ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 2-15-04. Home court advantage is 0.635, or about 4.75 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's*              22-0   0.957   25  0.634

  2 Duke*                      21-2   0.947    5  0.689

  3 Stanford*                  21-0   0.925  109  0.543

  4 Mississippi St.*           21-1   0.922   20  0.640

  5 Gonzaga*                   21-2   0.909   80  0.572

  6 Oklahoma St.*              19-2   0.902  111  0.542

  7 Louisville*                17-4   0.888   43  0.604

  8 Connecticut*               19-5   0.884   35  0.616

  9 Pittsburgh*                23-2   0.882  135  0.514

 10 Cincinnati*                17-4   0.879   62  0.586

 11 Kentucky*                  17-4   0.877    4  0.692

 12 Georgia Tech*              18-6   0.875   12  0.662

 13 Texas*                     17-4   0.874   36  0.614

 14 North Carolina St.*        16-5   0.872    7  0.678

 15 Wisconsin*                 17-4   0.866   53  0.592

 16 Air Force*                 18-3   0.857  153  0.503

 17 Southern Illinois*         20-2   0.854  100  0.550

 18 South Carolina*            20-5   0.849   61  0.589

 19 Louisiana St.*             17-4   0.848   24  0.634

 20 Providence*                17-5   0.847   15  0.650

 21 Utah St.*                  20-2   0.842  219  0.454

 22 Florida*                   14-7   0.841    6  0.683

 23 North Carolina*            15-7   0.840    2  0.704

 24 Wake Forest*               15-6   0.837   13  0.658

 25 Vanderbilt*                15-6   0.836   27  0.630

 26 Memphis*                   18-4   0.828   48  0.598

 27 Texas Tech*                18-6   0.828   29  0.626

 28 Illinois*                  16-5   0.818   79  0.573

 29 Kansas*                    15-6   0.814   17  0.642

 30 Western Michigan*          18-3   0.812  168  0.492

 31 Seton Hall*                16-6   0.810   42  0.604

 32 Arizona*                   16-6   0.810   34  0.617

 33 Charlotte*                 15-6   0.808   16  0.647

 34 Kent St.*                  18-3   0.801  201  0.466

 35 Utah*                      19-5   0.799  114  0.536

 36 Oklahoma*                  16-5   0.797   55  0.592

 37 Maryland*                  13-8   0.796   11  0.668

 38 Texas El Paso*             18-5   0.783  151  0.504

 39 Florida St.*               17-8   0.782   46  0.600

 40 Alabama*                   12-9   0.782    1  0.712

 41 Creighton*                 18-4   0.781  188  0.476

 42 Alabama Birmingham*        15-6   0.781   51  0.594

 43 Syracuse*                  16-5   0.779   72  0.578

 44 Nevada*                    16-7   0.777   76  0.575

 45 Brigham Young*             15-7   0.770   65  0.582

 46 Dayton*                    20-4   0.764  102  0.547

 47 Boston College*            16-8   0.755   18  0.641

 48 East Tennessee St.*        21-4   0.752  232  0.444

 49 Purdue*                    16-8   0.751   81  0.571

 50 Nebraska                   14-7   0.747  120  0.528

 51 Manhattan*                 19-4   0.744  262  0.424

 52 Murray St.*                20-5   0.741  200  0.466

 53 Troy St.*                  18-5   0.732  248  0.435

 54 Xavier                     14-9   0.723   54  0.592

 55 Wichita St.                17-7   0.723  156  0.502

 56 Richmond                   14-10  0.722   28  0.629

 57 Auburn                     12-9   0.719   50  0.597

 58 Central Florida            19-4   0.716  250  0.433

 59 Rutgers                    14-8   0.715   30  0.624

 60 Rice                       16-7   0.715  116  0.532

 61 Michigan St.               13-9   0.714   21  0.638

 62 Oregon                     12-7   0.713   57  0.591

 63 Missouri                   11-10  0.710    9  0.669

 64 Boston University*         19-4   0.709  277  0.413

 65 Louisiana Lafayette*       14-6   0.708  148  0.506

 66 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       17-7   0.707  118  0.530

 67 Hawaii                     17-5   0.706  180  0.481

 68 Tennessee                  12-9   0.705   19  0.640

 69 College of Charleston      18-5   0.704  220  0.453

 70 George Washington          14-8   0.701   95  0.558

 71 Georgia Southern           18-5   0.699  280  0.410

 72 Georgia                    12-10  0.697   10  0.669

 73 Michigan                   13-8   0.694   71  0.579

 74 Pennsylvania*              12-8   0.693   99  0.550

 75 Colorado                   13-8   0.690   64  0.584

 76 Belmont                    17-6   0.689  214  0.457

 77 St. Louis                  12-9   0.687   90  0.563

 78 DePaul                     15-7   0.685   67  0.581

 79 Villanova                  13-10  0.684   37  0.611

 80 Iowa                       13-9   0.684   56  0.592

 81 St. Mary's                 15-10  0.682  143  0.508

 82 Virginia                   13-9   0.680   22  0.637

 83 Virginia Commonwealth*     16-7   0.679  159  0.498

 84 Iowa St.                   14-7   0.675   91  0.562

 85 Austin Peay                16-7   0.675  149  0.505

 86 West Virginia              14-8   0.672   49  0.598

 87 Pacific                    17-7   0.672  138  0.510

 88 Kansas St.                 11-10  0.670   77  0.574

 89 Illinois Chicago           18-7   0.666  215  0.455

 90 Mississippi                12-9   0.664   33  0.618

 91 Drexel                     15-8   0.660  144  0.508

 92 Arkansas                   11-11  0.657   23  0.635

 93 Notre Dame                 12-9   0.656   59  0.591

 94 Indiana                    12-10  0.652    8  0.669

 95 Boise St.                  15-8   0.650  124  0.523

 96 Old Dominion               15-8   0.650  157  0.501

 97 Georgetown                 13-8   0.648  131  0.517

 98 Nevada Las Vegas           12-9   0.647   74  0.577

 99 Toledo                     16-6   0.646  160  0.498

100 Marquette                  13-8   0.644  104  0.547

101 Temple                     11-10  0.643   31  0.622

102 George Mason               16-7   0.640  161  0.496

103 California                 11-10  0.638   40  0.607

104 New Mexico                 13-9   0.634  172  0.488

105 Rhode Island               14-11  0.631  107  0.546

106 IUPUI*                     16-8   0.631  192  0.473

107 Princeton                  13-7   0.629  203  0.464

108 Lafayette*                 18-5   0.623  281  0.409

109 Washington                 12-9   0.621   83  0.568

110 Detroit                    13-10  0.620  119  0.529

111 Southwest Missouri St.     15-10  0.616  132  0.515

112 Niagara                    15-7   0.615  240  0.440

113 Cal Santa Barbara          13-8   0.615  177  0.484

114 Western Kentucky           13-10  0.614  142  0.509

115 Birmingham Southern*       17-6   0.613  307  0.371

116 Clemson                     9-13  0.604    3  0.697

117 San Diego St.              12-11  0.598   88  0.565

118 Northwestern               11-11  0.596   44  0.602

119 Wyoming                     9-13  0.595   38  0.609

120 Vermont                    16-6   0.595  238  0.442

121 Chattanooga                14-9   0.594  227  0.447

122 NC Wilmington              12-11  0.592  126  0.521

123 Georgia St.                15-8   0.590  260  0.426

124 Fresno St.                 11-11  0.590   84  0.568

125 Fairfield                  15-9   0.589  152  0.503

126 Stephen F. Austin*         15-6   0.586  323  0.315

127 Miami OH                   12-8   0.585  145  0.507

128 Eastern Washington*        14-10  0.582  139  0.509

129 Colorado St.               11-11  0.582   45  0.600

130 Southern Mississippi       11-10  0.581   39  0.607

131 Northern Iowa              13-9   0.577  181  0.481

132 New Orleans                13-11  0.577   68  0.580

133 Oral Roberts               14-9   0.575  211  0.460

134 SE Louisiana               16-6   0.570  305  0.371

135 Wisconsin Green Bay        16-7   0.566  235  0.443

136 Davidson                   13-11  0.565  133  0.515

137 East Carolina               9-12  0.564  115  0.534

138 Delaware                   14-9   0.561  184  0.480

139 Miami FL                   13-12  0.553  186  0.478

140 Centenary                  14-9   0.551  233  0.444

141 Louisiana Tech             12-11  0.550  127  0.520

142 Hofstra                    11-13  0.549   75  0.575

143 Middle Tennessee           13-10  0.548  191  0.475

144 Arkansas St.               14-8   0.546  273  0.416

145 Denver                     13-10  0.540  162  0.495

146 Virginia Tech              10-11  0.539   94  0.558

147 St. Peter's                14-9   0.533  193  0.472

148 Monmouth*                  15-8   0.533  241  0.440

149 Furman                     13-10  0.531  289  0.397

150 Tulsa                       7-15  0.529   32  0.622

151 UCLA                       10-11  0.529   63  0.586

152 Washington St.             11-12  0.528   86  0.567

153 San Francisco              15-12  0.527  105  0.547

154 Southern California        10-12  0.525   47  0.599

155 Arkansas Little Rock       13-10  0.524  297  0.382

156 Minnesota                   9-14  0.521   58  0.591

157 Pepperdine                 12-14  0.521  101  0.548

158 Western Carolina           12-11  0.520  264  0.422

159 Maine                      16-7   0.518  324  0.309

160 Ball St.                   10-11  0.518  123  0.523

161 Southern Methodist         10-13  0.510   60  0.591

162 Arizona St.                 9-13  0.505   97  0.555

163 Missouri Kansas City       12-11  0.502  247  0.436

164 Northeastern               16-9   0.499  298  0.381

165 Ohio St.                   11-12  0.499   85  0.567

166 Akron                      11-11  0.499  150  0.505

167 Lehigh                     15-8   0.497  315  0.351

168 Valparaiso                 13-10  0.493  244  0.438

169 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     13-9   0.492  269  0.420

170 Texas Christian             9-12  0.492   92  0.560

171 New Mexico St.             11-11  0.491  194  0.471

172 Mississippi Valley St.*    16-6   0.490  327  0.282

173 Liberty                    13-12  0.490  198  0.468

174 Tennessee Tech             13-10  0.489  284  0.404

175 Santa Clara                13-13  0.489  155  0.502

176 Duquesne                    9-13  0.487  108  0.543

177 Winthrop                   14-10  0.487  279  0.410

178 Drake                      10-12  0.486  117  0.530

179 Weber St.                  11-12  0.480  213  0.458

180 Portland                   10-14  0.478   73  0.577

181 Buffalo                    10-11  0.478  171  0.489

182 Idaho                      10-13  0.477  128  0.520

183 Morehead St.               13-10  0.477  258  0.426

184 Marshall                    9-12  0.476   89  0.563

185 Northern Arizona           12-11  0.475  236  0.442

186 Samford                    10-13  0.474  195  0.471

187 Butler                     11-12  0.472  190  0.476

188 La Salle                   10-13  0.472  106  0.546

189 Eastern Michigan           10-11  0.471  229  0.445

190 Wright St.                 13-11  0.471  206  0.464

191 Massachusetts               9-13  0.467   78  0.573

192 Oregon St.                  9-13  0.464  122  0.525

193 Loyola Marymount           13-11  0.461  210  0.460

194 Cornell                    10-11  0.460  221  0.450

195 American                   12-12  0.457  230  0.445

196 Holy Cross                 10-13  0.456  263  0.423

197 Montana St.                13-11  0.455  275  0.414

198 Coastal Carolina           12-12  0.455  276  0.414

199 North Texas                11-12  0.450  209  0.460

200 Bowling Green              10-13  0.450  174  0.486

201 Texas A&M                   7-14  0.450  112  0.541

202 Eastern Kentucky           11-12  0.449  261  0.425

203 High Point                 14-10  0.446  299  0.378

204 Illinois St.                7-15  0.445   87  0.566

205 Bucknell                   11-12  0.444  286  0.402

206 Tulane                     10-11  0.444  185  0.480

207 Fairleigh Dickinson        13-9   0.442  290  0.397

208 Houston                     8-14  0.437   69  0.580

209 Rider                      14-10  0.437  291  0.394

210 Penn St.                    9-12  0.436   82  0.570

211 Oakland                    10-15  0.433  175  0.485

212 Appalachian St.             8-17  0.432  103  0.547

213 Cal St. Northridge          9-12  0.432  187  0.478

214 Bradley                    11-14  0.429  147  0.507

215 Yale                        9-12  0.426  202  0.465

216 Robert Morris              12-10  0.425  282  0.408

217 Cal Poly                    8-12  0.424  134  0.515

218 Southeast Missouri St.     10-13  0.422  239  0.441

219 Portland St.               11-13  0.416  257  0.426

220 St. Francis NY             12-10  0.415  304  0.372

221 South Alabama               9-14  0.414  140  0.509

222 NC Greensboro               8-14  0.411  136  0.512

223 Sacramento St.             10-13  0.409  243  0.438

224 Cal Riverside               8-12  0.409  216  0.455

225 Ohio                        9-14  0.407  173  0.487

226 Cal Irvine                  9-13  0.406  164  0.494

227 Brown                      10-11  0.405  231  0.444

228 South Florida               7-14  0.402   52  0.594

229 St. John's                  5-16  0.401   14  0.651

230 Texas Arlington            11-11  0.400  278  0.410

231 Indiana St.                 8-14  0.397  113  0.537

232 South Carolina St.*        12-9   0.395  319  0.331

233 Siena                       9-15  0.393  146  0.507

234 Mercer                     10-15  0.393  154  0.502

235 Northwestern St.           10-11  0.389  265  0.422

236 Texas Pan American         11-13  0.388  255  0.427

237 Jacksonville               12-12  0.388  285  0.403

238 Tennessee Martin            8-16  0.386  137  0.511

239 Texas St.                  12-9   0.383  320  0.330

240 Binghamton                 12-13  0.383  245  0.437

241 Jacksonville St.           11-13  0.382  271  0.416

242 Stetson                    11-12  0.382  223  0.448

243 Evansville                  5-17  0.377   41  0.605

244 Cal St. Fullerton           9-12  0.377  253  0.432

245 Sam Houston St.            10-11  0.375  301  0.378

246 Youngstown St.              8-15  0.374  167  0.493

247 Sacred Heart               11-11  0.372  274  0.414

248 Canisius                    9-15  0.368  183  0.481

249 Wagner                      9-13  0.366  208  0.461

250 Chicago St.                 9-17  0.364  125  0.521

251 Florida Atlantic            8-15  0.363  256  0.426

252 Loyola Chicago              7-17  0.362   96  0.558

253 Coppin St.                 12-12  0.362  302  0.377

254 Texas San Antonio          12-12  0.360  314  0.351

255 Idaho St.                  10-15  0.360  197  0.470

256 Montana                     7-16  0.358  129  0.518

257 Wofford                     8-16  0.357  158  0.499

258 St. Bonaventure             6-15  0.354   66  0.582

259 Central Connecticut         9-11  0.354  308  0.370

260 Jackson St.                10-11  0.351  296  0.390

261 William & Mary              6-18  0.349  110  0.542

262 Colgate                    11-12  0.346  310  0.365

263 Louisiana Monroe           10-16  0.346  217  0.454

264 Lamar                      10-13  0.342  313  0.352

265 Elon                        9-15  0.341  178  0.483

266 Iona                        7-16  0.335  165  0.494

267 Baylor                      7-16  0.332  121  0.528

268 Delaware St.                8-12  0.331  254  0.431

269 Southern Utah               8-15  0.327  182  0.481

270 McNeese St.                 6-15  0.327  196  0.470

271 James Madison               7-16  0.324  163  0.495

272 Northern Illinois           7-16  0.322  249  0.434

273 Southern                    9-12  0.320  317  0.341

274 St. Francis PA              8-13  0.319  222  0.450

275 Texas Southern             10-11  0.316  322  0.324

276 MD Baltimore County         7-16  0.314  224  0.448

277 Columbia                    6-15  0.311  205  0.464

278 San Jose St.                6-16  0.311  176  0.484

279 Hartford                    9-13  0.310  259  0.426

280 Radford                    11-12  0.303  321  0.328

281 Alabama St.                 8-13  0.301  292  0.393

282 Hampton                     9-15  0.295  288  0.398

283 Florida A&M                 9-12  0.294  303  0.375

284 Quinnipiac                  8-16  0.291  295  0.390

285 Fordham                     4-17  0.289   26  0.632

286 Morgan St.                  8-12  0.280  311  0.360

287 Gardner Webb                7-18  0.276  204  0.464

288 NC Asheville                7-17  0.275  179  0.483

289 Lipscomb                    7-16  0.266  228  0.446

290 Alabama A&M                 8-12  0.258  306  0.371

291 Grambling                   7-15  0.251  270  0.417

292 Mount St. Mary's            6-17  0.247  242  0.438

293 Long Beach St.              6-16  0.246  207  0.462

294 Tennessee St.               6-17  0.245  199  0.467

295 Towson                      6-17  0.245  166  0.493

296 Eastern Illinois            5-17  0.243  225  0.448

297 San Diego                   4-21  0.242   98  0.552

298 Stony Brook                 7-16  0.242  287  0.399

299 Long Island                 7-15  0.241  294  0.391

300 New Hampshire               6-18  0.232  252  0.432

301 Cleveland St.               4-21  0.231  170  0.489

302 Central Michigan            4-19  0.228  141  0.509

303 Marist                      6-17  0.222  266  0.421

304 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-21  0.217   93  0.560

305 Alcorn St.                  7-14  0.202  283  0.407

306 Prairie View A&M            5-15  0.199  251  0.433

307 Charleston Southern         4-19  0.196  234  0.444

308 Albany                      4-19  0.185  246  0.436

309 Howard                      6-15  0.177  325  0.306

310 Florida International       4-18  0.171  212  0.459

311 Nicholls St.                5-17  0.168  300  0.378

312 Norfolk St.                 7-15  0.168  326  0.297

313 Harvard                     3-18  0.156  218  0.454

314 Bethune Cookman             5-16  0.155  312  0.360

315 Western Illinois            3-22  0.155  189  0.476

316 Virginia Military Inst      5-18  0.152  272  0.416

317 Campbell                    3-21  0.146  169  0.490

318 Maryland Eastern Shore      6-16  0.134  318  0.331

319 Army                        6-16  0.130  316  0.346

320 The Citadel                 4-19  0.128  267  0.421

321 Dartmouth                   3-19  0.127  309  0.370

322 Navy                        3-20  0.096  268  0.420

323 Savannah St.                2-22  0.095  130  0.518

324 Loyola MD                   1-22  0.091  237  0.442

325 Wild Card U.               21-290 0.085   70  0.579

326 North Carolina A&T          2-20  0.068  293  0.393

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-20  0.044  226  0.448







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.804

  2 Southeastern                      0.783

  3 Big Twelve                        0.707

  4 Big East                          0.702

  5 Mountain West                     0.685

  6 Big Ten                           0.657

  7 Conference USA                    0.651

  8 Pacific 10                        0.626

  9 Western Athletic                  0.612

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.601

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.569

 12 West Coast                        0.539

 13 Colonial                          0.525

 14 Mid-American                      0.515

 15 Sun Belt                          0.508

 16 Southern                          0.503

 17 Horizon                           0.497

 18 Big West                          0.490

 19 Ohio Valley                       0.453

 20 Atlantic Sun                      0.449

 21 Mid-Continent                     0.448

 22 Big Sky                           0.442

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.433

 24 America East                      0.422

 25 Ivy League                        0.401

 26 Southland                         0.386

 27 Patriot                           0.381

 28 Big South                         0.380

 29 Northeast                         0.364

 30 Independents                      0.298

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.273

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.242







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-16-04:



ALCORN ST 18 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 131

ARKANSAS ST 17 over Florida Intl, total 121

BALL STATE 2 over Miami-Ohio, total 117

CHARLESTON SO 6 over VMI, total 119

CHATTANOOGA 15 over Elon, total 152

COASTAL CAROLINA 11 over Radford, total 143

BYU 3 over COLORADO ST, total 149

COPPIN ST 11 over Howard, total 115

DELAWARE 3 over UNC Wilmington, total 120

FAIRFIELD 4 over Niagara, total 152

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 7 over Wagner, total 131

HAMPTON 12 over Bethune-Cookman, total 139

Birmingham Southern 1 over HIGH POINT, total 151

South Carolina St 8 over MD-EAST SHORE, total 138

MORGAN ST 3 over Delaware St, total 136

Florida A&M 2 over NORFOLK ST, total 154

Oklahoma St 2 over OKLAHOMA, total 127

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 2 over Grambling, total 154

QUINNIPIAC 2 over Central Conn, total 146

RIDER 7 over Canisius, total 137

Monmouth 1 over SACRED HEART, total 144

Alabama A&M 6 over SAVANNAH ST, total 149

SETON HALL 8 over Boston College, total 139

Miss Valley St 1 over SOUTHERN U, total 132

SYRACUSE 11 over Notre Dame, total 148

Air Force 12 over TX-PAN AMERICAN, total 115

TEXAS SOUTHERN 3 over Jackson St, total 126

East Tenn St 19 over THE CITADEL, total 127

WESTERN CAR 4 over Furman, total 134

Utah 3 over WYOMING, total 125



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