ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 3-6-05. Home court advantage is 0.635, or about 4.73 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  29-1   0.951   52  0.630

  2 North Carolina*            26-3   0.943    9  0.690

  3 Duke*                      22-5   0.913    6  0.698

  4 Kansas*                    22-5   0.908    1  0.727

  5 Wake Forest*               26-4   0.908    7  0.691

  6 Kentucky*                  23-4   0.903   35  0.649

  7 Oklahoma St.*              21-6   0.903    8  0.690

  8 Oklahoma*                  23-6   0.893   19  0.669

  9 Louisville*                26-4   0.893  115  0.547

 10 Michigan St.*              22-5   0.885   64  0.614

 11 Washington*                24-5   0.883   41  0.642

 12 Connecticut*               21-6   0.874   31  0.655

 13 Boston College*            24-3   0.871   60  0.620

 14 Arizona*                   25-5   0.870   32  0.654

 15 Villanova*                 21-6   0.868   39  0.645

 16 Alabama*                   23-6   0.868   43  0.638

 17 Cincinnati*                24-6   0.860   75  0.603

 18 Florida*                   20-7   0.859   57  0.626

 19 Wisconsin*                 20-7   0.850   15  0.671

 20 Syracuse*                  24-6   0.846   69  0.607

 21 Gonzaga*                   24-4   0.843   91  0.582

 22 Utah*                      25-4   0.838  154  0.499

 23 Pacific*                   25-2   0.831  160  0.490

 24 Texas*                     20-9   0.816   40  0.642

 25 Southern Illinois*         26-7   0.816   78  0.599

 26 Pittsburgh*                20-7   0.815   81  0.595

 27 Texas Tech*                18-9   0.810   29  0.659

 28 Georgia Tech*              17-10  0.810   16  0.671

 29 Nevada*                    24-5   0.800  134  0.525

 30 Mississippi St.*           21-9   0.799   47  0.636

 31 Iowa*                      19-10  0.795   23  0.667

 32 Louisiana St.*             19-8   0.790   17  0.671

 33 Charlotte*                 21-6   0.784   95  0.580

 34 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       23-5   0.782  192  0.463

 35 Minnesota*                 20-9   0.779   55  0.628

 36 Ohio St.*                  19-11  0.776   54  0.630

 37 Texas A&M*                 19-8   0.774  121  0.538

 38 Vanderbilt*                18-12  0.773   38  0.647

 39 Utah St.*                  22-7   0.772  232  0.436

 40 North Carolina St.*        17-12  0.767   37  0.648

 41 Old Dominion*              27-5   0.763  242  0.424

 42 UCLA*                      18-9   0.762   25  0.661

 43 Maryland*                  16-11  0.761   28  0.660

 44 Creighton*                 22-10  0.760   76  0.601

 45 Vermont*                   23-6   0.759  183  0.472

 46 New Mexico*                23-6   0.755  207  0.448

 47 Arkansas*                  18-11  0.755   93  0.582

 48 Iowa St.*                  17-10  0.753   36  0.648

 49 Southwest Missouri St.*    18-11  0.753   56  0.628

 50 Wichita St.                20-9   0.753   74  0.604

 51 Holy Cross*                24-5   0.752  264  0.405

 52 UAB                        20-9   0.749   88  0.586

 53 St. Mary's                 25-7   0.748  137  0.520

 54 George Washington*         19-7   0.748  142  0.517

 55 Northern Iowa              21-10  0.746   85  0.591

 56 West Virginia              18-9   0.746   62  0.618

 57 Indiana                    15-12  0.743    4  0.708

 58 Stanford                   17-11  0.742   13  0.671

 59 South Carolina             15-12  0.739   20  0.668

 60 Oral Roberts*              24-6   0.738  217  0.444

 61 Texas El Paso              24-7   0.738  188  0.468

 62 Notre Dame                 17-10  0.737   53  0.630

 63 DePaul                     18-9   0.731   80  0.595

 64 Miami OH*                  18-9   0.723   89  0.584

 65 Miami FL                   16-11  0.718   30  0.655

 66 Saint Joseph's             17-10  0.712   97  0.578

 67 Arizona St.                18-12  0.709   68  0.608

 68 Air Force                  18-11  0.708  122  0.538

 69 Clemson                    15-14  0.708   22  0.668

 70 Georgetown                 16-11  0.706   49  0.635

 71 Buffalo                    19-8   0.705   99  0.569

 72 Nebraska                   14-13  0.703   45  0.637

 73 Akron                      18-9   0.702  123  0.536

 74 Western Michigan           18-11  0.695  107  0.559

 75 Boston University          20-8   0.689  211  0.447

 76 Pennsylvania*              19-8   0.683  185  0.470

 77 Providence                 14-16  0.682   26  0.661

 78 Kansas St.                 16-11  0.681   86  0.589

 79 Western Kentucky*          21-7   0.680  187  0.468

 80 Hofstra                    21-8   0.679  173  0.480

 81 Memphis                    16-14  0.679   72  0.605

 82 Temple                     15-12  0.678   73  0.604

 83 Louisiana Lafayette        18-10  0.676  108  0.559

 84 Houston                    18-12  0.676   67  0.611

 85 Marquette                  19-10  0.673  109  0.557

 86 Virginia                   13-14  0.672    3  0.714

 87 Kent St.                   19-11  0.672  100  0.566

 88 Davidson                   21-8   0.670  199  0.458

 89 Washington St.             12-15  0.669    5  0.706

 90 Oregon                     14-13  0.667   24  0.662

 91 Rice                       18-10  0.665  132  0.527

 92 Winthrop*                  27-5   0.663  319  0.333

 93 Denver                     19-9   0.663  181  0.475

 94 Missouri                   15-15  0.661   10  0.687

 95 Ohio                       17-10  0.657  114  0.547

 96 Toledo                     16-12  0.654   90  0.583

 97 Virginia Tech              15-12  0.650   66  0.613

 98 Xavier                     16-11  0.650  125  0.533

 99 Tennessee                  13-16  0.649   11  0.672

100 Texas Christian            18-12  0.641  117  0.544

101 Northeastern               21-8   0.633  213  0.446

102 Nevada Las Vegas           15-12  0.633   82  0.594

103 Ball St.                   15-12  0.632  102  0.564

104 Bucknell                   21-9   0.629  214  0.445

105 Oregon St.                 16-13  0.626   70  0.606

106 Illinois St.               17-13  0.623   98  0.571

107 Virginia Commonwealth      19-11  0.622  157  0.492

108 Drexel                     17-11  0.622  150  0.511

109 Colorado                   13-15  0.619   14  0.671

110 Dayton                     17-10  0.619  143  0.515

111 Chattanooga*               20-10  0.618  243  0.424

112 Bowling Green              17-10  0.618  131  0.529

113 Mississippi                13-16  0.615   48  0.635

114 Wyoming                    15-12  0.615   87  0.586

115 San Francisco              16-13  0.612   94  0.581

116 Florida St.                12-18  0.611   21  0.668

117 Southern California        12-17  0.602   18  0.670

118 San Diego                  16-13  0.601  124  0.535

119 Middle Tennessee           19-12  0.600  197  0.459

120 Seton Hall                 12-15  0.595   51  0.633

121 Southeastern Louisiana*    21-8   0.593  303  0.353

122 Cal St. Northridge         17-12  0.592  164  0.486

123 Hawaii                     15-12  0.590  126  0.532

124 Northwestern               14-15  0.590   42  0.641

125 Southern Methodist         14-13  0.588  118  0.542

126 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     20-8   0.588  317  0.339

127 Niagara*                   19-9   0.588  245  0.420

128 Michigan                   13-17  0.583   34  0.649

129 Pepperdine                 17-14  0.581  113  0.547

130 Cal St. Fullerton          18-9   0.581  221  0.441

131 Bradley                    13-15  0.579   65  0.614

132 Auburn                     13-16  0.578   33  0.652

133 NC Wilmington              19-10  0.573  182  0.472

134 Arkansas Little Rock       18-10  0.572  158  0.491

135 California                 13-15  0.569   59  0.622

136 College of Charleston      18-10  0.569  229  0.436

137 Eastern Kentucky*          22-8   0.568  294  0.363

138 Northwestern St.           19-11  0.565  220  0.441

139 Louisiana Tech             14-14  0.564  101  0.565

140 Santa Clara                15-16  0.564  106  0.559

141 Drake                      13-16  0.562   61  0.618

142 George Mason               16-13  0.561  167  0.484

143 Princeton                  15-12  0.558  161  0.489

144 Massachusetts              16-11  0.556  127  0.530

145 Murray St.                 17-11  0.555  244  0.422

146 Portland                   15-15  0.554  120  0.541

147 Furman                     16-13  0.554  241  0.425

148 Richmond                   13-14  0.550   79  0.596

149 Sam Houston St.            17-11  0.549  263  0.405

150 St. John's                  9-18  0.546   27  0.660

151 Purdue                      7-20  0.542    2  0.721

152 Northern Illinois          11-16  0.542   83  0.594

153 Rider                      19-10  0.541  257  0.411

154 Fresno St.                 15-13  0.539  151  0.506

155 Central Florida*           24-8   0.538  316  0.340

156 Arkansas St.               16-13  0.531  202  0.455

157 Rutgers                     9-18  0.526   12  0.672

158 Georgia Southern           18-13  0.525  251  0.414

159 Lamar                      17-10  0.521  284  0.374

160 Appalachian St.            18-12  0.520  252  0.414

161 IUPUI                      16-12  0.516  231  0.436

162 South Florida              12-15  0.515  133  0.526

163 Detroit                    14-15  0.513  152  0.503

164 Loyola Marymount           11-17  0.508   77  0.599

165 Tennessee Tech             18-11  0.508  283  0.377

166 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-11  0.508  174  0.480

167 Wright St.                 15-15  0.508  140  0.519

168 Illinois Chicago           15-14  0.508  176  0.479

169 NC Greensboro              18-12  0.507  191  0.466

170 Indiana St.                11-20  0.503   50  0.634

171 Evansville                 11-17  0.501   92  0.582

172 Colorado St.               11-16  0.496  136  0.521

173 Portland St.*              19-8   0.494  323  0.327

174 Missouri Kansas City       16-12  0.492  224  0.440

175 Cal Irvine                 15-12  0.491  210  0.447

176 American                   16-12  0.490  226  0.438

177 Butler                     13-15  0.486  212  0.446

178 Texas San Antonio          15-12  0.485  240  0.425

179 Manhattan                  15-14  0.481  234  0.434

180 South Carolina St.*        17-11  0.471  315  0.342

181 Wofford                    14-14  0.470  237  0.431

182 Albany                     13-15  0.468  216  0.445

183 Valparaiso                 15-16  0.466  148  0.513

184 St. Peter's                15-13  0.465  235  0.431

185 Fordham                    12-15  0.464  144  0.514

186 Gardner Webb               18-12  0.464  296  0.363

187 San Diego St.              10-17  0.464  104  0.564

188 North Texas                14-14  0.464  195  0.460

189 Fairfield                  15-15  0.463  208  0.448

190 New Orleans                13-17  0.459  130  0.529

191 Oakland                    10-18  0.458  105  0.562

192 St. Louis                   9-20  0.458   63  0.617

193 Brigham Young               9-20  0.455   84  0.592

194 Loyola Chicago             13-17  0.454  141  0.517

195 Tulsa                       9-19  0.454  112  0.549

196 Austin Peay                13-19  0.453  135  0.525

197 Montana                    16-12  0.452  258  0.409

198 Fairleigh Dickinson*       19-12  0.451  313  0.344

199 Southeast Missouri St.     15-14  0.450  262  0.407

200 Florida International      13-16  0.446  138  0.519

201 Samford                    15-13  0.444  272  0.392

202 Birmingham Southern        16-14  0.444  278  0.387

203 Eastern Michigan           12-17  0.442  159  0.490

204 East Carolina               9-19  0.441   71  0.605

205 Iona                       15-16  0.440  218  0.443

206 Delaware St.               16-13  0.431  246  0.418

207 Maine                      14-15  0.428  196  0.459

208 Tennessee St.              14-17  0.426  166  0.484

209 Coppin St.                 13-14  0.426  178  0.477

210 Georgia St.                14-15  0.424  200  0.455

211 Georgia                     8-19  0.419   44  0.638

212 Utah Valley St.            16-12  0.416  302  0.353

213 Baylor                      9-18  0.415  103  0.564

214 Yale                       11-15  0.413  168  0.483

215 Mercer                     16-12  0.409  312  0.348

216 McNeese St.                13-14  0.408  269  0.399

217 Binghamton                 12-17  0.408  175  0.480

218 Hampton                    15-12  0.407  295  0.363

219 Belmont                    14-16  0.405  247  0.417

220 Monmouth                   16-13  0.402  286  0.371

221 Western Illinois           11-17  0.396  186  0.469

222 Harvard                    12-15  0.395  203  0.454

223 Southern Mississippi       11-17  0.394  162  0.488

224 Penn St.                    7-22  0.394   46  0.637

225 Cal Santa Barbara          10-17  0.390  146  0.513

226 Montana St.                14-13  0.387  288  0.370

227 La Salle                    9-18  0.381  110  0.550

228 Boise St.                  13-17  0.380  184  0.471

229 Marshall                    6-21  0.378   58  0.623

230 Delaware                   11-20  0.378  156  0.496

231 Cornell                    13-14  0.375  254  0.414

232 Texas St.                  14-13  0.375  289  0.369

233 Lehigh                     14-15  0.372  292  0.366

234 Chicago St.                 9-18  0.372  116  0.545

235 Eastern Illinois           12-16  0.369  205  0.453

236 Stephen F. Austin          12-15  0.368  305  0.352

237 High Point                 13-18  0.367  298  0.361

238 Lipscomb                   16-12  0.365  320  0.333

239 Brown                      11-16  0.364  225  0.439

240 East Tennessee St.         10-19  0.363  194  0.461

241 Tulane                     10-17  0.363  149  0.512

242 St. Francis PA             15-13  0.360  299  0.357

243 Central Michigan           10-17  0.358  129  0.530

244 Florida Atlantic           10-17  0.356  223  0.440

245 Southern Utah              13-15  0.356  249  0.417

246 Weber St.                  13-15  0.356  270  0.398

247 Troy                       12-18  0.356  230  0.436

248 Cleveland St.               9-17  0.356  170  0.483

249 Robert Morris              14-15  0.352  290  0.367

250 Long Beach St.             10-19  0.351  147  0.513

251 South Alabama              10-18  0.351  179  0.476

252 Texas Arlington            13-14  0.350  275  0.390

253 Northern Arizona           11-17  0.346  280  0.383

254 Marist                     11-17  0.343  238  0.429

255 Norfolk St.                13-13  0.343  324  0.327

256 Cal Davis                  11-17  0.342  215  0.445

257 Colgate                    12-16  0.340  267  0.401

258 Stony Brook                12-17  0.337  233  0.435

259 Duquesne                    8-21  0.336  111  0.550

260 Mississippi Valley St.*    13-14  0.336  322  0.328

261 Texas Pan American         12-16  0.332  259  0.409

262 St. Francis NY             13-15  0.332  310  0.349

263 NC Asheville               11-17  0.330  228  0.437

264 Wagner                     13-16  0.330  271  0.395

265 Central Connecticut        12-16  0.327  285  0.372

266 Columbia                   12-15  0.326  287  0.370

267 Jacksonville               16-13  0.325  308  0.349

268 Liberty                    13-15  0.318  250  0.416

269 Florida A&M                13-14  0.310  265  0.404

270 Sacramento St.             12-16  0.308  277  0.388

271 Alabama A&M                15-13  0.307  330  0.284

272 The Citadel                12-16  0.306  282  0.378

273 Cal Riverside               9-19  0.303  201  0.455

274 Morgan St.                 13-15  0.301  309  0.349

275 Canisius                   11-18  0.300  261  0.407

276 New Hampshire               9-19  0.299  209  0.448

277 Idaho                       8-21  0.299  193  0.461

278 Eastern Washington          8-20  0.298  169  0.483

279 Stetson                    10-17  0.298  227  0.437

280 Radford                    12-16  0.296  300  0.356

281 Rhode Island                6-21  0.294  128  0.530

282 Long Island                14-15  0.294  306  0.350

283 Western Carolina            8-22  0.292  180  0.475

284 San Jose St.                6-22  0.292   96  0.579

285 Charleston Southern        13-17  0.289  274  0.391

286 MD Baltimore County        11-18  0.286  255  0.412

287 Coastal Carolina           10-19  0.282  273  0.391

288 Dartmouth                  10-17  0.277  239  0.428

289 Elon                        8-23  0.274  155  0.497

290 Grambling                  14-11  0.271  331  0.280

291 Lafayette                   9-19  0.270  206  0.452

292 Northern Colorado           8-21  0.267  177  0.478

293 Alabama St.                13-14  0.262  327  0.317

294 William & Mary              8-21  0.262  171  0.482

295 Morehead St.               11-16  0.259  279  0.383

296 New Mexico St.              6-24  0.259  145  0.513

297 Jackson St.                14-16  0.255  326  0.318

298 Southern                   13-14  0.254  332  0.276

299 Bethune Cookman            12-16  0.253  318  0.333

300 Louisiana Monroe            8-19  0.252  256  0.412

301 Quinnipiac                 10-17  0.246  314  0.342

302 IUPU Fort Wayne             7-22  0.243  163  0.488

303 Idaho St.                   9-18  0.241  293  0.365

304 Navy                        9-19  0.233  297  0.362

305 Texas Southern             11-15  0.223  329  0.284

306 North Dakota St.           16-12  0.222  333  0.187

307 Jacksonville St.            7-22  0.221  268  0.400

308 Towson                      5-24  0.215  172  0.480

309 Tennessee Martin            6-21  0.213  204  0.453

310 Siena                       6-24  0.212  189  0.467

311 Hartford                    8-20  0.212  222  0.440

312 Nicholls St.                6-21  0.211  260  0.408

313 Virginia Military Inst      9-18  0.203  321  0.329

314 James Madison               6-22  0.200  165  0.486

315 South Dakota St.           10-18  0.188  328  0.297

316 Cal Poly                    5-22  0.186  190  0.466

317 Mount St. Mary's            7-20  0.184  307  0.350

318 Loyola MD                   6-22  0.182  248  0.417

319 North Carolina A&T          6-23  0.171  266  0.402

320 Youngstown St.              5-23  0.159  219  0.442

321 Arkansas Pine Bluff         7-20  0.158  311  0.348

322 Centenary                   3-24  0.150  153  0.500

323 Sacred Heart                4-23  0.142  276  0.388

324 Howard                      5-22  0.136  304  0.352

325 St. Bonaventure             2-25  0.123  139  0.519

326 Alcorn St.                  7-22  0.116  325  0.320

327 Campbell                    2-25  0.108  198  0.459

328 Prairie View A&M            5-22  0.102  291  0.367

329 Army                        3-24  0.097  281  0.378

330 Longwood                    1-30  0.071  236  0.431

331 Wild Card U.               15-313 0.064  119  0.542

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      2-24  0.044  301  0.355

333 Savannah St.                0-28  0.028  253  0.414







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.769

  2 Big Twelve                        0.745

  3 Big East                          0.734

  4 Southeastern                      0.729

  5 Big Ten                           0.717

  6 Pacific 10                        0.710

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.660

  8 Conference USA                    0.633

  9 West Coast                        0.626

 10 Mountain West                     0.621

 11 Mid-American                      0.598

 12 Western Athletic                  0.561

 13 Sun Belt                          0.518

 14 Atlantic 10                       0.509

 15 Colonial                          0.487

 16 Big West                          0.480

 17 Horizon                           0.475

 18 Southern                          0.472

 19 America East                      0.452

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.438

 21 Southland                         0.425

 22 Ivy League                        0.424

 23 Ohio Valley                       0.406

 24 Metro Atlantic                    0.402

 25 Patriot                           0.398

 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.368

 27 Big Sky                           0.360

 28 Big South                         0.355

 29 Northeast                         0.311

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.299

 31 Independents                      0.270

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.228







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-7-05:



Old Dominion 1 over VCU, total 133

Niagara 2 over Rider, total 164

AKRON 15 over Eastern Michigan, total 144

BOWLING GREEN 4 over Ball State, total 141

BUFFALO 11 over Northern Illinois, total 143

KENT ST 16 over Central Michigan, total 136

OHIO 15 over Marshall, total 141

Oakland 3 over Chicago St, total 141

ORAL ROBERTS 13 over IUPUI, total 143

Florida A&M 10 over Howard, total 153

Morgan St 20 over MD-Eastern Shore, total 144

Creighton Pick 'em over SMS, total 141

Western Kentucky 1 over Denver, total 146

UL Lafayette 8 over Florida Intl, total 135

Gonzaga 5 over St. Mary's, total 142



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