ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 2-8-04. Home court advantage is 0.634, or about 4.75 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Duke*                      20-1   0.957    7  0.675

  2 St. Joseph's*              20-0   0.956   23  0.627

  3 Stanford*                  20-0   0.925  104  0.546

  4 Mississippi St.*           19-1   0.917   31  0.617

  5 Connecticut*               19-3   0.907   59  0.587

  6 Oklahoma St.*              17-2   0.904   79  0.575

  7 Louisville*                17-3   0.898   67  0.583

  8 Gonzaga*                   19-2   0.894  100  0.550

  9 Pittsburgh*                22-1   0.892  192  0.477

 10 Kentucky*                  16-3   0.888    4  0.690

 11 Georgia Tech*              17-5   0.885   11  0.659

 12 Cincinnati*                16-3   0.883  101  0.549

 13 Texas*                     16-3   0.875   54  0.592

 14 South Carolina*            19-4   0.863   68  0.582

 15 Southern Illinois*         18-2   0.858   92  0.566

 16 Utah St.*                  19-1   0.857  242  0.437

 17 Air Force*                 16-3   0.855  148  0.504

 18 Wisconsin*                 15-4   0.855   52  0.594

 19 North Carolina St.*        14-5   0.854    9  0.661

 20 Florida*                   14-6   0.851    5  0.677

 21 North Carolina*            14-6   0.848    3  0.698

 22 Kansas*                    15-4   0.847   32  0.617

 23 Texas Tech*                17-5   0.847   21  0.633

 24 Vanderbilt*                14-5   0.839   30  0.617

 25 Louisiana St.*             16-4   0.833   35  0.610

 26 Wake Forest*               13-6   0.830    8  0.665

 27 Western Michigan*          17-2   0.828  195  0.475

 28 Providence*                15-5   0.827   14  0.643

 29 Seton Hall*                15-5   0.815   62  0.584

 30 Kent St.*                  16-3   0.811  185  0.484

 31 Arizona*                   14-6   0.810   12  0.649

 32 Memphis*                   16-4   0.808   66  0.583

 33 Creighton*                 17-3   0.808  172  0.487

 34 Charlotte*                 14-5   0.804   24  0.626

 35 Illinois*                  15-5   0.803   90  0.567

 36 Utah*                      17-5   0.797  102  0.549

 37 Maryland*                  13-7   0.796   15  0.642

 38 Texas El Paso*             17-4   0.793  201  0.472

 39 Florida St.*               16-7   0.792   49  0.595

 40 Alabama*                   11-8   0.785    1  0.709

 41 Oklahoma*                  14-5   0.783   53  0.593

 42 Alabama Birmingham*        13-6   0.778   41  0.602

 43 Dayton*                    19-3   0.771  119  0.530

 44 Syracuse*                  14-5   0.767   70  0.581

 45 Nevada*                    14-7   0.766   56  0.589

 46 Brigham Young*             13-7   0.766   43  0.601

 47 Purdue*                    15-7   0.755   88  0.569

 48 Richmond*                  13-9   0.749   10  0.659

 49 East Tennessee St.*        19-4   0.747  231  0.447

 50 Boston College             15-7   0.747   34  0.615

 51 College of Charleston      16-4   0.743  176  0.486

 52 Murray St.*                19-4   0.738  240  0.437

 53 Auburn                     12-8   0.738   47  0.598

 54 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       16-6   0.729  108  0.543

 55 Manhattan*                 17-4   0.729  254  0.429

 56 Michigan                   13-6   0.728   86  0.571

 57 Rice                       15-7   0.728   99  0.554

 58 Hawaii                     16-4   0.727  183  0.484

 59 Michigan St.               12-8   0.726   18  0.637

 60 Oregon                     11-6   0.722   63  0.584

 61 Wichita St.                15-7   0.719  125  0.521

 62 Rutgers                    13-7   0.719   16  0.641

 63 Louisiana Lafayette*       13-5   0.718  163  0.491

 64 Nebraska                   12-7   0.713  143  0.508

 65 Tennessee                  11-8   0.713   20  0.636

 66 Belmont*                   16-5   0.710  211  0.462

 67 Troy St.                   17-5   0.710  273  0.414

 68 Georgia Southern           17-4   0.710  297  0.389

 69 Central Florida            17-4   0.710  226  0.449

 70 George Washington          13-8   0.707   75  0.578

 71 St. Louis                  11-8   0.705   87  0.570

 72 Colorado                   13-7   0.702   85  0.571

 73 Villanova                  13-8   0.699   77  0.576

 74 Iowa                       12-8   0.696   42  0.601

 75 Virginia Commonwealth*     15-6   0.694  145  0.507

 76 Boston University*         17-4   0.692  279  0.410

 77 Xavier                     12-9   0.685   71  0.581

 78 Toledo                     15-5   0.685  121  0.528

 79 St. Mary's                 14-9   0.681  161  0.492

 80 Georgetown                 13-6   0.679  157  0.495

 81 Georgia                    11-9   0.678   19  0.636

 82 Iowa St.                   13-6   0.678  117  0.531

 83 Nevada Las Vegas           12-7   0.678  110  0.542

 84 Arkansas                   11-9   0.673   28  0.619

 85 Missouri                    9-10  0.670    6  0.676

 86 DePaul                     13-7   0.663   72  0.580

 87 Virginia                   12-8   0.662   38  0.604

 88 Mississippi                11-9   0.662   22  0.628

 89 Marquette                  13-7   0.660  114  0.534

 90 Austin Peay                14-7   0.659  126  0.521

 91 Pacific                    15-7   0.659  138  0.511

 92 Rhode Island               14-9   0.658  122  0.528

 93 Kansas St.                 10-9   0.657   94  0.564

 94 Illinois Chicago           16-7   0.655  214  0.460

 95 California                 11-9   0.655   40  0.603

 96 Old Dominion               13-8   0.650  120  0.529

 97 West Virginia              12-8   0.650   29  0.619

 98 IUPUI*                     15-7   0.647  168  0.487

 99 Clemson                     9-11  0.643    2  0.703

100 Drexel                     14-7   0.642  178  0.485

101 Boise St.                  14-7   0.641  153  0.498

102 Fresno St.                 11-9   0.631   80  0.575

103 Pennsylvania*               9-8   0.629  106  0.544

104 Birmingham Southern*       17-5   0.628  316  0.349

105 Washington                 10-9   0.627   45  0.600

106 Indiana                    11-9   0.627   13  0.649

107 George Mason               14-7   0.625  152  0.502

108 New Mexico                 12-8   0.625  200  0.472

109 Wyoming                     9-11  0.622   48  0.597

110 Princeton                  11-6   0.619  246  0.435

111 Southwest Missouri St.     15-8   0.618  187  0.483

112 Notre Dame                 10-9   0.617   81  0.574

113 Niagara                    14-7   0.616  220  0.454

114 San Diego St.              12-10  0.615   95  0.562

115 Cal Santa Barbara          12-8   0.615  149  0.502

116 Stephen F. Austin*         15-4   0.615  327  0.279

117 Vermont                    15-5   0.613  234  0.443

118 Lafayette*                 16-5   0.613  272  0.414

119 Southern Mississippi       11-8   0.608   39  0.604

120 Miami OH                   12-7   0.605  141  0.509

121 Temple                      9-10  0.603   25  0.621

122 Denver                     13-8   0.601  139  0.510

123 Colorado St.               11-9   0.596   69  0.581

124 Fairfield                  14-8   0.594  128  0.516

125 Oral Roberts               13-8   0.594  207  0.467

126 SE Louisiana               14-5   0.593  304  0.381

127 Northern Iowa              12-8   0.588  189  0.481

128 Chattanooga                13-8   0.588  248  0.433

129 NC Wilmington              10-11  0.582  105  0.545

130 Northwestern                9-11  0.576   33  0.615

131 Western Kentucky           11-10  0.576  162  0.492

132 Detroit                    11-10  0.575  133  0.512

133 Arkansas St.               14-7   0.574  260  0.424

134 East Carolina               9-10  0.573  140  0.510

135 Miami FL                   13-10  0.569  219  0.454

136 Georgia St.                13-8   0.569  245  0.436

137 Wisconsin Green Bay        15-7   0.566  221  0.454

138 Washington St.             11-10  0.566   78  0.576

139 Eastern Washington*        12-10  0.565  115  0.531

140 Virginia Tech               9-10  0.564   84  0.571

141 Hofstra                    10-12  0.561   73  0.580

142 UCLA                       10-9   0.560   83  0.572

143 St. Peter's                14-8   0.557  197  0.474

144 Louisiana Tech             11-10  0.552  127  0.519

145 San Francisco              14-11  0.549   93  0.565

146 Centenary                  13-8   0.544  230  0.447

147 Arkansas Little Rock       12-10  0.543  270  0.416

148 Furman                     12-9   0.543  296  0.393

149 New Orleans                11-11  0.542   64  0.584

150 Delaware                   13-8   0.541  227  0.448

151 Tulsa                       7-14  0.540   27  0.620

152 Middle Tennessee           12-9   0.538  204  0.467

153 Monmouth*                  13-8   0.535  208  0.465

154 Southern California         9-11  0.529   46  0.599

155 Davidson                   11-11  0.529  142  0.509

156 Arizona St.                 8-12  0.527   65  0.583

157 Ball St.                    9-10  0.521  124  0.522

158 Ohio St.                   11-11  0.520   96  0.560

159 Minnesota                   8-13  0.515   60  0.586

160 Maine                      14-7   0.515  324  0.322

161 Pepperdine                 10-14  0.512   82  0.572

162 Western Carolina           11-10  0.510  285  0.405

163 High Point                 14-7   0.509  308  0.372

164 Samford                    10-11  0.508  215  0.459

165 Tennessee Tech             12-9   0.508  280  0.410

166 Santa Clara                13-11  0.506  173  0.487

167 Akron                      10-10  0.506  137  0.512

168 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     13-8   0.505  284  0.406

169 Wright St.                 12-10  0.505  165  0.490

170 Southern Methodist          9-12  0.504   50  0.595

171 Texas Christian             8-11  0.503   74  0.579

172 Portland                   10-12  0.502   89  0.568

173 Duquesne                    9-11  0.498  129  0.515

174 Missouri Kansas City       11-10  0.498  247  0.434

175 Northern Arizona           12-9   0.497  256  0.428

176 Cornell                    10-9   0.496  241  0.437

177 Northeastern               14-9   0.492  295  0.394

178 Penn St.                    9-10  0.490   61  0.586

179 Lehigh                     14-7   0.489  319  0.344

180 New Mexico St.             10-10  0.484  216  0.459

181 Winthrop                   13-10  0.483  265  0.421

182 Massachusetts               9-12  0.482   91  0.567

183 Weber St.                  10-11  0.480  205  0.467

184 Valparaiso                 11-10  0.476  223  0.453

185 Liberty                    11-12  0.474  174  0.487

186 Loyola Marymount           11-11  0.473  144  0.507

187 Mississippi Valley St.*    14-6   0.471  326  0.295

188 Cal St. Northridge          9-10  0.471  193  0.476

189 Buffalo                     9-10  0.469  179  0.485

190 Southeast Missouri St.     10-11  0.468  213  0.460

191 Idaho                       9-12  0.468  134  0.512

192 Houston                     8-12  0.467   76  0.578

193 American                   11-11  0.466  222  0.453

194 La Salle                    8-13  0.465   58  0.587

195 Butler                     10-11  0.462  212  0.462

196 Illinois St.                6-14  0.459   57  0.588

197 Oregon St.                  8-12  0.459  118  0.530

198 Drake                       9-11  0.458  158  0.495

199 Montana St.                12-10  0.457  286  0.404

200 Eastern Michigan            9-10  0.450  266  0.420

201 Morehead St.               11-10  0.449  250  0.430

202 South Carolina St.*        12-8   0.449  314  0.357

203 Appalachian St.             8-15  0.448  103  0.549

204 Texas A&M                   7-12  0.445  136  0.512

205 St. Francis NY             12-9   0.445  298  0.385

206 Indiana St.                 8-12  0.444  111  0.540

207 South Alabama               9-12  0.444  130  0.515

208 Rider                      13-9   0.443  299  0.385

209 Fairleigh Dickinson        12-8   0.443  289  0.398

210 Holy Cross                  9-12  0.441  281  0.409

211 Cal Irvine                  9-11  0.441  159  0.495

212 Bowling Green               9-12  0.440  190  0.480

213 Sacramento St.             10-11  0.438  255  0.428

214 Eastern Kentucky            8-12  0.435  210  0.463

215 Cal Poly                    8-11  0.432  150  0.502

216 Bucknell                    9-12  0.432  278  0.410

217 Tulane                      8-11  0.430  146  0.507

218 Coastal Carolina           10-12  0.430  251  0.429

219 North Texas                10-11  0.427  239  0.440

220 Marshall                    7-12  0.427   97  0.559

221 Yale                        8-11  0.423  166  0.490

222 Bradley                    10-13  0.420  154  0.498

223 St. John's                  5-15  0.414   17  0.637

224 Oakland                     9-15  0.412  186  0.483

225 Mercer                     10-13  0.411  151  0.502

226 Ohio                        8-13  0.411  160  0.495

227 Portland St.                9-13  0.408  228  0.448

228 NC Greensboro               7-13  0.408  131  0.514

229 South Florida               6-12  0.398   44  0.600

230 Florida Atlantic            8-13  0.398  237  0.442

231 Cal Riverside               6-12  0.395  167  0.488

232 Siena                       8-14  0.393  135  0.512

233 Colgate                    11-10  0.392  301  0.382

234 Idaho St.                  10-13  0.389  182  0.485

235 Robert Morris              10-10  0.389  291  0.398

236 Tennessee Martin            8-14  0.389  180  0.485

237 Jacksonville St.           11-11  0.388  294  0.395

238 Sam Houston St.             9-10  0.380  300  0.385

239 Binghamton                 10-13  0.378  203  0.470

240 Northwestern St.            9-11  0.377  261  0.423

241 St. Bonaventure             6-14  0.376   51  0.595

242 Stetson                    10-11  0.375  244  0.436

243 Brown                       8-11  0.374  199  0.473

244 Louisiana Monroe           10-14  0.369  236  0.443

245 Southern Utah               8-13  0.366  196  0.475

246 Cal St. Fullerton           7-12  0.366  218  0.458

247 Texas St.                  11-8   0.365  323  0.322

248 William & Mary              6-16  0.365  109  0.543

249 Loyola Chicago              7-15  0.363  107  0.543

250 Wofford                     7-14  0.361  132  0.513

251 Jacksonville               11-11  0.361  307  0.373

252 Youngstown St.              7-14  0.360  170  0.487

253 Texas Arlington             9-11  0.356  288  0.400

254 Sacred Heart               10-11  0.355  274  0.414

255 Central Connecticut         8-10  0.355  303  0.381

256 Iona                        7-14  0.351  171  0.487

257 Hartford                    9-11  0.350  235  0.443

258 Northern Illinois           7-13  0.349  253  0.429

259 Coppin St.                 10-12  0.345  290  0.398

260 Evansville                  4-16  0.344   37  0.605

261 Texas Pan American          9-13  0.344  267  0.418

262 Delaware St.                8-11  0.343  257  0.427

263 St. Francis PA              8-11  0.337  229  0.447

264 Lamar                       9-12  0.336  317  0.347

265 Baylor                      7-14  0.336  181  0.485

266 Chicago St.                 7-17  0.336  113  0.537

267 Elon                        8-14  0.334  169  0.487

268 Jackson St.                 9-10  0.332  305  0.378

269 James Madison               6-14  0.331  147  0.506

270 McNeese St.                 5-14  0.331  175  0.486

271 Southern                    8-11  0.327  313  0.360

272 Radford                    10-11  0.324  315  0.351

273 Columbia                    6-13  0.324  224  0.452

274 Canisius                    8-15  0.323  225  0.449

275 Montana                     5-16  0.322  123  0.526

276 Wagner                      7-13  0.322  217  0.458

277 Texas San Antonio          10-12  0.321  320  0.342

278 Morgan St.                  8-10  0.313  310  0.368

279 Quinnipiac                  7-15  0.307  271  0.416

280 San Jose St.                5-15  0.303  164  0.490

281 Texas Southern              9-11  0.302  321  0.326

282 MD Baltimore County         7-14  0.300  277  0.411

283 Hampton                     8-14  0.299  268  0.417

284 Fordham                     4-15  0.297   26  0.620

285 Gardner Webb                6-17  0.275  191  0.480

286 Alabama A&M                 8-10  0.272  312  0.361

287 Grambling                   7-13  0.265  263  0.421

288 Alabama St.                 6-13  0.261  287  0.401

289 Long Island                 7-13  0.259  292  0.396

290 Mount St. Mary's            6-15  0.256  252  0.429

291 Lipscomb                    7-15  0.255  264  0.421

292 Florida A&M                 7-12  0.254  302  0.382

293 Long Beach St.              6-14  0.252  209  0.464

294 San Diego                   4-19  0.252   98  0.554

295 Towson                      6-15  0.248  206  0.467

296 Stony Brook                 6-15  0.238  276  0.412

297 New Hampshire               6-16  0.238  249  0.430

298 NC Asheville                5-17  0.234  177  0.486

299 Cleveland St.               4-19  0.234  188  0.483

300 Eastern Illinois            4-16  0.221  238  0.441

301 Tennessee St.               4-16  0.221  156  0.495

302 Marist                      5-16  0.220  243  0.437

303 Central Michigan            3-18  0.219  116  0.531

304 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-19  0.211  112  0.538

305 Alcorn St.                  6-13  0.197  282  0.407

306 Albany                      4-17  0.192  259  0.424

307 Prairie View A&M            4-15  0.186  233  0.446

308 Howard                      5-14  0.177  322  0.323

309 Virginia Military Inst      5-15  0.169  262  0.422

310 Nicholls St.                5-15  0.168  309  0.369

311 Charleston Southern         3-18  0.167  232  0.447

312 Dartmouth                   3-17  0.165  293  0.396

313 Western Illinois            3-20  0.163  194  0.475

314 Florida International       3-17  0.159  202  0.471

315 Norfolk St.                 6-14  0.157  325  0.304

316 Harvard                     2-17  0.153  184  0.484

317 Bethune Cookman             4-15  0.148  311  0.365

318 The Citadel                 4-17  0.135  275  0.413

319 Campbell                    2-20  0.132  155  0.496

320 Maryland Eastern Shore      4-15  0.127  306  0.373

321 Army                        5-15  0.116  318  0.346

322 Navy                        3-18  0.099  269  0.416

323 Savannah St.                1-22  0.097   36  0.606

324 Wild Card U.               21-288 0.090   55  0.591

325 Loyola MD                   1-21  0.086  258  0.427

326 North Carolina A&T          2-18  0.075  283  0.407

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-18  0.051  198  0.473







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.808

  2 Southeastern                      0.787

  3 Big Twelve                        0.705

  4 Big East                          0.705

  5 Mountain West                     0.694

  6 Big Ten                           0.663

  7 Conference USA                    0.656

  8 Pacific 10                        0.638

  9 Western Athletic                  0.619

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.604

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.572

 12 West Coast                        0.546

 13 Colonial                          0.524

 14 Mid-American                      0.517

 15 Sun Belt                          0.510

 16 Southern                          0.505

 17 Big West                          0.495

 18 Horizon                           0.494

 19 Ohio Valley                       0.453

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.448

 21 Atlantic Sun                      0.446

 22 Big Sky                           0.445

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.431

 24 America East                      0.424

 25 Ivy League                        0.398

 26 Southland                         0.383

 27 Patriot                           0.381

 28 Big South                         0.380

 29 Northeast                         0.364

 30 Independents                      0.289

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.266

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.244







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-9-04:



AIR FORCE 15 over Colorado St, total 126

Alabama St 10 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 119

BYU 11 over San Diego St, total 140

Coppin St 4 over BETHUNE-COOKMAN, total 127

Northern Ill 1 over CENTRAL MICH, total 143

East Tenn St 2 over CHATTANOOGA, total 155

COLL OF CHARLESTON 16 over Appalachian St, total 140

EASTERN KY 13 over Tennessee St, total 137

ELON 13 over The Citadel, total 126

FLORIDA A&M 3 over Morgan St, total 165

GEORGIA SO 13 over Western Car, total 147

GRAMBLING 9 over Alcorn St, total 149

HIGH POINT 8 over Coastal Carolina, total 152

HOWARD 7 over MD-East Shore, total 122

JACKSON ST 5 over Southern U, total 135

JAMES MADISON 11 over VMI, total 127

LIBERTY 16 over Charleston So, total 124

MISS VALLEY ST 12 over Alabama A&M, total 137

MONMOUTH 8 over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 136

NEW MEXICO 5 over Wyoming, total 142

Hampton 10 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 140

Connecticut 11 over NOTRE DAME, total 148

OKLAHOMA ST 9 over Kansas, total 138

SE LOUISIANA 3 over Stephen F. Austin, total 118

Pittsburgh 1 over SETON HALL, total 125

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 17 over Norfolk St, total 137

SOUTH FLORIDA 1 over TCU, total 142

UTAH 9 over UNLV, total 125

WOFFORD 3 over UNC Greensboro, total 140



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