ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 2-16-03. Home court advantage is 0.640, or about 5.01 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Louisville*                19-2   0.933   19  0.656

  2 Arizona*                   20-2   0.923   33  0.637

  3 Kentucky*                  20-3   0.914    4  0.693

  4 Florida*                   20-4   0.891   18  0.657

  5 Texas*                     17-4   0.882   13  0.666

  6 Oklahoma*                  17-4   0.880   37  0.630

  7 Kansas*                    19-5   0.875   70  0.587

  8 Wake Forest*               17-3   0.874   71  0.587

  9 St. Joseph's (PA)*         18-4   0.872   55  0.605

 10 Notre Dame*                19-5   0.872   16  0.659

 11 Pittsburgh*                17-4   0.871   93  0.566

 12 Duke*                      17-4   0.868   38  0.627

 13 Marquette*                 18-4   0.867   45  0.622

 14 Xavier (OH)*               18-4   0.865   67  0.589

 15 Creighton*                 22-3   0.858  165  0.488

 16 Georgia*                   14-7   0.858    1  0.755

 17 Illinois*                  16-5   0.855   53  0.609

 18 Oklahoma St.*              19-4   0.855   59  0.600

 19 Wisconsin*                 18-5   0.854   69  0.588

 20 Mississippi St.*           16-5   0.853   49  0.617

 21 Syracuse*                  17-4   0.839   68  0.589

 22 Purdue*                    16-6   0.838   14  0.665

 23 Maryland*                  15-6   0.830   63  0.596

 24 Brigham Young*             17-6   0.826   39  0.627

 25 Utah*                      19-4   0.825   97  0.559

 26 Cincinnati*                14-7   0.823   10  0.676

 27 Arizona St.*               17-7   0.822   36  0.633

 28 Missouri*                  15-6   0.822   15  0.664

 29 Dayton*                    18-4   0.809   61  0.599

 30 Stanford*                  19-6   0.808   28  0.642

 31 California*                18-4   0.808   64  0.595

 32 Butler*                    19-4   0.803  130  0.527

 33 Texas Tech*                14-7   0.801   43  0.624

 34 Auburn*                    17-6   0.797   79  0.574

 35 Tennessee*                 15-6   0.795   27  0.642

 36 Alabama*                   14-7   0.792   11  0.675

 37 Gonzaga*                   19-6   0.788  102  0.554

 38 Oregon*                    17-6   0.784   82  0.572

 39 Indiana*                   15-9   0.782    5  0.692

 40 Michigan St.*              14-9   0.779   21  0.655

 41 Memphis*                   16-5   0.770  106  0.551

 42 Louisiana Lafayette*       18-6   0.766  119  0.537

 43 Colorado*                  15-8   0.766   41  0.625

 44 Connecticut*               15-6   0.765   90  0.566

 45 LSU*                       14-9   0.758   62  0.598

 46 Western Michigan*          14-7   0.750   83  0.572

 47 Kent St.*                  17-5   0.749  121  0.536

 48 Southern Illinois*         17-5   0.747  125  0.531

 49 North Carolina             13-11  0.745    2  0.714

 50 Pennsylvania*              15-5   0.744  179  0.480

 51 Holy Cross*                19-4   0.743  269  0.403

 52 NC Wilmington*             16-6   0.739  155  0.495

 53 Boston College             13-9   0.736   22  0.654

 54 Villanova                  14-9   0.734   30  0.640

 55 DePaul                     13-8   0.733   34  0.637

 56 Georgia Tech               12-10  0.730   29  0.641

 57 Central Michigan           16-5   0.730  115  0.543

 58 Manhattan*                 19-5   0.723  186  0.476

 59 UNLV                       15-7   0.721   72  0.584

 60 Wisconsin Milwaukee        21-5   0.720  185  0.476

 61 Mississippi                12-10  0.717   47  0.618

 62 Fresno St.*                18-5   0.715  170  0.484

 63 Virginia                   14-9   0.715   20  0.655

 64 Michigan                   15-9   0.712   48  0.618

 65 North Carolina St.         13-8   0.709   76  0.577

 66 Wyoming                    17-6   0.708  133  0.523

 67 Minnesota                  14-7   0.707   87  0.570

 68 Seton Hall                 12-9   0.701   35  0.634

 69 College of Charleston*     20-5   0.697  239  0.432

 70 Tulsa                      14-8   0.694  117  0.542

 71 Western Kentucky           17-8   0.689  139  0.515

 72 Iowa                       13-8   0.688   96  0.559

 73 Kansas St.                 12-11  0.688   58  0.601

 74 Weber St.*                 20-5   0.687  215  0.452

 75 Illinois Chicago           16-7   0.686  132  0.525

 76 Providence                 11-11  0.684   31  0.639

 77 South Carolina             10-11  0.680    8  0.683

 78 Texas A&M                  12-9   0.676   40  0.626

 79 Utah St.*                  18-6   0.676  236  0.436

 80 Troy St.*                  19-5   0.675  243  0.426

 81 Vanderbilt                 10-12  0.672    6  0.689

 82 Richmond                   12-10  0.671   75  0.577

 83 Georgetown                 11-10  0.668  118  0.541

 84 Florida St.                12-10  0.666   57  0.602

 85 Ohio St.                   12-11  0.664   26  0.648

 86 Valparaiso*                15-8   0.662  127  0.530

 87 Rhode Island               15-7   0.658  104  0.553

 88 West Virginia              13-9   0.657   42  0.625

 89 SW Missouri St.            14-8   0.653  175  0.482

 90 Davidson                   14-8   0.651  205  0.462

 91 St. John's (NY)            12-9   0.650   81  0.573

 92 Hawaii                     13-8   0.646  146  0.509

 93 New Mexico St.             16-7   0.645  208  0.457

 94 Cal Irvine                 15-7   0.643  203  0.464

 95 Charlotte                  10-12  0.642   25  0.650

 96 Morehead St.*              17-7   0.641  251  0.421

 97 Nevada                     14-9   0.640  137  0.518

 98 Clemson                    13-8   0.640  116  0.543

 99 Southern California        10-11  0.638   24  0.651

100 St. Bonaventure            11-12  0.638   32  0.638

101 Stephen F. Austin*         16-5   0.637  313  0.350

102 Sam Houston St.            17-5   0.637  312  0.351

103 Rice                       15-7   0.636  183  0.477

104 St. Louis                  10-12  0.635   12  0.674

105 Iowa St.                   12-9   0.631  123  0.532

106 Eastern Washington         16-9   0.624  157  0.495

107 Boston University*         15-8   0.624  161  0.490

108 South Florida              13-9   0.622  113  0.546

109 George Mason               14-9   0.619  166  0.488

110 Miami (FL)                 10-11  0.619   74  0.579

111 Detroit                    13-10  0.618  138  0.518

112 Cal Santa Barbara          13-10  0.617  140  0.515

113 Chattanooga                16-7   0.616  232  0.441

114 Murray St.                 14-9   0.615  184  0.476

115 UAB                        13-8   0.615  193  0.472

116 San Diego                  13-10  0.610  111  0.547

117 Northern Illinois          14-9   0.608  108  0.550

118 East Tennessee St.         14-9   0.605  219  0.449

119 East Carolina              12-10  0.601  101  0.555

120 Temple                      8-13  0.601    3  0.700

121 Tulane                     12-11  0.600  131  0.527

122 Air Force                  11-10  0.598  109  0.550

123 VA Commonwealth            15-7   0.597  259  0.414

124 Baylor                     11-10  0.597   99  0.558

125 Central Florida            18-8   0.596  267  0.408

126 Louisiana Tech             12-9   0.596  107  0.550

127 Princeton                  11-9   0.595  159  0.492

128 Austin Peay                17-6   0.595  245  0.424

129 Appalachian St.            16-7   0.592  265  0.410

130 Oral Roberts               16-8   0.588  268  0.405

131 Mercer                     17-5   0.588  285  0.390

132 Colorado St.               14-9   0.587  188  0.474

133 San Diego St.              12-9   0.587  141  0.512

134 Oregon St.                 11-10  0.587  103  0.554

135 Miami (OH)                 10-11  0.587   56  0.603

136 Rutgers                    11-11  0.585   86  0.571

137 Fairfield                  15-8   0.584  156  0.495

138 Drexel                     14-9   0.582  180  0.479

139 Tennessee Tech             14-11  0.581  182  0.478

140 Southern Methodist         12-11  0.573   65  0.591

141 Arkansas                    7-14  0.570    7  0.687

142 Pepperdine                 13-11  0.570   94  0.564

143 Yale                       10-11  0.568  112  0.546

144 Wagner*                    14-8   0.567  218  0.449

145 Ball St.                   12-11  0.567   89  0.568

146 St. Mary's (CA)            12-11  0.567  160  0.491

147 Washington                  8-14  0.565   17  0.657

148 SW Texas St.               14-8   0.561  277  0.396

149 Belmont                    14-11  0.560  154  0.495

150 Wichita St.                14-8   0.553  220  0.449

151 South Alabama              11-12  0.551  105  0.553

152 La Salle                   10-11  0.550   88  0.569

153 Siena                      14-9   0.548  216  0.451

154 Wofford                    11-11  0.548  120  0.536

155 Loyola Chicago             12-14  0.545   80  0.573

156 George Washington           9-13  0.545   51  0.610

157 Toledo                     10-12  0.544   73  0.582

158 San Francisco              11-12  0.534  122  0.533

159 New Orleans                13-10  0.534  213  0.455

160 Marshall                   11-11  0.531  148  0.505

161 Brown                      12-10  0.530  143  0.511

162 Iona                       14-9   0.530  224  0.448

163 Pacific                    11-10  0.526  152  0.499

164 Evansville                 10-12  0.522   66  0.590

165 Northwestern               10-12  0.520   92  0.566

166 Bowling Green              10-12  0.519  110  0.548

167 Denver                     13-13  0.518  162  0.490

168 Delaware                   12-11  0.518  153  0.496

169 Arkansas Little Rock       15-10  0.517  210  0.456

170 Vermont                    15-10  0.511  286  0.389

171 Southern Mississippi       10-12  0.510   77  0.577

172 Arkansas St.               11-13  0.509  225  0.447

173 Eastern Illinois           12-13  0.509  128  0.529

174 TCU                         8-15  0.508   50  0.615

175 Niagara                    13-10  0.507  177  0.481

176 Virginia Tech              10-13  0.505   91  0.566

177 Middle Tennessee St.       13-12  0.503  167  0.486

178 Old Dominion               11-11  0.503  207  0.458

179 Oakland                    14-9   0.501  293  0.382

180 Nebraska                    9-14  0.501   52  0.610

181 American                   12-11  0.500  222  0.448

182 Jacksonville St.           16-9   0.497  295  0.380

183 UCLA                        5-16  0.496    9  0.680

184 IUPUI                      14-12  0.495  163  0.490

185 McNeese St.                11-10  0.489  196  0.470

186 Bradley                    10-14  0.486  144  0.510

187 Lehigh                     15-8   0.480  308  0.355

188 Ohio                        8-12  0.478   54  0.606

189 Winthrop*                  16-9   0.471  316  0.343

190 Akron                      10-11  0.471  200  0.465

191 Texas Arlington            12-10  0.468  242  0.427

192 Northeastern               14-12  0.467  275  0.397

193 Tennessee Martin           13-11  0.464  264  0.411

194 Harvard                    11-10  0.464  209  0.456

195 Cal St. Northridge         10-12  0.460  229  0.444

196 Texas Southern*            13-7   0.459  310  0.353

197 Massachusetts              10-14  0.458   98  0.558

198 Prairie View A&M           11-9   0.453  195  0.470

199 Birmingham Southern        15-9   0.449  321  0.333

200 New Mexico                  8-13  0.446  134  0.522

201 Binghamton                 12-11  0.442  235  0.437

202 Maine                      12-13  0.441  279  0.394

203 Georgia Southern           13-10  0.441  282  0.392

204 Samford                    11-13  0.438  168  0.486

205 Northern Arizona           13-10  0.438  296  0.379

206 Idaho St.                  11-12  0.436  227  0.446

207 Cal Poly-SLO               11-11  0.435  197  0.469

208 Santa Clara                12-11  0.434  206  0.458

209 Hartford                   11-12  0.430  241  0.428

210 Boise St.                  10-13  0.428  151  0.503

211 Canisius                    9-15  0.425  164  0.488

212 Centenary                  13-12  0.423  284  0.391

213 Eastern Michigan           10-11  0.416  252  0.421

214 South Carolina St.*        13-8   0.413  307  0.357

215 Monmouth (NJ)              12-10  0.413  273  0.401

216 Charleston Southern        12-11  0.412  271  0.402

217 Wright St.                  9-14  0.409  176  0.482

218 Montana St.                11-13  0.408  257  0.416

219 Rider                      10-12  0.408  230  0.443

220 Bucknell                   11-12  0.406  258  0.415

221 Drake                       8-16  0.406  126  0.531

222 Montana                    11-15  0.405  201  0.465

223 Alabama St.                12-10  0.403  311  0.352

224 Lamar                      11-11  0.402  281  0.392

225 Loyola Marymount           10-16  0.401  169  0.485

226 Stony Brook                12-11  0.396  305  0.358

227 Washington St.              5-17  0.395   23  0.654

228 Idaho                      10-12  0.394  247  0.423

229 Hampton                    13-8   0.390  326  0.311

230 Houston                     6-15  0.388   46  0.621

231 Northern Iowa               7-15  0.387  114  0.545

232 Lafayette                  11-12  0.387  291  0.384

233 North Texas                 7-16  0.386   84  0.572

234 Coastal Carolina           12-11  0.385  288  0.386

235 Georgia St.                10-13  0.380  249  0.423

236 James Madison               9-15  0.376  192  0.472

237 Furman                     10-16  0.373  221  0.449

238 Wisconsin Green Bay         8-17  0.370  129  0.527

239 Duquesne                    8-16  0.370  100  0.555

240 Eastern Kentucky           10-13  0.365  289  0.385

241 SE Missouri St.             9-16  0.364  187  0.475

242 Marist                      9-14  0.364  194  0.471

243 Coppin St.                  9-13  0.363  189  0.474

244 Quinnipiac                 12-10  0.363  319  0.335

245 Central Connecticut        13-9   0.362  318  0.336

246 Florida A&M                12-9   0.359  315  0.344

247 Portland                    9-15  0.357  173  0.483

248 Penn St.                    5-16  0.356   44  0.624

249 William & Mary             11-11  0.354  294  0.380

250 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     11-14  0.354  270  0.402

251 NC Asheville               11-12  0.353  217  0.450

252 Jacksonville               12-12  0.352  292  0.384

253 Mississippi Valley St.      9-12  0.348  302  0.365

254 St. Francis (PA)           12-10  0.346  317  0.343

255 Colgate                    10-13  0.340  301  0.367

256 Delaware St.               10-11  0.339  283  0.392

257 Louisiana Monroe            9-12  0.335  233  0.438

258 Cleveland St.               8-17  0.334  135  0.521

259 St. Peter's                 8-14  0.334  212  0.455

260 NC Greensboro               7-17  0.334  142  0.511

261 Liberty                    12-10  0.333  303  0.360

262 Western Carolina            8-15  0.331  250  0.422

263 The Citadel                 8-15  0.328  262  0.412

264 Florida International       7-16  0.327  198  0.469

265 Fairleigh Dickinson        12-10  0.325  324  0.316

266 San Jose St.                6-15  0.324  145  0.510

267 SE Louisiana                8-14  0.322  237  0.434

268 Cal St. Fullerton           7-15  0.318  211  0.456

269 Howard                      9-13  0.317  309  0.354

270 Cal St. Sacramento         10-13  0.316  226  0.446

271 St. Francis (NY)            9-14  0.313  298  0.375

272 Southern Utah               9-14  0.308  278  0.394

273 Texas San Antonio           7-14  0.308  190  0.472

274 Indiana St.                 6-18  0.306   95  0.563

275 Illinois St.                4-18  0.304   78  0.576

276 Youngstown St.              8-15  0.302  254  0.418

277 Jackson St.                 6-15  0.301  171  0.484

278 Long Island                 8-14  0.300  255  0.417

279 Buffalo                     4-17  0.296  150  0.503

280 Florida Atlantic            7-18  0.291  174  0.483

281 Cal Riverside               5-13  0.291  147  0.506

282 Texas Pan American          9-18  0.279  299  0.373

283 Alcorn St.                  7-16  0.270  228  0.445

284 Cornell                     8-13  0.269  272  0.401

285 IUPU Ft. Wayne              6-20  0.267  124  0.531

286 Western Illinois            7-15  0.265  231  0.441

287 Gardner Webb                5-20  0.265  149  0.505

288 Norfolk St.                10-11  0.261  325  0.315

289 Dartmouth                   6-15  0.258  266  0.409

290 Elon                        8-14  0.258  240  0.431

291 Hofstra                     5-18  0.253  158  0.493

292 Mount St. Mary's           10-13  0.253  304  0.359

293 Grambling                   8-14  0.251  261  0.413

294 VMI                         6-17  0.249  238  0.433

295 Missouri Kansas City        6-18  0.248  199  0.468

296 Navy                        6-17  0.248  276  0.396

297 Stetson                     6-16  0.241  253  0.421

298 High Point                  6-17  0.238  260  0.413

299 Robert Morris               7-15  0.225  314  0.349

300 Albany (NY)                 7-16  0.224  263  0.411

301 Lipscomb                    7-19  0.213  322  0.329

302 Portland St.                4-20  0.203  181  0.479

303 Fordham                     2-20  0.200   60  0.599

304 Texas El Paso               4-18  0.197  172  0.483

305 Northwestern St.            4-17  0.195  214  0.454

306 MD Baltimore County         6-17  0.193  290  0.384

307 Long Beach St.              4-18  0.186  204  0.462

308 Alabama A&M                 6-14  0.184  323  0.326

309 Radford                     6-17  0.174  244  0.425

310 Sacred Heart                5-19  0.170  280  0.393

311 Morris Brown                7-16  0.166  306  0.358

312 Bethune Cookman             5-16  0.166  274  0.401

313 Chicago St.                 3-22  0.157  178  0.480

314 Loyola (MD)                 4-19  0.153  256  0.417

315 New Hampshire               4-20  0.147  248  0.423

316 Campbell                    5-18  0.145  297  0.377

317 Army                        5-17  0.143  300  0.367

318 Southern                    5-15  0.133  328  0.254

319 Towson                      4-19  0.131  234  0.437

320 Morgan St.                  5-18  0.126  327  0.294

321 Nicholls St.                3-21  0.114  202  0.464

322 Tennessee St.               2-21  0.110  191  0.472

323 MD Eastern Shore            3-19  0.108  320  0.335

324 Columbia                    2-19  0.095  246  0.424

325 Savannah St.                2-21  0.088  223  0.448

326 Arkansas Pine Bluff         2-20  0.084  136  0.520

327 Wild Card U.               14-239 0.067   85  0.571

328 North Carolina A&T          0-20  0.034  287  0.387







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.775

  2 Atlantic Coast                    0.753

  3 Big Twelve                        0.748

  4 Big East                          0.706

  5 Big Ten                           0.705

  6 Pacific 10                        0.683

  7 Mountain West                     0.662

  8 Conference USA                    0.660

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.603

 10 Mid-American                      0.557

 11 Western Athletic                  0.545

 12 Sun Belt                          0.540

 13 West Coast                        0.532

 14 Horizon                           0.532

 15 Missouri Valley                   0.522

 16 Southern                          0.480

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.472

 18 Colonial                          0.467

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.457

 20 Big West                          0.455

 21 Ivy League                        0.441

 22 Big Sky                           0.440

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.419

 24 America East                      0.409

 25 Southland                         0.406

 26 Patriot                           0.406

 27 Mid-Continent                     0.403

 28 Big South                         0.341

 29 Northeast                         0.319

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.289

 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.261

 32 Independents                      0.256







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-17-03:



AIR FORCE 1 over Wyoming, total 117

Alcorn St 7 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 130

BYU 15 over San Diego St, total 137

COLL OF CHARLESTON 18 over Western Car, total 136

COPPIN ST 4 over Hampton, total 126

Tennessee Tech 3 over EASTERN KY, total 144

FAIRFIELD 11 over Rider, total 136

FLORIDA 23 over New Orleans, total 145

FURMAN 5 over The Citadel, total 111

Texas Southern 3 over GRAMBLING, total 153

Prairie View A&M 1 over JACKSON ST, total 148

LIBERTY 3 over Coastal Carolina, total 136

LIPSCOMB 4 over Stetson, total 159

MD-EAST SHORE 1 over Bethune-Cookman, total 137

MARIST 7 over St. Peter's, total 152

MARYLAND 2 over Wake Forest, total 154

MERCER 29 over Savannah St, total 145

MISS VALLEY ST 16 over Southern U, total 145

NEW MEXICO Pick 'em over Colorado St, total 154

Charleston So 5 over RADFORD, total 132

TEXAS 11 over Texas Tech, total 150

UTAH 10 over UNLV, total 139

WAGNER 12 over Central Conn, total 137



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