ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 3-7-04. Home court advantage is 0.638, or about 4.68 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's*              27-0   0.957   57  0.594

  2 Duke*                      25-4   0.930    5  0.688

  3 Mississippi St.*           25-2   0.915   13  0.654

  4 Stanford*                  26-1   0.907  113  0.539

  5 Gonzaga*                   26-2   0.904  114  0.537

  6 Kentucky*                  23-4   0.902    8  0.686

  7 Oklahoma St.*              24-3   0.897   95  0.560

  8 Pittsburgh*                27-3   0.889  108  0.545

  9 Connecticut*               24-6   0.882   39  0.611

 10 Georgia Tech*              22-8   0.870   11  0.676

 11 Cincinnati*                21-6   0.868   42  0.610

 12 Wisconsin*                 21-6   0.862   43  0.609

 13 Texas*                     21-6   0.856   32  0.619

 14 North Carolina St.*        19-8   0.849    7  0.688

 15 Louisville*                19-8   0.848   26  0.630

 16 Utah St.*                  25-2   0.847  231  0.441

 17 Wake Forest*               19-8   0.841    4  0.691

 18 Illinois*                  22-5   0.840   77  0.577

 19 North Carolina*            18-9   0.837    2  0.708

 20 Florida*                   18-9   0.833    6  0.688

 21 Air Force*                 22-5   0.831  127  0.523

 22 Providence*                20-7   0.829   18  0.647

 23 Vanderbilt*                19-8   0.827   24  0.634

 24 Kansas*                    20-7   0.820   20  0.638

 25 Memphis*                   21-6   0.820   47  0.603

 26 Southern Illinois*         25-4   0.815  118  0.532

 27 Western Michigan*          23-4   0.814  190  0.478

 28 Charlotte*                 20-7   0.806   31  0.621

 29 Syracuse*                  21-6   0.805   41  0.610

 30 Brigham Young*             20-7   0.805   56  0.595

 31 South Carolina*            21-9   0.804   36  0.615

 32 Seton Hall*                20-8   0.803   34  0.616

 33 Texas Tech*                21-9   0.798   27  0.630

 34 Boston College*            21-8   0.786   30  0.625

 35 Alabama*                   16-11  0.785    3  0.707

 36 Utah*                      21-8   0.782   92  0.563

 37 Nevada*                    20-8   0.780   88  0.565

 38 Texas El Paso*             22-6   0.780  152  0.502

 39 Maryland*                  16-11  0.779    9  0.680

 40 Florida St.*               18-12  0.775   17  0.647

 41 Murray St.*                28-5   0.774  248  0.431

 42 Arizona*                   19-8   0.773   76  0.578

 43 Alabama Birmingham*        19-8   0.771   66  0.584

 44 Louisiana St.*             18-9   0.769   14  0.651

 45 East Tennessee St.*        27-5   0.763  218  0.450

 46 Manhattan*                 23-5   0.756  249  0.431

 47 Xavier*                    19-10  0.745   64  0.588

 48 Central Florida*           25-5   0.744  242  0.435

 49 Richmond*                  18-11  0.739   35  0.616

 50 Kent St.*                  20-7   0.735  189  0.479

 51 Michigan St.*              17-10  0.734   29  0.627

 52 Nebraska                   16-11  0.733   78  0.576

 53 Missouri                   15-12  0.732   10  0.679

 54 Troy St.                   24-6   0.730  271  0.417

 55 Dayton                     22-7   0.728  104  0.550

 56 Oklahoma                   18-9   0.727   71  0.581

 57 Colorado                   18-9   0.726   54  0.598

 58 DePaul                     19-8   0.724   55  0.596

 59 Virginia Commonwealth*     22-7   0.720  180  0.484

 60 Creighton                  20-8   0.716  141  0.510

 61 Illinois Chicago*          23-7   0.715  205  0.467

 62 Boise St.                  20-8   0.714  135  0.516

 63 Auburn                     14-13  0.713   21  0.638

 64 Wichita St.                21-10  0.711  128  0.523

 65 Rice                       21-9   0.710  112  0.540

 66 Louisiana Lafayette*       18-8   0.707  157  0.499

 67 Notre Dame                 16-11  0.704   33  0.617

 68 Boston University          23-5   0.704  284  0.400

 69 Georgia                    15-12  0.701   12  0.664

 70 Pacific                    22-7   0.700  184  0.481

 71 Michigan                   17-10  0.700   85  0.567

 72 George Washington          17-10  0.699   87  0.565

 73 Rutgers                    16-11  0.698   40  0.611

 74 Tennessee                  15-12  0.695   15  0.651

 75 Purdue                     17-12  0.695   79  0.575

 76 Iowa                       16-11  0.684   51  0.601

 77 Wisconsin Milwaukee        19-9   0.684  130  0.522

 78 Virginia                   16-11  0.682   16  0.649

 79 St. Louis                  16-11  0.680   74  0.579

 80 Washington                 17-10  0.680   75  0.578

 81 St. Mary's                 19-11  0.679  192  0.476

 82 Belmont                    21-8   0.675  223  0.447

 83 Austin Peay                21-9   0.671  174  0.486

 84 Hawaii                     19-10  0.670  120  0.531

 85 George Mason               21-8   0.669  160  0.498

 86 Pennsylvania*              17-9   0.668  200  0.470

 87 Iowa St.                   16-11  0.667   45  0.606

 88 Kansas St.                 14-13  0.662   60  0.589

 89 Rhode Island               18-12  0.661  105  0.548

 90 College of Charleston      20-9   0.661  178  0.485

 91 Nevada Las Vegas           16-11  0.660   82  0.571

 92 Northern Iowa*             20-9   0.659  162  0.498

 93 Villanova                  14-15  0.652   28  0.628

 94 Marquette                  17-10  0.649  101  0.554

 95 Niagara                    21-8   0.648  230  0.441

 96 Detroit                    19-11  0.645  168  0.494

 97 Southwest Missouri St.     19-13  0.642  106  0.547

 98 Oregon                     14-11  0.640   70  0.582

 99 Georgia Southern           21-8   0.639  286  0.400

100 Princeton                  19-7   0.638  283  0.401

101 Toledo                     18-9   0.637  117  0.533

102 Chattanooga                19-11  0.635  183  0.482

103 Drexel                     18-10  0.634  176  0.485

104 Temple                     15-12  0.627   69  0.583

105 Georgia St.                20-9   0.622  239  0.435

106 West Virginia              15-12  0.618   46  0.604

107 Arkansas                   12-15  0.617   25  0.633

108 Old Dominion               17-12  0.610  132  0.519

109 Mississippi                13-14  0.605   23  0.637

110 Middle Tennessee           17-11  0.605  167  0.495

111 Fairfield                  19-11  0.601  182  0.483

112 Stephen F. Austin*         19-8   0.596  321  0.334

113 Birmingham Southern        20-7   0.596  318  0.344

114 IUPUI*                     20-10  0.592  251  0.430

115 Miami OH                   17-10  0.591  147  0.505

116 Western Kentucky           15-13  0.590  155  0.500

117 Buffalo                    16-11  0.588  169  0.491

118 Northwestern               13-14  0.585   38  0.611

119 Indiana                    13-14  0.583   22  0.637

120 New Mexico                 14-13  0.582  138  0.511

121 East Carolina              13-13  0.581  142  0.510

122 Fresno St.                 14-14  0.581  103  0.552

123 California                 13-14  0.580   58  0.591

124 Cal Santa Barbara          16-11  0.580  206  0.466

125 Mississippi Valley St.*    22-6   0.580  326  0.303

126 Clemson                    10-17  0.579    1  0.711

127 San Diego St.              14-15  0.578   73  0.580

128 Wyoming                    11-16  0.576   49  0.602

129 NC Wilmington              15-15  0.573  111  0.541

130 Davidson                   17-12  0.573  159  0.498

131 Arkansas Little Rock       17-11  0.570  277  0.411

132 Vermont*                   21-8   0.568  290  0.394

133 Georgetown                 13-14  0.563  107  0.545

134 Furman                     17-12  0.561  261  0.427

135 Eastern Washington*        15-12  0.561  149  0.503

136 Oral Roberts               17-11  0.557  228  0.442

137 Delaware                   16-12  0.556  150  0.503

138 Virginia Tech              14-13  0.556   96  0.559

139 Arkansas St.               17-11  0.550  240  0.435

140 SE Louisiana               19-8   0.548  306  0.369

141 Hofstra                    14-15  0.548   93  0.563

142 Colorado St.               12-15  0.546   50  0.602

143 Pepperdine                 15-16  0.543  102  0.553

144 St. Peter's                17-12  0.542  164  0.495

145 Miami FL                   14-16  0.541  134  0.517

146 Maine                      20-9   0.540  319  0.343

147 Washington St.             13-15  0.537   80  0.573

148 Louisiana Tech             14-14  0.536  123  0.526

149 Southern California        13-14  0.534   63  0.588

150 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-11  0.531  193  0.476

151 San Francisco              17-14  0.524  109  0.544

152 Monmouth*                  20-11  0.523  257  0.428

153 Southern Mississippi       13-14  0.522   72  0.581

154 New Orleans                16-13  0.522  133  0.518

155 Butler                     16-14  0.514  211  0.460

156 Lafayette                  18-10  0.513  281  0.402

157 Weber St.                  15-13  0.512  213  0.455

158 Missouri Kansas City       15-13  0.512  238  0.436

159 Ball St.                   13-14  0.511  137  0.512

160 American*                  18-12  0.511  267  0.421

161 Northeastern               19-11  0.508  292  0.390

162 Denver                     14-13  0.507  158  0.499

163 Ohio St.                   14-15  0.507   90  0.564

164 Centenary                  16-12  0.507  235  0.439

165 Liberty*                   18-14  0.499  247  0.432

166 UCLA                       11-16  0.496   59  0.591

167 Santa Clara                16-16  0.496  143  0.509

168 Valparaiso                 16-12  0.493  227  0.445

169 Texas Christian            11-16  0.492   68  0.583

170 Lehigh                     19-10  0.489  317  0.350

171 Idaho                      13-15  0.488  146  0.507

172 Akron                      13-14  0.482  165  0.495

173 Morehead St.               16-13  0.482  221  0.448

174 Holy Cross                 13-15  0.482  265  0.424

175 Minnesota                  11-17  0.481   98  0.556

176 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     15-11  0.480  278  0.409

177 Duquesne                   11-16  0.479  115  0.535

178 Tulsa                       9-19  0.474   48  0.602

179 Bucknell                   14-15  0.473  275  0.412

180 Eastern Kentucky           14-15  0.472  214  0.453

181 Texas Arlington            16-11  0.471  282  0.402

182 Loyola Marymount           15-14  0.471  177  0.485

183 Western Carolina           13-15  0.471  264  0.425

184 Drake                      12-16  0.470  121  0.528

185 Northern Arizona           14-13  0.467  243  0.435

186 Arizona St.                10-17  0.466   89  0.564

187 Southern Methodist         11-17  0.466   62  0.589

188 Winthrop                   16-12  0.463  293  0.388

189 New Mexico St.             13-14  0.462  209  0.465

190 High Point                 19-11  0.461  305  0.371

191 Fairleigh Dickinson        17-12  0.460  285  0.400

192 Oregon St.                 12-16  0.459  131  0.520

193 Oakland                    13-17  0.455  188  0.479

194 North Texas                13-15  0.454  185  0.480

195 Wright St.                 14-14  0.454  197  0.473

196 South Alabama              12-16  0.453  139  0.511

197 Bradley                    15-16  0.453  166  0.495

198 Portland                   11-17  0.451   97  0.558

199 Marshall                   11-16  0.449  100  0.555

200 Brown                      14-13  0.449  226  0.445

201 Bowling Green              13-16  0.448  196  0.474

202 Texas Pan American         14-14  0.446  232  0.441

203 Tennessee Tech             13-15  0.445  219  0.450

204 Illinois St.               10-19  0.444   94  0.560

205 Yale                       12-15  0.444  191  0.477

206 Central Connecticut        14-13  0.441  279  0.406

207 Eastern Michigan           13-14  0.438  258  0.427

208 Tulane                     11-16  0.430  125  0.524

209 Rider                      17-14  0.430  270  0.417

210 Massachusetts              10-18  0.426   83  0.570

211 La Salle                   10-19  0.426   81  0.572

212 Samford                    12-16  0.423  216  0.451

213 South Carolina St.*        17-10  0.420  325  0.309

214 Siena                      14-16  0.420  202  0.470

215 Montana St.                14-13  0.418  289  0.395

216 Sacramento St.             13-15  0.417  253  0.429

217 Coastal Carolina           14-15  0.415  291  0.392

218 Cal St. Northridge         11-15  0.414  204  0.468

219 St. Francis NY             15-13  0.414  301  0.375

220 Jacksonville St.           14-14  0.413  280  0.405

221 Cal Riverside              10-16  0.411  171  0.490

222 NC Greensboro              11-17  0.408  172  0.490

223 Cal Irvine                 11-17  0.405  163  0.497

224 Texas San Antonio          16-13  0.404  310  0.358

225 Appalachian St.             9-21  0.404  110  0.541

226 Chicago St.                12-19  0.403  122  0.526

227 Texas A&M                   7-20  0.401   65  0.585

228 Cal Poly                   11-15  0.401  195  0.474

229 Ohio                       10-19  0.400  129  0.522

230 Portland St.               11-16  0.399  217  0.450

231 Iona                       11-18  0.396  156  0.499

232 Colgate                    15-14  0.394  288  0.396

233 Mercer                     12-18  0.394  145  0.507

234 Loyola Chicago              9-20  0.393   91  0.564

235 Houston                     9-18  0.393   84  0.570

236 Cornell                    11-16  0.392  262  0.425

237 Cal St. Fullerton          11-16  0.391  208  0.465

238 Southeast Missouri St.     11-16  0.390  234  0.439

239 Coppin St.                 16-13  0.387  314  0.352

240 Binghamton                 14-16  0.386  222  0.447

241 Robert Morris              14-15  0.382  272  0.415

242 Montana                    10-18  0.378  201  0.470

243 Indiana St.                 9-19  0.378  119  0.531

244 Elon                       12-18  0.377  173  0.489

245 Penn St.                    9-18  0.377   52  0.599

246 McNeese St.                11-16  0.374  250  0.431

247 Idaho St.                  13-17  0.372  210  0.464

248 Sam Houston St.            13-14  0.369  300  0.378

249 South Florida               7-20  0.369   44  0.606

250 St. Francis PA             13-15  0.367  259  0.427

251 Evansville                  7-22  0.365   53  0.599

252 Alabama St.                13-14  0.362  308  0.361

253 Stetson                    12-15  0.362  215  0.452

254 St. John's                  6-21  0.361   19  0.643

255 Wagner                     13-16  0.359  252  0.429

256 Tennessee Martin           10-18  0.358  194  0.475

257 Jacksonville               13-15  0.357  274  0.413

258 Northwestern St.           11-16  0.355  254  0.429

259 Texas St.                  13-14  0.353  309  0.359

260 Delaware St.               12-14  0.351  299  0.381

261 Northern Illinois          10-19  0.351  220  0.450

262 Canisius                   10-20  0.349  187  0.479

263 Wofford                     9-20  0.344  148  0.505

264 Louisiana Monroe           12-18  0.344  229  0.442

265 Baylor                      8-21  0.342   99  0.556

266 Florida Atlantic            9-19  0.341  268  0.421

267 Youngstown St.              8-20  0.339  124  0.525

268 Sacred Heart               12-15  0.338  273  0.414

269 Southern Utah              10-18  0.336  186  0.480

270 Texas Southern             15-13  0.331  324  0.310

271 Columbia                   10-17  0.326  260  0.427

272 Hartford                   12-17  0.325  233  0.441

273 William & Mary              7-21  0.323  136  0.514

274 Radford                    12-16  0.322  303  0.373

275 St. Bonaventure             7-20  0.320   61  0.589

276 Mount St. Mary's           10-19  0.319  225  0.446

277 Lamar                      11-18  0.314  302  0.375

278 Hampton                    13-16  0.311  311  0.356

279 Southern                   11-16  0.309  320  0.343

280 Jackson St.                11-16  0.307  296  0.385

281 Gardner Webb                9-20  0.301  207  0.466

282 Fordham                     6-21  0.298   37  0.613

283 James Madison               7-21  0.289  144  0.509

284 New Hampshire              10-20  0.288  241  0.435

285 San Jose St.                6-22  0.286  126  0.523

286 Grambling                  11-17  0.280  297  0.385

287 Stony Brook                10-20  0.280  255  0.429

288 Florida A&M                11-16  0.278  315  0.351

289 NC Asheville                9-20  0.272  198  0.473

290 Morgan St.                 10-15  0.271  313  0.354

291 Towson                      8-21  0.270  154  0.501

292 Alabama A&M                11-16  0.266  312  0.355

293 Tennessee St.               7-21  0.265  153  0.502

294 MD Baltimore County         7-21  0.264  244  0.434

295 Quinnipiac                  9-20  0.263  295  0.385

296 Long Island                 8-19  0.248  269  0.418

297 Lipscomb                    7-21  0.232  224  0.447

298 Central Michigan            6-23  0.230  161  0.498

299 Eastern Illinois            6-21  0.229  237  0.436

300 Long Beach St.              6-21  0.222  179  0.484

301 San Diego                   4-26  0.218   86  0.566

302 Marist                      6-22  0.212  203  0.469

303 Charleston Southern         6-22  0.211  245  0.433

304 Alcorn St.                 10-17  0.209  307  0.369

305 Norfolk St.                11-16  0.205  327  0.287

306 Cleveland St.               4-25  0.203  151  0.503

307 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-25  0.187  116  0.534

308 Albany                      5-23  0.180  246  0.432

309 Harvard                     4-23  0.170  181  0.484

310 Bethune Cookman             8-20  0.169  316  0.350

311 Florida International       5-22  0.163  199  0.471

312 Prairie View A&M            7-20  0.163  294  0.387

313 Nicholls St.                6-21  0.160  298  0.383

314 The Citadel                 6-22  0.156  236  0.439

315 Virginia Military Inst      6-22  0.153  266  0.424

316 Howard                      6-21  0.152  323  0.322

317 Western Illinois            3-25  0.145  175  0.486

318 Maryland Eastern Shore      7-20  0.133  322  0.332

319 Savannah St.                4-24  0.129  140  0.511

320 Campbell                    3-24  0.128  170  0.491

321 Navy                        5-23  0.123  263  0.425

322 Dartmouth                   3-25  0.120  276  0.412

323 Army                        6-21  0.117  304  0.372

324 Wild Card U.               23-294 0.086   67  0.583

325 Loyola MD                   1-27  0.084  212  0.458

326 North Carolina A&T          3-24  0.080  287  0.397

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-26  0.039  256  0.429







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.794

  2 Southeastern                      0.764

  3 Big Twelve                        0.697

  4 Big East                          0.692

  5 Mountain West                     0.670

  6 Big Ten                           0.641

  7 Conference USA                    0.639

  8 Pacific 10                        0.607

  9 Western Athletic                  0.600

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.592

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.565

 12 West Coast                        0.536

 13 Colonial                          0.519

 14 Mid-American                      0.513

 15 Sun Belt                          0.508

 16 Southern                          0.499

 17 Horizon                           0.498

 18 Big West                          0.486

 19 Ohio Valley                       0.447

 20 Mid-Continent                     0.444

 21 Atlantic Sun                      0.444

 22 Metro Atlantic                    0.444

 23 Big Sky                           0.440

 24 America East                      0.429

 25 Ivy League                        0.401

 26 Southland                         0.390

 27 Patriot                           0.388

 28 Big South                         0.377

 29 Northeast                         0.374

 30 Independents                      0.310

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.284

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.251







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-8-04:



VCU 7 over George Mason, total 138

Manhattan 5 over Niagara, total 156

BALL STATE 6 over Akron, total 140

BOWLING GREEN 7 over Ohio, total 143

BUFFALO 13 over Northern Ill, total 139

MARSHALL 5 over Eastern Mich, total 140

TOLEDO 22 over Central Mich, total 157

IUPUI 7 over Chicago St, total 146

UMKC 5 over Valparaiso, total 136

Morgan St 6 over Howard, total 143

Norfolk St 8 over North Carolina A&T, total 131

Northern Iowa 1 over SMS, total 138

SE LOUISIANA 11 over Northwestern St, total 141

STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 12 over Sam Houston, total 132

TX-ARLINGTON 9 over UL-Monroe, total 135

TX-SAN ANTONIO 6 over Texas St, total 132

Ark-Little Rock 2 over New Orleans, total 136

UL-Lafayette 4 over Middle Tenn St, total 147

Gonzaga 13 over St. Mary's, total 141



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