ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 2-2-03. Home court advantage is 0.634, or about 4.99 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Louisville*                16-1   0.939   24  0.630

  2 Arizona*                   16-2   0.915    9  0.652

  3 Florida*                   18-2   0.898   34  0.614

  4 Pittsburgh*                15-2   0.891  119  0.530

  5 Kentucky*                  16-3   0.890    6  0.674

  6 Notre Dame*                18-3   0.886   26  0.629

  7 Oklahoma St.*              17-2   0.883   60  0.585

  8 Creighton*                 19-2   0.881  165  0.498

  9 Texas*                     14-3   0.880   22  0.633

 10 St. Joseph's (PA)*         15-3   0.875   49  0.599

 11 Wake Forest*               15-2   0.874   89  0.556

 12 Georgia*                   13-5   0.869    1  0.736

 13 Duke*                      14-3   0.866   41  0.606

 14 Oklahoma*                  15-3   0.866   50  0.598

 15 Maryland*                  14-4   0.861   62  0.583

 16 Marquette*                 15-3   0.859   57  0.588

 17 Purdue*                    14-4   0.854   17  0.642

 18 Illinois*                  15-4   0.853   63  0.583

 19 Xavier (OH)*               15-4   0.851   55  0.590

 20 Kansas*                    15-5   0.842   88  0.562

 21 Mississippi St.*           13-5   0.837   23  0.632

 22 Wisconsin*                 15-4   0.836  112  0.536

 23 Syracuse*                  14-3   0.828  108  0.539

 24 Cincinnati*                13-5   0.825   20  0.635

 25 Missouri*                  13-4   0.823   25  0.629

 26 Indiana*                   14-6   0.811    4  0.682

 27 Kent St.*                  15-2   0.811  115  0.535

 28 Stanford*                  16-5   0.810   13  0.648

 29 Alabama*                   13-5   0.807   10  0.651

 30 Butler*                    17-3   0.804  156  0.503

 31 Dayton*                    15-3   0.803   65  0.582

 32 Brigham Young*             14-5   0.803   43  0.603

 33 Texas Tech*                12-5   0.798   51  0.595

 34 Auburn*                    15-5   0.798   92  0.551

 35 Utah*                      15-4   0.796   96  0.547

 36 Arizona St.*               13-7   0.792   15  0.645

 37 Gonzaga*                   16-5   0.791   78  0.568

 38 Oregon*                    15-5   0.775   90  0.555

 39 California*                14-4   0.773   64  0.583

 40 Connecticut*               13-4   0.765  143  0.516

 41 Michigan St.*              12-8   0.762   21  0.633

 42 Western Michigan*          12-6   0.760   85  0.562

 43 Manhattan*                 17-3   0.757  173  0.490

 44 Southern Illinois*         14-4   0.757  116  0.534

 45 NC Wilmington*             13-5   0.756  135  0.520

 46 Tennessee*                 11-6   0.753   16  0.643

 47 Louisiana Lafayette*       14-6   0.750  102  0.544

 48 Wyoming*                   16-3   0.749  176  0.485

 49 North Carolina*            11-9   0.744    2  0.709

 50 LSU*                       12-7   0.744   86  0.562

 51 Holy Cross*                16-4   0.742  273  0.415

 52 Pennsylvania*              10-5   0.740  126  0.524

 53 Colorado                   12-7   0.738   37  0.609

 54 Villanova                  12-7   0.738   29  0.624

 55 Georgia Tech               11-7   0.737   47  0.600

 56 Mississippi                12-6   0.736  122  0.527

 57 North Carolina St.         12-5   0.731  139  0.519

 58 Boston College             10-8   0.730    7  0.669

 59 Richmond                   12-7   0.730   66  0.581

 60 DePaul                     11-7   0.723   30  0.623

 61 Fresno St.*                15-4   0.722  155  0.504

 62 Vanderbilt                 10-8   0.719   11  0.650

 63 Memphis                    12-5   0.715  100  0.545

 64 Virginia                   12-7   0.704   32  0.617

 65 Hawaii                     13-5   0.704  157  0.502

 66 Providence                 10-8   0.703   35  0.611

 67 UNLV                       12-6   0.701   68  0.580

 68 Utah St.*                  16-4   0.700  244  0.434

 69 Illinois Chicago           14-5   0.697  137  0.520

 70 Central Michigan           13-5   0.696  111  0.537

 71 Michigan                   13-8   0.695   42  0.604

 72 Davidson*                  12-6   0.693  205  0.462

 73 Texas A&M                  11-6   0.690   69  0.580

 74 Stephen F. Austin*         14-3   0.687  316  0.361

 75 Tulsa                      11-7   0.686   81  0.567

 76 Iowa                       11-6   0.685  109  0.538

 77 Wisconsin Milwaukee        16-5   0.684  164  0.498

 78 St. John's (NY)            11-6   0.684  101  0.545

 79 College of Charleston      16-5   0.682  233  0.444

 80 Georgetown                 10-7   0.681  162  0.500

 81 Kansas St.                 11-8   0.680  113  0.535

 82 Troy St.*                  17-4   0.677  247  0.430

 83 Western Kentucky           12-8   0.673   73  0.572

 84 Minnesota                  12-6   0.671  106  0.543

 85 Florida St.                11-8   0.667   59  0.585

 86 Iowa St.                   12-6   0.667  187  0.477

 87 West Virginia              12-7   0.666   58  0.586

 88 Ohio St.                   10-9   0.660   27  0.627

 89 Seton Hall                  9-9   0.658   18  0.640

 90 Rice                       13-6   0.655  177  0.485

 91 UAB                        12-5   0.653  235  0.441

 92 St. Bonaventure            10-10  0.652   19  0.638

 93 Weber St.*                 16-5   0.651  227  0.448

 94 Rhode Island               12-6   0.648   98  0.546

 95 SW Missouri St.            12-6   0.646  211  0.459

 96 Colorado St.               14-5   0.644  262  0.422

 97 Charlotte                   8-10  0.644   12  0.648

 98 Morehead St.*              14-6   0.643  269  0.418

 99 Eastern Washington         13-8   0.642  123  0.526

100 New Mexico St.             13-6   0.642  196  0.471

101 Chattanooga                14-6   0.640  216  0.456

102 Oregon St.                 11-7   0.636  121  0.528

103 Nevada                     11-8   0.632  118  0.531

104 Air Force                  10-8   0.631  124  0.525

105 South Carolina              7-10  0.630    5  0.678

106 Boston University*         12-7   0.629  134  0.520

107 Miami (FL)                  9-9   0.629   72  0.575

108 Clemson                    11-6   0.628  170  0.491

109 Detroit                    11-8   0.628  148  0.512

110 Murray St.                 12-7   0.622  200  0.467

111 South Florida              10-8   0.621   84  0.563

112 Valparaiso*                11-8   0.621   97  0.547

113 Appalachian St.            14-5   0.618  272  0.415

114 Sam Houston St.            13-5   0.618  310  0.372

115 East Carolina              11-8   0.615  125  0.524

116 Oral Roberts               14-6   0.614  283  0.408

117 Princeton                   8-7   0.609  141  0.518

118 Southern California         8-9   0.607   45  0.602

119 George Mason               11-8   0.601  171  0.490

120 San Diego St.              11-7   0.598  178  0.484

121 Cal Irvine                 11-7   0.598  184  0.479

122 Fairfield                  12-7   0.598  129  0.522

123 San Diego                  10-9   0.597   76  0.572

124 South Alabama              11-9   0.596   95  0.549

125 St. Louis                   8-10  0.595   14  0.648

126 East Tennessee St.         11-8   0.594  202  0.464

127 Miami (OH)                  9-9   0.593   46  0.601

128 St. Mary's (CA)            11-8   0.589  207  0.461

129 Pacific                    11-7   0.588  160  0.501

130 Baylor                      9-8   0.588  168  0.493

131 Tennessee Tech             12-9   0.586  197  0.469

132 Central Florida            15-7   0.586  253  0.425

133 Mercer                     13-5   0.585  264  0.420

134 SW Texas St.               12-6   0.585  282  0.408

135 Siena                      13-7   0.583  201  0.466

136 Drexel                     11-8   0.582  152  0.508

137 Southern Methodist         10-9   0.582   54  0.591

138 Yale                        8-9   0.581   91  0.555

139 Toledo                      9-9   0.576   52  0.593

140 Austin Peay                13-6   0.574  213  0.458

141 Rutgers                     9-10  0.573   74  0.572

142 Pepperdine                 11-9   0.571   87  0.562

143 Belmont                    12-9   0.571  133  0.521

144 Arkansas                    6-11  0.570    8  0.658

145 Tulane                      9-10  0.569  131  0.521

146 Wagner*                    11-7   0.567  199  0.467

147 Washington                  8-10  0.562   38  0.608

148 Bowling Green              10-8   0.556  138  0.519

149 Temple                      6-12  0.554    3  0.694

150 Cal Santa Barbara           9-10  0.552  147  0.512

151 Delaware                   11-8   0.552  182  0.480

152 New Orleans                12-8   0.550  242  0.437

153 VA Commonwealth            11-7   0.549  238  0.439

154 Denver                     12-10  0.548  175  0.485

155 George Washington           8-10  0.544   67  0.580

156 La Salle                    8-10  0.543   61  0.584

157 Wichita St.                11-7   0.540  219  0.454

158 Marshall                    9-8   0.535  185  0.478

159 Harvard                    10-7   0.534  172  0.490

160 Northern Illinois          10-9   0.532  105  0.543

161 Southern Mississippi        9-9   0.525   79  0.568

162 Evansville                  8-10  0.521   39  0.608

163 TCU                         7-12  0.520   36  0.609

164 Iona                       11-8   0.516  222  0.451

165 Louisiana Tech              7-9   0.513   99  0.546

166 Old Dominion                9-9   0.513  204  0.463

167 Arkansas Little Rock       13-8   0.512  243  0.434

168 Nebraska                    9-11  0.512   83  0.567

169 Arkansas St.                9-11  0.512  245  0.431

170 Loyola Chicago              9-13  0.510   70  0.577

171 Ball St.                    8-11  0.510   53  0.591

172 Wofford                     8-10  0.501  117  0.532

173 Vermont                    12-9   0.498  280  0.408

174 Brown                       9-9   0.496  151  0.508

175 Winthrop*                  13-7   0.493  312  0.368

176 McNeese St.                 9-8   0.492  180  0.482

177 Northeastern               12-10  0.490  285  0.406

178 Idaho St.                  11-8   0.487  255  0.424

179 Niagara                    10-9   0.486  174  0.488

180 San Francisco               9-11  0.484  161  0.500

181 Binghamton                 11-8   0.484  254  0.425

182 Ohio                        6-10  0.482   33  0.615

183 Akron                       9-9   0.481  217  0.455

184 Birmingham Southern        13-7   0.481  324  0.339

185 Cal St. Northridge          9-10  0.479  226  0.448

186 Eastern Illinois            8-12  0.478   93  0.551

187 Texas Southern*            11-6   0.478  314  0.362

188 IUPUI                      11-11  0.475  146  0.513

189 Jacksonville St.           12-7   0.474  311  0.370

190 Santa Clara                11-9   0.473  181  0.480

191 Middle Tennessee St.       10-11  0.473  154  0.504

192 Oakland                    11-9   0.473  289  0.401

193 Lehigh                     13-7   0.468  318  0.357

194 Virginia Tech               8-11  0.467  103  0.544

195 Northwestern                8-10  0.466  140  0.518

196 Charleston Southern        11-8   0.465  266  0.419

197 UCLA                        4-13  0.465   28  0.624

198 Boise St.                  10-9   0.463  192  0.474

199 American                    9-11  0.462  209  0.461

200 Bradley                     7-13  0.460  144  0.516

201 Tennessee Martin           11-9   0.459  275  0.412

202 Canisius                    8-12  0.452  167  0.496

203 Prairie View A&M            8-8   0.451  130  0.521

204 Hampton*                   11-6   0.450  313  0.365

205 Hartford                   10-10  0.446  246  0.431

206 Northern Arizona           11-9   0.442  287  0.404

207 Massachusetts               8-12  0.440  114  0.535

208 Georgia Southern           11-8   0.436  307  0.375

209 Alabama St.                10-8   0.436  291  0.395

210 Georgia St.                10-9   0.435  284  0.407

211 New Mexico                  7-11  0.431  163  0.499

212 Eastern Michigan            8-9   0.430  251  0.427

213 South Carolina St.         11-7   0.429  297  0.386

214 Portland                    9-11  0.424  179  0.483

215 North Texas                 7-13  0.423   80  0.568

216 Drake                       7-13  0.423  104  0.543

217 Centenary                  11-11  0.423  270  0.417

218 Texas Arlington             8-10  0.423  203  0.463

219 Wright St.                  8-11  0.420  191  0.475

220 Cal Poly-SLO                9-9   0.418  212  0.459

221 Maine                       9-12  0.418  281  0.408

222 Bucknell                   10-10  0.417  279  0.409

223 Montana St.                 9-11  0.416  257  0.423

224 Houston                     6-11  0.415   56  0.589

225 Samford                     8-12  0.415  142  0.516

226 SE Missouri St.             9-11  0.415  210  0.460

227 Washington St.              5-13  0.413   40  0.608

228 Lamar                       8-9   0.412  265  0.420

229 Monmouth (NJ)               9-8   0.411  261  0.422

230 Montana                     9-13  0.400  193  0.473

231 Coastal Carolina           10-10  0.399  259  0.423

232 Idaho                       8-10  0.396  258  0.423

233 Furman                      9-14  0.394  214  0.458

234 Marist                      8-11  0.390  195  0.472

235 Penn St.                    5-13  0.390   31  0.619

236 Stony Brook                10-9   0.385  320  0.348

237 Lafayette                   9-11  0.376  293  0.392

238 Rider                       8-11  0.375  236  0.441

239 Duquesne                    7-14  0.374   77  0.571

240 Northern Iowa               6-12  0.373  150  0.509

241 Wisconsin Green Bay         7-14  0.372  127  0.524

242 James Madison               8-12  0.372  225  0.449

243 Delaware St.                8-9   0.369  228  0.447

244 Cleveland St.               7-14  0.361  128  0.523

245 Central Connecticut         9-8   0.360  300  0.379

246 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      8-12  0.357  208  0.461

247 Jacksonville               10-10  0.355  301  0.379

248 Texas San Antonio           6-11  0.355  158  0.502

249 Coppin St.                  6-12  0.355  107  0.540

250 Florida A&M                 9-8   0.355  290  0.398

251 Loyola Marymount            7-15  0.353  188  0.477

252 Eastern Kentucky            8-11  0.350  309  0.374

253 NC Asheville                8-11  0.350  159  0.501

254 Quinnipiac                  8-9   0.345  302  0.377

255 The Citadel                 7-12  0.343  267  0.418

256 Colgate                     9-11  0.339  315  0.361

257 NC Greensboro               6-14  0.335  153  0.505

258 St. Francis (PA)            9-8   0.333  319  0.356

259 Southern Utah               8-11  0.332  298  0.386

260 SE Louisiana                7-11  0.332  250  0.427

261 Illinois St.                3-15  0.325   44  0.603

262 Western Carolina            6-13  0.325  276  0.410

263 Youngstown St.              7-12  0.324  274  0.414

264 Fairleigh Dickinson         9-8   0.322  325  0.338

265 Cal St. Sacramento          8-12  0.319  186  0.478

266 Cal St. Fullerton           6-13  0.318  224  0.450

267 Indiana St.                 5-15  0.316   82  0.567

268 Norfolk St.                 9-8   0.313  322  0.344

269 St. Peter's                 6-13  0.311  218  0.454

270 Liberty                     9-10  0.309  304  0.377

271 Mississippi Valley St.      6-11  0.308  306  0.376

272 Louisiana Monroe            7-11  0.308  237  0.441

273 Florida International       6-13  0.307  223  0.450

274 Jackson St.                 4-13  0.306   94  0.549

275 Buffalo                     3-14  0.302  132  0.521

276 Cal Riverside               4-11  0.302  136  0.520

277 Long Island                 6-11  0.301  249  0.427

278 William & Mary              7-10  0.300  299  0.383

279 San Jose St.                5-13  0.296  190  0.476

280 Florida Atlantic            5-16  0.292  145  0.513

281 Grambling                   7-12  0.281  232  0.444

282 Hofstra                     5-14  0.280  169  0.492

283 Navy                        6-14  0.279  296  0.386

284 VMI                         6-13  0.276  256  0.424

285 Robert Morris               6-11  0.272  295  0.387

286 Western Illinois            6-13  0.272  221  0.452

287 High Point                  6-13  0.270  278  0.409

288 Mount St. Mary's            7-10  0.269  286  0.406

289 MD Baltimore County         6-11  0.267  268  0.418

290 Alcorn St.                  6-15  0.267  220  0.453

291 St. Francis (NY)            5-12  0.262  303  0.377

292 Cornell                     7-10  0.258  308  0.375

293 Gardner Webb                3-18  0.256  110  0.537

294 Howard                      5-13  0.254  294  0.390

295 Portland St.                4-16  0.253  149  0.509

296 Elon                        7-12  0.251  248  0.428

297 Dartmouth                   4-13  0.248  241  0.437

298 IUPU Ft. Wayne              4-18  0.244  120  0.530

299 Texas Pan American          6-17  0.243  240  0.438

300 Missouri Kansas City        4-16  0.238  166  0.497

301 Lipscomb                    6-16  0.220  326  0.323

302 Fordham                     2-17  0.217   48  0.600

303 Stetson                     4-14  0.212  260  0.423

304 Albany (NY)                 5-14  0.212  263  0.421

305 Northwestern St.            3-14  0.212  194  0.472

306 Alabama A&M                 5-11  0.206  323  0.340

307 Texas El Paso               4-14  0.198  230  0.444

308 Long Beach St.              3-15  0.192  183  0.479

309 Sacred Heart                4-15  0.185  271  0.416

310 Chicago St.                 3-18  0.171  189  0.477

311 Loyola (MD)                 4-15  0.170  277  0.410

312 Radford                     5-15  0.168  252  0.425

313 Towson                      4-15  0.166  231  0.444

314 Bethune Cookman             3-14  0.165  215  0.457

315 Morris Brown                5-14  0.161  305  0.376

316 Campbell                    4-15  0.161  292  0.394

317 Army                        5-14  0.157  317  0.359

318 Southern                    4-12  0.146  328  0.270

319 New Hampshire               3-17  0.141  239  0.438

320 Nicholls St.                3-17  0.133  206  0.462

321 Morgan St.                  4-15  0.131  327  0.296

322 Tennessee St.               2-17  0.125  198  0.468

323 MD Eastern Shore            2-16  0.107  321  0.345

324 Columbia                    2-15  0.101  288  0.403

325 Savannah St.                2-18  0.095  229  0.446

326 Wild Card U.               14-232 0.072   75  0.572

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         0-18  0.041   71  0.576

328 North Carolina A&T          0-16  0.041  234  0.441







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.771

  2 Atlantic Coast                    0.757

  3 Big Twelve                        0.747

  4 Big East                          0.707

  5 Big Ten                           0.699

  6 Pacific 10                        0.675

  7 Mountain West                     0.669

  8 Conference USA                    0.658

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.603

 10 Mid-American                      0.559

 11 Western Athletic                  0.545

 12 Sun Belt                          0.544

 13 West Coast                        0.535

 14 Horizon                           0.533

 15 Missouri Valley                   0.524

 16 Southern                          0.486

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.472

 18 Colonial                          0.467

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.464

 20 Big West                          0.454

 21 Big Sky                           0.451

 22 Ivy League                        0.446

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.418

 24 Southland                         0.414

 25 America East                      0.411

 26 Patriot                           0.405

 27 Mid-Continent                     0.399

 28 Big South                         0.354

 29 Northeast                         0.325

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.292

 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.270

 32 Independents                      0.249







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-3-03:



APPALACHIAN ST 18 over Western Car, total 158

ARKANSAS ST 5 over Ark-Little Rock, total 147

BYU 10 over Air Force, total 106

BETHUNE-COOKMAN 18 over North Carolina A&T, total 133

CENTRAL CONN 9 over St. Francis-NY, total 142

CHATTANOOGA 14 over Georgia So, total 160

COLL OF CHARLESTON 18 over UNC Greensboro, total 141

DELAWARE ST 6 over Norfolk St, total 109

EASTERN MICH 1 over Marshall, total 169

EVANSVILLE Pick 'em over SMS, total 144

FLORIDA A&M 3 over South Carolina St, total 162

GRAMBLING 4 over Miss Valley St, total 158

HAMPTON 11 over William & Mary, total 146

HOWARD 14 over Morgan St, total 160

JACKSON ST 26 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 139

JACKSONVILLE ST 25 over Savannah St, total 143

KANSAS 7 over Missouri, total 151

KENT ST 13 over Miami-Ohio, total 119

LAMAR 2 over McNeese St, total 141

Coppin St 8 over MD-EAST SHORE, total 121

MT ST. MARY'S 3 over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 143

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 16 over Alabama A&M, total 145

QUINNIPIAC 8 over Long Island, total 165

SACRED HEART 1 over Robert Morris, total 155

SAINT JOSEPH'S 13 over Villanova, total 134

Wyoming 1 over SAN DIEGO ST, total 148

SIENA 13 over Rider, total 139

SYRACUSE 14 over Georgetown, total 157

TAMU-CC 11 over IPFW, total 156

TEXAS SOUTHERN 6 over Alabama St, total 129

THE CITADEL 2 over Furman, total 112

Monmouth 1 over UMBC, total 120

UNLV 8 over Colorado St, total 162

UTAH 18 over New Mexico, total 126

WAGNER 14 over St. Francis-PA, total 141

Davidson 2 over WOFFORD, total 141



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