ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 2-9-03. Home court advantage is 0.639, or about 5.02 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Louisville*                18-1   0.942   30  0.628

  2 Arizona*                   18-2   0.919   16  0.657

  3 Kentucky*                  18-3   0.906    4  0.689

  4 Florida*                   19-3   0.895   23  0.641

  5 St. Joseph's (PA)*         17-3   0.880   59  0.590

  6 Oklahoma*                  16-3   0.880   60  0.589

  7 Pittsburgh*                16-3   0.879  102  0.554

  8 Creighton*                 21-2   0.878  185  0.477

  9 Notre Dame*                19-4   0.875   27  0.637

 10 Oklahoma St.*              18-3   0.875   47  0.608

 11 Duke*                      16-3   0.871   50  0.600

 12 Texas*                     15-4   0.870   18  0.653

 13 Wake Forest*               16-3   0.868   67  0.582

 14 Georgia*                   13-6   0.864    1  0.748

 15 Marquette*                 17-3   0.864   64  0.586

 16 Kansas*                    17-5   0.863   66  0.584

 17 Illinois*                  16-4   0.862   65  0.585

 18 Xavier (OH)*               17-4   0.857   61  0.589

 19 Mississippi St.*           15-5   0.847   43  0.612

 20 Purdue*                    15-5   0.846   17  0.657

 21 Syracuse*                  16-3   0.845  100  0.554

 22 Wisconsin*                 16-5   0.838   75  0.574

 23 Cincinnati*                14-6   0.835   10  0.669

 24 Missouri*                  14-5   0.830   13  0.661

 25 Brigham Young*             16-5   0.829   46  0.609

 26 Maryland*                  14-6   0.823   58  0.590

 27 Arizona St.*               15-7   0.815   20  0.650

 28 Butler*                    18-3   0.814  150  0.505

 29 California*                16-4   0.812   37  0.616

 30 Stanford*                  17-6   0.810   11  0.667

 31 Auburn*                    17-5   0.810   95  0.558

 32 Utah*                      17-4   0.805  103  0.547

 33 Texas Tech*                13-6   0.803   40  0.613

 34 Dayton*                    16-4   0.789   54  0.594

 35 Kent St.*                  17-3   0.789  129  0.527

 36 Michigan St.*              13-8   0.781   22  0.648

 37 Gonzaga*                   17-6   0.781   84  0.569

 38 Alabama*                   13-7   0.780    8  0.676

 39 Indiana*                   14-8   0.775    7  0.677

 40 Oregon*                    16-6   0.775   77  0.573

 41 Tennessee*                 13-6   0.772   29  0.631

 42 Colorado*                  14-7   0.766   38  0.615

 43 Southern Illinois*         16-4   0.765  115  0.537

 44 Western Michigan*          13-6   0.763   96  0.557

 45 Manhattan*                 19-3   0.762  195  0.467

 46 Connecticut*               14-5   0.760  109  0.541

 47 Louisiana Lafayette*       16-6   0.754  118  0.534

 48 NC Wilmington*             15-5   0.751  174  0.486

 49 Memphis*                   14-5   0.748  105  0.546

 50 LSU*                       13-8   0.748   73  0.575

 51 Holy Cross*                17-4   0.748  270  0.411

 52 Georgia Tech               12-8   0.746   35  0.622

 53 North Carolina             12-10  0.745    2  0.716

 54 Virginia                   14-7   0.742   25  0.640

 55 Villanova                  13-8   0.738   24  0.641

 56 Pennsylvania*              12-5   0.736  157  0.498

 57 Fresno St.*                17-4   0.734  164  0.496

 58 DePaul                     12-7   0.730   36  0.617

 59 North Carolina St.         12-7   0.718   88  0.564

 60 Mississippi                12-8   0.718   83  0.569

 61 Boston College             11-9   0.717   14  0.660

 62 Wyoming                    16-5   0.713  145  0.509

 63 Michigan                   14-8   0.713   44  0.612

 64 Tulsa                      12-7   0.710   82  0.571

 65 Central Michigan           14-5   0.706  114  0.538

 66 Iowa                       12-7   0.702   91  0.562

 67 Minnesota                  13-7   0.698   74  0.574

 68 Richmond                   12-8   0.698   89  0.564

 69 Troy St.*                  19-4   0.695  254  0.421

 70 Illinois Chicago           15-6   0.693  122  0.530

 71 Wisconsin Milwaukee        18-5   0.692  181  0.481

 72 Utah St.*                  17-5   0.690  214  0.453

 73 UNLV                       13-7   0.688   80  0.571

 74 College of Charleston*     18-5   0.687  243  0.435

 75 Western Kentucky           15-8   0.685  117  0.534

 76 Providence                 10-10  0.682   28  0.633

 77 Vanderbilt                 10-10  0.680   15  0.658

 78 Hawaii                     13-7   0.679  128  0.528

 79 Seton Hall                 11-9   0.678   32  0.625

 80 New Mexico St.             15-6   0.675  182  0.480

 81 Kansas St.                 11-10  0.674   69  0.580

 82 Davidson                   13-7   0.674  197  0.466

 83 Weber St.*                 18-5   0.672  226  0.448

 84 Florida St.                11-9   0.669   49  0.602

 85 St. Bonaventure            11-11  0.664   19  0.652

 86 Texas A&M                  11-8   0.664   51  0.599

 87 Ohio St.                   11-10  0.661   26  0.640

 88 Rhode Island               14-6   0.661  113  0.538

 89 Georgetown                 10-9   0.659  132  0.523

 90 South Carolina              8-11  0.657    3  0.700

 91 Southern California        10-9   0.655   45  0.610

 92 SW Missouri St.            13-7   0.654  188  0.476

 93 Iowa St.                   12-7   0.654  163  0.496

 94 Nevada                     13-8   0.653  123  0.530

 95 Chattanooga                16-6   0.649  219  0.451

 96 Valparaiso*                13-8   0.648  110  0.540

 97 West Virginia              12-8   0.648   56  0.591

 98 Clemson                    12-7   0.647  121  0.531

 99 Rice                       13-7   0.646  144  0.510

100 St. John's (NY)            11-8   0.645  101  0.554

101 Morehead St.*              15-7   0.641  245  0.431

102 Boston University*         14-7   0.639  167  0.494

103 Eastern Washington         15-8   0.638  161  0.496

104 Stephen F. Austin*         14-5   0.633  301  0.380

105 San Diego                  12-9   0.632   72  0.575

106 South Florida              12-8   0.630  106  0.545

107 Detroit                    12-9   0.628  135  0.522

108 Sam Houston St.            15-5   0.628  308  0.365

109 Princeton                  10-7   0.627  175  0.485

110 Charlotte                   8-12  0.624   12  0.664

111 Oral Roberts               16-6   0.623  298  0.382

112 San Diego St.              12-7   0.619  171  0.490

113 Appalachian St.            15-6   0.613  258  0.418

114 East Carolina              12-9   0.613  107  0.544

115 Cal Irvine                 13-7   0.611  218  0.451

116 UAB                        12-7   0.611  225  0.449

117 Murray St.                 12-9   0.610  156  0.498

118 Miami (FL)                  9-10  0.609   81  0.571

119 Colorado St.               14-7   0.608  216  0.452

120 Central Florida            17-7   0.606  279  0.404

121 Oregon St.                 11-9   0.605  104  0.547

122 Tulane                     11-10  0.605  124  0.530

123 Drexel                     13-8   0.603  170  0.490

124 George Mason               12-9   0.602  149  0.506

125 Tennessee Tech             14-9   0.598  207  0.459

126 Austin Peay                15-6   0.598  224  0.449

127 St. Louis                   8-12  0.596    9  0.674

128 Southern Methodist         12-9   0.595   85  0.568

129 SW Texas St.               14-6   0.594  303  0.376

130 Mercer                     15-5   0.593  273  0.408

131 Air Force                  10-10  0.592   97  0.557

132 Rutgers                    10-10  0.591   71  0.576

133 South Alabama              11-11  0.591   70  0.576

134 Arkansas                    7-12  0.588    6  0.680

135 Baylor                     10-9   0.585  127  0.528

136 Yale                       10-9   0.585  133  0.523

137 East Tennessee St.         12-9   0.582  212  0.456

138 Northern Illinois          12-9   0.581   93  0.559

139 Cal Santa Barbara          11-10  0.580  151  0.505

140 Pacific                    11-8   0.575  143  0.510

141 Miami (OH)                  9-11  0.570   39  0.615

142 VA Commonwealth            13-7   0.569  275  0.408

143 Pepperdine                 12-10  0.568   98  0.556

144 Temple                      7-12  0.568    5  0.682

145 Fairfield                  13-8   0.564  154  0.498

146 St. Mary's (CA)            11-10  0.558  193  0.469

147 Washington                  8-12  0.557   31  0.626

148 La Salle                   10-10  0.556   99  0.555

149 Wagner*                    13-8   0.554  232  0.446

150 Belmont                    13-10  0.551  172  0.488

151 Toledo                      9-11  0.549   53  0.598

152 Bowling Green              10-10  0.540  116  0.536

153 Siena                      13-9   0.539  203  0.460

154 New Orleans                12-10  0.539  192  0.470

155 Virginia Tech              10-11  0.537   92  0.559

156 Wofford                    10-10  0.536  126  0.529

157 Iona                       13-8   0.533  236  0.438

158 Southern Mississippi       10-10  0.531   79  0.572

159 Wichita St.                12-8   0.530  228  0.447

160 Arkansas St.               11-11  0.530  251  0.425

161 Ball St.                   10-11  0.529   87  0.566

162 Marshall                   10-10  0.528  158  0.498

163 Louisiana Tech              9-9   0.524  134  0.523

164 Delaware                   11-10  0.523  155  0.498

165 Loyola Chicago             10-14  0.520   68  0.581

166 Denver                     12-12  0.519  169  0.491

167 George Washington           8-12  0.519   63  0.587

168 Vermont                    14-9   0.518  293  0.388

169 Evansville                  9-11  0.515   52  0.599

170 San Francisco              10-11  0.512  140  0.515

171 Middle Tennessee St.       12-11  0.511  159  0.498

172 Nebraska                    9-12  0.509   55  0.592

173 Harvard                    10-9   0.508  153  0.501

174 UCLA                        5-14  0.507   21  0.649

175 Arkansas Little Rock       14-9   0.506  235  0.439

176 Eastern Illinois           11-12  0.505  138  0.517

177 TCU                         7-14  0.505   34  0.622

178 Brown                      11-9   0.503  179  0.481

179 Niagara                    11-10  0.498  152  0.503

180 Cal St. Northridge         10-10  0.497  223  0.449

181 McNeese St.                10-9   0.497  177  0.483

182 Texas Southern*            13-6   0.484  314  0.348

183 Northwestern                9-11  0.484  119  0.533

184 Winthrop*                  14-8   0.482  311  0.358

185 Akron                      10-10  0.481  213  0.454

186 Lehigh                     14-7   0.481  315  0.346

187 IUPUI                      12-12  0.480  147  0.507

188 Oakland                    12-9   0.477  288  0.396

189 American                   10-11  0.473  221  0.450

190 Northeastern               13-11  0.473  285  0.397

191 Tennessee Martin           12-10  0.472  253  0.422

192 Old Dominion                9-11  0.472  196  0.466

193 Ohio                        7-11  0.468   57  0.591

194 New Mexico                  8-12  0.465  131  0.524

195 Bradley                     8-14  0.464  136  0.521

196 Birmingham Southern        14-8   0.463  317  0.340

197 Hartford                   11-10  0.462  249  0.426

198 Charleston Southern        12-9   0.460  260  0.417

199 Jacksonville St.           13-9   0.459  296  0.385

200 Idaho St.                  11-10  0.457  239  0.437

201 Eastern Michigan           10-9   0.456  256  0.420

202 Northern Arizona           12-9   0.455  286  0.396

203 Binghamton                 11-10  0.452  244  0.433

204 Santa Clara                11-10  0.447  190  0.474

205 Georgia Southern           12-9   0.445  294  0.388

206 Canisius                    8-14  0.442  139  0.517

207 Boise St.                  10-11  0.439  183  0.479

208 Texas Arlington             9-10  0.439  206  0.460

209 Prairie View A&M            9-9   0.438  165  0.495

210 Samford                    10-12  0.436  176  0.483

211 South Carolina St.*        13-7   0.434  309  0.362

212 Maine                      11-12  0.429  292  0.389

213 Monmouth (NJ)              11-9   0.428  264  0.414

214 Alabama St.                11-9   0.428  302  0.377

215 Centenary                  12-12  0.425  271  0.410

216 Georgia St.                10-11  0.423  241  0.436

217 Montana St.                10-12  0.417  252  0.423

218 Lamar                      10-10  0.416  274  0.408

219 Idaho                       9-11  0.412  234  0.441

220 Montana                    10-14  0.411  187  0.476

221 Hampton                    12-7   0.408  326  0.325

222 Massachusetts               8-14  0.408  108  0.544

223 Coastal Carolina           11-10  0.406  263  0.414

224 Bucknell                   10-11  0.400  265  0.414

225 Northern Iowa               7-13  0.400  130  0.524

226 Stony Brook                11-10  0.399  312  0.356

227 Portland                    9-13  0.399  162  0.496

228 Drake                       7-15  0.398  112  0.539

229 Wright St.                  8-13  0.397  178  0.482

230 North Texas                 7-15  0.394   78  0.572

231 Cal Poly-SLO                9-11  0.393  210  0.457

232 Rider                       9-12  0.392  227  0.448

233 Houston                     6-13  0.392   48  0.603

234 Washington St.              5-15  0.388   33  0.624

235 Loyola Marymount            9-15  0.387  191  0.470

236 James Madison               9-13  0.384  209  0.457

237 Wisconsin Green Bay         8-15  0.381  148  0.507

238 Marist                      9-12  0.380  199  0.464

239 Central Connecticut        12-8   0.379  321  0.336

240 Lafayette                  10-11  0.378  300  0.380

241 SE Missouri St.             9-14  0.375  205  0.460

242 Furman                      9-16  0.368  202  0.461

243 NC Asheville               10-11  0.366  189  0.475

244 William & Mary             10-10  0.364  295  0.386

245 Quinnipiac                 11-9   0.363  322  0.336

246 Eastern Kentucky            9-12  0.363  290  0.394

247 Penn St.                    5-14  0.363   42  0.613

248 Delaware St.                9-10  0.356  247  0.429

249 Duquesne                    7-16  0.350   94  0.559

250 The Citadel                 8-13  0.347  268  0.412

251 Florida A&M                10-9   0.344  304  0.375

252 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     10-13  0.342  291  0.392

253 Cleveland St.               7-16  0.338  111  0.540

254 Coppin St.                  7-13  0.336  168  0.493

255 Colgate                     9-12  0.334  307  0.368

256 Illinois St.                4-16  0.332   62  0.588

257 SE Louisiana                8-12  0.332  262  0.415

258 Long Island                 8-12  0.332  250  0.425

259 Fairleigh Dickinson        11-9   0.331  325  0.327

260 Liberty                    10-10  0.326  299  0.381

261 NC Greensboro               6-16  0.326  142  0.514

262 Western Carolina            7-14  0.325  266  0.414

263 Mississippi Valley St.      7-12  0.325  305  0.372

264 St. Peter's                 7-14  0.324  200  0.463

265 Cal Riverside               5-12  0.322  125  0.530

266 Jacksonville               10-12  0.321  282  0.399

267 Louisiana Monroe            8-12  0.321  230  0.446

268 Florida Atlantic            7-16  0.320  173  0.486

269 Youngstown St.              8-13  0.320  280  0.402

270 St. Francis (PA)           10-10  0.316  316  0.345

271 Southern Utah               8-13  0.314  278  0.406

272 Cal St. Fullerton           6-15  0.301  201  0.463

273 Indiana St.                 5-17  0.297   86  0.567

274 San Jose St.                5-15  0.294  160  0.497

275 Cal St. Sacramento          8-13  0.293  194  0.468

276 Texas San Antonio           6-13  0.293  204  0.460

277 Texas Pan American          8-17  0.292  281  0.401

278 Florida International       6-15  0.292  229  0.447

279 Howard                      7-13  0.278  310  0.362

280 IUPU Ft. Wayne              6-18  0.277  137  0.519

281 Buffalo                     3-16  0.276  141  0.515

282 Alcorn St.                  7-15  0.272  238  0.438

283 Norfolk St.                 9-10  0.267  324  0.331

284 Navy                        6-15  0.267  287  0.396

285 High Point                  6-15  0.266  255  0.421

286 Grambling                   8-13  0.265  259  0.417

287 VMI                         6-15  0.264  246  0.430

288 Jackson St.                 4-15  0.264  146  0.508

289 Mount St. Mary's            8-12  0.260  284  0.397

290 St. Francis (NY)            6-14  0.260  297  0.384

291 Missouri Kansas City        6-16  0.259  208  0.457

292 Western Illinois            6-14  0.259  220  0.451

293 Hofstra                     5-16  0.255  186  0.477

294 Cornell                     7-12  0.249  289  0.394

295 Dartmouth                   4-15  0.241  215  0.453

296 Stetson                     5-15  0.238  240  0.437

297 Elon                        7-13  0.237  257  0.419

298 Gardner Webb                3-20  0.236  120  0.532

299 Lipscomb                    7-17  0.232  323  0.333

300 MD Baltimore County         6-14  0.229  267  0.413

301 Northwestern St.            4-15  0.227  184  0.479

302 Robert Morris               6-14  0.219  313  0.355

303 Portland St.                4-18  0.216  180  0.481

304 Fordham                     2-19  0.213   41  0.613

305 Albany (NY)                 5-16  0.195  248  0.427

306 Texas El Paso               4-16  0.194  211  0.457

307 Long Beach St.              4-16  0.194  231  0.446

308 Sacred Heart                5-17  0.188  269  0.411

309 Alabama A&M                 5-13  0.176  319  0.337

310 Morris Brown                7-14  0.171  318  0.338

311 Chicago St.                 3-20  0.167  166  0.495

312 Radford                     5-16  0.164  242  0.435

313 Loyola (MD)                 4-16  0.163  277  0.407

314 Bethune Cookman             4-15  0.163  272  0.410

315 Army                        5-15  0.156  306  0.371

316 Southern                    5-13  0.150  328  0.265

317 Towson                      4-17  0.147  217  0.451

318 Campbell                    4-17  0.142  283  0.397

319 New Hampshire               3-19  0.135  237  0.438

320 Morgan St.                  4-17  0.125  327  0.309

321 Nicholls St.                3-19  0.122  222  0.450

322 MD Eastern Shore            3-17  0.114  320  0.337

323 Tennessee St.               2-19  0.113  198  0.465

324 Columbia                    2-17  0.098  261  0.416

325 Savannah St.                2-20  0.089  233  0.444

326 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-19  0.069   90  0.564

327 Wild Card U.               14-238 0.069   76  0.573

328 North Carolina A&T          0-18  0.036  276  0.407







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.772

  2 Atlantic Coast                    0.759

  3 Big Twelve                        0.748

  4 Big East                          0.704

  5 Big Ten                           0.702

  6 Pacific 10                        0.684

  7 Mountain West                     0.665

  8 Conference USA                    0.659

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.597

 10 Mid-American                      0.556

 11 Western Athletic                  0.547

 12 Sun Belt                          0.545

 13 West Coast                        0.535

 14 Horizon                           0.532

 15 Missouri Valley                   0.523

 16 Southern                          0.485

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.475

 18 Colonial                          0.467

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.460

 20 Big West                          0.458

 21 Big Sky                           0.445

 22 Ivy League                        0.443

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.418

 24 America East                      0.411

 25 Southland                         0.409

 26 Patriot                           0.405

 27 Mid-Continent                     0.403

 28 Big South                         0.352

 29 Northeast                         0.322

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.287

 31 Independents                      0.261

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.260







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-10-03:



ALABAMA A&M 14 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 132

ALABAMA ST 8 over Miss Valley St, total 131

ALCORN ST 6 over Grambling, total 154

APPALACHIAN ST 20 over VMI, total 152

Delaware St 4 over BETHUNE-COOKMAN, total 121

CENTRAL MICH 2 over Western Mich, total 136

CHARLESTON SO 12 over Elon, total 124

CHATTANOOGA 10 over Wofford, total 154

COASTAL CAROLINA 11 over High Point, total 142

COLL OF CHARLESTON 16 over The Citadel, total 126

BYU 5 over COLORADO ST, total 146

CONNECTICUT Pick 'em over Syracuse, total 158

EAST TENN ST 15 over Western Car, total 149

EASTERN KY 22 over Tennessee St, total 167

FLORIDA A&M 13 over Morris Brown, total 141

HAMPTON 11 over Howard, total 154

Tulsa 2 over LA TECH, total 132

LIBERTY 4 over UNC Asheville, total 153

Jacksonville St 4 over LIPSCOMB, total 151

MCNEESE ST 7 over TX-Arlington, total 133

NORFOLK ST 13 over MD-East Shore, total 133

Morgan St 7 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 147

Wagner 2 over QUINNIPIAC, total 156

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 8 over Coppin St, total 127

Jackson St 1 over SOUTHERN U, total 145

ST. FRANCIS-NY Pick 'em over Central Conn, total 139

TX-PAN AMERICAN 17 over Savannah St, total 132

TEXAS 4 over Oklahoma, total 144

WICHITA ST 6 over Evansville, total 154

WINTHROP 5 over Birmingham Southern, total 129

WIS-MILWAUKEE 18 over Wis-Green Bay, total 152

WYOMING 1 over Utah, total 135



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