ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 3-9-03. Home court advantage is 0.639, or about 4.78 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Arizona*                   25-2   0.938   15  0.676

  2 Kentucky*                  26-3   0.934    4  0.704

  3 Pittsburgh*                23-4   0.899   83  0.591

  4 Kansas*                    24-6   0.898   48  0.638

  5 Texas*                     22-5   0.894   10  0.691

  6 Louisville*                21-6   0.889   19  0.671

  7 Florida*                   24-6   0.886   25  0.665

  8 Wake Forest*               23-4   0.883   52  0.632

  9 Xavier (OH)*               24-4   0.883   76  0.600

 10 Marquette*                 23-4   0.881   56  0.629

 11 Oklahoma*                  21-6   0.880   27  0.664

 12 Illinois*                  21-6   0.879   54  0.631

 13 Syracuse*                  23-4   0.873   64  0.618

 14 Georgia*                   19-8   0.868    1  0.758

 15 Wisconsin*                 22-6   0.868   67  0.611

 16 Duke*                      21-6   0.866   40  0.649

 17 St. Joseph's (PA)*         22-5   0.865   78  0.599

 18 Creighton*                 28-4   0.860  137  0.510

 19 Mississippi St.*           19-8   0.854   24  0.666

 20 Maryland*                  19-8   0.848   61  0.623

 21 Notre Dame*                22-8   0.847   20  0.670

 22 Brigham Young*             22-7   0.840   51  0.634

 23 Memphis*                   22-5   0.833   85  0.589

 24 Oklahoma St.*              21-8   0.832   31  0.659

 25 Stanford*                  23-7   0.825   32  0.657

 26 Purdue*                    18-9   0.815   17  0.672

 27 Utah*                      23-6   0.815   93  0.577

 28 LSU*                       19-9   0.814   65  0.616

 29 Missouri*                  18-9   0.814    8  0.692

 30 Butler*                    25-4   0.809  145  0.502

 31 Dayton*                    21-5   0.808   77  0.599

 32 Arizona St.*               19-10  0.806   29  0.661

 33 Cincinnati*                17-10  0.805   11  0.683

 34 Alabama*                   17-10  0.803    7  0.699

 35 Connecticut*               19-8   0.795   69  0.605

 36 Michigan St.*              18-11  0.793   22  0.668

 37 Gonzaga*                   23-7   0.792  111  0.555

 38 California*                20-7   0.791   49  0.636

 39 Texas Tech*                16-11  0.789   14  0.676

 40 Southern Illinois*         24-5   0.787  122  0.536

 41 Colorado*                  19-10  0.786   34  0.652

 42 Oregon*                    20-9   0.781   70  0.603

 43 NC Wilmington*             23-6   0.774  201  0.457

 44 Holy Cross*                25-4   0.770  278  0.388

 45 Indiana*                   18-11  0.770    9  0.691

 46 Pennsylvania*              21-5   0.767  206  0.450

 47 Auburn*                    19-10  0.766   59  0.625

 48 Tennessee*                 17-10  0.761   18  0.671

 49 Boston College*            17-10  0.743   43  0.647

 50 Central Michigan*          21-6   0.742  130  0.527

 51 Louisiana Lafayette        20-9   0.735  118  0.539

 52 UNLV                       19-9   0.730   79  0.598

 53 Wisconsin Milwaukee        23-7   0.729  140  0.506

 54 Tulsa*                     19-9   0.728  113  0.549

 55 Georgia Tech               14-13  0.726   30  0.660

 56 Western Michigan           18-9   0.723  114  0.548

 57 North Carolina St.         16-11  0.722   62  0.620

 58 DePaul                     16-11  0.721   47  0.640

 59 Troy St.*                  26-5   0.721  258  0.409

 60 North Carolina             16-14  0.718    6  0.701

 61 Manhattan*                 22-6   0.718  191  0.462

 62 Providence                 15-12  0.717   39  0.650

 63 Seton Hall                 16-11  0.716   33  0.656

 64 Western Kentucky*          22-8   0.715  143  0.505

 65 Michigan                   17-12  0.714   38  0.650

 66 Weber St.*                 24-5   0.705  228  0.436

 67 Villanova                  15-14  0.705   21  0.669

 68 Illinois Chicago           21-8   0.703  142  0.505

 69 St. Louis                  15-12  0.699   12  0.677

 70 Minnesota                  16-11  0.698   66  0.616

 71 Wyoming                    20-9   0.695  103  0.565

 72 Kent St.                   19-8   0.694  139  0.508

 73 Fresno St.                 20-8   0.690  134  0.517

 74 Mississippi                13-14  0.683   44  0.644

 75 Georgetown                 14-13  0.680   90  0.583

 76 College of Charleston      24-7   0.680  230  0.434

 77 St. John's (NY)            15-12  0.673   63  0.619

 78 Texas A&M                  14-13  0.671   23  0.667

 79 Iowa                       15-12  0.670   72  0.602

 80 New Mexico St.             20-8   0.669  194  0.461

 81 South Carolina             12-15  0.669    3  0.711

 82 Richmond                   15-12  0.668   91  0.581

 83 Virginia                   15-14  0.664   26  0.665

 84 Iowa St.                   15-12  0.662   94  0.577

 85 Kansas St.                 13-16  0.658   55  0.631

 86 Valparaiso*                19-9   0.658  148  0.500

 87 Ohio St.                   14-13  0.657   42  0.648

 88 Utah St.*                  21-8   0.656  239  0.428

 89 San Diego                  17-11  0.654  116  0.545

 90 Charlotte                  13-15  0.653   13  0.677

 91 Cal Irvine                 19-8   0.649  205  0.451

 92 Rice                       19-9   0.649  159  0.491

 93 Florida St.                13-14  0.647   50  0.634

 94 SW Missouri St.            17-12  0.643  132  0.522

 95 Temple                     13-14  0.642   28  0.661

 96 Davidson                   17-10  0.640  207  0.450

 97 Detroit                    18-12  0.639  152  0.496

 98 Rhode Island               17-10  0.639  104  0.564

 99 Chattanooga                21-9   0.638  217  0.443

100 Sam Houston St.*           21-6   0.637  301  0.352

101 St. Bonaventure            13-14  0.637   58  0.628

102 UAB                        16-11  0.636  131  0.526

103 Nevada                     16-12  0.632  123  0.534

104 Hawaii                     17-10  0.632  136  0.516

105 Clemson                    15-12  0.630   81  0.593

106 San Diego St.              15-12  0.627  110  0.561

107 Morehead St.               20-9   0.627  238  0.428

108 Stephen F. Austin          20-7   0.625  302  0.352

109 Boston University*         19-9   0.625  196  0.461

110 Baylor                     14-13  0.621   73  0.602

111 Austin Peay*               23-7   0.620  248  0.422

112 Tennessee Tech             20-12  0.618  199  0.458

113 East Tennessee St.*        20-10  0.617  220  0.441

114 Drexel                     19-10  0.617  177  0.475

115 Murray St.                 17-12  0.614  170  0.479

116 West Virginia              14-14  0.614   45  0.643

117 Cal Santa Barbara          17-12  0.612  162  0.489

118 Colorado St.               16-13  0.603  120  0.536

119 Vanderbilt                 10-17  0.601    5  0.703

120 Eastern Washington         17-11  0.601  164  0.486

121 Southern Methodist         16-12  0.600  107  0.563

122 Southern California        11-16  0.599   41  0.648

123 Tulane                     15-14  0.598  121  0.536

124 South Florida              14-13  0.597  100  0.570

125 Oregon St.                 13-14  0.591   82  0.593

126 George Mason               16-12  0.588  153  0.494

127 Princeton                  16-10  0.588  203  0.454

128 Wichita St.                18-11  0.585  147  0.500

129 VA Commonwealth            18-10  0.583  243  0.424

130 Miami (FL)                 11-16  0.583   74  0.601

131 Mercer                     23-6   0.581  303  0.352

132 Siena                      19-10  0.581  221  0.440

133 Central Florida            21-11  0.580  253  0.414

134 Rutgers                    12-16  0.579   53  0.632

135 Fairfield                  19-10  0.577  176  0.475

136 Arkansas                    9-18  0.577    2  0.712

137 Northern Illinois          15-13  0.573  106  0.563

138 Miami (OH)                 13-14  0.573   95  0.576

139 Appalachian St.            19-10  0.564  232  0.432

140 East Carolina              12-15  0.560   86  0.586

141 Denver                     17-14  0.560  149  0.497

142 Toledo                     13-15  0.559   98  0.574

143 Pepperdine                 15-13  0.558  115  0.545

144 Oral Roberts               18-10  0.558  279  0.386

145 Air Force                  12-15  0.556   96  0.575

146 San Francisco              15-14  0.555  125  0.530

147 Washington                 10-17  0.555   37  0.651

148 South Alabama              14-14  0.551  127  0.528

149 Yale                       14-13  0.551  156  0.493

150 UCLA                        9-18  0.546   16  0.675

151 George Washington          11-16  0.545   75  0.600

152 Brown                      17-11  0.544  186  0.464

153 St. Mary's (CA)            15-15  0.541  141  0.506

154 Loyola Chicago             15-16  0.540  112  0.550

155 Belmont                    17-12  0.530  211  0.448

156 Ball St.                   13-16  0.529   84  0.589

157 Middle Tennessee St.       15-13  0.524  146  0.501

158 Iona                       17-12  0.523  233  0.431

159 American                   16-13  0.520  251  0.416

160 Wagner*                    20-10  0.518  280  0.385

161 Nebraska                   11-18  0.518   35  0.652

162 Vermont                    19-11  0.518  294  0.364

163 Arkansas Little Rock       18-12  0.518  192  0.461

164 IUPUI                      18-13  0.516  200  0.458

165 Niagara                    17-12  0.516  173  0.478

166 Arkansas St.               13-15  0.512  204  0.451

167 Southern Mississippi       12-15  0.512   87  0.585

168 Marshall                   13-14  0.512  150  0.497

169 New Orleans                15-14  0.512  168  0.484

170 Ohio                       12-15  0.510   80  0.594

171 Akron                      14-13  0.507  178  0.475

172 Eastern Illinois           14-15  0.507  128  0.527

173 Jacksonville St.           20-10  0.505  292  0.367

174 Virginia Tech              11-18  0.500   71  0.603

175 Evansville                 12-16  0.496   89  0.583

176 Bradley                    12-18  0.496  129  0.527

177 SW Texas St.               16-11  0.495  290  0.369

178 La Salle                   11-16  0.494   88  0.584

179 Wofford                    14-15  0.492  182  0.468

180 Delaware                   15-14  0.491  172  0.478

181 Louisiana Tech             12-14  0.490  117  0.539

182 Texas Arlington            16-12  0.488  245  0.424

183 TCU                         9-19  0.488   60  0.625

184 Bowling Green              12-15  0.486  119  0.537

185 Northwestern               11-16  0.485   97  0.574

186 Oakland                    17-11  0.482  287  0.372

187 Cal St. Northridge         14-14  0.479  219  0.442

188 Hartford                   16-12  0.477  260  0.405

189 New Mexico                 10-17  0.476  102  0.566

190 Idaho St.                  15-13  0.469  224  0.438

191 Eastern Michigan           14-13  0.466  210  0.449

192 Old Dominion               12-15  0.465  197  0.459

193 Winthrop                   20-10  0.465  321  0.308

194 Pacific                    12-15  0.465  163  0.487

195 Northeastern               16-14  0.459  268  0.398

196 Boise St.                  13-15  0.456  166  0.485

197 Binghamton                 14-13  0.452  225  0.438

198 McNeese St.                14-13  0.448  241  0.427

199 Birmingham Southern        19-9   0.447  324  0.297

200 Northern Iowa              11-17  0.443  124  0.532

201 Tennessee Martin           14-14  0.443  222  0.439

202 Georgia Southern           16-13  0.442  257  0.409

203 Cal Poly-SLO               14-13  0.439  216  0.445

204 Maine                      14-16  0.438  271  0.396

205 Massachusetts              11-17  0.435  108  0.563

206 Prairie View A&M*          16-11  0.430  264  0.400

207 Northern Arizona           15-13  0.430  266  0.399

208 Samford                    13-15  0.419  198  0.459

209 Furman                     14-17  0.416  218  0.442

210 Lehigh                     16-12  0.414  300  0.354

211 Idaho                      13-14  0.412  237  0.429

212 Centenary                  14-14  0.408  273  0.395

213 Washington St.              7-20  0.407   46  0.642

214 Santa Clara                13-15  0.406  181  0.471

215 Houston                     8-19  0.403   57  0.628

216 Montana                    13-17  0.402  190  0.462

217 James Madison              13-17  0.398  212  0.448

218 Marist                     13-16  0.397  193  0.461

219 South Carolina St.*        17-10  0.396  316  0.322

220 Quinnipiac                 17-12  0.395  310  0.336

221 Penn St.                    7-20  0.392   36  0.652

222 Georgia St.                14-15  0.392  269  0.397

223 Bucknell                   14-15  0.392  255  0.412

224 Drake                      10-20  0.391  133  0.518

225 Portland                   11-17  0.391  138  0.508

226 Hampton                    17-10  0.388  325  0.294

227 Harvard                    12-15  0.386  223  0.438

228 Canisius                   10-18  0.382  187  0.463

229 Lamar                      13-14  0.378  275  0.392

230 Montana St.                11-16  0.377  235  0.429

231 Colgate                    14-14  0.377  295  0.362

232 Delaware St.               15-11  0.376  306  0.346

233 Loyola Marymount           11-20  0.373  160  0.489

234 Illinois St.                8-21  0.372   99  0.571

235 Rider                      12-16  0.372  236  0.429

236 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     14-15  0.369  270  0.396

237 Monmouth (NJ)              15-13  0.368  291  0.368

238 Duquesne                    9-20  0.367  109  0.562

239 Wright St.                 10-18  0.363  154  0.494

240 Texas Southern             15-12  0.361  320  0.314

241 SE Missouri St.            11-19  0.359  180  0.471

242 Alabama St.                14-14  0.359  304  0.350

243 Louisiana Monroe           12-15  0.359  242  0.426

244 Florida A&M                16-11  0.357  317  0.319

245 Central Connecticut        15-13  0.355  311  0.333

246 Mississippi Valley St.     14-13  0.355  315  0.324

247 Lafayette                  13-16  0.355  281  0.382

248 Charleston Southern        14-14  0.355  297  0.361

249 Eastern Kentucky           11-17  0.350  261  0.405

250 Stony Brook                13-15  0.349  296  0.361

251 Wisconsin Green Bay        10-20  0.348  158  0.491

252 North Texas                 7-21  0.347   92  0.581

253 St. Francis (NY)           14-15  0.347  305  0.347

254 SE Louisiana               11-16  0.339  240  0.427

255 NC Asheville*              14-16  0.337  234  0.430

256 St. Peter's                10-19  0.333  183  0.467

257 Jacksonville               13-16  0.333  263  0.400

258 Coastal Carolina           13-15  0.332  293  0.367

259 Cal St. Fullerton          10-18  0.332  202  0.455

260 Southern Utah              11-16  0.330  256  0.411

261 Cal St. Sacramento         12-16  0.327  214  0.447

262 St. Francis (PA)           14-14  0.324  307  0.344

263 Florida International       8-21  0.321  157  0.493

264 Texas San Antonio          10-17  0.315  213  0.448

265 Coppin St.                 11-16  0.313  254  0.414

266 Western Carolina            9-19  0.310  249  0.422

267 William & Mary             12-16  0.306  267  0.399

268 Cleveland St.               8-22  0.305  126  0.530

269 Fairleigh Dickinson        15-14  0.303  319  0.316

270 Jackson St.                10-17  0.301  252  0.414

271 Howard                     11-16  0.300  312  0.332

272 Alcorn St.                 12-18  0.298  262  0.402

273 NC Greensboro               7-22  0.293  161  0.489

274 Elon                       12-15  0.291  282  0.381

275 Missouri Kansas City        9-19  0.290  185  0.467

276 IUPU Ft. Wayne              9-21  0.288  155  0.493

277 San Jose St.                7-20  0.286  144  0.502

278 Youngstown St.              9-20  0.283  188  0.463

279 Hofstra                     8-21  0.277  174  0.477

280 Indiana St.                 7-24  0.276  101  0.566

281 The Citadel                 8-20  0.274  259  0.407

282 Liberty                    14-15  0.272  313  0.331

283 VMI                        10-20  0.269  229  0.434

284 Texas Pan American         10-20  0.267  298  0.357

285 Grambling                  12-17  0.264  283  0.381

286 Cal Riverside               6-18  0.263  151  0.496

287 Buffalo                     5-22  0.259  135  0.517

288 Florida Atlantic            7-21  0.256  184  0.467

289 Dartmouth                   8-19  0.256  265  0.400

290 Robert Morris              10-17  0.250  308  0.341

291 Cornell                     9-18  0.250  246  0.424

292 Long Island                 9-19  0.249  274  0.395

293 Norfolk St.                13-14  0.246  326  0.290

294 Mount St. Mary's           11-16  0.240  299  0.357

295 Navy                        8-20  0.237  276  0.390

296 Gardner Webb                5-24  0.232  165  0.486

297 Western Illinois            7-21  0.225  209  0.449

298 Lipscomb                    8-20  0.211  318  0.319

299 High Point                  7-20  0.210  277  0.389

300 Portland St.                5-22  0.208  179  0.472

301 Northwestern St.            6-21  0.206  208  0.450

302 Stetson                     6-20  0.204  227  0.436

303 Radford                    10-20  0.203  272  0.396

304 Texas El Paso               5-23  0.195  171  0.479

305 Albany (NY)                 7-21  0.195  247  0.423

306 Sacred Heart                8-21  0.192  289  0.371

307 MD Baltimore County         7-20  0.189  288  0.371

308 Long Beach St.              5-22  0.188  169  0.481

309 Alabama A&M                 8-19  0.188  323  0.305

310 Fordham                     2-25  0.187   68  0.608

311 New Hampshire               5-23  0.162  215  0.447

312 Southern                    9-19  0.158  328  0.244

313 Bethune Cookman             7-21  0.149  309  0.338

314 Chicago St.                 3-27  0.145  167  0.484

315 Morris Brown                8-20  0.132  314  0.326

316 Army                        5-22  0.124  284  0.375

317 Campbell                    5-22  0.123  286  0.373

318 Loyola (MD)                 4-24  0.120  244  0.424

319 Morgan St.                  7-21  0.120  327  0.274

320 MD Eastern Shore            5-22  0.112  322  0.306

321 Towson                      4-24  0.109  231  0.433

322 Arkansas Pine Bluff         4-24  0.103  175  0.476

323 Nicholls St.                3-25  0.101  189  0.462

324 Tennessee St.               2-25  0.097  195  0.461

325 Savannah St.                3-24  0.090  250  0.419

326 Columbia                    2-25  0.088  226  0.437

327 Wild Card U.               14-243 0.061  105  0.564

328 North Carolina A&T          1-25  0.046  285  0.373







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Southeastern                      0.768

  2 Big Twelve                        0.752

  3 Atlantic Coast                    0.745

  4 Big East                          0.709

  5 Big Ten                           0.704

  6 Pacific 10                        0.684

  7 Mountain West                     0.668

  8 Conference USA                    0.662

  9 Atlantic 10                       0.597

 10 Mid-American                      0.549

 11 Sun Belt                          0.542

 12 Western Athletic                  0.536

 13 Missouri Valley                   0.535

 14 West Coast                        0.534

 15 Horizon                           0.524

 16 Ohio Valley                       0.471

 17 Southern                          0.470

 18 Colonial                          0.461

 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.452

 20 Big West                          0.449

 21 Big Sky                           0.440

 22 Ivy League                        0.429

 23 America East                      0.408

 24 Atlantic Sun                      0.406

 25 Mid-Continent                     0.401

 26 Southland                         0.399

 27 Patriot                           0.399

 28 Big South                         0.323

 29 Northeast                         0.311

 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.282

 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.255

 32 Independents                      0.252







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-10-03:



BOSTON U 10 over Northeastern, total 139

Vermont 1 over Hartford, total 129

LA SALLE 18 over Fordham, total 148

MASSACHUSETTS 1 over George Wash, total 137

RHODE ISLAND 14 over Duquesne, total 142

UNC Wilmington 6 over Drexel, total 136

Manhattan 5 over Fairfield, total 138

AKRON 5 over Ohio, total 158

BALL STATE 6 over Bowling Green, total 142

MARSHALL 7 over Eastern Mich, total 162

NORTHERN ILL 15 over Buffalo, total 129

WESTERN MICH 10 over Toledo, total 126

IUPUI 6 over Southern Utah, total 132

Valparaiso 8 over UMKC, total 138

Howard 11 over MD-East Shore, total 148

Norfolk St 15 over North Carolina A&T, total 134

Creighton 5 over Southern Ill, total 156

SW TEXAS ST 10 over UL-Monroe, total 155

TX-ARLINGTON 6 over McNeese St, total 135

Denver 1 over Middle Tenn St, total 134

WESTERN KY 7 over New Mexico St, total 144

Gonzaga 1 over SAN DIEGO, total 151



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