ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 1-25-04. Home court advantage is 0.632, or about 4.79 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's*              17-0   0.954   20  0.621

  2 Duke*                      16-1   0.949   12  0.637

  3 Louisville*                15-1   0.943   34  0.608

  4 Cincinnati*                14-1   0.920  133  0.518

  5 Stanford*                  16-0   0.918  120  0.526

  6 Mississippi St.*           16-1   0.907   26  0.619

  7 Georgia Tech*              15-3   0.905   17  0.630

  8 Pittsburgh*                19-1   0.890  181  0.487

  9 Kentucky*                  13-2   0.886    6  0.653

 10 Wisconsin*                 13-3   0.884   21  0.621

 11 Oklahoma St.*              14-2   0.884  108  0.538

 12 Gonzaga*                   15-2   0.881   84  0.560

 13 Connecticut*               15-3   0.879   75  0.568

 14 Texas Tech*                16-2   0.876   60  0.578

 15 South Carolina*            17-2   0.872  156  0.502

 16 Florida*                   12-4   0.866    5  0.661

 17 Air Force*                 13-2   0.866  189  0.479

 18 Arizona*                   13-3   0.858   13  0.635

 19 North Carolina*            12-4   0.854    2  0.664

 20 Vanderbilt*                13-3   0.853   72  0.569

 21 Providence*                13-3   0.851   14  0.634

 22 Utah St.*                  15-1   0.845  207  0.468

 23 Southern Illinois*         14-2   0.839  102  0.543

 24 Texas*                     12-3   0.838   83  0.561

 25 Kansas*                    12-3   0.836   52  0.583

 26 Western Michigan*          13-2   0.835  105  0.542

 27 North Carolina St.*        11-4   0.833   25  0.620

 28 Wake Forest*               11-4   0.833   19  0.622

 29 Kent St.*                  12-3   0.818  126  0.522

 30 Louisiana St.*             12-4   0.814   23  0.621

 31 Purdue*                    14-4   0.812   59  0.578

 32 Creighton*                 14-2   0.809  208  0.468

 33 Alabama*                   11-5   0.807    4  0.662

 34 Maryland*                  11-5   0.806   30  0.611

 35 Florida St.*               14-5   0.805   61  0.577

 36 Utah*                      15-4   0.804  112  0.532

 37 Seton Hall*                13-4   0.791  100  0.545

 38 Syracuse*                  13-3   0.787  119  0.526

 39 Illinois*                  12-5   0.786   66  0.573

 40 Brigham Young*             12-5   0.783   63  0.576

 41 Memphis*                   12-4   0.775   69  0.572

 42 Charlotte*                 11-5   0.768   41  0.598

 43 Central Florida*           15-2   0.767  242  0.446

 44 Alabama Birmingham*        11-5   0.767   47  0.590

 45 Auburn*                    11-6   0.765   58  0.578

 46 College of Charleston*     14-3   0.756  151  0.506

 47 Oregon*                     9-5   0.755   18  0.628

 48 Rice*                      13-5   0.752  113  0.530

 49 Dayton*                    16-3   0.749  127  0.521

 50 Texas El Paso*             13-4   0.748  213  0.466

 51 Boston College             13-5   0.748   39  0.601

 52 Nebraska                   11-5   0.747  167  0.496

 53 Hawaii                     14-3   0.747  187  0.481

 54 Oklahoma                   11-4   0.745  110  0.534

 55 Murray St.*                15-3   0.743  248  0.443

 56 Tennessee                  10-5   0.741   64  0.575

 57 St. Louis                  11-5   0.734  158  0.501

 58 Richmond                   11-8   0.731    7  0.652

 59 East Tennessee St.         15-4   0.729  206  0.469

 60 Nevada                     11-6   0.729   73  0.569

 61 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       13-5   0.726   98  0.547

 62 Michigan                   11-5   0.719  107  0.538

 63 Georgia Southern           14-3   0.718  311  0.367

 64 Xavier                     10-7   0.707   56  0.579

 65 Villanova                  11-6   0.704   71  0.570

 66 Virginia                   12-5   0.704   65  0.573

 67 Georgetown                 11-4   0.702  212  0.467

 68 Manhattan*                 13-4   0.702  240  0.447

 69 Toledo                     13-4   0.701  101  0.545

 70 Pennsylvania*               7-6   0.700   11  0.645

 71 Michigan St.                8-8   0.699    1  0.672

 72 Virginia Commonwealth*     12-5   0.697  114  0.530

 73 St. Mary's                 12-7   0.696  183  0.486

 74 Georgia St.                13-4   0.695  233  0.449

 75 Colorado                   10-6   0.693   68  0.572

 76 Missouri                    8-7   0.693   10  0.649

 77 Rutgers                    10-6   0.691   33  0.608

 78 Iowa St.                   11-4   0.690  197  0.474

 79 George Mason               12-4   0.689  136  0.517

 80 Belmont                    11-5   0.688  185  0.482

 81 Iowa                       10-6   0.688   77  0.565

 82 Wichita St.                12-6   0.687  153  0.504

 83 Troy St.                   12-5   0.675  266  0.427

 84 Marquette                  12-5   0.672  154  0.504

 85 George Washington          10-7   0.670   67  0.573

 86 Boston University*         13-4   0.669  220  0.460

 87 Arkansas                   10-7   0.666   55  0.580

 88 Rhode Island               13-7   0.664  168  0.496

 89 Nevada Las Vegas           10-5   0.664  155  0.502

 90 Georgia                     9-7   0.662   16  0.632

 91 Indiana                    10-6   0.661    9  0.651

 92 Kansas St.                  9-6   0.659  147  0.509

 93 Louisiana Lafayette*        9-5   0.659  193  0.476

 94 West Virginia              10-6   0.658   43  0.592

 95 Mississippi                10-6   0.647  106  0.540

 96 Old Dominion               10-6   0.646  115  0.529

 97 Oral Roberts*              13-6   0.645  199  0.473

 98 UCLA                        9-6   0.645   35  0.607

 99 Notre Dame                  9-6   0.645   97  0.547

100 Fresno St.                 10-7   0.644  103  0.543

101 California                  8-8   0.644   29  0.613

102 IUPUI                      12-6   0.644  173  0.491

103 Southwest Missouri St.     13-6   0.643  164  0.497

104 Austin Peay                10-7   0.639   91  0.553

105 Boise St.                  11-6   0.639  141  0.512

106 Princeton                   6-6   0.636   46  0.590

107 Miami FL                   13-6   0.631  280  0.418

108 Northern Iowa              11-5   0.630  236  0.447

109 Wyoming                     8-9   0.629   53  0.583

110 DePaul                     10-7   0.628   48  0.589

111 Pacific                    12-7   0.626  137  0.516

112 Clemson                     8-9   0.623    3  0.664

113 New Mexico                 10-6   0.620  254  0.434

114 San Diego St.              11-7   0.619  140  0.513

115 Illinois Chicago           13-7   0.616  252  0.440

116 East Carolina               8-7   0.615  190  0.479

117 NC Wilmington              10-7   0.614  170  0.494

118 Lafayette*                 14-4   0.612  291  0.404

119 SE Louisiana*              12-4   0.611  308  0.383

120 Cal Santa Barbara          10-6   0.603  175  0.491

121 Detroit                     9-8   0.602   82  0.561

122 Stephen F. Austin          12-4   0.601  327  0.285

123 Middle Tennessee           11-6   0.600  201  0.472

124 Colorado St.                9-8   0.598   45  0.590

125 Niagara                    12-5   0.597  274  0.421

126 Miami OH                    9-6   0.596  132  0.518

127 Southern Mississippi        9-7   0.594   40  0.600

128 Drexel                      9-7   0.592  162  0.499

129 Washington                  7-8   0.588   38  0.605

130 Tulsa                       6-10  0.587   27  0.619

131 Ball St.                    8-7   0.587   96  0.548

132 High Point*                13-5   0.587  303  0.389

133 Western Kentucky            8-9   0.586   87  0.555

134 Arizona St.                 8-8   0.579   93  0.551

135 Birmingham Southern        13-5   0.574  316  0.355

136 Minnesota                   8-9   0.570   70  0.571

137 Louisiana Tech              9-8   0.568  134  0.518

138 Wisconsin Green Bay        12-6   0.568  228  0.455

139 Chattanooga                11-7   0.567  286  0.408

140 Temple                      6-9   0.566    8  0.652

141 Hofstra                     8-10  0.565   54  0.581

142 Southern California         8-9   0.565   22  0.621

143 Furman                     10-7   0.564  307  0.385

144 Akron                       9-6   0.563  165  0.497

145 Virginia Tech               8-8   0.559  124  0.522

146 Vermont                    11-5   0.555  225  0.457

147 Northwestern                7-9   0.552   24  0.620

148 Denver                     10-7   0.550  188  0.479

149 St. Peter's                11-6   0.549  204  0.470

150 New Orleans                 9-9   0.549   49  0.588

151 Delaware                   10-7   0.549  194  0.475

152 Monmouth*                  11-7   0.546  182  0.487

153 Duquesne                    8-9   0.540  111  0.533

154 Southern Methodist          8-9   0.537   42  0.595

155 Santa Clara                11-9   0.536  144  0.511

156 Arkansas St.               11-7   0.533  276  0.421

157 San Francisco              12-9   0.533   99  0.546

158 Centenary                   9-8   0.533  174  0.491

159 Western Carolina            9-8   0.529  232  0.449

160 Washington St.              8-9   0.527   50  0.585

161 Portland                    8-10  0.524   31  0.611

162 Samford                     8-9   0.522  211  0.467

163 Wright St.                 10-8   0.520  150  0.507

164 Fairfield                  10-8   0.520  149  0.508

165 Tennessee Tech              9-8   0.520  245  0.444

166 Northern Arizona*          10-8   0.519  222  0.459

167 Winthrop                   11-8   0.516  267  0.427

168 Southeast Missouri St.      9-8   0.515  221  0.460

169 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      9-8   0.515  160  0.499

170 Arkansas Little Rock       10-8   0.515  279  0.418

171 Marshall                    7-8   0.511   81  0.562

172 Pepperdine                  8-12  0.508   78  0.565

173 Indiana St.                 8-8   0.506  118  0.527

174 Weber St.                   9-9   0.503  205  0.470

175 Loyola Marymount           10-8   0.502  196  0.474

176 Eastern Washington          8-10  0.498   88  0.554

177 Oregon St.                  8-9   0.498  142  0.511

178 Davidson                    8-10  0.497  122  0.524

179 South Alabama               9-8   0.497  200  0.472

180 Ohio St.                    9-9   0.496  109  0.535

181 Rider                      10-7   0.496  258  0.431

182 American                   10-9   0.496  198  0.473

183 Montana St.                11-7   0.493  299  0.398

184 Texas A&M                   7-8   0.490  192  0.477

185 Illinois St.                5-11  0.489   44  0.591

186 Northeastern               11-8   0.488  285  0.410

187 Penn St.                    8-8   0.487   89  0.554

188 Cal Irvine                  9-7   0.485  218  0.463

189 Maine                      11-6   0.482  323  0.318

190 Drake                       7-9   0.481  135  0.517

191 Eastern Kentucky            8-9   0.478  243  0.445

192 Mississippi Valley St.*    11-5   0.474  322  0.320

193 Appalachian St.             8-11  0.470  128  0.521

194 Missouri Kansas City        9-9   0.468  265  0.428

195 Morehead St.                9-8   0.466  250  0.441

196 Cal St. Northridge          7-9   0.462  180  0.487

197 South Florida               6-8   0.459   36  0.606

198 Delaware St.*               7-8   0.459  117  0.527

199 Coastal Carolina            9-9   0.458  261  0.429

200 Holy Cross                  8-10  0.457  269  0.425

201 New Mexico St.              7-9   0.455  178  0.488

202 St. Bonaventure             6-10  0.454   37  0.605

203 Cornell                     7-8   0.453  270  0.424

204 Butler                      7-10  0.453  131  0.518

205 Texas Christian             6-10  0.453   74  0.568

206 Valparaiso                  8-9   0.452  219  0.462

207 North Texas                 9-8   0.451  273  0.422

208 Houston                     7-9   0.448  104  0.543

209 Oakland                     8-12  0.447  177  0.490

210 Cal Riverside               6-9   0.446  186  0.481

211 La Salle                    7-11  0.443   95  0.550

212 Portland St.                8-10  0.441  239  0.447

213 Fairleigh Dickinson         9-7   0.436  281  0.418

214 Bowling Green               8-9   0.435  241  0.446

215 Lehigh                     11-7   0.434  319  0.344

216 Buffalo                     6-9   0.429  157  0.501

217 St. John's                  4-12  0.428   15  0.633

218 Massachusetts               6-11  0.422   76  0.566

219 Siena                       7-11  0.422  129  0.519

220 Idaho                       5-11  0.418   80  0.563

221 Bradley                     8-11  0.417  163  0.497

222 Florida Atlantic            8-9   0.417  295  0.400

223 Cal Poly                    6-9   0.417  166  0.497

224 St. Francis NY              9-8   0.415  296  0.400

225 Tulane                      7-8   0.404  256  0.433

226 Tennessee Martin            6-12  0.401  138  0.515

227 Robert Morris               7-8   0.400  260  0.429

228 Bucknell                    6-12  0.400  255  0.434

229 NC Greensboro               6-11  0.399  172  0.492

230 Liberty                     7-12  0.399  152  0.504

231 Northwestern St.            7-9   0.398  215  0.464

232 Eastern Michigan            6-9   0.397  278  0.420

233 Montana                     5-12  0.396   94  0.550

234 Sacramento St.              7-11  0.392  251  0.441

235 Wofford                     6-11  0.392  139  0.513

236 Loyola Chicago              6-11  0.390   86  0.557

237 Cal St. Fullerton           6-10  0.388  235  0.448

238 Jackson St.                 8-8   0.385  264  0.428

239 Jacksonville St.            9-9   0.384  305  0.388

240 Ohio                        5-12  0.384  143  0.511

241 Yale                        5-10  0.384  130  0.519

242 Iona                        6-12  0.383  116  0.528

243 Binghamton                  8-11  0.378  229  0.452

244 Stetson                     7-9   0.376  209  0.468

245 Colgate                    10-8   0.375  317  0.348

246 Brown                       6-9   0.373  184  0.484

247 Idaho St.                   8-11  0.373  210  0.467

248 Texas St.                  10-6   0.367  326  0.298

249 South Carolina St.          8-8   0.367  309  0.382

250 Radford                     8-9   0.366  294  0.402

251 Mercer                      7-12  0.366  121  0.524

252 Chicago St.                 6-14  0.362   90  0.553

253 McNeese St.                 5-11  0.360  202  0.472

254 Louisiana Monroe            8-12  0.360  227  0.455

255 Southern                    7-9   0.356  304  0.388

256 Texas Southern              8-8   0.355  312  0.363

257 Youngstown St.              5-12  0.355  161  0.499

258 Texas Arlington             7-9   0.354  298  0.398

259 St. Francis PA              6-9   0.352  217  0.464

260 Northern Illinois           7-11  0.352  292  0.402

261 William & Mary              4-13  0.352   85  0.557

262 Lamar                       7-10  0.350  310  0.369

263 Morgan St.                  6-8   0.350  271  0.424

264 Jacksonville                7-10  0.348  290  0.405

265 Canisius                    7-12  0.344  214  0.465

266 Southern Utah               6-12  0.342  171  0.494

267 MD Baltimore County         6-11  0.342  246  0.444

268 Coppin St.                  8-11  0.340  283  0.415

269 Sam Houston St.             7-9   0.335  313  0.361

270 James Madison               4-12  0.330   92  0.551

271 Hartford                    8-8   0.330  301  0.395

272 Baylor                      6-11  0.328  234  0.448

273 Sacred Heart                7-9   0.325  284  0.411

274 Fordham                     4-12  0.323   28  0.614

275 San Jose St.                5-12  0.314  249  0.443

276 Gardner Webb                6-13  0.313  179  0.488

277 Quinnipiac                  6-10  0.311  306  0.387

278 Wagner                      5-11  0.311  195  0.475

279 Central Connecticut         5-7   0.304  318  0.348

280 Hampton                     6-12  0.292  277  0.420

281 Evansville                  2-14  0.286   32  0.609

282 Long Island                 6-10  0.282  268  0.426

283 Florida A&M                 6-10  0.280  289  0.405

284 Elon                        5-13  0.280  169  0.496

285 Texas Pan American          5-13  0.279  223  0.459

286 Stony Brook                 6-11  0.278  293  0.402

287 New Hampshire               5-13  0.273  237  0.447

288 Texas San Antonio           7-11  0.271  321  0.332

289 Towson                      6-11  0.270  263  0.428

290 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-15  0.257   79  0.563

291 Cleveland St.               4-15  0.255  224  0.458

292 Long Beach St.              5-11  0.255  247  0.443

293 San Diego                   3-16  0.255   62  0.576

294 Lipscomb                    5-12  0.251  253  0.439

295 Columbia                    4-11  0.251  257  0.432

296 Tennessee St.               4-13  0.249  146  0.510

297 Central Michigan            3-14  0.248  123  0.524

298 Mount St. Mary's            4-12  0.246  230  0.452

299 NC Asheville                4-15  0.245  148  0.508

300 Alabama A&M                 5-9   0.244  287  0.406

301 Marist                      5-12  0.238  297  0.399

302 Eastern Illinois            3-13  0.218  244  0.445

303 Prairie View A&M            3-12  0.214  203  0.471

304 Grambling                   4-13  0.207  231  0.452

305 Howard                      4-12  0.202  314  0.361

306 Western Illinois            3-15  0.196  145  0.510

307 Florida International       3-14  0.187  191  0.478

308 Bethune Cookman             3-13  0.186  272  0.423

309 Nicholls St.                5-12  0.184  315  0.360

310 Dartmouth                   3-13  0.183  320  0.343

311 Albany                      3-14  0.181  282  0.417

312 Alabama St.                 3-12  0.178  300  0.395

313 Alcorn St.                  4-10  0.174  288  0.405

314 Charleston Southern         3-14  0.173  238  0.447

315 Harvard                     2-13  0.168  216  0.464

316 Virginia Military Inst      3-13  0.159  226  0.455

317 The Citadel                 4-13  0.157  302  0.394

318 Norfolk St.                 4-12  0.130  325  0.303

319 Navy                        3-15  0.117  262  0.429

320 Campbell                    1-16  0.108  159  0.500

321 Army                        4-13  0.101  324  0.304

322 Savannah St.                1-20  0.089   51  0.584

323 Wild Card U.               20-281 0.088   57  0.579

324 Loyola MD                   0-18  0.074  259  0.431

325 Maryland Eastern Shore      1-13  0.071  275  0.421

326 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-14  0.070  125  0.522

327 North Carolina A&T          0-16  0.039  176  0.490







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.812

  2 Southeastern                      0.790

  3 Big East                          0.712

  4 Big Twelve                        0.707

  5 Mountain West                     0.698

  6 Big Ten                           0.669

  7 Pacific 10                        0.658

  8 Conference USA                    0.656

  9 Western Athletic                  0.626

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.602

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.579

 12 West Coast                        0.554

 13 Colonial                          0.530

 14 Mid-American                      0.527

 15 Sun Belt                          0.507

 16 Southern                          0.505

 17 Horizon                           0.498

 18 Big West                          0.494

 19 Ohio Valley                       0.467

 20 Atlantic Sun                      0.455

 21 Mid-Continent                     0.454

 22 Big Sky                           0.452

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.433

 24 America East                      0.422

 25 Ivy League                        0.393

 26 Big South                         0.386

 27 Southland                         0.381

 28 Patriot                           0.374

 29 Northeast                         0.357

 30 Independents                      0.285

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.266

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.247







ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-26-04:



AIR FORCE 5 over Utah, total 85

ALCORN ST 1 over Alabama A&M, total 158

COLORADO ST 2 over UNLV, total 143

DELAWARE ST 18 over Norfolk St, total 124

DREXEL 1 over George Mason, total 160

EAST TENN ST 20 over Wofford, total 162

Appalachian St 2 over ELON, total 136

FURMAN 5 over Chattanooga, total 142

HOWARD Pick 'em over Hampton, total 141

Illinois-Chi 4 over LOYOLA-CHICAGO, total 159

Morgan St 13 over MD-EAST SHORE, total 143

BYU 3 over NEW MEXICO, total 182

NEW MEXICO ST 12 over Florida Intl, total 99

Bethune-Cookman 8 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 108

Miss Valley St 6 over PRAIRIE VIEW A&M, total 146

PROVIDENCE 12 over Georgetown, total 128

QUINNIPIAC Pick 'em over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 153

RADFORD 13 over Charleston So, total 128

ROBERT MORRIS 11 over Mt St. Mary's, total 138

SACRED HEART 6 over Central Conn, total 142

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 10 over Florida A&M, total 166

SOUTHERN U 11 over Alabama St, total 114

Murray St 5 over TAMU-CC, total 180

TEXAS SOUTHERN 20 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 124

TEXAS TECH 8 over Texas, total 145

Coastal Carolina 9 over VMI, total 140

WESTERN CAR 18 over The Citadel, total 123

Old Dominion 7 over WILLIAM & MARY, total 163

WYOMING 5 over San Diego St, total 139



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