ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 2-1-04. Home court advantage is 0.632, or about 4.70 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's*              18-0   0.958   14  0.642

  2 Duke*                      18-1   0.957    2  0.678

  3 Stanford*                  18-0   0.927   81  0.562

  4 Mississippi St.*           18-1   0.918   17  0.638

  5 Louisville*                16-2   0.916   59  0.582

  6 Cincinnati*                15-2   0.902  103  0.539

  7 Georgia Tech*              16-4   0.896   13  0.650

  8 Connecticut*               17-3   0.895   61  0.582

  9 Gonzaga*                   17-2   0.893   70  0.573

 10 Oklahoma St.*              15-2   0.892   90  0.555

 11 Pittsburgh*                20-1   0.890  189  0.482

 12 Air Force*                 15-2   0.885  157  0.502

 13 Wisconsin*                 14-3   0.879   44  0.597

 14 Kentucky*                  14-3   0.876    5  0.669

 15 Florida*                   13-5   0.862    3  0.676

 16 Texas*                     14-3   0.860   50  0.590

 17 Texas Tech*                16-4   0.857   27  0.622

 18 South Carolina*            18-3   0.857  111  0.531

 19 Utah St.*                  17-1   0.855  234  0.445

 20 Vanderbilt*                14-4   0.852   42  0.602

 21 Southern Illinois*         16-2   0.851   89  0.556

 22 Wake Forest*               13-4   0.847   20  0.630

 23 North Carolina St.*        12-5   0.843    8  0.659

 24 Providence*                14-4   0.841   15  0.640

 25 North Carolina*            13-5   0.837    7  0.662

 26 Kansas*                    13-4   0.835   32  0.616

 27 Louisiana St.*             14-4   0.832   18  0.635

 28 Arizona*                   14-4   0.831   24  0.625

 29 Seton Hall*                14-4   0.829   47  0.593

 30 Western Michigan*          15-2   0.828  169  0.492

 31 Creighton*                 16-2   0.822  205  0.472

 32 Kent St.*                  14-3   0.806  178  0.488

 33 Charlotte*                 13-5   0.803   19  0.631

 34 Utah*                      16-5   0.799   88  0.556

 35 Alabama Birmingham*        13-5   0.791   58  0.583

 36 Alabama*                   11-7   0.790    1  0.693

 37 Memphis*                   14-4   0.790   74  0.569

 38 Illinois*                  13-5   0.788   83  0.559

 39 Texas El Paso*             15-4   0.783  173  0.491

 40 Syracuse*                  14-3   0.782  148  0.506

 41 Maryland*                  11-7   0.780   16  0.639

 42 Oklahoma*                  13-4   0.776   86  0.557

 43 Brigham Young*             12-7   0.764   37  0.607

 44 Rice*                      15-5   0.763  141  0.513

 45 Auburn*                    11-7   0.763   40  0.602

 46 Dayton*                    17-3   0.758  120  0.525

 47 Purdue*                    14-6   0.753   84  0.557

 48 College of Charleston*     15-3   0.751  203  0.473

 49 Florida St.*               15-6   0.750  132  0.517

 50 Georgia Southern           16-3   0.749  294  0.397

 51 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       15-5   0.748  100  0.546

 52 Richmond                   12-8   0.747    9  0.659

 53 Nevada                     12-6   0.745   77  0.568

 54 East Tennessee St.         17-4   0.744  222  0.459

 55 Hawaii                     15-4   0.740  149  0.505

 56 Oregon                     10-6   0.737   34  0.615

 57 Tennessee                  11-6   0.736   41  0.602

 58 Murray St.*                17-4   0.731  235  0.444

 59 Iowa St.                   13-4   0.731  154  0.503

 60 Boston College             13-7   0.729   22  0.628

 61 Nebraska                   11-6   0.729  156  0.502

 62 Rutgers                    12-6   0.728   26  0.623

 63 Central Florida*           16-3   0.727  243  0.438

 64 Michigan                   12-6   0.726   67  0.576

 65 Virginia Commonwealth*     14-5   0.716  140  0.513

 66 Manhattan*                 15-4   0.713  241  0.440

 67 Michigan St.               10-8   0.712   11  0.657

 68 Louisiana Lafayette*       11-5   0.710  144  0.511

 69 Belmont                    13-5   0.708  180  0.487

 70 Marquette                  13-5   0.707  109  0.532

 71 Virginia                   12-6   0.706   38  0.606

 72 Georgetown                 12-5   0.702  159  0.501

 73 Villanova                  12-7   0.702   71  0.572

 74 St. Louis                  11-7   0.700  107  0.535

 75 Troy St.                   14-5   0.697  273  0.417

 76 Toledo                     15-4   0.697  133  0.517

 77 Wichita St.                13-7   0.695  118  0.528

 78 Colorado                   12-6   0.694  106  0.536

 79 Iowa                       11-7   0.692   69  0.574

 80 Missouri                    9-8   0.688   12  0.651

 81 Xavier                     10-9   0.688   33  0.615

 82 George Washington          11-8   0.686   51  0.590

 83 Mississippi                11-7   0.681   52  0.589

 84 Indiana                    11-7   0.670    6  0.667

 85 Nevada Las Vegas           11-6   0.667  122  0.523

 86 St. Mary's                 12-9   0.665  158  0.501

 87 Princeton*                  9-6   0.660  130  0.518

 88 Georgia                    10-8   0.657   31  0.617

 89 Illinois Chicago           15-7   0.653  217  0.463

 90 Rhode Island               13-8   0.651  155  0.502

 91 West Virginia              11-7   0.650   45  0.596

 92 California                  9-9   0.650   30  0.621

 93 Boston University*         15-4   0.648  286  0.410

 94 DePaul                     11-7   0.645   48  0.592

 95 Arkansas                   10-8   0.643   53  0.589

 96 Austin Peay                12-7   0.641  119  0.527

 97 Clemson                     9-10  0.641    4  0.676

 98 George Mason               13-6   0.641  142  0.512

 99 Pennsylvania                7-8   0.640   25  0.625

100 Pacific                    13-7   0.637  136  0.515

101 Fresno St.                 10-8   0.636   76  0.569

102 Lafayette*                 16-4   0.635  288  0.407

103 Southwest Missouri St.     14-7   0.632  176  0.490

104 New Mexico                 11-7   0.632  209  0.470

105 Cal Santa Barbara          12-6   0.629  221  0.460

106 Drexel                     12-7   0.629  163  0.498

107 Old Dominion               12-7   0.629  162  0.499

108 Notre Dame                 10-7   0.627  102  0.540

109 Kansas St.                  9-8   0.623  114  0.529

110 Wyoming                     9-10  0.623   68  0.575

111 Boise St.                  12-7   0.621  151  0.505

112 IUPUI*                     13-7   0.620  200  0.475

113 Niagara                    13-6   0.620  220  0.460

114 Washington                  9-8   0.618   49  0.591

115 Birmingham Southern*       15-5   0.617  311  0.366

116 Northern Iowa              11-7   0.607  185  0.485

117 Oral Roberts               13-7   0.607  224  0.456

118 Miami OH                   10-6   0.607  135  0.516

119 Colorado St.               11-8   0.607   72  0.570

120 San Diego St.              11-9   0.606   99  0.547

121 SE Louisiana*              13-4   0.605  314  0.365

122 NC Wilmington              10-9   0.602  123  0.523

123 Stephen F. Austin          13-4   0.601  327  0.281

124 Southern Mississippi       10-8   0.595   39  0.605

125 Georgia St.                13-7   0.592  254  0.429

126 East Carolina               8-9   0.590  134  0.516

127 Temple                      7-10  0.588   10  0.658

128 Southern California         9-9   0.585   29  0.621

129 Miami FL                   13-8   0.585  259  0.425

130 Denver                     12-7   0.581  199  0.476

131 Chattanooga                12-8   0.579  253  0.432

132 San Francisco              14-9   0.577   91  0.554

133 UCLA                        9-8   0.576   55  0.587

134 Vermont                    13-5   0.571  255  0.429

135 Western Kentucky            9-10  0.568  105  0.536

136 Louisiana Tech             10-9   0.566  126  0.521

137 Tulsa                       7-11  0.565   57  0.584

138 Wisconsin Green Bay        13-7   0.564  213  0.469

139 Delaware                   12-7   0.562  219  0.462

140 Middle Tennessee           11-8   0.562  187  0.483

141 Detroit                     9-10  0.562   94  0.552

142 Monmouth*                  12-7   0.561  195  0.479

143 Fairfield                  12-8   0.555  153  0.503

144 Hofstra                     8-12  0.554   43  0.601

145 Centenary                  11-8   0.551  186  0.484

146 New Orleans                10-10  0.551   54  0.587

147 Santa Clara                12-10  0.547  117  0.528

148 Arkansas St.               12-7   0.544  266  0.421

149 Northwestern                8-10  0.543   46  0.596

150 Akron                       9-8   0.539  124  0.522

151 Arizona St.                 8-10  0.538   96  0.550

152 Northern Arizona*          12-8   0.537  237  0.443

153 Furman                     11-8   0.537  310  0.373

154 Arkansas Little Rock       11-9   0.535  279  0.413

155 Ohio St.                   10-10  0.530   73  0.570

156 Washington St.              9-10  0.530   63  0.581

157 St. Peter's                12-7   0.530  223  0.456

158 Eastern Washington         10-10  0.527  113  0.529

159 High Point                 13-7   0.525  295  0.395

160 Virginia Tech               8-10  0.523   93  0.554

161 Ball St.                    8-9   0.519  125  0.522

162 Mississippi Valley St.*    13-5   0.517  325  0.316

163 Samford                    10-9   0.513  258  0.425

164 Minnesota                   8-11  0.512   98  0.549

165 Weber St.                  10-10  0.512  191  0.481

166 Davidson                    9-11  0.511  112  0.530

167 Duquesne                    9-10  0.509  161  0.500

168 Southern Methodist          8-11  0.508   36  0.607

169 Western Carolina           10-9   0.507  261  0.424

170 Penn St.                    9-9   0.503   65  0.578

171 Rider                      12-7   0.503  281  0.411

172 New Mexico St.              9-9   0.502  201  0.475

173 Portland                    9-11  0.501   64  0.580

174 Pepperdine                  9-13  0.500   87  0.556

175 Houston                     8-10  0.496   56  0.586

176 Texas A&M                   7-10  0.493  121  0.524

177 Tennessee Tech             10-9   0.491  262  0.422

178 South Alabama               9-10  0.490  138  0.514

179 Loyola Marymount           11-9   0.489  210  0.470

180 Wright St.                 11-9   0.486  204  0.473

181 Northeastern               13-8   0.483  303  0.384

182 Drake                       8-10  0.483  128  0.520

183 Buffalo                     8-9   0.482  147  0.506

184 Illinois St.                6-12  0.482   75  0.569

185 Cornell                     9-8   0.477  287  0.409

186 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     11-8   0.477  265  0.422

187 Cal Irvine                  9-9   0.474  168  0.493

188 Montana St.                11-9   0.471  271  0.417

189 Lehigh                     13-7   0.471  316  0.353

190 Missouri Kansas City       10-10  0.470  246  0.436

191 Maine                      12-7   0.469  324  0.318

192 Marshall                    7-10  0.468   85  0.557

193 Southeast Missouri St.      9-10  0.467  218  0.463

194 Winthrop                   11-10  0.467  260  0.424

195 Texas Christian             7-11  0.465   79  0.564

196 Valparaiso                 10-9   0.464  236  0.443

197 La Salle                    8-11  0.463   97  0.550

198 American                   11-10  0.463  248  0.435

199 Fairleigh Dickinson        11-7   0.462  277  0.413

200 Massachusetts               8-11  0.457   92  0.554

201 Indiana St.                 8-10  0.455  116  0.528

202 Oakland                     9-13  0.454  183  0.486

203 Morehead St.                9-10  0.454  207  0.472

204 Butler                      8-11  0.452  164  0.497

205 Oregon St.                  8-11  0.452  146  0.509

206 St. John's                  5-13  0.450   23  0.627

207 Liberty                     9-12  0.448  152  0.504

208 St. Francis NY             11-8   0.446  298  0.393

209 Coastal Carolina           10-10  0.446  278  0.413

210 North Texas                10-9   0.445  274  0.414

211 Cal Poly                    8-9   0.444  214  0.469

212 Appalachian St.             8-13  0.437  129  0.519

213 Cal St. Northridge          7-10  0.436  193  0.481

214 Holy Cross                  8-12  0.433  238  0.443

215 Eastern Kentucky            8-11  0.433  233  0.446

216 Bucknell                    8-12  0.432  257  0.425

217 Bowling Green               9-10  0.431  247  0.436

218 South Florida               6-10  0.427   35  0.612

219 Tennessee Martin            8-12  0.418  172  0.491

220 Yale                        6-11  0.414  104  0.538

221 Tulane                      7-10  0.412  177  0.489

222 Sacramento St.              9-11  0.412  264  0.422

223 Mercer                     10-12  0.411  170  0.492

224 Eastern Michigan            7-10  0.411  252  0.433

225 Cal Riverside               6-11  0.411  166  0.493

226 Binghamton                 10-11  0.410  230  0.449

227 Florida Atlantic            8-10  0.410  280  0.412

228 NC Greensboro               6-12  0.409  127  0.521

229 Robert Morris               8-9   0.407  251  0.433

230 William & Mary              6-14  0.405   80  0.563

231 Siena                       7-13  0.404  115  0.529

232 South Carolina St.*        10-8   0.403  313  0.365

233 Idaho                       6-12  0.402  110  0.531

234 Bradley                     9-12  0.401  198  0.476

235 Brown                       7-10  0.401  145  0.509

236 St. Bonaventure             6-12  0.398   60  0.582

237 Jacksonville St.           11-9   0.397  312  0.365

238 Northwestern St.            8-10  0.390  240  0.441

239 Portland St.                8-12  0.390  256  0.428

240 Delaware St.                8-9   0.389  245  0.437

241 Ohio                        6-13  0.388  143  0.511

242 St. Francis PA              7-9   0.385  211  0.470

243 Idaho St.                   9-12  0.381  197  0.478

244 Texas St.                  11-7   0.378  323  0.320

245 Jackson St.                 8-9   0.377  242  0.440

246 Stetson                     8-11  0.376  190  0.481

247 Loyola Chicago              7-13  0.373  108  0.533

248 Youngstown St.              7-12  0.373  212  0.470

249 Colgate                    10-10  0.370  307  0.376

250 Iona                        7-13  0.370  160  0.501

251 Jacksonville                9-11  0.369  283  0.410

252 Cal St. Fullerton           6-12  0.368  192  0.481

253 Hartford                    9-9   0.367  285  0.410

254 McNeese St.                 5-12  0.361  175  0.490

255 Sam Houston St.             8-10  0.361  304  0.383

256 Chicago St.                 6-16  0.360   66  0.577

257 Montana                     5-14  0.360  101  0.543

258 Louisiana Monroe            9-13  0.359  239  0.441

259 Wofford                     6-13  0.358  131  0.518

260 Southern Utah               7-12  0.354  196  0.478

261 Northern Illinois           7-12  0.350  268  0.420

262 Canisius                    7-14  0.342  174  0.491

263 Lamar                       8-11  0.342  315  0.354

264 Texas Arlington             8-10  0.341  305  0.380

265 Sacred Heart                9-10  0.340  291  0.404

266 Evansville                  3-15  0.337   21  0.629

267 Radford                     9-10  0.336  308  0.376

268 Texas Southern              9-9   0.333  320  0.330

269 Baylor                      6-13  0.333  179  0.488

270 Coppin St.                  8-12  0.332  270  0.417

271 Wagner                      6-11  0.326  216  0.466

272 Elon                        7-13  0.324  181  0.486

273 Fordham                     4-13  0.323   28  0.621

274 Hampton                     8-12  0.322  282  0.411

275 Southern                    8-10  0.317  318  0.337

276 MD Baltimore County         6-13  0.313  226  0.451

277 Columbia                    6-11  0.312  276  0.413

278 Texas San Antonio           9-11  0.309  319  0.333

279 Gardner Webb                6-14  0.307  165  0.494

280 Quinnipiac                  7-12  0.307  302  0.385

281 Texas Pan American          6-13  0.301  232  0.447

282 San Jose St.                5-14  0.300  194  0.480

283 Morgan St.                  6-10  0.288  301  0.389

284 Central Connecticut         5-10  0.284  306  0.380

285 James Madison               4-14  0.275  150  0.505

286 Long Beach St.              6-12  0.274  206  0.472

287 Florida A&M                 7-11  0.271  297  0.394

288 Stony Brook                 6-13  0.264  275  0.414

289 Towson                      6-13  0.263  215  0.467

290 NC Asheville                5-15  0.262  171  0.491

291 Alabama A&M                 6-10  0.255  296  0.394

292 Alabama St.                 5-12  0.254  263  0.422

293 Cleveland St.               4-17  0.249  188  0.483

294 Long Island                 6-12  0.248  289  0.406

295 New Hampshire               5-15  0.246  229  0.450

296 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-17  0.236   82  0.560

297 Grambling                   5-13  0.230  244  0.437

298 Marist                      5-14  0.229  290  0.405

299 Mount St. Mary's            4-14  0.228  228  0.450

300 Tennessee St.               4-15  0.227  167  0.493

301 Lipscomb                    5-14  0.226  267  0.420

302 San Diego                   3-18  0.224   95  0.551

303 Central Michigan            3-16  0.222  139  0.514

304 Eastern Illinois            3-15  0.212  231  0.448

305 Prairie View A&M            3-14  0.191  202  0.475

306 Albany                      3-16  0.190  227  0.451

307 Alcorn St.                  5-12  0.177  299  0.392

308 Nicholls St.                5-14  0.177  309  0.374

309 Virginia Military Inst      5-14  0.175  272  0.417

310 Howard                      4-14  0.173  317  0.342

311 Florida International       3-16  0.167  184  0.486

312 Western Illinois            3-18  0.167  208  0.471

313 Charleston Southern         3-16  0.164  249  0.435

314 Norfolk St.                 6-12  0.160  326  0.298

315 Bethune Cookman             3-14  0.149  300  0.391

316 Dartmouth                   3-15  0.146  321  0.329

317 Harvard                     2-15  0.144  250  0.434

318 The Citadel                 4-15  0.142  284  0.410

319 Campbell                    2-17  0.124  182  0.486

320 Army                        5-14  0.119  322  0.324

321 Maryland Eastern Shore      3-14  0.119  293  0.400

322 Navy                        3-17  0.107  269  0.418

323 Savannah St.                1-22  0.089   62  0.582

324 Loyola MD                   1-19  0.086  292  0.401

325 Wild Card U.               21-284 0.084   78  0.568

326 North Carolina A&T          1-17  0.065  225  0.453

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-16  0.061  137  0.514







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.806

  2 Southeastern                      0.789

  3 Big East                          0.709

  4 Big Twelve                        0.709

  5 Mountain West                     0.698

  6 Big Ten                           0.665

  7 Conference USA                    0.660

  8 Pacific 10                        0.644

  9 Western Athletic                  0.623

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.602

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.577

 12 West Coast                        0.550

 13 Colonial                          0.528

 14 Mid-American                      0.519

 15 Sun Belt                          0.514

 16 Southern                          0.504

 17 Horizon                           0.495

 18 Big West                          0.493

 19 Ohio Valley                       0.453

 20 Atlantic Sun                      0.450

 21 Mid-Continent                     0.450

 22 Big Sky                           0.449

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.435

 24 America East                      0.419

 25 Ivy League                        0.399

 26 Southland                         0.384

 27 Big South                         0.382

 28 Patriot                           0.379

 29 Northeast                         0.363

 30 Independents                      0.276

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.271

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.243







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-2-04:



AKRON 7 over Marshall, total 140

ALABAMA A&M 1 over Texas Southern, total 134

ALABAMA ST 7 over Prairie View A&M, total 128

Georgia So 7 over APPALACHIAN ST, total 145

Jackson St 13 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 125

Belmont 20 over CAMPBELL, total 142

Birmingham Southern 12 over CHARLESTON SO, total 127

COLL OF CHARLESTON 20 over Wofford, total 146

CONNECTICUT 14 over Syracuse, total 159

COPPIN ST 12 over Norfolk St, total 124

EAST TENN ST 17 over UNC Greensboro, total 135

Furman 3 over ELON, total 132

Troy St 7 over FLORIDA ATL, total 174

GARDNER-WEBB 8 over Lipscomb, total 137

IDAHO 6 over Idaho St, total 146

KANSAS 12 over Missouri, total 144

Robert Morris 2 over LONG ISLAND, total 143

MD-EAST SHORE 2 over Bethune-Cookman, total 128

MISS VALLEY ST 16 over Grambling, total 138

MORGAN ST 4 over Hampton, total 153

MT ST. MARY'S 2 over Central Conn, total 134

Howard 4 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 121

Miami-Ohio 3 over OHIO, total 120

SAN DIEGO ST 4 over New Mexico, total 140

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 5 over Delaware St, total 131

ST. FRANCIS-NY 7 over St. Francis-PA, total 143

TX-PAN AMERICAN 11 over Alcorn St, total 145

Nevada 2 over TULSA, total 145

Air Force 6 over UNLV, total 120

Saint Joseph's 16 over VILLANOVA, total 150

WAGNER 6 over Quinnipiac, total 145



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