0.754  143  0.510

 48 DePaul*                    10-4   0.751  105  0.542

 49 UNLV*                      11-3   0.751   79  0.561

 50 Pennsylvania*               6-4   0.746   77  0.563

 51 NC Wilmington*             10-4   0.743  103  0.544

 52 Fresno St.                 13-3   0.742  154  0.503

 53 Michigan St.                9-7   0.734   11  0.631

 54 Colorado                   11-5   0.733   88  0.554

 55 Central Michigan           11-3   0.730  111  0.534

 56 Southern Illinois          10-4   0.727   75  0.563

 57 Richmond                    9-6   0.727   31  0.605

 58 Virginia                   10-5   0.721   35  0.602

 59 Mississippi                10-4   0.718  199  0.471

 60 Clemson                    11-2   0.717  282  0.411

 61 Memphis                    10-4   0.714   90  0.551

 62 Illinois Chicago           10-4   0.712   92  0.551

 63 Louisiana Lafayette*       11-6   0.712  101  0.545

 64 Tennessee                   9-4   0.710   89  0.553

 65 Western Kentucky           11-6   0.709   62  0.574

 66 Manhattan*                 12-3   0.709  215  0.460

 67 Wyoming                    13-3   0.707  237  0.449

 68 Hawaii                     11-3   0.706  223  0.458

 69 Georgia Tech                8-6   0.705   41  0.592

 70 Providence                  9-6   0.705   36  0.600

 71 Davidson*                   9-5   0.702  186  0.480

 72 Utah St.*                  13-4   0.702  208  0.464

 73 Rice                       11-4   0.696  200  0.471

 74 Georgetown                  9-4   0.696  273  0.420

 75 Chattanooga                12-4   0.687  217  0.459

 76 Vanderbilt                  8-7   0.686   24  0.613

 77 St. Bonaventure             8-9   0.684    4  0.683

 78 Michigan                   11-6   0.683   68  0.570

 79 Rhode Island               11-4   0.683  109  0.538

 80 Kansas St.                 10-6   0.679  161  0.500

 81 Cal Irvine                 10-4   0.679  190  0.476

 82 Eastern Washington*        12-6   0.676  110  0.537

 83 Boston College              8-6   0.675   23  0.615

 84 UAB                        11-4   0.674  253  0.436

 85 St. John's (NY)             9-5   0.673  127  0.522

 86 New Mexico St.             11-4   0.669  225  0.457

 87 Appalachian St.            11-3   0.667  239  0.448

 88 North Carolina St.          9-4   0.666  247  0.442

 89 San Diego St.              11-4   0.654  228  0.455

 90 Wisconsin Milwaukee        13-5   0.653  166  0.492

 91 Iowa St.                   10-4   0.652  285  0.408

 92 East Carolina              10-5   0.649  204  0.468

 93 Minnesota                   9-5   0.649  117  0.530

 94 Colorado St.               13-4   0.647  292  0.401

 95 Stephen F. Austin*         11-3   0.645  324  0.351

 96 College of Charleston      12-5   0.645  226  0.457

 97 South Carolina              7-7   0.643   16  0.620

 98 South Florida               9-6   0.642   84  0.555

 99 Florida St.                 9-6   0.639  134  0.517

100 Troy St.*                  13-4   0.636  258  0.433

101 Murray St.*                 9-6   0.635  145  0.509

102 Denver                     12-6   0.631  194  0.474

103 Charlotte                   7-8   0.630   15  0.622

104 Texas A&M                   9-5   0.629  131  0.518

105 Yale                        6-7   0.624   19  0.618

106 Morehead St.               10-5   0.622  241  0.447

107 Boston University*         10-6   0.621  106  0.541

108 Valparaiso*                 8-7   0.620   56  0.579

109 Air Force                   9-6   0.618  202  0.470

110 Seton Hall                  7-7   0.617   45  0.587

111 Weber St.                  12-5   0.616  213  0.461

112 Ohio St.                    8-7   0.616   61  0.574

113 Drexel                      9-6   0.612  140  0.514

114 Marshall                    8-5   0.612  171  0.489

115 Siena                      10-5   0.612  169  0.491

116 West Virginia               9-6   0.610  108  0.539

117 Fairfield                  10-5   0.609  113  0.533

118 South Alabama               8-8   0.607   51  0.580

119 Oral Roberts               12-5   0.607  300  0.391

120 Bowling Green               9-5   0.605  188  0.479

121 Miami (FL)                  7-7   0.605  112  0.534

122 East Tennessee St.         10-6   0.604  248  0.442

123 Baylor                      9-5   0.601  276  0.419

124 George Mason                8-7   0.600  122  0.525

125 Southern California         7-6   0.599   94  0.551

126 Sam Houston St.             9-5   0.599  287  0.405

127 Princeton                   5-7   0.598   30  0.606

128 SW Missouri St.             8-6   0.598  172  0.488

129 Delaware                    9-6   0.597   99  0.547

130 San Diego                   8-8   0.590   80  0.561

131 Nevada                      8-8   0.588   97  0.549

132 SW Texas St.                9-5   0.587  280  0.415

133 Washington                  7-8   0.586   38  0.599

134 Pepperdine                 10-7   0.585   95  0.550

135 St. Mary's (CA)             9-7   0.584  207  0.464

136 Southern Mississippi        9-6   0.582  104  0.543

137 Pacific                     8-6   0.578  107  0.540

138 La Salle                    7-7   0.573   44  0.588

139 Nebraska                    9-7   0.571  137  0.517

140 Belmont                     9-7   0.571  123  0.525

141 Tennessee Tech              9-8   0.570  176  0.483

142 Harvard                     9-5   0.569  178  0.483

143 Rutgers                     8-7   0.567  139  0.514

144 Wichita St.                 9-5   0.567  254  0.434

145 Toledo                      8-7   0.564   71  0.568

146 Central Florida            11-6   0.560  262  0.431

147 Southern Methodist          7-8   0.551   21  0.616

148 Miami (OH)                  5-9   0.549    5  0.661

149 Tulane                      7-9   0.546  144  0.509

150 Vermont                    10-7   0.545  250  0.439

151 Oregon St.                  7-7   0.544  130  0.519

152 St. Louis                   6-9   0.542   12  0.626

153 Arkansas                    5-9   0.541   25  0.611

154 Wofford                     6-8   0.540   74  0.565

155 Detroit                     7-8   0.536  155  0.502

156 Mercer                      9-4   0.536  270  0.424

157 TCU                         6-9   0.535   28  0.609

158 VA Commonwealth             8-6   0.535  245  0.445

159 Jacksonville St.           10-4   0.534  309  0.374

160 Cal Santa Barbara           7-9   0.533  125  0.523

161 Hampton*                    9-4   0.529  283  0.410

162 George Washington           6-8   0.528   58  0.578

163 Santa Clara                10-6   0.527  229  0.454

164 New Orleans                 9-7   0.527  252  0.437

165 Eastern Illinois            6-10  0.520   13  0.624

166 Tennessee Martin           10-5   0.518  310  0.373

167 McNeese St.                 8-7   0.518  152  0.504

168 Cal St. Northridge          7-8   0.517  191  0.476

169 Austin Peay                 8-6   0.514  173  0.487

170 Northern Illinois           8-8   0.514   69  0.569

171 Loyola Chicago              8-11  0.513   53  0.579

172 Iona                        9-7   0.512  230  0.454

173 Wagner*                     7-7   0.509  157  0.501

174 Arkansas Little Rock       11-7   0.509  255  0.434

175 Ball St.                    6-9   0.502   32  0.603

176 Virginia Tech               7-8   0.493  128  0.521

177 Temple                      4-11  0.489    2  0.691

178 Louisiana Tech              5-7   0.489  100  0.546

179 Arkansas St.                7-9   0.489  274  0.420

180 Northwestern                8-7   0.486  233  0.451

181 Lehigh                     11-5   0.483  325  0.342

182 Old Dominion                6-8   0.483  175  0.483

183 Birmingham Southern*       10-6   0.481  315  0.366

184 Evansville                  5-9   0.480    8  0.638

185 Charleston Southern         9-7   0.480  201  0.470

186 Bradley                     6-10  0.479  136  0.517

187 Canisius                    6-9   0.476  116  0.530

188 Eastern Michigan            7-6   0.472  275  0.419

189 Idaho St.                   8-7   0.472  264  0.428

190 Drake                       7-10  0.470  118  0.529

191 Winthrop                   10-7   0.470  298  0.393

192 Akron                       7-6   0.469  294  0.398

193 UCLA                        4-9   0.468   54  0.579

194 Boise St.                   9-7   0.466  220  0.458

195 Coastal Carolina            9-7   0.465  211  0.463

196 Georgia Southern           10-5   0.464  323  0.353

197 IUPUI                       8-10  0.462   93  0.551

198 Binghamton                  8-7   0.460  231  0.453

199 Prairie View A&M*           5-7   0.457   43  0.590

200 Ohio                        4-9   0.453    9  0.633

201 Northeastern                8-9   0.452  288  0.405

202 Brown                       6-9   0.450  102  0.545

203 Niagara                     7-8   0.450  162  0.500

204 Northern Arizona            9-7   0.448  297  0.394

205 Wright St.                  7-8   0.445  205  0.467

206 North Texas                 6-10  0.444   82  0.558

207 Maine                       8-9   0.443  293  0.400

208 Oakland                     7-8   0.438  267  0.427

209 Montana                     8-11  0.436  150  0.506

210 Penn St.                    5-9   0.436   59  0.577

211 Middle Tennessee St.        7-10  0.433  141  0.512

212 Massachusetts               6-10  0.432  135  0.517

213 South Carolina St.          6-7   0.428  148  0.507

214 Alabama St.                 8-7   0.428  263  0.430

215 Washington St.              5-10  0.427   65  0.572

216 SE Missouri St.             7-9   0.424  184  0.481

217 Montana St.                 7-10  0.424  227  0.456

218 Northern Iowa               5-9   0.422  115  0.531

219 San Francisco               6-10  0.421  165  0.493

220 Marist                      7-8   0.418  216  0.460

221 Duquesne                    7-10  0.418  119  0.528

222 American                    6-10  0.416  183  0.481

223 Georgia St.                 7-8   0.415  278  0.416

224 Portland                    8-9   0.414  177  0.483

225 James Madison               7-9   0.414  210  0.463

226 Texas Southern              7-6   0.411  289  0.402

227 Quinnipiac                  7-6   0.410  305  0.384

228 Samford                     6-9   0.406  126  0.522

229 Idaho                       6-9   0.405  218  0.459

230 Hartford                    7-8   0.403  232  0.452

231 Lafayette                   7-8   0.397  307  0.383

232 Lamar                       6-8   0.395  224  0.457

233 Texas Arlington             6-8   0.392  236  0.449

234 Cleveland St.               7-11  0.392  159  0.500

235 Bucknell                    7-8   0.388  272  0.422

236 New Mexico                  5-9   0.386  149  0.507

237 Centenary                   7-11  0.384  114  0.533

238 Texas San Antonio           5-8   0.383  158  0.500

239 Loyola Marymount            7-12  0.380  209  0.463

240 Eastern Kentucky            7-8   0.379  319  0.360

241 Wisconsin Green Bay         6-11  0.376  142  0.511

242 Furman                      7-12  0.372  244  0.445

243 Southern Utah               7-9   0.371  277  0.418

244 Indiana St.                 5-11  0.370   85  0.555

245 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      7-9   0.362  251  0.438

246 Delaware St.                5-8   0.362  129  0.519

247 Cal Poly-SLO                7-8   0.362  260  0.433

248 St. Francis (PA)            7-6   0.362  308  0.383

249 Monmouth (NJ)               5-7   0.358  212  0.462

250 NC Asheville                5-9   0.356   76  0.563

251 Florida A&M                 6-7   0.354  179  0.483

252 Jackson St.                 4-10  0.352   49  0.584

253 Colgate                     7-9   0.348  313  0.369

254 Florida Atlantic            4-12  0.347   67  0.570

255 Fairleigh Dickinson         8-6   0.344  326  0.342

256 Youngstown St.              6-9   0.344  284  0.409

257 NC Greensboro               4-12  0.342   78  0.561

258 Norfolk St.                 8-6   0.338  316  0.366

259 William & Mary              6-7   0.337  321  0.356

260 Jacksonville                7-9   0.334  299  0.392

261 Buffalo                     3-11  0.334  120  0.527

262 Long Island                 4-9   0.334  153  0.503

263 The Citadel                 6-9   0.332  317  0.363

264 Louisiana Monroe            6-8   0.330  271  0.422

265 Rider                       5-9   0.330  261  0.431

266 High Point                  5-10  0.325  219  0.458

267 St. Peter's                 5-9   0.325  242  0.446

268 Central Connecticut         6-7   0.324  291  0.402

269 Cal St. Sacramento          7-9   0.324  197  0.471

270 Liberty                     8-8   0.324  320  0.360

271 Stony Brook                 6-9   0.323  303  0.388

272 Western Illinois            5-9   0.322  167  0.491

273 Houston                     3-10  0.320   52  0.579

274 Western Carolina            4-11  0.318  281  0.414

275 Florida International       6-11  0.317  266  0.428

276 Robert Morris               5-8   0.306  286  0.406

277 Cal Riverside               3-8   0.304  133  0.517

278 Navy                        5-11  0.298  301  0.389

279 Cornell                     5-8   0.297  279  0.415

280 Cal St. Fullerton           5-10  0.293  265  0.428

281 Mount St. Mary's            5-8   0.291  234  0.451

282 SE Louisiana                4-11  0.284  203  0.469

283 VMI                         5-10  0.283  296  0.395

284 San Jose St.                4-10  0.278  268  0.425

285 Gardner Webb                2-14  0.276   60  0.574

286 Grambling                   5-11  0.276  181  0.482

287 MD Baltimore County         4-9   0.275  196  0.471

288 Howard                      3-11  0.272  174  0.486

289 Coppin St.                  3-12  0.267   86  0.555

290 IUPU Ft. Wayne              3-15  0.264   73  0.566

291 St. Francis (NY)            3-10  0.261  257  0.433

292 Portland St.                4-13  0.255  198  0.471

293 Dartmouth                   4-9   0.255  312  0.371

294 Illinois St.                1-13  0.255   20  0.617

295 Mississippi Valley St.      3-10  0.253  295  0.397

296 Alcorn St.                  3-14  0.246  132  0.518

297 Alabama A&M                 5-8   0.243  322  0.355

298 Texas Pan American          4-16  0.243  180  0.482

299 Elon                        5-9   0.243  259  0.433

300 Fordham                     2-13  0.235   57  0.578

301 Northwestern St.            3-10  0.234  246  0.445

302 Albany (NY)                 4-11  0.230  256  0.433

303 Sacred Heart                4-11  0.230  238  0.448

304 Lipscomb                    4-14  0.226  306  0.383

305 Hofstra                     3-12  0.224  189  0.477

306 Chicago St.                 3-14  0.218  124  0.523

307 Bethune Cookman             2-10  0.204   83  0.556

308 Campbell                    4-11  0.202  290  0.402

309 Stetson                     2-12  0.193  187  0.480

310 Long Beach St.              2-12  0.193  182  0.481

311 Loyola (MD)                 4-11  0.188  314  0.369

312 Towson                      4-11  0.186  302  0.388

313 Texas El Paso               3-12  0.181  269  0.424

314 Missouri Kansas City        2-14  0.181  192  0.475

315 Army                        4-10  0.175  318  0.361

316 New Hampshire               3-13  0.175  214  0.461

317 Radford                     4-12  0.173  243  0.446

318 Tennessee St.               2-11  0.150  221  0.458

319 Nicholls St.                3-13  0.150  168  0.491

320 Southern                    3-8   0.141  328  0.234

321 MD Eastern Shore            2-12  0.133  311  0.372

322 Morris Brown                3-13  0.126  304  0.386

323 Columbia                    2-12  0.123  249  0.439

324 Morgan St.                  2-13  0.114  327  0.327

325 Wild Card U.               14-220 0.081   55  0.579

326 Savannah St.                1-15  0.081  195  0.473

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         0-14  0.055   10  0.632

328 North Carolina A&T          0-11  0.053  164  0.493







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.765

  2 Atlantic Coast                    0.760

  3 Big Twelve                        0.745

  4 Big Ten                           0.699

  5 Big East                          0.699

  6 Pacific 10                        0.669

  7 Mountain West                     0.666

  8 Conference USA                    0.655

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.604

 10 Mid-American                      0.568

 11 Sun Belt                          0.550

 12 Western Athletic                  0.546

 13 Horizon                           0.535

 14 West Coast                        0.534

 15 Missouri Valley                   0.527

 16 Southern                          0.496

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.481

 18 Colonial                          0.473

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.463

 20 Ivy League                        0.458

 21 Big West                          0.457

 22 Big Sky                           0.456

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.418

 24 Southland                         0.411

 25 Patriot                           0.408

 26 America East                      0.406

 27 Mid-Continent                     0.402

 28 Big South                         0.368

 29 Northeast                         0.334

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.286

 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.278

 32 Independents                      0.241







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-20-03:



ALCORN ST 19 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 128

ARKANSAS ST 12 over TAMU-CC, total 163

Yale 12 over ARMY, total 121

BELMONT 12 over Georgia St, total 153

CANISIUS 12 over St. Peter's, total 149

CENTRAL CONN 6 over Robert Morris, total 144

COASTAL CAROLINA 17 over Radford, total 133

COLL OF CHARLESTON 14 over Furman, total 125

CREIGHTON 35 over Illinois St, total 139

Birmingham Southern 4 over ELON, total 133

FLORIDA ATL 14 over Stetson, total 159

GEORGETOWN 11 over Rutgers, total 147

HAMPTON 20 over Bethune-Cookman, total 145

HOWARD 23 over North Carolina A&T, total 140

South Carolina St 10 over MD-EAST SHORE, total 154

Connecticut 4 over MIAMI-FLORIDA, total 153

MIAMI-OHIO 8 over Akron, total 132

Wagner 1 over MONMOUTH, total 144

MOREHEAD ST 30 over Tennessee St, total 163

Delaware St 8 over MORGAN ST, total 126

MT ST. MARY'S 7 over St. Francis-NY, total 145

NORFOLK ST 5 over Florida A&M, total 143

OKLAHOMA 5 over Texas Tech, total 143

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 10 over Jackson St, total 153

QUINNIPIAC 7 over St. Francis-PA, total 146

SAMFORD Pick 'em over Jacksonville St, total 135

BYU 2 over SAN DIEGO ST, total 136

SIENA 6 over Fairfield, total 145

Miss Valley St 2 over SOUTHERN U, total 142

TENN-MARTIN 3 over Tennessee Tech, total 142

TEXAS SOUTHERN 12 over Grambling, total 155

UCF 12 over Jacksonville, total 121

UMBC 3 over Long Island, total 144

Mercer 2 over UNC ASHEVILLE, total 160

UNLV 5 over Utah, total 138

Chattanooga 1 over WOFFORD, total 147

WYOMING 7 over Air Force, total 114



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