The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 3-27-05. Home court advantage is 0.634, or about 4.73 points for an average game.
Rank Team Record Rating Schedule 1 Illinois 36-1 0.949 57 0.628 2 North Carolina 31-4 0.936 11 0.689 3 Louisville 33-4 0.908 93 0.580 4 Duke 27-6 0.902 17 0.684 5 Oklahoma St. 26-7 0.896 12 0.688 6 Michigan St. 26-6 0.889 46 0.646 7 Kansas 23-7 0.888 3 0.719 8 Wake Forest 27-6 0.884 19 0.683 9 Kentucky 28-6 0.884 36 0.654 10 Washington 29-6 0.874 49 0.639 11 Florida 24-8 0.871 35 0.655 12 Arizona 30-7 0.870 28 0.662 13 Oklahoma 25-8 0.867 34 0.655 14 Villanova 24-8 0.864 26 0.665 15 Wisconsin 25-9 0.853 9 0.693 16 Connecticut 23-8 0.848 47 0.644 17 Syracuse 27-7 0.845 72 0.611 18 Alabama 24-8 0.844 53 0.635 19 Boston College 25-5 0.842 68 0.614 20 Cincinnati 25-8 0.840 69 0.614 21 Gonzaga 26-5 0.831 95 0.578 22 Utah 29-6 0.830 124 0.536 23 Georgia Tech 20-12 0.825 4 0.708 24 Texas Tech 22-11 0.821 16 0.684 25 Southern Illinois 27-8 0.809 76 0.605 26 North Carolina St. 21-14 0.805 7 0.695 27 Pittsburgh 20-9 0.802 63 0.622 28 Iowa 21-12 0.801 10 0.690 29 West Virginia 24-11 0.800 18 0.684 30 Mississippi St. 23-11 0.799 32 0.656 31 Wisconsin Milwaukee 26-6 0.798 144 0.515 32 Pacific 27-4 0.798 143 0.515 33 Texas 20-11 0.784 54 0.633 34 Louisiana St. 20-10 0.780 21 0.673 35 Nevada 25-7 0.780 117 0.544 36 Utah St. 24-8 0.780 191 0.469 37 Minnesota 21-11 0.774 44 0.647 38 Ohio St. 20-12 0.767 55 0.630 39 Vermont 25-7 0.766 155 0.497 40 George Washington 22-8 0.763 122 0.537 41 New Mexico 26-7 0.763 183 0.472 42 Vanderbilt 20-14 0.761 39 0.651 43 Maryland 19-12 0.760 43 0.649 44 UAB 22-11 0.759 58 0.625 45 Creighton 23-11 0.758 79 0.602 46 Old Dominion 28-6 0.757 214 0.445 47 Charlotte 21-8 0.757 85 0.593 48 Iowa St. 19-12 0.756 25 0.668 49 Texas A&M 21-10 0.755 116 0.547 50 Wichita St. 22-10 0.749 81 0.601 51 Northern Iowa 21-11 0.739 83 0.597 52 Saint Joseph's 23-11 0.737 91 0.583 53 Texas El Paso 27-8 0.735 187 0.470 54 South Carolina 18-13 0.734 37 0.652 55 St. Mary's 25-9 0.732 118 0.543 56 Arkansas 18-12 0.732 97 0.575 57 Holy Cross 25-7 0.730 232 0.432 58 UCLA 18-11 0.729 33 0.655 59 Southwest Missouri St. 19-13 0.729 62 0.622 60 Clemson 16-16 0.722 8 0.695 61 Georgetown 19-13 0.721 52 0.635 62 DePaul 20-11 0.721 82 0.598 63 Stanford 18-13 0.720 23 0.671 64 Memphis 22-15 0.717 84 0.593 65 Buffalo 23-10 0.715 92 0.581 66 Indiana 15-14 0.709 5 0.700 67 Oral Roberts 25-8 0.705 210 0.446 68 Miami FL 16-13 0.700 31 0.657 69 Notre Dame 17-12 0.697 67 0.615 70 Miami OH 19-11 0.694 102 0.569 71 Arizona St. 18-14 0.693 65 0.619 72 Davidson 23-9 0.692 160 0.492 73 Kansas St. 17-12 0.691 73 0.610 74 Nebraska 14-14 0.690 51 0.635 75 Akron 19-10 0.689 128 0.531 76 Louisiana Lafayette 20-11 0.689 103 0.566 77 Air Force 18-12 0.686 131 0.530 78 Virginia 14-15 0.685 2 0.727 79 Pennsylvania 20-9 0.683 159 0.492 80 Western Michigan 20-13 0.682 112 0.557 81 Ohio 21-11 0.676 113 0.554 82 Providence 14-17 0.674 24 0.669 83 Tennessee 14-17 0.669 13 0.688 84 Western Kentucky 22-9 0.668 164 0.489 85 Hofstra 21-9 0.664 170 0.484 86 Temple 16-14 0.663 70 0.614 87 Bucknell 23-10 0.662 157 0.493 88 Texas Christian 21-14 0.661 90 0.584 89 Boston University 20-9 0.661 205 0.451 90 Kent St. 20-13 0.658 107 0.561 91 Oregon 14-13 0.656 40 0.650 92 Washington St. 12-16 0.654 6 0.700 93 Missouri 16-17 0.654 14 0.686 94 Marquette 19-12 0.652 105 0.566 95 Winthrop 27-6 0.651 307 0.347 96 Houston 18-14 0.651 71 0.613 97 Rice 19-12 0.647 123 0.537 98 Colorado 14-16 0.642 15 0.685 99 Nevada Las Vegas 17-14 0.640 75 0.607 100 Denver 20-11 0.640 171 0.483 101 Xavier 17-12 0.636 137 0.523 102 Virginia Tech 16-14 0.634 64 0.621 103 Toledo 16-13 0.626 100 0.571 104 Mississippi 14-17 0.626 38 0.652 105 Oregon St. 17-15 0.616 66 0.616 106 Illinois St. 17-13 0.615 106 0.563 107 Ball St. 15-13 0.615 110 0.559 108 Chattanooga 20-11 0.615 218 0.443 109 Southeastern Louisiana 24-9 0.614 284 0.376 110 Dayton 18-11 0.611 153 0.503 111 Drexel 17-12 0.609 146 0.513 112 Wyoming 15-13 0.605 89 0.589 113 Cal St. Fullerton 21-11 0.605 177 0.477 114 Bowling Green 18-11 0.604 130 0.530 115 Florida St. 12-19 0.603 22 0.672 116 Northeastern 21-10 0.599 193 0.463 117 Cal St. Northridge 18-13 0.596 162 0.491 118 Northwestern 15-16 0.596 41 0.650 119 Niagara 20-10 0.593 226 0.435 120 San Diego 16-13 0.592 135 0.526 121 San Francisco 17-14 0.592 101 0.570 122 Middle Tennessee 19-12 0.591 208 0.450 123 Seton Hall 12-16 0.590 50 0.638 124 Southern California 12-17 0.589 29 0.658 125 Virginia Commonwealth 19-13 0.586 163 0.489 126 Auburn 14-17 0.583 27 0.663 127 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 20-8 0.579 319 0.331 128 Hawaii 16-13 0.578 141 0.521 129 Michigan 13-18 0.577 42 0.650 130 Pepperdine 17-14 0.572 120 0.539 131 Bradley 13-15 0.570 77 0.605 132 Eastern Kentucky 22-9 0.569 276 0.384 133 Southern Methodist 14-14 0.569 119 0.541 134 College of Charleston 18-10 0.565 230 0.433 135 Arkansas Little Rock 18-10 0.565 169 0.485 136 NC Wilmington 19-10 0.563 198 0.462 137 South Florida 14-16 0.560 109 0.560 138 California 13-16 0.557 56 0.628 139 Northwestern St. 21-12 0.555 238 0.425 140 George Mason 16-13 0.554 180 0.476 141 Santa Clara 15-16 0.553 115 0.549 142 Drake 13-16 0.553 74 0.609 143 Furman 16-13 0.550 243 0.421 144 Louisiana Tech 14-15 0.550 108 0.561 145 Murray St. 17-11 0.550 246 0.417 146 Portland 15-15 0.545 127 0.532 147 Richmond 14-15 0.544 88 0.589 148 St. John's 9-18 0.544 30 0.658 149 Sam Houston St. 18-12 0.544 259 0.406 150 Rutgers 10-19 0.540 20 0.682 151 Central Florida 24-9 0.539 298 0.358 152 Princeton 15-13 0.538 167 0.485 153 Purdue 7-21 0.537 1 0.727 154 Northern Illinois 11-17 0.529 87 0.591 155 Massachusetts 16-12 0.527 145 0.514 156 Arkansas St. 16-13 0.526 207 0.450 157 Rider 19-11 0.523 248 0.417 158 Georgia Southern 18-13 0.523 251 0.412 159 Lamar 18-11 0.517 277 0.384 160 Fresno St. 16-14 0.517 168 0.485 161 Appalachian St. 18-12 0.515 256 0.410 162 Detroit 14-16 0.513 149 0.512 163 IUPUI 16-13 0.507 215 0.444 164 Wisconsin Green Bay 17-11 0.506 178 0.477 165 Illinois Chicago 15-14 0.505 181 0.476 166 NC Greensboro 18-12 0.504 194 0.463 167 Tennessee Tech 18-11 0.503 287 0.372 168 Wright St. 15-15 0.502 148 0.512 169 Loyola Marymount 11-17 0.501 86 0.592 170 Oakland 13-19 0.494 96 0.576 171 Colorado St. 11-17 0.494 126 0.534 172 Indiana St. 11-20 0.494 59 0.624 173 Evansville 11-17 0.492 99 0.573 174 American 16-12 0.489 222 0.438 175 Missouri Kansas City 16-12 0.487 228 0.435 176 San Diego St. 11-18 0.485 94 0.580 177 Butler 13-15 0.483 217 0.443 178 Cal Irvine 16-13 0.480 220 0.441 179 Manhattan 15-14 0.478 233 0.432 180 South Carolina St. 19-12 0.474 318 0.333 181 Montana 18-13 0.469 244 0.421 182 Wofford 14-14 0.467 235 0.428 183 Portland St. 19-9 0.465 323 0.320 184 Fordham 13-16 0.464 150 0.512 185 Texas San Antonio 15-13 0.462 247 0.417 186 St. Peter's 15-13 0.461 237 0.428 187 Gardner Webb 18-12 0.461 297 0.360 188 Fairfield 15-15 0.460 213 0.445 189 Valparaiso 15-16 0.458 152 0.505 190 Albany 13-15 0.457 229 0.434 191 Fairleigh Dickinson 20-13 0.457 299 0.357 192 North Texas 14-14 0.456 202 0.452 193 Delaware St. 19-14 0.456 249 0.416 194 Brigham Young 9-21 0.453 80 0.601 195 New Orleans 13-17 0.453 138 0.523 196 Loyola Chicago 13-17 0.450 147 0.513 197 Austin Peay 13-19 0.450 140 0.522 198 St. Louis 9-21 0.449 61 0.623 199 Southeast Missouri St. 15-14 0.445 261 0.402 200 East Carolina 9-19 0.440 78 0.604 201 Florida International 13-17 0.440 136 0.524 202 Samford 15-13 0.438 273 0.386 203 Birmingham Southern 16-14 0.436 280 0.380 204 Iona 15-16 0.434 224 0.437 205 Tulsa 9-20 0.433 121 0.538 206 Eastern Michigan 12-18 0.431 161 0.491 207 Tennessee St. 14-17 0.423 173 0.481 208 Georgia St. 14-15 0.421 203 0.452 209 Georgia 8-20 0.421 45 0.646 210 Boise St. 16-18 0.420 166 0.487 211 Coppin St. 14-15 0.417 195 0.462 212 Maine 14-15 0.415 212 0.445 213 Hampton 17-13 0.410 302 0.354 214 Utah Valley St. 16-12 0.408 310 0.346 215 Mercer 16-12 0.406 311 0.345 216 Baylor 9-19 0.403 104 0.566 217 Belmont 14-16 0.402 250 0.414 218 Cal Santa Barbara 11-18 0.400 142 0.517 219 Binghamton 12-17 0.399 188 0.470 220 Penn St. 7-23 0.399 48 0.644 221 La Salle 10-19 0.398 111 0.559 222 Monmouth 16-13 0.396 289 0.366 223 McNeese St. 13-15 0.395 262 0.402 224 Southern Mississippi 11-17 0.393 165 0.488 225 Yale 11-16 0.393 182 0.475 226 Western Illinois 11-17 0.386 199 0.459 227 Harvard 12-15 0.385 216 0.443 228 Marshall 6-22 0.375 60 0.623 229 Weber St. 14-16 0.371 257 0.407 230 Cornell 13-14 0.369 258 0.407 231 Lehigh 14-15 0.369 292 0.362 232 Delaware 11-20 0.366 172 0.483 233 Brown 12-16 0.365 239 0.423 234 Tulane 10-18 0.365 139 0.522 235 Stephen F. Austin 12-15 0.365 306 0.349 236 Montana St. 14-14 0.364 293 0.362 237 Eastern Illinois 12-16 0.363 211 0.446 238 Texas St. 14-14 0.362 286 0.372 239 Lipscomb 16-12 0.361 320 0.329 240 High Point 13-18 0.361 300 0.355 241 East Tennessee St. 10-19 0.361 200 0.458 242 St. Francis PA 15-13 0.357 301 0.354 243 Florida Atlantic 10-17 0.353 225 0.436 244 Chicago St. 9-19 0.353 132 0.529 245 Cleveland St. 9-17 0.352 176 0.478 246 Troy 12-18 0.351 234 0.431 247 Southern Utah 13-15 0.351 254 0.411 248 Robert Morris 14-15 0.347 291 0.363 249 South Alabama 10-18 0.345 190 0.469 250 Texas Arlington 13-15 0.341 271 0.394 251 Northern Arizona 11-17 0.341 282 0.377 252 Central Michigan 10-18 0.341 133 0.529 253 Cal Davis 11-17 0.339 219 0.442 254 Colgate 12-16 0.338 267 0.399 255 Marist 11-17 0.338 240 0.423 256 Norfolk St. 13-14 0.333 316 0.335 257 Long Beach St. 10-20 0.333 154 0.499 258 Duquesne 8-22 0.329 114 0.550 259 St. Francis NY 13-15 0.328 312 0.345 260 NC Asheville 11-17 0.327 231 0.432 261 Stony Brook 12-17 0.326 241 0.423 262 Wagner 13-17 0.324 269 0.396 263 Texas Pan American 12-16 0.324 266 0.400 264 Jacksonville 16-13 0.323 308 0.347 265 Central Connecticut 12-16 0.322 288 0.367 266 Columbia 12-15 0.320 290 0.365 267 Liberty 13-15 0.315 252 0.412 268 Mississippi Valley St. 13-15 0.314 325 0.315 269 Florida A&M 14-15 0.309 272 0.389 270 Alabama A&M 18-14 0.307 332 0.260 271 The Citadel 12-16 0.305 283 0.376 272 Sacramento St. 12-16 0.302 279 0.381 273 Cal Riverside 9-19 0.300 206 0.450 274 Stetson 10-17 0.296 227 0.435 275 Eastern Washington 8-20 0.296 174 0.480 276 Canisius 11-18 0.295 265 0.401 277 Idaho 8-22 0.295 192 0.466 278 Radford 12-16 0.292 303 0.352 279 New Hampshire 9-19 0.291 223 0.438 280 Morgan St. 14-16 0.291 317 0.334 281 Western Carolina 8-22 0.290 184 0.472 282 Rhode Island 6-22 0.290 129 0.530 283 Long Island 14-15 0.289 314 0.344 284 Charleston Southern 13-17 0.285 274 0.385 285 MD Baltimore County 11-18 0.278 263 0.402 286 Coastal Carolina 10-19 0.277 275 0.385 287 San Jose St. 6-23 0.277 98 0.574 288 Elon 8-23 0.274 156 0.496 289 Dartmouth 10-17 0.270 245 0.419 290 Lafayette 9-19 0.270 204 0.452 291 Northern Colorado 8-21 0.262 186 0.471 292 Morehead St. 11-16 0.256 281 0.380 293 Southern 14-15 0.255 330 0.275 294 New Mexico St. 6-24 0.255 151 0.507 295 William & Mary 8-21 0.254 185 0.472 296 Jackson St. 15-17 0.254 324 0.318 297 Alabama St. 15-15 0.252 327 0.296 298 Grambling 14-12 0.250 331 0.268 299 Bethune Cookman 13-17 0.248 321 0.326 300 Louisiana Monroe 8-19 0.246 260 0.404 301 Quinnipiac 10-17 0.241 315 0.336 302 Idaho St. 9-18 0.238 296 0.360 303 IUPU Fort Wayne 7-22 0.236 175 0.479 304 Navy 9-19 0.232 294 0.360 305 North Dakota St. 16-12 0.218 333 0.184 306 Jacksonville St. 7-22 0.218 270 0.396 307 Texas Southern 11-15 0.216 329 0.276 308 Tennessee Martin 6-21 0.209 209 0.447 309 Siena 6-24 0.209 197 0.462 310 Towson 5-24 0.208 189 0.470 311 Nicholls St. 6-21 0.206 264 0.401 312 Hartford 8-20 0.204 236 0.428 313 Virginia Military Inst 9-18 0.199 322 0.323 314 James Madison 6-22 0.195 179 0.477 315 South Dakota St. 10-18 0.186 328 0.293 316 Cal Poly 5-22 0.185 196 0.462 317 Mount St. Mary's 7-20 0.182 309 0.347 318 Loyola MD 6-22 0.178 255 0.410 319 North Carolina A&T 6-24 0.165 268 0.398 320 Youngstown St. 5-23 0.157 221 0.438 321 Arkansas Pine Bluff 7-21 0.151 313 0.344 322 Centenary 3-24 0.147 158 0.493 323 Sacred Heart 4-23 0.139 278 0.381 324 Howard 5-23 0.130 305 0.352 325 St. Bonaventure 2-26 0.121 134 0.526 326 Alcorn St. 7-22 0.112 326 0.312 327 Campbell 2-25 0.107 201 0.456 328 Prairie View A&M 5-23 0.098 295 0.360 329 Army 3-24 0.096 285 0.375 330 Longwood 1-30 0.069 242 0.423 331 Wild Card U. 15-313 0.063 125 0.536 332 Maryland Eastern Shore 2-26 0.041 304 0.352 333 Savannah St. 0-28 0.028 253 0.412
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences: 1 Atlantic Coast 0.769 2 Big Twelve 0.737 3 Big East 0.730 4 Southeastern 0.725 5 Big Ten 0.714 6 Pacific 10 0.696 7 Missouri Valley 0.651 8 Conference USA 0.634 9 Mountain West 0.620 10 West Coast 0.615 11 Mid-American 0.587 12 Western Athletic 0.551 13 Sun Belt 0.512 14 Atlantic 10 0.507 15 Big West 0.477 16 Colonial 0.476 17 Horizon 0.474 18 Southern 0.472 19 America East 0.440 20 Mid-Continent 0.432 21 Southland 0.419 22 Ivy League 0.415 23 Ohio Valley 0.402 24 Patriot 0.398 25 Metro Atlantic 0.397 26 Atlantic Sun 0.365 27 Big Sky 0.356 28 Big South 0.349 29 Northeast 0.307 30 Mideastern Athletic 0.298 31 Independents 0.265 32 Southwestern Athletic 0.221
Odds against winning the 2005 NCAA Basketball Tournament, based on the ARGH Power Ratings as of 3-28-05 and the bracketed matchups:
(1) Illinois 1.5 to 1 (1) North Carolina 2.1 to 1 (4) Louisville 5.3 to 1 (5) Michigan St. 7.0 to 1
ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-29-05: Maryland 1 over South Carolina, total 151 Saint Joseph's 1 over Memphis, total 125
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