ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 2-23-03. Home court advantage is 0.639, or about 4.84 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Arizona*                   21-2   0.932   22  0.655

  2 Kentucky*                  22-3   0.919    7  0.694

  3 Louisville*                19-4   0.906   15  0.673

  4 Florida*                   22-4   0.895   29  0.647

  5 Oklahoma*                  19-4   0.894   34  0.645

  6 Pittsburgh*                19-4   0.884   88  0.575

  7 Texas*                     18-5   0.880   11  0.683

  8 Xavier (OH)*               20-4   0.879   59  0.607

  9 Notre Dame*                21-5   0.878   20  0.658

 10 Duke*                      19-4   0.877   40  0.635

 11 Kansas*                    20-6   0.871   58  0.608

 12 Marquette*                 20-4   0.870   56  0.616

 13 St. Joseph's (PA)*         19-4   0.869   70  0.594

 14 Wake Forest*               19-4   0.869   51  0.621

 15 Illinois*                  18-5   0.867   62  0.604

 16 Georgia*                   16-7   0.867    1  0.752

 17 Creighton*                 24-3   0.865  164  0.488

 18 Mississippi St.*           17-6   0.864   21  0.657

 19 Oklahoma St.*              20-5   0.855   41  0.634

 20 Syracuse*                  19-4   0.850   64  0.602

 21 Maryland*                  17-7   0.848   50  0.622

 22 Wisconsin*                 19-6   0.847   68  0.595

 23 Utah*                      20-4   0.834   92  0.569

 24 Brigham Young*             18-6   0.828   48  0.624

 25 Cincinnati*                15-8   0.822   13  0.679

 26 Stanford*                  21-6   0.820   30  0.647

 27 Purdue*                    16-8   0.813   16  0.673

 28 Arizona St.*               17-8   0.813   32  0.646

 29 Missouri*                  16-7   0.810   18  0.664

 30 Dayton*                    19-5   0.810   55  0.616

 31 Butler*                    21-4   0.808  133  0.517

 32 Memphis*                   18-5   0.803   78  0.585

 33 Texas Tech*                15-8   0.802   31  0.646

 34 California*                19-5   0.801   61  0.605

 35 Alabama*                   15-8   0.797    9  0.693

 36 Indiana*                   16-9   0.795    5  0.694

 37 Auburn*                    18-7   0.793   71  0.593

 38 Oregon*                    18-7   0.779   84  0.580

 39 Colorado*                  16-9   0.776   35  0.643

 40 Connecticut*               17-6   0.775  103  0.559

 41 Gonzaga*                   20-7   0.774  114  0.550

 42 Tennessee*                 15-8   0.766   25  0.651

 43 LSU*                       15-9   0.765   73  0.591

 44 Pennsylvania*              17-5   0.764  176  0.480

 45 Michigan St.*              14-11  0.760   14  0.674

 46 Southern Illinois*         19-5   0.759  121  0.538

 47 Louisiana Lafayette*       19-7   0.756  116  0.547

 48 NC Wilmington*             18-6   0.751  179  0.478

 49 Holy Cross*                21-4   0.743  284  0.387

 50 Central Michigan*          18-5   0.740  118  0.541

 51 Kent St.*                  18-6   0.738  134  0.516

 52 Boston College             14-9   0.738   37  0.640

 53 Michigan                   16-9   0.736   42  0.632

 54 DePaul                     14-9   0.732   39  0.635

 55 Manhattan*                 20-5   0.730  201  0.460

 56 Western Michigan           15-8   0.726  100  0.561

 57 Villanova                  14-10  0.726   28  0.648

 58 Wyoming                    19-6   0.725  125  0.531

 59 North Carolina             14-12  0.723    8  0.694

 60 Georgia Tech               12-11  0.722   27  0.649

 61 Minnesota                  16-7   0.721  104  0.559

 62 UNLV                       16-8   0.721   66  0.596

 63 Wisconsin Milwaukee        21-6   0.718  158  0.494

 64 North Carolina St.         14-9   0.715   67  0.595

 65 Seton Hall                 13-9   0.715   38  0.638

 66 Fresno St.*                19-6   0.712  151  0.498

 67 Mississippi                12-11  0.704   53  0.619

 68 Western Kentucky           19-8   0.700  140  0.509

 69 Illinois Chicago           18-7   0.699  132  0.518

 70 Providence                 13-11  0.699   47  0.629

 71 Tulsa                      15-9   0.697  106  0.558

 72 Virginia                   14-11  0.697   19  0.664

 73 Weber St.*                 22-5   0.696  231  0.435

 74 South Carolina             11-12  0.695    3  0.698

 75 Troy St.*                  21-5   0.688  243  0.428

 76 College of Charleston*     21-6   0.684  238  0.430

 77 Texas A&M                  13-10  0.683   45  0.631

 78 Ohio St.                   13-11  0.681   24  0.653

 79 Davidson                   16-8   0.680  183  0.474

 80 St. Louis                  12-12  0.678    6  0.694

 81 Clemson                    15-8   0.677  108  0.555

 82 Utah St.*                  19-7   0.674  225  0.443

 83 Georgetown                 12-11  0.673   99  0.561

 84 Vanderbilt                 10-13  0.671    4  0.698

 85 Valparaiso*                17-8   0.671  135  0.516

 86 SW Missouri St.            15-9   0.670  136  0.515

 87 Hawaii                     15-8   0.669  130  0.521

 88 Kansas St.                 12-13  0.669   57  0.610

 89 Richmond                   13-11  0.668   79  0.584

 90 Charlotte                  11-13  0.664   17  0.673

 91 Morehead St.*              19-7   0.660  250  0.420

 92 Iowa                       13-10  0.659   89  0.573

 93 San Diego                  15-10  0.657   98  0.562

 94 Florida St.                12-12  0.650   49  0.623

 95 Cal Irvine                 17-7   0.649  210  0.454

 96 St. John's (NY)            12-11  0.649   60  0.606

 97 Sam Houston St.*           19-5   0.649  308  0.351

 98 New Mexico St.             17-8   0.647  189  0.469

 99 Rhode Island               15-9   0.645   91  0.572

100 Nevada                     15-10  0.643  128  0.526

101 Chattanooga                18-7   0.642  221  0.445

102 UAB                        15-8   0.642  186  0.471

103 Iowa St.                   13-10  0.639  109  0.553

104 St. Bonaventure            12-13  0.639   44  0.631

105 West Virginia              13-11  0.638   46  0.630

106 Baylor                     13-10  0.636   94  0.566

107 Rice                       16-8   0.635  162  0.492

108 Stephen F. Austin          17-6   0.631  299  0.369

109 Eastern Washington         17-9   0.631  166  0.488

110 Temple                     10-13  0.625   12  0.680

111 Detroit                    14-11  0.623  126  0.527

112 Southern California        10-13  0.619   23  0.655

113 Boston University*         16-9   0.616  165  0.488

114 San Diego St.              13-10  0.615  120  0.538

115 Miami (OH)                 12-11  0.614   75  0.588

116 East Tennessee St.         16-9   0.613  223  0.445

117 Drexel                     16-9   0.613  169  0.485

118 Princeton                  13-9   0.613  167  0.488

119 VA Commonwealth            17-7   0.606  270  0.402

120 South Florida              13-11  0.605  101  0.560

121 Tennessee Tech             16-11  0.604  187  0.471

122 Mercer                     20-5   0.604  295  0.372

123 Tulane                     13-12  0.600  124  0.533

124 Murray St.                 14-11  0.600  160  0.493

125 Miami (FL)                 10-13  0.598   74  0.588

126 Austin Peay                18-7   0.595  232  0.435

127 Oregon St.                 12-11  0.595   97  0.562

128 Northern Illinois          14-10  0.589  115  0.550

129 Appalachian St.            17-8   0.589  246  0.424

130 Wichita St.                16-8   0.588  202  0.459

131 Pepperdine                 14-11  0.585  107  0.557

132 George Mason               14-11  0.581  161  0.492

133 Colorado St.               14-11  0.579  150  0.500

134 Cal Santa Barbara          13-12  0.579  138  0.513

135 Rutgers                    11-13  0.573   63  0.602

136 Siena                      16-9   0.568  222  0.445

137 Southern Methodist         13-12  0.568   82  0.583

138 Air Force                  11-12  0.568  102  0.559

139 Washington                  9-15  0.567   26  0.650

140 Loyola Chicago             14-14  0.564   95  0.565

141 East Carolina              12-12  0.563  110  0.552

142 Ball St.                   12-13  0.562   77  0.586

143 Oral Roberts               16-9   0.560  275  0.396

144 SW Texas St.               14-8   0.559  279  0.393

145 Yale                       12-11  0.559  152  0.497

146 Arkansas                    7-16  0.556    2  0.706

147 Wagner*                    17-8   0.555  262  0.410

148 Central Florida            18-10  0.555  269  0.402

149 Louisiana Tech             12-11  0.552  123  0.535

150 South Alabama              12-13  0.547  105  0.559

151 Belmont                    16-11  0.547  209  0.455

152 Fairfield                  15-10  0.546  168  0.487

153 Denver                     15-13  0.545  171  0.484

154 George Washington          10-14  0.539   65  0.597

155 New Orleans                14-12  0.536  159  0.493

156 St. Mary's (CA)            12-13  0.531  163  0.491

157 La Salle                   10-13  0.525   83  0.582

158 Arkansas Little Rock       16-11  0.525  192  0.466

159 Vermont                    17-10  0.523  290  0.376

160 Wofford                    12-13  0.522  154  0.496

161 San Francisco              12-13  0.519  131  0.521

162 Toledo                     10-14  0.519   85  0.578

163 Eastern Illinois           13-13  0.518  127  0.526

164 Brown                      14-10  0.517  193  0.466

165 Middle Tennessee St.       14-12  0.515  172  0.483

166 UCLA                        6-17  0.515   10  0.686

167 Arkansas St.               12-14  0.514  205  0.457

168 Iona                       15-10  0.514  234  0.434

169 Jacksonville St.           18-9   0.511  297  0.370

170 Southern Mississippi       11-13  0.511   90  0.573

171 IUPUI                      15-13  0.510  149  0.500

172 Oakland                    15-10  0.507  273  0.398

173 Bowling Green              10-13  0.506  111  0.552

174 Pacific                    11-12  0.498  144  0.503

175 Marshall                   11-12  0.498  170  0.485

176 Virginia Tech              10-15  0.496   69  0.594

177 Niagara                    14-11  0.496  180  0.478

178 Northwestern               10-14  0.496   87  0.575

179 TCU                         8-17  0.493   52  0.620

180 Delaware                   13-12  0.493  184  0.472

181 Evansville                 10-14  0.493   80  0.584

182 Nebraska                    9-16  0.491   43  0.631

183 American                   12-13  0.486  204  0.459

184 Winthrop*                  18-9   0.484  318  0.329

185 Bradley                    10-16  0.481  129  0.525

186 Old Dominion               11-13  0.474  199  0.462

187 New Mexico                  9-14  0.470  122  0.537

188 Binghamton                 14-11  0.469  241  0.428

189 McNeese St.                12-11  0.469  212  0.452

190 Tennessee Martin           14-12  0.467  244  0.427

191 Cal St. Northridge         11-13  0.466  214  0.452

192 Massachusetts              11-14  0.466  117  0.544

193 Ohio                        9-14  0.463   76  0.586

194 Lehigh                     16-9   0.462  307  0.353

195 Northeastern               14-13  0.461  264  0.407

196 Akron                      11-12  0.458  213  0.452

197 Texas Arlington            12-12  0.457  226  0.443

198 Eastern Michigan           12-11  0.454  233  0.434

199 Idaho St.                  13-12  0.451  240  0.429

200 Maine                      13-14  0.450  272  0.401

201 Hartford                   13-12  0.449  255  0.415

202 Birmingham Southern        17-9   0.448  322  0.320

203 Santa Clara                13-12  0.445  182  0.476

204 Cal Poly-SLO               12-11  0.442  197  0.463

205 Samford                    13-13  0.440  218  0.450

206 Georgia Southern           14-11  0.438  274  0.397

207 Harvard                    11-12  0.437  200  0.461

208 Monmouth (NJ)              14-10  0.434  271  0.401

209 Northern Iowa               9-15  0.432  113  0.551

210 Boise St.                  11-13  0.431  173  0.483

211 Northern Arizona           13-12  0.428  263  0.408

212 Bucknell                   13-12  0.427  268  0.404

213 Hampton*                   15-8   0.422  323  0.318

214 Drake                       9-17  0.422  119  0.539

215 Prairie View A&M*          11-11  0.414  206  0.457

216 Montana                    12-15  0.414  198  0.462

217 South Carolina St.         14-8   0.413  312  0.344

218 Montana St.                11-14  0.409  242  0.428

219 James Madison              11-15  0.408  203  0.459

220 Rider                      12-13  0.406  237  0.431

221 Furman                     12-16  0.403  220  0.446

222 Texas Southern             13-9   0.402  316  0.336

223 Canisius                    9-16  0.402  174  0.483

224 Centenary                  13-14  0.400  277  0.396

225 Loyola Marymount           10-17  0.399  147  0.502

226 Washington St.              6-18  0.398   33  0.646

227 Idaho                      11-13  0.398  245  0.425

228 Lamar                      12-12  0.395  285  0.387

229 Portland                   10-15  0.390  145  0.502

230 Alabama St.                12-11  0.388  310  0.350

231 Wright St.                  9-16  0.388  153  0.497

232 Quinnipiac                 14-10  0.388  319  0.329

233 Houston                     7-16  0.386   54  0.619

234 Penn St.                    6-17  0.385   36  0.641

235 Wisconsin Green Bay        10-17  0.385  146  0.502

236 Central Connecticut        14-10  0.385  315  0.338

237 Lafayette                  12-13  0.379  289  0.376

238 Coastal Carolina           13-12  0.379  291  0.376

239 Stony Brook                12-13  0.378  292  0.376

240 Marist                     11-14  0.375  215  0.452

241 Charleston Southern        12-13  0.374  278  0.395

242 Duquesne                    9-17  0.372  112  0.551

243 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     13-14  0.372  276  0.396

244 Georgia St.                11-14  0.371  261  0.410

245 Mississippi Valley St.     11-12  0.363  306  0.353

246 North Texas                 7-18  0.363   96  0.564

247 SE Missouri St.            10-17  0.357  196  0.464

248 Colgate                    12-13  0.356  309  0.350

249 Eastern Kentucky           11-15  0.354  286  0.387

250 Illinois St.                6-18  0.353   86  0.578

251 Jacksonville               13-13  0.351  294  0.374

252 St. Peter's                 9-16  0.341  208  0.455

253 Delaware St.               11-11  0.336  293  0.375

254 St. Francis (PA)           13-11  0.336  317  0.333

255 Coppin St.                  9-15  0.332  195  0.465

256 Florida A&M                12-11  0.330  313  0.341

257 NC Asheville               11-14  0.329  219  0.447

258 Louisiana Monroe           10-13  0.327  253  0.418

259 William & Mary             11-13  0.326  282  0.389

260 Southern Utah              10-14  0.325  281  0.391

261 Western Carolina            8-17  0.319  235  0.432

262 NC Greensboro               7-19  0.316  148  0.502

263 Liberty                    13-12  0.316  305  0.354

264 Cal St. Fullerton           8-16  0.314  211  0.453

265 Cleveland St.               8-19  0.313  137  0.514

266 Howard                     10-14  0.313  311  0.349

267 SE Louisiana                9-15  0.312  254  0.417

268 Jackson St.                 8-15  0.311  216  0.451

269 Cal St. Sacramento         10-15  0.310  194  0.466

270 The Citadel                 8-17  0.306  259  0.412

271 Fairleigh Dickinson        12-12  0.306  321  0.323

272 San Jose St.                6-17  0.306  143  0.505

273 Texas San Antonio           7-15  0.305  177  0.479

274 Florida International       7-18  0.305  191  0.468

275 IUPU Ft. Wayne              9-20  0.303  155  0.495

276 Indiana St.                 6-20  0.302   81  0.583

277 St. Francis (NY)           10-15  0.302  301  0.366

278 Cal Riverside               6-14  0.300  156  0.495

279 Youngstown St.              8-17  0.289  236  0.431

280 Texas Pan American         10-18  0.286  300  0.367

281 Alcorn St.                  9-16  0.285  248  0.421

282 Missouri Kansas City        7-18  0.277  175  0.481

283 Hofstra                     6-19  0.274  157  0.494

284 Florida Atlantic            7-20  0.270  181  0.478

285 Elon                       10-14  0.262  280  0.393

286 Cornell                     8-15  0.260  252  0.419

287 Long Island                 8-17  0.260  260  0.411

288 Norfolk St.                11-12  0.258  326  0.303

289 Gardner Webb                5-22  0.258  139  0.510

290 Grambling                   9-15  0.257  265  0.407

291 Buffalo                     4-19  0.253  141  0.509

292 Dartmouth                   6-17  0.245  249  0.420

293 Western Illinois            7-18  0.244  227  0.442

294 Mount St. Mary's           10-15  0.243  302  0.364

295 VMI                         7-18  0.239  251  0.420

296 High Point                  6-18  0.233  257  0.413

297 Navy                        6-19  0.231  258  0.412

298 Robert Morris               8-16  0.230  314  0.340

299 Northwestern St.            6-17  0.229  229  0.440

300 Lipscomb                    8-20  0.216  320  0.324

301 Stetson                     6-18  0.214  256  0.413

302 Albany (NY)                 7-18  0.203  267  0.405

303 Long Beach St.              5-19  0.200  207  0.455

304 Alabama A&M                 7-15  0.195  324  0.313

305 Portland St.                4-21  0.194  178  0.479

306 Sacred Heart                7-19  0.188  298  0.369

307 Fordham                     2-22  0.183   72  0.593

308 MD Baltimore County         6-19  0.182  287  0.386

309 Texas El Paso               4-20  0.180  185  0.472

310 Radford                     7-18  0.173  266  0.406

311 Bethune Cookman             6-17  0.159  296  0.370

312 Morris Brown                7-17  0.152  304  0.354

313 Southern                    7-16  0.151  328  0.249

314 Chicago St.                 3-24  0.145  188  0.469

315 New Hampshire               4-21  0.144  239  0.429

316 Loyola (MD)                 4-21  0.142  247  0.423

317 Campbell                    5-20  0.137  283  0.388

318 Army                        5-19  0.134  303  0.359

319 Morgan St.                  6-18  0.128  327  0.279

320 Towson                      4-21  0.119  228  0.441

321 MD Eastern Shore            4-20  0.108  325  0.306

322 Nicholls St.                3-22  0.105  217  0.450

323 Tennessee St.               2-22  0.103  190  0.468

324 Arkansas Pine Bluff         3-21  0.100  142  0.506

325 Columbia                    2-21  0.096  230  0.438

326 Savannah St.                2-23  0.082  224  0.443

327 Wild Card U.               14-241 0.064   93  0.569

328 North Carolina A&T          0-22  0.032  288  0.382







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.774

  2 Atlantic Coast                    0.753

  3 Big Twelve                        0.751

  4 Big East                          0.706

  5 Big Ten                           0.705

  6 Pacific 10                        0.684

  7 Mountain West                     0.668

  8 Conference USA                    0.663

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.602

 10 Mid-American                      0.548

 11 Sun Belt                          0.541

 12 Western Athletic                  0.539

 13 West Coast                        0.537

 14 Missouri Valley                   0.536

 15 Horizon                           0.532

 16 Southern                          0.479

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.473

 18 Colonial                          0.465

 19 Big West                          0.452

 20 Metro Atlantic                    0.452

 21 Big Sky                           0.442

 22 Ivy League                        0.436

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.412

 24 America East                      0.410

 25 Mid-Continent                     0.405

 26 Southland                         0.403

 27 Patriot                           0.402

 28 Big South                         0.333

 29 Northeast                         0.317

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.287

 31 Independents                      0.259

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.257







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-24-03:



ALCORN ST 1 over Alabama St, total 128

Hampton 7 over BETHUNE-COOKMAN, total 141

CENTRAL CONN 5 over Quinnipiac, total 136

CHARLESTON SO 7 over UNC Asheville, total 143

Butler 13 over CLEVELAND ST, total 127

DELAWARE ST 15 over Morgan St, total 133

EAST TENN ST 12 over Furman, total 134

FLORIDA A&M 8 over Norfolk St, total 144

GEORGE MASON 8 over Old Dominion, total 130

Chattanooga 8 over Georgia So, total 159

Saint Joseph's 10 over LA SALLE, total 129

MURRAY ST 29 over Tennessee St, total 155

Howard 19 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 151

NOTRE DAME 12 over Connecticut, total 156

OKLAHOMA ST 8 over Texas Tech, total 140

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 19 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 130

Birmingham Southern 7 over RADFORD, total 137

ROBERT MORRIS Pick 'em over St. Francis-PA, total 145

SAN DIEGO ST 10 over New Mexico, total 144

Morris Brown 1 over SAVANNAH ST, total 126

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 21 over MD-East Shore, total 148

TX-PAN AMERICAN 1 over Centenary, total 140

SW Texas St 4 over TX-SAN ANTONIO, total 149

TEXAS SOUTHERN 7 over Miss Valley St, total 148

THE CITADEL 7 over VMI, total 118

UL-LAFAYETTE 21 over North Texas, total 154

Appalachian St 5 over UNC GREENSBORO, total 159

UNLV 9 over Air Force, total 122

UTAH 5 over BYU, total 125

WAGNER 20 over Sacred Heart, total 149

Wofford 2 over WESTERN CAR, total 142

UNC Wilmington 10 over WILLIAM & MARY, total 134



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