ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 3-13-05. Home court advantage is 0.635, or about 4.71 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Illinois*                  32-1   0.952   57  0.632

  2 North Carolina*            27-4   0.934   13  0.689

  3 Duke*                      25-5   0.913   10  0.691

  4 Oklahoma St.*              24-6   0.907    7  0.698

  5 Kansas*                    23-6   0.901    3  0.727

  6 Louisville*                29-4   0.898  110  0.557

  7 Wake Forest*               26-5   0.896   11  0.691

  8 Kentucky*                  25-5   0.891   37  0.652

  9 Washington*                27-5   0.889   40  0.651

 10 Florida*                   23-7   0.882   33  0.654

 11 Oklahoma*                  24-7   0.881   25  0.666

 12 Michigan St.*              22-6   0.874   63  0.619

 13 Arizona*                   27-6   0.865   46  0.645

 14 Connecticut*               22-7   0.863   34  0.654

 15 Alabama*                   24-7   0.860   52  0.638

 16 Syracuse*                  27-6   0.859   68  0.615

 17 Villanova*                 22-7   0.859   44  0.645

 18 Boston College*            24-4   0.855   66  0.618

 19 Wisconsin*                 22-8   0.852   16  0.686

 20 Gonzaga*                   25-4   0.846   91  0.582

 21 Cincinnati*                24-7   0.840   83  0.594

 22 Georgia Tech*              19-11  0.831    6  0.703

 23 Utah*                      27-5   0.825  152  0.500

 24 Texas Tech*                20-10  0.824   17  0.685

 25 Southern Illinois*         26-7   0.813   84  0.594

 26 Pittsburgh*                20-8   0.810   70  0.611

 27 Pacific*                   26-3   0.807  161  0.490

 28 Iowa*                      21-11  0.806   18  0.680

 29 Texas*                     20-10  0.799   53  0.638

 30 Louisiana St.*             20-9   0.797   20  0.677

 31 Mississippi St.*           22-10  0.791   49  0.640

 32 North Carolina St.*        19-13  0.789   22  0.672

 33 Minnesota*                 21-10  0.789   42  0.649

 34 Utah St.*                  24-7   0.787  209  0.448

 35 West Virginia*             21-10  0.780   31  0.655

 36 Nevada*                    24-6   0.777  142  0.514

 37 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       24-5   0.777  197  0.455

 38 Old Dominion*              28-5   0.770  232  0.431

 39 Charlotte*                 21-7   0.770   88  0.587

 40 Ohio St.*                  20-12  0.769   55  0.633

 41 New Mexico*                26-6   0.769  200  0.455

 42 George Washington*         22-7   0.768  139  0.518

 43 Creighton*                 23-10  0.765   82  0.596

 44 Vermont*                   24-6   0.763  187  0.466

 45 Texas A&M*                 19-9   0.759  119  0.539

 46 Vanderbilt*                18-13  0.757   50  0.640

 47 Iowa St.*                  18-11  0.752   41  0.649

 48 UAB*                       21-10  0.752   76  0.601

 49 Wichita St.*               20-9   0.749   78  0.599

 50 Maryland                   16-12  0.747   29  0.660

 51 Texas El Paso*             27-7   0.745  192  0.461

 52 Stanford                   18-12  0.742   19  0.678

 53 Northern Iowa              21-10  0.742   89  0.586

 54 St. Mary's                 25-8   0.741  126  0.535

 55 UCLA                       18-10  0.741   38  0.652

 56 Southwest Missouri St.     18-12  0.741   56  0.633

 57 Arkansas                   18-12  0.736   94  0.580

 58 Holy Cross                 24-6   0.731  260  0.405

 59 South Carolina             15-13  0.726   27  0.664

 60 Clemson                    16-15  0.726   14  0.687

 61 Buffalo                    22-9   0.724   90  0.582

 62 Indiana                    15-13  0.724    5  0.704

 63 DePaul                     19-10  0.720   87  0.588

 64 Oral Roberts               25-7   0.716  230  0.433

 65 Notre Dame                 17-11  0.714   64  0.619

 66 Miami OH                   19-10  0.712   99  0.575

 67 Saint Joseph's             19-11  0.710   96  0.577

 68 Arizona St.                18-13  0.709   61  0.622

 69 Georgetown                 17-12  0.707   48  0.640

 70 Miami FL                   16-12  0.705   39  0.651

 71 Kansas St.                 17-12  0.699   65  0.619

 72 Nebraska                   14-14  0.698   47  0.644

 73 Akron                      19-10  0.694  122  0.537

 74 Louisiana Lafayette*       20-10  0.693  112  0.555

 75 Pennsylvania*              20-8   0.693  182  0.474

 76 Memphis                    19-15  0.692   81  0.596

 77 Air Force                  18-12  0.688  130  0.531

 78 Virginia                   14-15  0.686    1  0.728

 79 Boston University          20-8   0.684  219  0.441

 80 Western Michigan           19-12  0.683  113  0.555

 81 Ohio*                      21-10  0.680  118  0.544

 82 Hofstra                    21-8   0.678  173  0.478

 83 Providence                 14-17  0.676   23  0.671

 84 Kent St.                   20-12  0.671  107  0.560

 85 Temple                     16-13  0.671   72  0.607

 86 Tennessee                  14-17  0.671   12  0.690

 87 Missouri                   16-16  0.671    8  0.695

 88 Western Kentucky           21-8   0.669  175  0.478

 89 Davidson                   21-8   0.667  196  0.455

 90 Marquette                  19-11  0.667  104  0.564

 91 Oregon                     14-13  0.665   30  0.660

 92 Rice                       19-11  0.664  129  0.532

 93 Washington St.             12-16  0.664    4  0.710

 94 Winthrop*                  27-5   0.661  320  0.330

 95 Houston                    18-13  0.659   73  0.605

 96 Denver                     20-10  0.650  172  0.479

 97 Colorado                   14-16  0.649    9  0.693

 98 Bucknell*                  22-9   0.642  201  0.454

 99 Texas Christian            19-13  0.640  108  0.558

100 Oregon St.                 17-14  0.637   59  0.629

101 Nevada Las Vegas           16-13  0.637   77  0.601

102 Xavier                     17-12  0.636  136  0.523

103 Virginia Tech              15-13  0.636   67  0.617

104 Toledo                     16-13  0.632   97  0.577

105 Mississippi                14-17  0.629   32  0.655

106 Ball St.                   15-13  0.621  103  0.565

107 Drexel                     17-11  0.619  148  0.509

108 Illinois St.               17-13  0.619  101  0.567

109 Southeastern Louisiana*    24-8   0.619  298  0.357

110 Chattanooga*               20-10  0.617  242  0.422

111 Northeastern               21-9   0.616  198  0.455

112 Dayton                     18-11  0.612  150  0.504

113 San Francisco              16-13  0.612   93  0.581

114 Virginia Commonwealth      19-12  0.609  156  0.494

115 Bowling Green              18-11  0.609  124  0.535

116 Florida St.                12-19  0.607   21  0.676

117 Wyoming                    15-13  0.607   85  0.591

118 San Diego                  16-13  0.599  128  0.532

119 Southern California        12-17  0.598   26  0.666

120 Cal St. Northridge         18-13  0.598  158  0.492

121 Northwestern               15-16  0.597   36  0.652

122 Middle Tennessee           19-12  0.596  199  0.455

123 Niagara*                   20-9   0.596  247  0.415

124 Seton Hall                 12-16  0.591   51  0.639

125 Auburn                     14-17  0.588   24  0.668

126 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     20-8   0.584  317  0.335

127 Hawaii                     16-13  0.584  134  0.527

128 Cal St. Fullerton          19-10  0.580  211  0.447

129 Michigan                   13-18  0.580   35  0.652

130 Pepperdine                 17-14  0.578  117  0.544

131 Southern Methodist         14-14  0.576  115  0.547

132 Bradley                    13-15  0.573   71  0.608

133 NC Wilmington              19-10  0.570  184  0.469

134 Arkansas Little Rock       18-10  0.570  163  0.489

135 College of Charleston      18-10  0.568  226  0.435

136 Eastern Kentucky*          22-8   0.566  295  0.361

137 California                 13-16  0.566   54  0.637

138 Santa Clara                15-16  0.560  111  0.556

139 Northwestern St.           21-12  0.559  234  0.429

140 South Florida              14-16  0.559  109  0.558

141 George Mason               16-13  0.558  169  0.481

142 Drake                      13-16  0.557   69  0.613

143 Louisiana Tech             14-15  0.555  102  0.566

144 Murray St.                 17-11  0.553  244  0.420

145 Furman                     16-13  0.552  241  0.423

146 Portland                   15-15  0.552  121  0.538

147 Sam Houston St.            18-12  0.549  255  0.410

148 St. John's                  9-18  0.546   28  0.660

149 Rutgers                    10-19  0.544   15  0.686

150 Richmond                   14-15  0.544   86  0.589

151 Princeton                  15-13  0.542  162  0.489

152 Central Florida*           24-8   0.538  312  0.340

153 Purdue                      7-21  0.537    2  0.727

154 Northern Illinois          11-17  0.534   80  0.597

155 Arkansas St.               16-13  0.530  203  0.453

156 Massachusetts              16-12  0.528  141  0.516

157 Rider                      19-11  0.526  245  0.420

158 Georgia Southern           18-13  0.525  249  0.413

159 Fresno St.                 16-14  0.523  160  0.491

160 Lamar                      18-11  0.522  274  0.388

161 Appalachian St.            18-12  0.517  253  0.411

162 Detroit                    14-16  0.511  147  0.510

163 IUPUI                      16-13  0.509  213  0.445

164 Loyola Marymount           11-17  0.508   79  0.599

165 NC Greensboro              18-12  0.506  189  0.465

166 Tennessee Tech             18-11  0.505  285  0.373

167 Illinois Chicago           15-14  0.504  179  0.475

168 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-11  0.503  180  0.475

169 Wright St.                 15-15  0.501  144  0.512

170 Indiana St.                11-20  0.498   58  0.629

171 Colorado St.               11-17  0.496  123  0.535

172 Evansville                 11-17  0.495   98  0.577

173 Missouri Kansas City       16-12  0.489  225  0.437

174 American                   16-12  0.489  222  0.438

175 San Diego St.              11-18  0.487   92  0.582

176 Oakland*                   12-18  0.483  105  0.562

177 Cal Irvine                 16-13  0.482  215  0.442

178 Butler                     13-15  0.482  216  0.442

179 Manhattan                  15-14  0.479  231  0.432

180 South Carolina St.         19-12  0.476  318  0.334

181 Portland St.               19-9   0.469  323  0.323

182 Wofford                    14-14  0.468  236  0.429

183 Montana*                   18-12  0.467  262  0.404

184 Texas San Antonio          15-13  0.466  243  0.421

185 Albany                     13-15  0.464  218  0.441

186 Fordham                    13-16  0.463  145  0.511

187 St. Peter's                15-13  0.463  235  0.429

188 Gardner Webb               18-12  0.463  294  0.362

189 Fairfield                  15-15  0.462  212  0.446

190 North Texas                14-14  0.461  195  0.458

191 Valparaiso                 15-16  0.461  149  0.508

192 New Orleans                13-17  0.457  133  0.527

193 Brigham Young               9-21  0.456   75  0.603

194 Fairleigh Dickinson*       20-12  0.450  315  0.336

195 Austin Peay                13-19  0.450  138  0.521

196 Delaware St.*              19-13  0.449  271  0.396

197 Loyola Chicago             13-17  0.448  146  0.511

198 St. Louis                   9-21  0.447   62  0.622

199 Southeast Missouri St.     15-14  0.446  263  0.404

200 Florida International      13-17  0.445  132  0.529

201 Birmingham Southern        16-14  0.440  279  0.384

202 Samford                    15-13  0.440  276  0.388

203 East Carolina               9-19  0.439   74  0.604

204 Tulsa                       9-20  0.439  116  0.545

205 Iona                       15-16  0.437  220  0.441

206 Eastern Michigan           12-18  0.435  155  0.496

207 Boise St.                  16-18  0.426  157  0.493

208 Tennessee St.              14-17  0.424  168  0.482

209 Georgia                     8-20  0.423   43  0.649

210 Georgia St.                14-15  0.423  202  0.454

211 Maine                      14-15  0.422  204  0.453

212 Coppin St.                 14-15  0.419  188  0.465

213 Hampton                    17-13  0.413  299  0.357

214 Utah Valley St.            16-12  0.412  305  0.350

215 Baylor                      9-19  0.410  100  0.574

216 Mercer                     16-12  0.407  311  0.346

217 Binghamton                 12-17  0.406  174  0.478

218 Belmont                    14-16  0.404  246  0.416

219 Cal Santa Barbara          11-18  0.400  140  0.518

220 McNeese St.                13-15  0.400  259  0.407

221 Penn St.                    7-23  0.399   45  0.645

222 La Salle                   10-19  0.399  106  0.560

223 Monmouth                   16-13  0.398  288  0.368

224 Yale                       11-16  0.397  170  0.479

225 Southern Mississippi       11-17  0.393  164  0.487

226 Western Illinois           11-17  0.390  190  0.463

227 Harvard                    12-15  0.390  208  0.449

228 Marshall                    6-22  0.379   60  0.629

229 Delaware                   11-20  0.374  159  0.492

230 Weber St.                  14-16  0.374  256  0.410

231 Cornell                    13-14  0.372  254  0.411

232 Lehigh                     14-15  0.369  293  0.363

233 Brown                      12-16  0.369  237  0.428

234 Stephen F. Austin          12-15  0.368  304  0.353

235 Montana St.                14-14  0.368  289  0.365

236 Texas St.                  14-14  0.365  283  0.376

237 Eastern Illinois           12-16  0.364  210  0.448

238 Tulane                     10-18  0.364  137  0.522

239 High Point                 13-18  0.364  297  0.358

240 Lipscomb                   16-12  0.364  319  0.331

241 East Tennessee St.         10-19  0.362  193  0.459

242 St. Francis PA             15-13  0.359  300  0.356

243 Chicago St.                 9-19  0.355  127  0.533

244 Florida Atlantic           10-17  0.355  221  0.439

245 Troy                       12-18  0.354  229  0.434

246 Southern Utah              13-15  0.353  251  0.413

247 Cleveland St.               9-17  0.350  177  0.477

248 Robert Morris              14-15  0.349  290  0.364

249 South Alabama              10-18  0.349  181  0.474

250 Central Michigan           10-18  0.345  125  0.535

251 Texas Arlington            13-15  0.344  269  0.398

252 Northern Arizona           11-17  0.344  280  0.381

253 Marist                     11-17  0.340  239  0.426

254 Colgate                    12-16  0.339  266  0.399

255 Cal Davis                  11-17  0.339  217  0.442

256 Norfolk St.                13-14  0.335  314  0.336

257 Long Beach St.             10-20  0.333  151  0.501

258 Stony Brook                12-17  0.332  233  0.430

259 Duquesne                    8-22  0.330  114  0.551

260 St. Francis NY             13-15  0.329  310  0.346

261 NC Asheville               11-17  0.328  228  0.434

262 Texas Pan American         12-16  0.327  264  0.404

263 Wagner                     13-17  0.326  268  0.399

264 Jacksonville               16-13  0.325  307  0.349

265 Central Connecticut        12-16  0.324  286  0.369

266 Columbia                   12-15  0.323  287  0.368

267 Alabama A&M*               18-13  0.322  332  0.262

268 Mississippi Valley St.     13-15  0.318  325  0.319

269 Liberty                    13-15  0.316  248  0.414

270 Florida A&M                14-15  0.309  272  0.390

271 Sacramento St.             12-16  0.305  277  0.385

272 The Citadel                12-16  0.305  282  0.376

273 Cal Riverside               9-19  0.301  205  0.452

274 Eastern Washington          8-20  0.298  167  0.483

275 Canisius                   11-18  0.298  261  0.404

276 Stetson                    10-17  0.298  224  0.437

277 New Hampshire               9-19  0.296  214  0.444

278 Idaho                       8-22  0.296  185  0.467

279 Radford                    12-16  0.294  301  0.355

280 Morgan St.                 14-16  0.293  316  0.336

281 Long Island                14-15  0.291  309  0.347

282 Western Carolina            8-22  0.290  183  0.473

283 Rhode Island                6-22  0.289  131  0.531

284 Charleston Southern        13-17  0.287  273  0.389

285 MD Baltimore County        11-18  0.283  258  0.408

286 San Jose St.                6-23  0.281   95  0.579

287 Coastal Carolina           10-19  0.280  275  0.388

288 Elon                        8-23  0.275  153  0.498

289 Dartmouth                  10-17  0.274  240  0.424

290 Lafayette                   9-19  0.269  206  0.451

291 Northern Colorado           8-21  0.265  178  0.476

292 Southern                   14-15  0.259  330  0.279

293 William & Mary              8-21  0.259  171  0.479

294 New Mexico St.              6-24  0.258  143  0.512

295 Jackson St.                15-17  0.257  324  0.322

296 Morehead St.               11-16  0.256  281  0.380

297 Alabama St.                15-15  0.256  327  0.301

298 Grambling                  14-12  0.254  331  0.272

299 Bethune Cookman            13-17  0.250  321  0.328

300 Louisiana Monroe            8-19  0.249  257  0.408

301 Quinnipiac                 10-17  0.243  313  0.340

302 Idaho St.                   9-18  0.240  292  0.363

303 IUPU Fort Wayne             7-22  0.239  166  0.483

304 Navy                        9-19  0.232  296  0.361

305 North Dakota St.           16-12  0.220  333  0.185

306 Texas Southern             11-15  0.219  329  0.280

307 Jacksonville St.            7-22  0.219  270  0.397

308 Towson                      5-24  0.213  176  0.477

309 Siena                       6-24  0.210  186  0.466

310 Tennessee Martin            6-21  0.210  207  0.450

311 Hartford                    8-20  0.207  227  0.434

312 Nicholls St.                6-21  0.207  265  0.404

313 Virginia Military Inst      9-18  0.201  322  0.326

314 James Madison               6-22  0.199  165  0.484

315 South Dakota St.           10-18  0.187  328  0.295

316 Cal Poly                    5-22  0.184  191  0.463

317 Mount St. Mary's            7-20  0.182  308  0.348

318 Loyola MD                   6-22  0.180  250  0.413

319 North Carolina A&T          6-24  0.165  267  0.399

320 Youngstown St.              5-23  0.156  223  0.438

321 Arkansas Pine Bluff         7-21  0.154  306  0.349

322 Centenary                   3-24  0.148  154  0.497

323 Sacred Heart                4-23  0.140  278  0.385

324 Howard                      5-23  0.130  303  0.353

325 St. Bonaventure             2-26  0.120  135  0.526

326 Alcorn St.                  7-22  0.113  326  0.316

327 Campbell                    2-25  0.107  194  0.458

328 Prairie View A&M            5-23  0.099  291  0.364

329 Army                        3-24  0.095  284  0.375

330 Longwood                    1-30  0.069  238  0.427

331 Wild Card U.               15-313 0.063  120  0.539

332 Maryland Eastern Shore      2-26  0.041  302  0.354

333 Savannah St.                0-28  0.028  252  0.413







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.770

  2 Big Twelve                        0.746

  3 Big East                          0.734

  4 Southeastern                      0.729

  5 Big Ten                           0.716

  6 Pacific 10                        0.708

  7 Missouri Valley                   0.655

  8 Conference USA                    0.631

  9 West Coast                        0.624

 10 Mountain West                     0.620

 11 Mid-American                      0.594

 12 Western Athletic                  0.557

 13 Sun Belt                          0.516

 14 Atlantic 10                       0.506

 15 Colonial                          0.485

 16 Big West                          0.477

 17 Southern                          0.471

 18 Horizon                           0.470

 19 America East                      0.447

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.434

 21 Southland                         0.423

 22 Ivy League                        0.420

 23 Ohio Valley                       0.403

 24 Metro Atlantic                    0.399

 25 Patriot                           0.396

 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.367

 27 Big Sky                           0.358

 28 Big South                         0.352

 29 Northeast                         0.308

 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.298

 31 Independents                      0.267

 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.225







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-14-05:



MARQUETTE 4 over Western Michigan, total 139



Return to ARGH main page

Click here to send me feedback