ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 3-2-03. Home court advantage is 0.639, or about 4.81 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Arizona*                   23-2   0.939   11  0.683

  2 Kentucky*                  24-3   0.923    5  0.699

  3 Florida*                   24-4   0.902   38  0.649

  4 Louisville*                20-5   0.892   17  0.669

  5 Pittsburgh*                21-4   0.890   87  0.583

  6 Texas*                     20-5   0.887   10  0.684

  7 Oklahoma*                  20-5   0.886   24  0.663

  8 Kansas*                    22-6   0.884   62  0.613

  9 Illinois*                  20-5   0.881   56  0.619

 10 St. Joseph's (PA)*         21-4   0.879   75  0.595

 11 Marquette*                 22-4   0.878   50  0.627

 12 Wake Forest*               21-4   0.874   53  0.623

 13 Duke*                      20-5   0.872   42  0.643

 14 Xavier (OH)*               22-4   0.871   77  0.591

 15 Syracuse*                  21-4   0.867   65  0.610

 16 Wisconsin*                 21-6   0.865   68  0.606

 17 Georgia*                   17-8   0.861    1  0.756

 18 Maryland*                  19-7   0.858   55  0.620

 19 Creighton*                 25-4   0.858  138  0.515

 20 Mississippi St.*           18-7   0.856   26  0.660

 21 Notre Dame*                21-7   0.853   23  0.663

 22 Oklahoma St.*              20-7   0.834   35  0.653

 23 Missouri*                  18-7   0.833   13  0.679

 24 Brigham Young*             19-7   0.828   44  0.639

 25 Memphis*                   20-5   0.822   83  0.585

 26 Utah*                      21-5   0.821   92  0.576

 27 Stanford*                  22-7   0.819   32  0.656

 28 Dayton*                    21-5   0.809   69  0.602

 29 Texas Tech*                16-9   0.807   18  0.667

 30 Butler*                    24-4   0.806  146  0.500

 31 Cincinnati*                16-9   0.806   14  0.677

 32 Purdue*                    17-9   0.805   21  0.666

 33 LSU*                       17-9   0.800   66  0.608

 34 Alabama*                   16-9   0.799    7  0.695

 35 Arizona St.*               17-10  0.798   19  0.667

 36 California*                20-6   0.798   52  0.623

 37 Oregon*                    20-7   0.791   95  0.570

 38 Connecticut*               18-7   0.786   76  0.592

 39 Gonzaga*                   22-7   0.785  107  0.558

 40 Indiana*                   17-10  0.785    3  0.702

 41 Colorado*                  17-10  0.775   30  0.658

 42 Pennsylvania*              19-5   0.773  163  0.487

 43 Southern Illinois*         21-5   0.772  118  0.539

 44 Michigan St.*              16-11  0.772   16  0.669

 45 Auburn*                    18-9   0.769   60  0.615

 46 NC Wilmington*             20-6   0.767  178  0.474

 47 Holy Cross*                23-4   0.761  263  0.400

 48 Boston College*            16-9   0.760   41  0.646

 49 Louisiana Lafayette*       20-8   0.750  119  0.539

 50 Tennessee*                 15-10  0.740   20  0.666

 51 Seton Hall                 16-9   0.731   48  0.630

 52 UNLV                       18-8   0.729   78  0.591

 53 Wisconsin Milwaukee        22-7   0.726  140  0.506

 54 Central Michigan*          19-6   0.721  129  0.526

 55 Manhattan*                 21-6   0.720  189  0.466

 56 North Carolina St.         15-10  0.720   67  0.607

 57 Western Kentucky           21-8   0.718  134  0.518

 58 Michigan                   16-11  0.716   36  0.652

 59 DePaul                     14-11  0.715   37  0.650

 60 Western Michigan           16-9   0.714  106  0.559

 61 Villanova                  15-12  0.714   33  0.655

 62 Fresno St.*                20-6   0.714  152  0.495

 63 Tulsa                      17-9   0.713  116  0.543

 64 North Carolina             15-13  0.709    9  0.685

 65 Minnesota                  16-9   0.707   82  0.586

 66 Illinois Chicago           20-7   0.707  143  0.504

 67 Weber St.*                 24-5   0.706  227  0.438

 68 Georgia Tech               12-13  0.703   27  0.660

 69 Wyoming                    19-7   0.702  124  0.529

 70 Troy St.*                  23-5   0.699  259  0.402

 71 Kent St.                   18-8   0.692  137  0.516

 72 College of Charleston*     23-6   0.691  235  0.433

 73 Providence                 13-12  0.691   45  0.639

 74 South Carolina             12-13  0.686    4  0.699

 75 Mississippi                12-13  0.682   43  0.639

 76 Iowa                       14-11  0.678   71  0.600

 77 Georgetown                 13-12  0.676   96  0.570

 78 St. Louis                  13-12  0.676   12  0.682

 79 Charlotte                  13-13  0.675   29  0.658

 80 Virginia                   14-13  0.670   22  0.664

 81 Texas A&M                  13-12  0.666   28  0.659

 82 Davidson                   17-9   0.665  201  0.459

 83 Ohio St.                   13-12  0.664   39  0.649

 84 Richmond                   13-12  0.662   72  0.599

 85 Valparaiso*                18-9   0.659  135  0.516

 86 New Mexico St.             19-8   0.659  198  0.461

 87 UAB                        16-9   0.654  145  0.501

 88 Iowa St.                   14-11  0.653  102  0.563

 89 Florida St.                13-13  0.652   54  0.621

 90 Temple                     12-13  0.652   25  0.660

 91 San Diego                  16-11  0.651  112  0.552

 92 Utah St.*                  19-8   0.651  231  0.436

 93 Clemson                    15-10  0.649   84  0.584

 94 St. John's (NY)            13-12  0.648   59  0.618

 95 Rice                       18-8   0.648  168  0.478

 96 Morehead St.*              19-8   0.646  241  0.429

 97 Kansas St.                 12-15  0.646   61  0.614

 98 San Diego St.              15-10  0.645  117  0.540

 99 Cal Irvine                 18-8   0.644  187  0.468

100 SW Missouri St.            15-11  0.641  133  0.520

101 Hawaii                     15-10  0.638  115  0.544

102 St. Bonaventure            13-14  0.637   49  0.628

103 Vanderbilt                 10-15  0.636    8  0.690

104 Nevada                     15-11  0.635  120  0.536

105 Sam Houston St.*           20-6   0.631  301  0.356

106 Rhode Island               16-10  0.631  101  0.565

107 Detroit                    16-11  0.630  153  0.495

108 Chattanooga                19-8   0.630  220  0.444

109 Stephen F. Austin          18-7   0.629  293  0.369

110 Boston University*         18-9   0.627  174  0.475

111 West Virginia              13-13  0.626   31  0.657

112 Baylor                     13-12  0.619   79  0.591

113 Southern California        10-15  0.613   15  0.671

114 Murray St.                 16-11  0.613  179  0.474

115 Austin Peay                20-7   0.609  244  0.426

116 Tennessee Tech             18-11  0.609  209  0.454

117 Miami (OH)                 13-12  0.608   85  0.583

118 George Mason               16-11  0.606  156  0.493

119 Princeton                  14-10  0.606  157  0.493

120 Mercer                     22-5   0.603  303  0.353

121 South Florida              13-12  0.603   94  0.573

122 Drexel                     17-10  0.602  175  0.475

123 Eastern Washington         17-11  0.601  164  0.487

124 Tulane                     14-13  0.600  121  0.536

125 Arkansas                    9-16  0.600    2  0.710

126 Cal Santa Barbara          15-12  0.599  149  0.497

127 Northern Illinois          15-11  0.592  113  0.552

128 Southern Methodist         15-12  0.592   93  0.573

129 East Tennessee St.         17-10  0.587  238  0.431

130 Siena                      18-9   0.586  232  0.434

131 Wichita St.                17-9   0.585  188  0.468

132 Rutgers                    12-14  0.585   64  0.610

133 Oregon St.                 13-12  0.584  110  0.554

134 Appalachian St.            18-9   0.583  236  0.432

135 Oral Roberts               18-9   0.582  278  0.393

136 VA Commonwealth            17-9   0.581  249  0.421

137 Miami (FL)                 10-15  0.579   70  0.602

138 East Carolina              12-14  0.578   80  0.590

139 Pepperdine                 15-12  0.571  114  0.547

140 Ball St.                   13-14  0.570   81  0.587

141 Colorado St.               14-12  0.567  144  0.503

142 South Alabama              14-13  0.562  126  0.528

143 Fairfield                  17-10  0.561  172  0.477

144 Air Force                  11-14  0.559   89  0.581

145 Central Florida            19-10  0.557  268  0.397

146 San Francisco              14-13  0.552  125  0.529

147 Loyola Chicago             14-15  0.551  104  0.561

148 Belmont                    17-11  0.547  219  0.445

149 Washington                  9-16  0.545   40  0.647

150 George Washington          10-16  0.544   57  0.619

151 Denver                     15-14  0.539  155  0.493

152 New Orleans                15-13  0.537  159  0.491

153 St. Mary's (CA)            13-14  0.536  148  0.498

154 Iona                       16-11  0.529  223  0.441

155 UCLA                        7-18  0.526    6  0.698

156 Arkansas Little Rock       17-11  0.526  204  0.458

157 SW Texas St.               15-10  0.526  275  0.394

158 Jacksonville St.           20-9   0.526  295  0.367

159 Yale                       12-13  0.524  154  0.494

160 Southern Mississippi       12-14  0.524   88  0.582

161 Toledo                     11-15  0.522   90  0.579

162 Nebraska                   11-16  0.521   51  0.625

163 Brown                      15-11  0.518  190  0.466

164 Akron                      13-12  0.518  166  0.485

165 Eastern Illinois           14-14  0.514  132  0.521

166 Virginia Tech              11-16  0.514   74  0.598

167 Arkansas St.               12-14  0.513  208  0.455

168 Middle Tennessee St.       14-13  0.512  147  0.499

169 Vermont                    18-11  0.512  291  0.372

170 IUPUI                      17-13  0.510  185  0.470

171 Marshall                   12-13  0.509  158  0.493

172 Evansville                 11-15  0.509   73  0.599

173 Louisiana Tech             12-13  0.507  122  0.534

174 La Salle                   11-14  0.505   98  0.568

175 American                   14-13  0.503  239  0.431

176 Northwestern               11-14  0.503  100  0.566

177 Wagner*                    18-10  0.503  276  0.394

178 Oakland                    17-10  0.502  290  0.374

179 Bowling Green              11-14  0.501  111  0.554

180 Niagara                    16-11  0.501  197  0.462

181 Wofford                    13-14  0.501  177  0.475

182 Ohio                       11-14  0.490   91  0.578

183 Winthrop*                  19-9   0.489  319  0.325

184 New Mexico                 10-15  0.488  109  0.555

185 Bradley                    11-17  0.488  130  0.525

186 Texas Arlington            14-12  0.486  217  0.447

187 Delaware                   14-13  0.485  184  0.471

188 Pacific                    12-13  0.478  171  0.477

189 Old Dominion               12-14  0.477  206  0.457

190 TCU                         8-19  0.476   47  0.633

191 Cal St. Northridge         13-13  0.470  240  0.430

192 Eastern Michigan           13-12  0.469  207  0.456

193 Hartford                   15-12  0.468  254  0.410

194 Northern Iowa              11-15  0.459  123  0.533

195 Idaho St.                  14-13  0.454  230  0.436

196 Birmingham Southern        19-9   0.452  325  0.302

197 Binghamton                 14-13  0.452  229  0.437

198 Northeastern               15-14  0.451  265  0.398

199 Maine                      14-15  0.449  269  0.396

200 McNeese St.                13-12  0.448  247  0.423

201 Georgia Southern           15-12  0.446  255  0.408

202 Tennessee Martin           14-13  0.446  243  0.427

203 Northern Arizona           15-12  0.442  271  0.396

204 Boise St.                  12-14  0.438  170  0.477

205 Massachusetts              11-16  0.438  108  0.558

206 Furman                     14-16  0.435  214  0.450

207 Cal Poly-SLO               13-12  0.433  216  0.449

208 Samford                    13-14  0.430  210  0.453

209 Lehigh                     16-11  0.427  302  0.354

210 Hampton*                   17-8   0.425  326  0.299

211 Prairie View A&M*          13-11  0.424  234  0.433

212 Idaho                      12-13  0.422  226  0.438

213 Washington St.              7-18  0.422   46  0.636

214 Harvard                    12-13  0.422  218  0.445

215 Montana                    13-16  0.418  192  0.465

216 Santa Clara                13-14  0.417  182  0.473

217 Drake                      10-18  0.416  128  0.527

218 Centenary                  14-14  0.413  262  0.400

219 Houston                     8-17  0.412   58  0.619

220 James Madison              12-16  0.410  202  0.459

221 Portland                   11-16  0.405  136  0.516

222 Colgate                    14-13  0.396  297  0.365

223 Bucknell                   13-14  0.394  260  0.402

224 Canisius                   10-17  0.394  191  0.466

225 Marist                     12-15  0.391  200  0.461

226 Georgia St.                13-14  0.391  264  0.399

227 Rider                      12-15  0.390  225  0.438

228 Quinnipiac                 16-11  0.389  315  0.332

229 South Carolina St.         15-10  0.388  317  0.330

230 Lamar                      13-13  0.387  283  0.387

231 Mississippi Valley St.     13-12  0.383  307  0.349

232 Montana St.                11-16  0.380  237  0.432

233 Monmouth (NJ)              14-12  0.380  287  0.378

234 Penn St.                    6-19  0.380   34  0.655

235 Charleston Southern        14-13  0.379  288  0.375

236 Loyola Marymount           10-19  0.377  151  0.495

237 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     14-15  0.374  261  0.401

238 Illinois St.                7-19  0.373   97  0.568

239 Duquesne                    9-19  0.373  103  0.562

240 Wright St.                 10-17  0.370  165  0.486

241 Delaware St.               14-11  0.367  309  0.346

242 Wisconsin Green Bay        10-19  0.366  142  0.505

243 Central Connecticut        15-12  0.364  316  0.331

244 Texas Southern             13-11  0.361  318  0.328

245 Stony Brook                13-14  0.361  298  0.359

246 Louisiana Monroe           12-13  0.359  256  0.407

247 SE Missouri St.            11-18  0.358  199  0.461

248 Alabama St.                12-13  0.355  304  0.353

249 Lafayette                  12-15  0.354  285  0.379

250 North Texas                 7-20  0.352   86  0.583

251 Florida A&M                14-11  0.350  313  0.335

252 Eastern Kentucky           11-16  0.349  273  0.395

253 Jacksonville               13-15  0.343  267  0.397

254 Coastal Carolina           13-14  0.342  294  0.369

255 St. Francis (PA)           14-13  0.337  311  0.342

256 Howard                     11-14  0.331  310  0.345

257 SE Louisiana               10-15  0.330  250  0.421

258 Cal St. Fullerton           9-17  0.330  194  0.464

259 St. Peter's                 9-18  0.323  196  0.463

260 St. Francis (NY)           12-15  0.322  305  0.352

261 William & Mary             12-14  0.320  279  0.391

262 Coppin St.                  9-16  0.320  203  0.459

263 Western Carolina            9-18  0.317  251  0.420

264 Southern Utah              10-16  0.315  253  0.412

265 Cal St. Sacramento         11-16  0.314  212  0.452

266 Fairleigh Dickinson        14-12  0.313  323  0.308

267 Alcorn St.                 12-16  0.311  272  0.395

268 NC Asheville               11-16  0.309  222  0.444

269 Cleveland St.               8-21  0.308  131  0.524

270 Elon                       12-14  0.304  280  0.390

271 Jackson St.                 8-16  0.304  213  0.452

272 Florida International       7-19  0.303  180  0.473

273 San Jose St.                6-19  0.301  127  0.528

274 Texas San Antonio           8-17  0.300  167  0.480

275 NC Greensboro               7-21  0.297  160  0.489

276 Cal Riverside               6-16  0.293  139  0.507

277 IUPU Ft. Wayne              9-21  0.292  150  0.496

278 Liberty                    13-14  0.286  308  0.349

279 The Citadel                 8-19  0.282  257  0.406

280 Dartmouth                   8-17  0.278  258  0.405

281 Missouri Kansas City        8-19  0.272  195  0.463

282 Youngstown St.              8-19  0.271  211  0.453

283 Texas Pan American         10-20  0.269  299  0.358

284 Hofstra                     7-20  0.267  173  0.476

285 Norfolk St.                12-13  0.264  322  0.310

286 Long Island                 9-18  0.259  277  0.393

287 Florida Atlantic            7-21  0.259  186  0.470

288 Grambling                  10-16  0.257  266  0.398

289 Indiana St.                 6-22  0.257  105  0.560

290 Robert Morris              10-17  0.250  312  0.341

291 Cornell                     9-16  0.247  270  0.396

292 Navy                        8-19  0.245  281  0.388

293 Buffalo                     4-20  0.245  141  0.506

294 VMI                         8-19  0.243  245  0.426

295 Mount St. Mary's           11-16  0.241  300  0.357

296 Western Illinois            7-20  0.237  215  0.449

297 Gardner Webb                5-24  0.235  162  0.488

298 High Point                  7-19  0.217  282  0.387

299 Lipscomb                    8-20  0.215  320  0.323

300 Portland St.                5-22  0.210  176  0.475

301 Northwestern St.            6-19  0.210  233  0.434

302 Stetson                     6-20  0.206  224  0.438

303 Albany (NY)                 7-20  0.202  248  0.422

304 Alabama A&M                 8-16  0.200  324  0.305

305 Long Beach St.              5-21  0.196  181  0.473

306 Texas El Paso               5-21  0.195  183  0.471

307 Fordham                     2-23  0.194   63  0.611

308 Sacred Heart                8-21  0.193  292  0.371

309 MD Baltimore County         7-20  0.192  289  0.375

310 Radford                     8-19  0.183  274  0.395

311 New Hampshire               5-22  0.165  221  0.444

312 Bethune Cookman             7-19  0.161  306  0.350

313 Southern                    8-17  0.150  328  0.238

314 Chicago St.                 3-26  0.147  169  0.478

315 Morris Brown                8-19  0.144  314  0.335

316 Morgan St.                  7-19  0.129  327  0.277

317 Loyola (MD)                 4-23  0.127  246  0.423

318 Army                        5-21  0.126  296  0.366

319 Campbell                    5-22  0.126  286  0.378

320 Towson                      4-23  0.113  228  0.438

321 MD Eastern Shore            4-22  0.105  321  0.317

322 Nicholls St.                3-23  0.104  205  0.457

323 Tennessee St.               2-25  0.099  193  0.464

324 Savannah St.                3-24  0.093  242  0.427

325 Arkansas Pine Bluff         3-23  0.092  161  0.488

326 Columbia                    2-23  0.086  252  0.413

327 Wild Card U.               14-243 0.063   99  0.566

328 North Carolina A&T          0-24  0.032  284  0.384







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.771

  2 Big Twelve                        0.751

  3 Atlantic Coast                    0.745

  4 Big East                          0.709

  5 Big Ten                           0.705

  6 Pacific 10                        0.684

  7 Mountain West                     0.667

  8 Conference USA                    0.665

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.600

 10 Mid-American                      0.550

 11 Sun Belt                          0.543

 12 Western Athletic                  0.538

 13 West Coast                        0.537

 14 Missouri Valley                   0.536

 15 Horizon                           0.526

 16 Southern                          0.473

 17 Ohio Valley                       0.471

 18 Colonial                          0.463

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.452

 20 Big West                          0.452

 21 Big Sky                           0.441

 22 Ivy League                        0.432

 23 Atlantic Sun                      0.410

 24 America East                      0.410

 25 Mid-Continent                     0.403

 26 Southland                         0.401

 27 Patriot                           0.401

 28 Big South                         0.329

 29 Northeast                         0.312

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.284

 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.261

 32 Independents                      0.257







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-3-03:



Utah 4 over AIR FORCE, total 99

Prairie View A&M 5 over ALABAMA A&M, total 150

ALABAMA ST 4 over Texas Southern, total 126

Jackson St 7 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 135

ARKANSAS ST 11 over Florida Intl, total 130

COLORADO ST 2 over San Diego St, total 149

COPPIN ST 10 over Bethune-Cookman, total 118

CREIGHTON 19 over Wichita St, total 158

DRAKE 2 over Bradley, total 145

EASTERN MICH 14 over Buffalo, total 152

EVANSVILLE 13 over Indiana St, total 128

HAMPTON 7 over South Carolina St, total 154

HOWARD 3 over Delaware St, total 135

Southern Ill 10 over ILLINOIS ST, total 142

MISS VALLEY ST 11 over Grambling, total 156

MONMOUTH 7 over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 137

Florida A&M 7 over MORGAN ST, total 159

BYU 9 over NEW MEXICO, total 141

NORFOLK ST 24 over North Carolina A&T, total 136

SMS 10 over Northern Iowa, total 126

SOUTHERN U 5 over Morris Brown, total 129

Kansas Pick 'em over TEXAS TECH, total 150

UNC WILMINGTON 20 over William & Mary, total 135

WEST VIRGINIA 3 over Georgetown, total 143

WYOMING 4 over UNLV, total 160



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