ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 2-22-04. Home court advantage is 0.635, or about 4.73 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's*              24-0   0.959   25  0.630

  2 Duke*                      22-3   0.939    2  0.697

  3 Stanford*                  23-0   0.927   95  0.555

  4 Oklahoma St.*              21-2   0.912   81  0.572

  5 Gonzaga*                   23-2   0.909   92  0.562

  6 Mississippi St.*           21-2   0.906   15  0.641

  7 Pittsburgh*                24-2   0.890  118  0.531

  8 Kentucky*                  19-4   0.882    7  0.687

  9 Connecticut*               21-5   0.879   65  0.591

 10 Texas*                     19-4   0.877   47  0.608

 11 Georgia Tech*              19-7   0.876    8  0.683

 12 Cincinnati*                18-5   0.862   67  0.590

 13 Wake Forest*               17-6   0.861    5  0.692

 14 Louisville*                17-6   0.859   32  0.623

 15 Southern Illinois*         22-2   0.854  106  0.542

 16 Vanderbilt*                17-6   0.851   16  0.640

 17 Providence*                18-5   0.845   18  0.636

 18 Air Force*                 19-4   0.844  129  0.520

 19 North Carolina St.*        17-6   0.842   12  0.648

 20 North Carolina*            16-7   0.836    6  0.691

 21 Wisconsin*                 17-6   0.836   42  0.612

 22 Utah St.*                  22-2   0.834  247  0.430

 23 Memphis*                   19-4   0.827   64  0.591

 24 South Carolina*            20-6   0.826   71  0.584

 25 Florida*                   15-8   0.824    9  0.672

 26 Illinois*                  18-5   0.824   84  0.570

 27 Kent St.*                  20-3   0.821  191  0.478

 28 Western Michigan*          20-3   0.818  176  0.487

 29 Kansas*                    17-6   0.817   26  0.629

 30 Texas Tech*                19-7   0.811   39  0.616

 31 Louisiana St.*             17-6   0.810   14  0.644

 32 Charlotte*                 17-6   0.807   27  0.629

 33 Arizona*                   17-7   0.796   41  0.613

 34 Seton Hall*                17-7   0.796   50  0.604

 35 Alabama Birmingham*        16-7   0.787   34  0.621

 36 Florida St.*               18-9   0.787   36  0.616

 37 Brigham Young*             17-7   0.786   69  0.586

 38 Alabama*                   13-10  0.783    1  0.718

 39 Maryland*                  13-10  0.778    4  0.692

 40 East Tennessee St.*        23-4   0.773  213  0.457

 41 Texas El Paso*             19-5   0.773  187  0.480

 42 Manhattan*                 21-4   0.772  224  0.446

 43 Oklahoma*                  16-7   0.772   40  0.614

 44 Boston College*            18-8   0.772   22  0.633

 45 Utah*                      19-7   0.771   97  0.551

 46 Syracuse*                  17-6   0.760   76  0.578

 47 Creighton*                 19-5   0.758  185  0.482

 48 Nevada*                    17-8   0.753   90  0.565

 49 Dayton*                    20-6   0.748   80  0.573

 50 Auburn*                    13-10  0.745   17  0.636

 51 Murray St.*                22-5   0.743  229  0.442

 52 Purdue                     17-9   0.742   89  0.566

 53 Richmond                   16-10  0.741   35  0.620

 54 Xavier                     16-9   0.740   61  0.594

 55 Boston University*         21-4   0.737  244  0.432

 56 Troy St.*                  20-5   0.736  263  0.422

 57 Rice                       18-7   0.731  115  0.536

 58 George Washington          16-8   0.728   87  0.567

 59 Michigan                   15-8   0.724   72  0.580

 60 Nebraska                   14-9   0.722  101  0.547

 61 Wichita St.                18-8   0.722  138  0.513

 62 Colorado                   15-8   0.721   57  0.596

 63 Michigan St.               15-9   0.720   33  0.622

 64 Central Florida            20-5   0.718  222  0.447

 65 Louisiana Lafayette*       15-7   0.717  120  0.529

 66 St. Louis                  14-9   0.716   77  0.577

 67 Belmont                    19-6   0.713  205  0.463

 68 Georgia                    14-10  0.712   10  0.655

 69 Rutgers                    15-9   0.711   38  0.616

 70 Missouri                   13-10  0.710   13  0.645

 71 Virginia Commonwealth*     18-7   0.701  166  0.495

 72 St. Mary's                 17-10  0.701  160  0.498

 73 Iowa                       14-9   0.698   58  0.595

 74 Tennessee                  13-10  0.698   21  0.635

 75 Illinois Chicago*          20-7   0.697  203  0.466

 76 Austin Peay                17-8   0.694  113  0.536

 77 College of Charleston      18-7   0.693  167  0.494

 78 Pacific                    19-7   0.690  137  0.514

 79 Georgia Southern           19-6   0.687  267  0.419

 80 Villanova                  14-11  0.683   44  0.610

 81 Hawaii                     17-7   0.679  150  0.507

 82 Kansas St.                 12-11  0.678   59  0.595

 83 Notre Dame                 13-10  0.675   37  0.616

 84 Pennsylvania*              13-9   0.674  107  0.539

 85 DePaul                     15-8   0.673   68  0.587

 86 Arkansas                   12-12  0.669   11  0.649

 87 Wisconsin Milwaukee        17-9   0.669  117  0.533

 88 Boise St.                  17-8   0.668  148  0.509

 89 Iowa St.                   14-9   0.667   62  0.593

 90 Virginia                   14-10  0.666   20  0.635

 91 West Virginia              14-9   0.659   54  0.602

 92 Oregon                     12-9   0.658   73  0.580

 93 Drexel                     17-8   0.653  196  0.467

 94 Nevada Las Vegas           14-9   0.647   98  0.551

 95 Temple                     12-11  0.643   28  0.628

 96 Washington                 13-10  0.642   60  0.594

 97 Rhode Island               16-11  0.637  125  0.523

 98 Toledo                     16-8   0.636  110  0.538

 99 Mississippi                12-11  0.635   23  0.632

100 Old Dominion               15-10  0.634  121  0.529

101 Princeton                  15-7   0.631  225  0.443

102 Marquette                  14-9   0.631  114  0.536

103 Detroit                    15-10  0.630  147  0.509

104 George Mason               17-8   0.628  169  0.492

105 Miami OH                   15-8   0.625  134  0.515

106 New Mexico                 13-10  0.625  152  0.506

107 Georgetown                 13-10  0.620  124  0.525

108 Western Kentucky           14-11  0.618  139  0.513

109 Chattanooga                16-9   0.615  228  0.442

110 Fairfield                  18-9   0.610  184  0.483

111 Clemson                    10-14  0.609    3  0.694

112 Niagara                    17-8   0.607  240  0.436

113 IUPUI*                     17-9   0.607  212  0.457

114 Southwest Missouri St.     16-11  0.606  141  0.512

115 Northwestern               11-12  0.605   29  0.627

116 Georgia St.                17-8   0.602  265  0.421

117 Northern Iowa              15-9   0.601  179  0.486

118 Wyoming                    10-14  0.599   43  0.611

119 Indiana                    12-12  0.596   19  0.635

120 California                 11-12  0.595   52  0.603

121 San Diego St.              13-12  0.592   93  0.559

122 Lafayette*                 18-7   0.591  251  0.429

123 Birmingham Southern*       18-7   0.590  311  0.358

124 Oral Roberts               16-9   0.588  220  0.449

125 Fresno St.                 12-12  0.585   96  0.554

126 Eastern Washington*        15-10  0.582  158  0.499

127 Cal Santa Barbara          13-10  0.577  178  0.486

128 SE Louisiana*              18-6   0.577  310  0.358

129 Southern Mississippi       12-11  0.576   66  0.591

130 East Carolina              11-12  0.569  140  0.512

131 Stephen F. Austin          16-7   0.567  324  0.312

132 Davidson                   14-11  0.566  156  0.502

133 NC Wilmington              12-13  0.564  116  0.535

134 Colorado St.               11-13  0.560   45  0.608

135 Louisiana Tech             13-11  0.558  133  0.517

136 Middle Tennessee           14-11  0.558  168  0.493

137 Miami FL                   13-14  0.558  132  0.519

138 Hofstra                    13-13  0.558   94  0.557

139 Vermont                    17-7   0.557  250  0.430

140 Delaware                   15-10  0.554  177  0.487

141 Centenary                  15-10  0.548  221  0.448

142 St. Peter's                15-10  0.546  174  0.488

143 Arkansas Little Rock       15-10  0.546  295  0.385

144 Denver                     14-10  0.544  172  0.489

145 Wisconsin Green Bay        16-9   0.542  209  0.458

146 Arkansas St.               15-9   0.541  277  0.407

147 Furman                     15-10  0.539  300  0.382

148 Monmouth*                  17-9   0.537  235  0.438

149 Southern California        11-13  0.535   51  0.603

150 UCLA                       11-12  0.535   70  0.585

151 Arizona St.                10-14  0.534   78  0.577

152 San Francisco              16-12  0.532  112  0.537

153 Washington St.             11-13  0.529   74  0.580

154 Mississippi Valley St.*    18-6   0.528  326  0.301

155 Pepperdine                 13-14  0.528  105  0.544

156 New Orleans                14-12  0.526  119  0.531

157 Virginia Tech              11-12  0.526   99  0.550

158 Maine                      17-8   0.524  320  0.331

159 Northeastern               17-10  0.523  273  0.413

160 Texas Christian            10-13  0.523   82  0.572

161 Buffalo                    12-11  0.520  171  0.491

162 Minnesota                  10-15  0.518   63  0.591

163 Southern Methodist         10-14  0.517   49  0.607

164 Lehigh                     17-8   0.515  314  0.354

165 Akron                      12-12  0.510  153  0.505

166 Tulsa                       7-17  0.499   24  0.630

167 Ohio St.                   12-13  0.499   88  0.567

168 Portland                   10-15  0.498   48  0.608

169 Butler                     13-12  0.495  199  0.466

170 Oregon St.                 11-13  0.491  130  0.520

171 Idaho                      12-13  0.486  163  0.496

172 Weber St.                  12-13  0.486  200  0.466

173 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     14-9   0.486  291  0.390

174 Western Carolina           12-13  0.485  257  0.425

175 Wright St.                 14-11  0.485  215  0.456

176 Bucknell                   13-12  0.484  296  0.385

177 Liberty                    14-13  0.484  206  0.462

178 Drake                      11-13  0.483  123  0.526

179 Eastern Kentucky           13-12  0.479  242  0.434

180 American                   14-12  0.477  237  0.437

181 Winthrop                   15-11  0.476  286  0.399

182 Ball St.                   10-13  0.476  131  0.519

183 Missouri Kansas City       12-13  0.474  236  0.437

184 Valparaiso                 13-11  0.473  231  0.441

185 High Point                 16-10  0.471  292  0.388

186 Cal St. Northridge         11-12  0.469  190  0.478

187 New Mexico St.             12-12  0.469  208  0.459

188 Bowling Green              12-13  0.468  202  0.466

189 Tennessee Tech             13-12  0.468  262  0.422

190 La Salle                   10-15  0.467   83  0.570

191 Holy Cross                 11-14  0.465  256  0.425

192 Northern Arizona           13-12  0.465  249  0.430

193 Santa Clara                13-14  0.463  157  0.501

194 Yale                        9-14  0.459  122  0.529

195 Oakland                    11-16  0.457  146  0.509

196 Eastern Michigan           11-12  0.455  246  0.431

197 Loyola Marymount           13-12  0.454  204  0.464

198 Brown                      11-12  0.454  170  0.492

199 Texas A&M                   7-16  0.453   75  0.580

200 Samford                    11-14  0.451  210  0.458

201 Rider                      15-11  0.450  270  0.415

202 Duquesne                    9-15  0.450  102  0.547

203 Bradley                    13-14  0.444  183  0.483

204 Fairleigh Dickinson        14-10  0.444  287  0.398

205 Marshall                    9-14  0.442   85  0.568

206 Appalachian St.             9-18  0.441  100  0.550

207 Montana St.                13-12  0.441  269  0.416

208 Morehead St.               13-12  0.441  258  0.424

209 Penn St.                    9-14  0.437   53  0.602

210 Tulane                     10-13  0.437  154  0.505

211 North Texas                11-13  0.436  211  0.458

212 Texas Arlington            13-11  0.429  275  0.411

213 St. Francis NY             13-11  0.429  298  0.383

214 Sacramento St.             12-13  0.423  264  0.422

215 Houston                     9-15  0.422   86  0.567

216 Portland St.               11-14  0.420  227  0.442

217 Ohio                        9-16  0.420  135  0.515

218 Illinois St.                8-16  0.418  108  0.539

219 Coastal Carolina           12-14  0.417  281  0.404

220 Massachusetts               9-15  0.416  103  0.547

221 Texas Pan American         13-13  0.415  278  0.406

222 Cal Riverside               8-14  0.414  182  0.485

223 Southeast Missouri St.     11-14  0.412  248  0.430

224 South Alabama               9-15  0.410  142  0.512

225 Cornell                    11-12  0.409  293  0.387

226 Cal Irvine                 10-14  0.407  181  0.485

227 NC Greensboro               9-15  0.406  144  0.510

228 Sam Houston St.            12-11  0.403  302  0.378

229 St. John's                  6-17  0.401   31  0.626

230 Jacksonville St.           12-13  0.400  274  0.413

231 South Florida               7-16  0.400   46  0.608

232 Montana                     9-16  0.398  161  0.497

233 Central Connecticut        11-12  0.396  301  0.380

234 Robert Morris              12-13  0.391  260  0.423

235 Siena                      10-15  0.386  186  0.482

236 Cal Poly                    8-14  0.386  155  0.505

237 Binghamton                 13-14  0.385  233  0.438

238 South Carolina St.*        13-10  0.383  323  0.321

239 Jacksonville               13-13  0.382  284  0.399

240 Wagner                     11-14  0.381  216  0.456

241 Mercer                     11-16  0.378  173  0.488

242 Indiana St.                 8-16  0.377  109  0.538

243 Northwestern St.           10-13  0.373  252  0.427

244 Cal St. Fullerton           9-14  0.372  201  0.466

245 Chicago St.                10-18  0.369  126  0.522

246 Texas St.                  12-11  0.369  317  0.352

247 Sacred Heart               12-13  0.367  259  0.423

248 Coppin St.                 14-12  0.366  316  0.352

249 Stetson                    12-13  0.364  241  0.435

250 St. Francis PA             11-13  0.362  232  0.439

251 Wofford                     8-17  0.362  136  0.515

252 Colgate                    12-13  0.359  303  0.378

253 Elon                       10-16  0.356  180  0.485

254 Loyola Chicago              7-19  0.355   91  0.563

255 Florida Atlantic            8-17  0.351  234  0.438

256 Youngstown St.              8-17  0.351  159  0.498

257 Texas San Antonio          12-13  0.350  315  0.353

258 Southern Utah              10-15  0.348  214  0.457

259 Evansville                  5-19  0.347   56  0.597

260 Idaho St.                  10-17  0.346  189  0.479

261 Louisiana Monroe           11-16  0.344  238  0.437

262 Iona                        7-17  0.341  128  0.521

263 Tennessee Martin            8-18  0.341  164  0.496

264 St. Bonaventure             6-17  0.340   55  0.597

265 Canisius                   10-17  0.339  223  0.446

266 William & Mary              7-18  0.339  149  0.508

267 Jackson St.                10-13  0.336  282  0.402

268 McNeese St.                 7-16  0.334  197  0.467

269 Delaware St.                9-13  0.334  266  0.420

270 Lamar                      10-15  0.330  307  0.367

271 Baylor                      7-18  0.329  104  0.545

272 Radford                    12-13  0.325  319  0.345

273 Texas Southern             11-12  0.312  322  0.324

274 Fordham                     5-18  0.311   30  0.627

275 James Madison               7-18  0.310  151  0.507

276 San Jose St.                6-18  0.306  143  0.511

277 Northern Illinois           7-18  0.306  226  0.443

278 Columbia                    8-15  0.304  279  0.406

279 Southern                    9-14  0.300  318  0.350

280 Alabama St.                 9-13  0.296  312  0.358

281 Hampton                    10-15  0.291  308  0.367

282 Gardner Webb                8-19  0.290  207  0.461

283 Morgan St.                  9-13  0.290  306  0.367

284 Hartford                    9-15  0.288  255  0.425

285 NC Asheville                8-17  0.282  194  0.469

286 MD Baltimore County         7-18  0.282  254  0.426

287 New Hampshire               8-18  0.280  230  0.441

288 Grambling                   9-15  0.276  288  0.396

289 Florida A&M                 9-14  0.273  305  0.370

290 Tennessee St.               7-18  0.265  192  0.475

291 Long Island                 8-16  0.263  276  0.409

292 Quinnipiac                  8-18  0.262  297  0.384

293 Mount St. Mary's            7-18  0.259  253  0.427

294 Alabama A&M                 9-13  0.258  313  0.355

295 Lipscomb                    7-19  0.250  217  0.455

296 Stony Brook                 8-17  0.250  289  0.395

297 Long Beach St.              6-17  0.244  195  0.468

298 Central Michigan            5-20  0.237  165  0.496

299 Eastern Illinois            6-19  0.232  272  0.414

300 Towson                      6-19  0.232  162  0.497

301 San Diego                   4-23  0.221  111  0.537

302 Marist                      6-19  0.216  239  0.436

303 Cleveland St.               4-22  0.215  188  0.479

304 Alcorn St.                  8-15  0.195  294  0.387

305 Albany                      5-20  0.194  271  0.415

306 Norfolk St.                 9-15  0.194  327  0.300

307 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-22  0.191  127  0.522

308 Charleston Southern         5-20  0.190  268  0.417

309 Prairie View A&M            6-16  0.189  285  0.399

310 Florida International       5-19  0.187  198  0.467

311 Nicholls St.                6-18  0.186  290  0.390

312 Harvard                     4-19  0.175  218  0.454

313 Howard                      6-17  0.170  325  0.310

314 Bethune Cookman             6-18  0.162  309  0.359

315 Virginia Military Inst      6-19  0.159  280  0.406

316 Western Illinois            3-23  0.152  193  0.474

317 Campbell                    3-22  0.142  175  0.487

318 Maryland Eastern Shore      7-17  0.141  321  0.325

319 Savannah St.                4-23  0.133  145  0.510

320 Army                        6-18  0.129  304  0.377

321 The Citadel                 4-21  0.125  243  0.433

322 Dartmouth                   3-21  0.120  299  0.383

323 Loyola MD                   1-24  0.093  219  0.452

324 Navy                        3-22  0.093  261  0.423

325 Wild Card U.               23-294 0.087   79  0.577

326 North Carolina A&T          2-21  0.069  283  0.399

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-22  0.042  245  0.431







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.799

  2 Southeastern                      0.778

  3 Big Twelve                        0.706

  4 Big East                          0.698

  5 Mountain West                     0.678

  6 Big Ten                           0.654

  7 Conference USA                    0.649

  8 Pacific 10                        0.624

  9 Western Athletic                  0.607

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.598

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.561

 12 West Coast                        0.538

 13 Mid-American                      0.518

 14 Colonial                          0.517

 15 Sun Belt                          0.505

 16 Southern                          0.504

 17 Horizon                           0.493

 18 Big West                          0.488

 19 Atlantic Sun                      0.448

 20 Ohio Valley                       0.448

 21 Mid-Continent                     0.446

 22 Big Sky                           0.445

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.436

 24 America East                      0.425

 25 Ivy League                        0.403

 26 Patriot                           0.389

 27 Southland                         0.387

 28 Big South                         0.377

 29 Northeast                         0.372

 30 Independents                      0.306

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.273

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.243







ARGH System Predictions for games of 2-23-04:



ALABAMA A&M 8 over Alcorn St, total 145

ALABAMA ST 4 over Southern U, total 129

Texas Southern 14 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 125

BYU 1 over Air Force, total 113

DELAWARE ST 11 over Bethune-Cookman, total 124

DENVER 7 over New Mexico St, total 128

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 1 over Monmouth, total 128

South Alabama 4 over FLORIDA INTL, total 114

GEORGIA SO 17 over Elon, total 141

Florida A&M Pick 'em over HOWARD, total 145

Hampton 3 over MD-EAST SHORE, total 138

MISS VALLEY ST 17 over Prairie View A&M, total 133

MURRAY ST 16 over TAMU-CC, total 155

Morgan St 10 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 146

UL-Lafayette 6 over NORTH TEXAS, total 153

RICE 10 over Fresno St, total 134

SAN DIEGO ST 6 over Colorado St, total 151

SOUTH CAROLINA ST 5 over Coppin St, total 133

SYRACUSE 9 over Villanova, total 151

TEXAS 9 over Kansas, total 142

UNC GREENSBORO 2 over Western Car, total 136

UNLV 7 over Wyoming, total 150

UTEP 9 over Hawaii, total 149

UTAH 10 over New Mexico, total 124

VERMONT 14 over Hartford, total 135

WAGNER 5 over St. Francis-PA, total 135

WOFFORD 16 over The Citadel, total 134



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