ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 2-29-04. Home court advantage is 0.635, or about 4.66 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's*              26-0   0.959   33  0.626

  2 Duke*                      24-3   0.940    5  0.689

  3 Stanford*                  25-0   0.930  116  0.536

  4 Mississippi St.*           23-2   0.914   14  0.651

  5 Gonzaga*                   25-2   0.903  118  0.533

  6 Kentucky*                  21-4   0.893    7  0.687

  7 Oklahoma St.*              22-3   0.891   87  0.563

  8 Connecticut*               23-5   0.886   55  0.598

  9 Texas*                     21-4   0.882   42  0.610

 10 Pittsburgh*                25-3   0.878  110  0.541

 11 Cincinnati*                20-5   0.875   54  0.598

 12 Wake Forest*               19-6   0.866    4  0.692

 13 Georgia Tech*              20-8   0.861   11  0.668

 14 Providence*                20-5   0.859   24  0.638

 15 Wisconsin*                 19-6   0.854   44  0.607

 16 Southern Illinois*         24-2   0.853  113  0.538

 17 Louisville*                18-7   0.853   32  0.630

 18 North Carolina St.*        18-7   0.848    8  0.675

 19 Utah St.*                  24-2   0.844  243  0.436

 20 Vanderbilt*                18-7   0.843   22  0.642

 21 North Carolina*            17-8   0.840    2  0.707

 22 Illinois*                  20-5   0.837   80  0.574

 23 Florida*                   17-8   0.832    9  0.670

 24 Air Force*                 20-5   0.829  119  0.532

 25 Memphis*                   20-5   0.827   43  0.608

 26 South Carolina*            21-7   0.826   50  0.601

 27 Kansas*                    18-7   0.809   29  0.633

 28 Charlotte*                 18-7   0.806   18  0.645

 29 Seton Hall*                19-7   0.805   61  0.591

 30 Western Michigan*          21-4   0.802  181  0.484

 31 Texas Tech*                19-9   0.793   23  0.640

 32 Texas El Paso*             22-5   0.793  172  0.492

 33 Louisiana St.*             17-8   0.790   10  0.669

 34 Syracuse*                  19-6   0.788   47  0.605

 35 Brigham Young*             18-7   0.788   68  0.582

 36 Alabama*                   15-10  0.784    3  0.701

 37 Utah*                      20-7   0.783  102  0.548

 38 Florida St.*               18-11  0.778   25  0.638

 39 Arizona*                   18-8   0.775   56  0.595

 40 Maryland*                  14-11  0.774    6  0.688

 41 Kent St.*                  20-5   0.772  187  0.479

 42 Alabama Birmingham*        17-8   0.771   45  0.606

 43 Nevada*                    18-8   0.771   75  0.579

 44 Boston College*            19-8   0.768   37  0.619

 45 Murray St.*                25-5   0.757  254  0.427

 46 Richmond*                  17-11  0.755   21  0.642

 47 Troy St.*                  22-5   0.754  259  0.424

 48 Manhattan*                 22-5   0.751  249  0.432

 49 East Tennessee St.*        24-5   0.747  225  0.445

 50 Nebraska*                  16-9   0.747   97  0.553

 51 Oklahoma*                  16-9   0.745   31  0.631

 52 Missouri*                  15-10  0.743   12  0.664

 53 Michigan St.               17-9   0.742   36  0.622

 54 Dayton                     21-6   0.738  100  0.548

 55 Boston University*         23-4   0.734  275  0.411

 56 Colorado                   17-8   0.730   63  0.590

 57 Creighton                  19-7   0.729  136  0.512

 58 Wichita St.                20-8   0.727  147  0.504

 59 Xavier                     17-10  0.726   70  0.581

 60 Purdue                     17-10  0.723   74  0.579

 61 Rutgers                    16-9   0.723   40  0.611

 62 Central Florida            22-5   0.720  269  0.415

 63 Rice                       20-8   0.719  117  0.535

 64 Auburn                     13-12  0.716   28  0.634

 65 Virginia Commonwealth*     20-7   0.713  166  0.494

 66 George Washington          16-9   0.712   83  0.568

 67 Boise St.                  19-8   0.705  126  0.518

 68 Illinois Chicago*          22-7   0.705  206  0.464

 69 Michigan                   16-9   0.705   84  0.565

 70 St. Louis                  15-10  0.703   66  0.583

 71 DePaul                     17-8   0.701   65  0.588

 72 Louisiana Lafayette*       17-8   0.700  141  0.509

 73 Belmont                    20-7   0.699  207  0.461

 74 Georgia                    14-11  0.698   13  0.659

 75 Hawaii                     19-8   0.691  135  0.512

 76 Austin Peay                19-8   0.691  153  0.500

 77 Tennessee                  14-11  0.689   19  0.643

 78 Pacific                    20-7   0.686  152  0.501

 79 Virginia                   15-10  0.681   20  0.642

 80 Notre Dame                 14-11  0.680   34  0.625

 81 St. Mary's                 18-11  0.679  180  0.484

 82 College of Charleston      19-8   0.679  173  0.492

 83 Pennsylvania*              15-9   0.673  139  0.509

 84 Villanova                  14-13  0.673   35  0.624

 85 Iowa                       15-10  0.672   69  0.581

 86 Wisconsin Milwaukee        18-9   0.669  131  0.515

 87 Iowa St.                   15-10  0.664   59  0.594

 88 George Mason               19-8   0.659  145  0.506

 89 Nevada Las Vegas           15-10  0.657   88  0.562

 90 Rhode Island               17-12  0.654  101  0.548

 91 Washington                 15-10  0.652   78  0.576

 92 Georgia Southern           20-7   0.649  286  0.398

 93 Drexel                     18-9   0.647  188  0.479

 94 Arkansas                   12-13  0.646   26  0.637

 95 Detroit                    17-10  0.644  151  0.501

 96 Kansas St.                 12-13  0.641   64  0.588

 97 Oregon                     12-11  0.640   49  0.601

 98 Toledo                     17-9   0.639  105  0.546

 99 Princeton                  17-7   0.637  267  0.416

100 Temple                     14-11  0.635   62  0.591

101 Niagara                    19-8   0.634  234  0.441

102 Georgia St.                19-8   0.631  241  0.437

103 Marquette                  15-10  0.626  106  0.545

104 Northern Iowa              17-9   0.624  162  0.495

105 Southwest Missouri St.     17-12  0.621  122  0.527

106 West Virginia              14-11  0.621   52  0.600

107 Fairfield                  19-10  0.619  177  0.487

108 New Mexico                 14-11  0.618  130  0.517

109 Mississippi                12-13  0.617   16  0.649

110 Old Dominion               16-11  0.613  133  0.515

111 Chattanooga                17-10  0.610  219  0.450

112 Northwestern               12-13  0.608   30  0.632

113 California                 13-12  0.605   71  0.580

114 Western Kentucky           15-12  0.603  161  0.495

115 Georgetown                 13-12  0.599   99  0.552

116 San Diego St.              14-13  0.592   85  0.563

117 Birmingham Southern*       20-7   0.591  319  0.341

118 Clemson                    10-16  0.591    1  0.708

119 IUPUI*                     18-10  0.588  229  0.443

120 Indiana                    12-13  0.588   27  0.637

121 Wyoming                    11-15  0.584   53  0.600

122 SE Louisiana*              19-6   0.583  316  0.353

123 East Carolina              12-12  0.582  137  0.511

124 Middle Tennessee           15-11  0.578  156  0.497

125 Fresno St.                 12-14  0.577   79  0.574

126 Davidson                   16-11  0.575  167  0.493

127 Stephen F. Austin          17-8   0.572  322  0.330

128 Oral Roberts               17-10  0.572  239  0.438

129 Cal Santa Barbara          14-11  0.572  176  0.488

130 Arkansas Little Rock       16-11  0.567  268  0.415

131 Buffalo                    14-11  0.566  149  0.503

132 Vermont                    19-8   0.565  272  0.412

133 Miami OH                   15-10  0.564  163  0.495

134 NC Wilmington              13-14  0.562  114  0.537

135 Hofstra                    14-14  0.555   94  0.555

136 Mississippi Valley St.*    20-6   0.555  326  0.301

137 Eastern Washington*        15-12  0.554  155  0.498

138 Furman                     16-11  0.553  278  0.408

139 Southern Mississippi       12-13  0.551   41  0.611

140 Delaware                   16-11  0.548  186  0.479

141 Virginia Tech              12-13  0.545   82  0.570

142 Arkansas St.               16-10  0.544  256  0.426

143 Pepperdine                 14-15  0.542   93  0.555

144 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-10  0.540  208  0.460

145 Miami FL                   13-15  0.539  134  0.514

146 Southern California        12-13  0.537   60  0.593

147 Monmouth*                  18-10  0.536  212  0.453

148 Maine                      18-9   0.534  313  0.357

149 Lafayette*                 18-9   0.534  277  0.409

150 St. Peter's                16-11  0.533  182  0.483

151 Colorado St.               11-15  0.532   48  0.604

152 Centenary                  16-11  0.532  226  0.444

153 Washington St.             12-14  0.530   77  0.576

154 Northeastern               19-10  0.528  288  0.395

155 Louisiana Tech             13-13  0.527  128  0.518

156 San Francisco              17-13  0.520  121  0.529

157 Akron                      13-12  0.519  148  0.504

158 New Orleans                15-13  0.519  123  0.525

159 Texas Christian            11-14  0.514   89  0.560

160 American                   16-12  0.509  223  0.446

161 Ball St.                   12-13  0.508  124  0.522

162 UCLA                       11-14  0.507   67  0.583

163 Denver                     14-13  0.504  160  0.496

164 Missouri Kansas City       14-13  0.500  240  0.438

165 Ohio St.                   13-14  0.500   86  0.563

166 Weber St.                  14-13  0.498  216  0.452

167 Butler                     14-13  0.497  196  0.473

168 Duquesne                   11-15  0.494  111  0.540

169 Holy Cross                 13-14  0.494  260  0.423

170 Lehigh                     17-10  0.491  305  0.370

171 Idaho                      13-14  0.489  157  0.497

172 Wright St.                 14-13  0.486  179  0.486

173 Western Carolina           13-14  0.485  255  0.427

174 Minnesota                  10-17  0.484   72  0.580

175 Winthrop                   16-11  0.483  291  0.394

176 Tulsa                       8-18  0.480   38  0.619

177 Drake                      12-14  0.477  132  0.515

178 Santa Clara                14-15  0.477  125  0.521

179 Morehead St.               15-12  0.476  244  0.436

180 Arizona St.                10-16  0.476   95  0.554

181 Bucknell                   13-14  0.474  280  0.406

182 Oregon St.                 11-15  0.474  109  0.543

183 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     15-11  0.473  282  0.404

184 Bradley                    14-15  0.471  140  0.509

185 Northern Arizona           14-13  0.471  237  0.439

186 Valparaiso                 14-12  0.470  222  0.447

187 High Point                 17-10  0.470  300  0.380

188 Fairleigh Dickinson        16-10  0.469  295  0.390

189 Liberty                    15-14  0.468  215  0.453

190 Cal St. Northridge         11-13  0.467  175  0.490

191 Bowling Green              13-14  0.466  203  0.467

192 New Mexico St.             13-14  0.465  202  0.468

193 Loyola Marymount           14-13  0.463  192  0.475

194 Southern Methodist         10-16  0.462   57  0.595

195 Portland                   11-16  0.461   90  0.560

196 South Alabama              12-15  0.461  159  0.496

197 Eastern Kentucky           13-14  0.460  220  0.449

198 Texas Arlington            15-11  0.458  274  0.411

199 North Texas                13-14  0.456  197  0.472

200 Eastern Michigan           12-13  0.455  253  0.429

201 Oakland                    13-16  0.453  205  0.466

202 La Salle                   10-17  0.453   76  0.578

203 Tennessee Tech             13-14  0.446  247  0.434

204 Texas Pan American         14-13  0.440  262  0.419

205 Brown                      13-12  0.439  248  0.433

206 Tulane                     11-14  0.439  144  0.506

207 Sacramento St.             13-14  0.437  238  0.438

208 Rider                      16-13  0.435  261  0.421

209 Yale                       11-14  0.435  204  0.467

210 St. Francis NY             14-12  0.434  296  0.389

211 Samford                    12-15  0.433  230  0.442

212 Marshall                   10-15  0.431  103  0.547

213 Texas A&M                   7-18  0.426   81  0.571

214 Cornell                    11-14  0.426  236  0.440

215 Siena                      12-15  0.425  168  0.493

216 NC Greensboro              11-16  0.423  158  0.497

217 Montana St.                14-13  0.422  285  0.399

218 Coastal Carolina           13-14  0.419  297  0.389

219 Massachusetts              10-16  0.418  104  0.547

220 Cal Irvine                 11-15  0.418  174  0.491

221 Jacksonville St.           14-13  0.416  292  0.392

222 Illinois St.                8-18  0.414   91  0.559

223 Appalachian St.             9-20  0.412  112  0.540

224 Penn St.                    9-16  0.411   39  0.614

225 Cal Riverside               9-15  0.409  195  0.473

226 South Carolina St.*        15-10  0.402  323  0.319

227 Houston                     9-16  0.401   92  0.556

228 Portland St.               11-16  0.400  217  0.451

229 Central Connecticut        12-13  0.400  294  0.391

230 St. John's                  6-19  0.394   15  0.649

231 Southeast Missouri St.     11-16  0.393  227  0.443

232 Ohio                        9-18  0.393  143  0.507

233 Montana                    10-17  0.391  189  0.477

234 Cal Poly                    9-15  0.391  150  0.502

235 Mercer                     12-17  0.390  169  0.493

236 Binghamton                 14-15  0.389  228  0.443

237 Chicago St.                11-18  0.384  127  0.518

238 Iona                       10-17  0.383  178  0.487

239 Colgate                    14-13  0.383  301  0.380

240 Texas San Antonio          14-13  0.382  310  0.362

241 South Florida               7-18  0.382   46  0.606

242 Coppin St.                 15-13  0.380  314  0.357

243 St. Francis PA             13-14  0.380  257  0.425

244 Sam Houston St.            12-13  0.375  299  0.382

245 Robert Morris              13-14  0.373  279  0.406

246 Elon                       11-17  0.372  171  0.492

247 Evansville                  6-20  0.372   51  0.600

248 Indiana St.                 8-18  0.371  108  0.543

249 Cal St. Fullerton          10-15  0.369  213  0.453

250 Idaho St.                  12-17  0.366  200  0.469

251 Stetson                    12-14  0.363  231  0.442

252 McNeese St.                 9-16  0.363  211  0.454

253 Wagner                     12-15  0.363  233  0.441

254 Jacksonville               13-14  0.359  281  0.404

255 Louisiana Monroe           12-17  0.359  221  0.448

256 Loyola Chicago              8-19  0.359  107  0.544

257 Tennessee Martin           10-18  0.359  191  0.475

258 Delaware St.               11-13  0.357  290  0.395

259 Canisius                   10-19  0.350  193  0.474

260 Baylor                      8-19  0.350   96  0.553

261 Texas St.                  12-13  0.346  315  0.356

262 Youngstown St.              8-19  0.345  138  0.509

263 Florida Atlantic            9-18  0.345  264  0.418

264 William & Mary              7-20  0.343  120  0.530

265 Sacred Heart               12-14  0.343  276  0.410

266 Northwestern St.           10-15  0.341  265  0.418

267 Southern Utah              10-17  0.340  198  0.472

268 Northern Illinois           9-18  0.338  232  0.442

269 Wofford                     8-19  0.338  146  0.504

270 Lamar                      11-16  0.328  307  0.366

271 Texas Southern             13-12  0.324  325  0.310

272 Radford                    12-15  0.323  308  0.365

273 Alabama St.                10-14  0.321  302  0.378

274 Jackson St.                10-14  0.319  284  0.399

275 St. Bonaventure             6-19  0.319   58  0.594

276 Columbia                    8-17  0.313  218  0.450

277 Hampton                    12-15  0.311  312  0.359

278 Gardner Webb                9-20  0.308  194  0.473

279 Mount St. Mary's            9-18  0.305  246  0.435

280 Hartford                   11-16  0.302  263  0.419

281 Fordham                     5-20  0.302   17  0.645

282 Southern                   10-15  0.294  320  0.340

283 Florida A&M                11-14  0.291  318  0.348

284 San Jose St.                6-20  0.287  154  0.498

285 James Madison               7-20  0.283  164  0.494

286 New Hampshire               9-19  0.278  251  0.430

287 Morgan St.                  9-14  0.276  309  0.364

288 Grambling                  10-15  0.274  304  0.371

289 MD Baltimore County         7-20  0.268  250  0.431

290 Alabama A&M                10-14  0.266  317  0.349

291 Quinnipiac                  8-20  0.256  289  0.395

292 NC Asheville                8-19  0.256  210  0.458

293 Long Island                 8-18  0.254  266  0.417

294 Tennessee St.               7-20  0.253  185  0.481

295 Stony Brook                 8-19  0.252  271  0.413

296 Towson                      7-20  0.242  184  0.482

297 Central Michigan            5-21  0.238  129  0.517

298 Lipscomb                    7-21  0.233  224  0.446

299 Long Beach St.              6-19  0.231  199  0.471

300 Eastern Illinois            6-21  0.231  242  0.436

301 San Diego                   4-25  0.222   98  0.552

302 Marist                      6-21  0.211  209  0.460

303 Charleston Southern         6-21  0.210  258  0.424

304 Cleveland St.               4-24  0.208  170  0.492

305 Prairie View A&M            7-17  0.197  283  0.404

306 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-24  0.190  115  0.537

307 Albany                      5-22  0.186  245  0.436

308 Norfolk St.                 9-16  0.185  327  0.295

309 Alcorn St.                  8-17  0.177  303  0.375

310 Nicholls St.                6-19  0.177  298  0.385

311 Harvard                     4-21  0.176  190  0.476

312 Florida International       5-21  0.170  201  0.469

313 Howard                      6-19  0.162  324  0.319

314 The Citadel                 6-21  0.161  235  0.440

315 Virginia Military Inst      6-21  0.158  270  0.413

316 Bethune Cookman             6-20  0.152  306  0.368

317 Western Illinois            3-25  0.145  183  0.482

318 Maryland Eastern Shore      7-19  0.135  321  0.335

319 Campbell                    3-24  0.131  165  0.494

320 Savannah St.                4-24  0.130  142  0.508

321 Dartmouth                   3-23  0.119  287  0.396

322 Navy                        5-22  0.119  273  0.411

323 Army                        6-20  0.116  311  0.360

324 Wild Card U.               23-294 0.087   73  0.579

325 North Carolina A&T          3-22  0.083  293  0.392

326 Loyola MD                   1-26  0.083  214  0.453

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-24  0.041  252  0.429







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.798

  2 Southeastern                      0.771

  3 Big Twelve                        0.702

  4 Big East                          0.697

  5 Mountain West                     0.673

  6 Big Ten                           0.648

  7 Conference USA                    0.645

  8 Pacific 10                        0.612

  9 Western Athletic                  0.601

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.597

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.566

 12 West Coast                        0.533

 13 Colonial                          0.517

 14 Mid-American                      0.515

 15 Sun Belt                          0.506

 16 Southern                          0.500

 17 Horizon                           0.495

 18 Big West                          0.488

 19 Atlantic Sun                      0.448

 20 Ohio Valley                       0.447

 21 Mid-Continent                     0.443

 22 Metro Atlantic                    0.442

 23 Big Sky                           0.442

 24 America East                      0.428

 25 Ivy League                        0.402

 26 Patriot                           0.390

 27 Southland                         0.389

 28 Big South                         0.375

 29 Northeast                         0.374

 30 Independents                      0.308

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.277

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.249







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-1-04:



AIR FORCE 12 over San Diego St, total 114

ARKANSAS ST 9 over TX-Pan American, total 144

BYU 4 over Utah, total 123

BETHUNE-COOKMAN 10 over North Carolina A&T, total 135

Western Mich 9 over BOWLING GREEN, total 145

SMS Pick 'em over BRADLEY, total 131

CONNECTICUT 10 over Seton Hall, total 146

CREIGHTON 5 over Wichita St, total 138

EVANSVILLE 5 over Indiana St, total 135

FLORIDA A&M 1 over South Carolina St, total 160

Miss Valley St 6 over GRAMBLING, total 143

HAMPTON 3 over Delaware St, total 133

IUPUI 11 over IPFW, total 146

ILLINOIS ST 3 over Drake, total 140

JACKSON ST 22 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 126

MIDDLE TENN ST 18 over Florida Intl, total 120

MORGAN ST 12 over MD-East Shore, total 143

Monmouth 3 over MT ST. MARY'S, total 134

NEW MEXICO 3 over UNLV, total 149

Texas St 3 over NICHOLLS ST, total 131

NORFOLK ST 5 over Howard, total 126

NORTHERN ILL 9 over Central Mich, total 141

Southern Ill 6 over NORTHERN IOWA, total 138

OKLAHOMA ST 6 over Texas, total 143

Alabama St 1 over PRAIRIE VIEW A&M, total 126

QUINNIPIAC 5 over Long Island, total 154

ST. FRANCIS-NY 3 over Fairleigh Dickinson, total 138

TEXAS SOUTHERN 7 over Alabama A&M, total 140

WAGNER 6 over Sacred Heart, total 144



Return to ARGH main page

Click here to send me feedback