ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 3-21-04. Home court advantage is 0.636, or about 4.63 points for an average game.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 St. Joseph's               29-1   0.945   61  0.622

  2 Duke                       29-5   0.935    9  0.716

  3 Oklahoma St.               29-3   0.917   77  0.602

  4 Kentucky                   27-5   0.908   11  0.705

  5 Stanford                   30-2   0.906   98  0.567

  6 Connecticut                29-6   0.904   35  0.645

  7 Gonzaga                    28-3   0.902   96  0.574

  8 Mississippi St.            26-4   0.901   22  0.673

  9 Pittsburgh                 31-4   0.896   87  0.590

 10 Georgia Tech               25-9   0.886    6  0.722

 11 Wisconsin                  25-7   0.885   28  0.661

 12 Texas                      25-7   0.879   17  0.679

 13 Cincinnati                 25-7   0.873   39  0.642

 14 Illinois                   26-6   0.870   49  0.636

 15 Wake Forest                21-9   0.858    5  0.727

 16 North Carolina             19-11  0.856    1  0.756

 17 North Carolina St.         21-10  0.855    7  0.720

 18 Kansas                     23-8   0.853   21  0.677

 19 Vanderbilt                 23-9   0.851   20  0.678

 20 Louisville                 20-10  0.843   30  0.659

 21 Maryland                   20-12  0.838    2  0.750

 22 Florida                    20-11  0.837    8  0.719

 23 Texas Tech                 23-11  0.826   13  0.693

 24 Alabama                    19-12  0.825    3  0.742

 25 Providence                 20-9   0.824   19  0.679

 26 Memphis                    22-8   0.823   34  0.650

 27 Xavier                     25-10  0.820   50  0.636

 28 Syracuse                   23-7   0.819   36  0.645

 29 Nevada                     25-8   0.811   90  0.581

 30 Western Michigan           26-5   0.808  174  0.483

 31 Boston College             24-10  0.805   26  0.666

 32 Southern Illinois          25-5   0.804  121  0.540

 33 Charlotte                  21-9   0.802   43  0.639

 34 South Carolina             23-11  0.800   48  0.638

 35 Seton Hall                 21-10  0.798   33  0.651

 36 Alabama Birmingham         22-9   0.796   56  0.625

 37 Utah St.                   25-4   0.792  225  0.435

 38 Arizona                    20-10  0.789   51  0.634

 39 Florida St.                19-13  0.786   23  0.671

 40 Utah                       24-9   0.785   91  0.579

 41 Air Force                  22-7   0.784  139  0.515

 42 Brigham Young              21-9   0.782   81  0.598

 43 Texas El Paso              24-8   0.770  132  0.526

 44 Michigan St.               18-12  0.768   16  0.684

 45 Oklahoma                   20-10  0.760   57  0.624

 46 Richmond                   20-13  0.755   40  0.641

 47 DePaul                     22-10  0.753   41  0.641

 48 Louisiana St.              18-11  0.750   25  0.668

 49 Manhattan                  25-6   0.747  218  0.442

 50 Nebraska                   18-12  0.745   82  0.597

 51 East Tennessee St.         27-6   0.742  211  0.447

 52 Murray St.                 28-6   0.742  240  0.421

 53 Missouri                   16-14  0.739   10  0.708

 54 Michigan                   19-11  0.739   62  0.622

 55 Notre Dame                 18-12  0.738   32  0.655

 56 Boise St.                  23-9   0.736  116  0.544

 57 Colorado                   18-11  0.728   53  0.633

 58 Georgia                    16-14  0.727   12  0.704

 59 Dayton                     24-9   0.722   99  0.567

 60 Washington                 19-12  0.722   42  0.640

 61 Kent St.                   22-9   0.716  163  0.492

 62 St. Louis                  19-12  0.716   67  0.619

 63 Virginia                   18-13  0.715   14  0.689

 64 Villanova                  18-16  0.712   24  0.670

 65 Central Florida            25-6   0.711  239  0.421

 66 Virginia Commonwealth      23-8   0.709  169  0.488

 67 George Washington          18-12  0.709   78  0.601

 68 Rutgers                    17-12  0.707   55  0.626

 69 Illinois Chicago           24-8   0.704  172  0.484

 70 Iowa St.                   18-12  0.704   45  0.639

 71 Pacific                    25-8   0.704  155  0.498

 72 Louisiana Lafayette        20-9   0.704  150  0.505

 73 Creighton                  20-9   0.703  142  0.513

 74 Rice                       22-11  0.703   97  0.572

 75 Purdue                     17-14  0.700   70  0.616

 76 Troy St.                   24-7   0.699  252  0.405

 77 Wichita St.                21-11  0.698  131  0.527

 78 Auburn                     14-14  0.698   47  0.638

 79 Oregon                     16-12  0.696   44  0.639

 80 Hawaii                     20-11  0.695  103  0.565

 81 Iowa                       16-13  0.694   46  0.638

 82 Tennessee                  15-14  0.689   18  0.679

 83 Wisconsin Milwaukee        20-11  0.679  129  0.532

 84 George Mason               23-9   0.676  146  0.509

 85 St. Mary's                 19-12  0.675  158  0.494

 86 West Virginia              17-13  0.670   37  0.643

 87 Kansas St.                 14-14  0.664   75  0.610

 88 Northern Iowa              21-10  0.663  141  0.514

 89 Austin Peay                22-10  0.663  167  0.489

 90 Rhode Island               20-14  0.655  113  0.554

 91 Belmont                    21-9   0.653  216  0.443

 92 Nevada Las Vegas           18-13  0.652   94  0.578

 93 Marquette                  18-11  0.649  112  0.554

 94 Pennsylvania               17-10  0.649  190  0.470

 95 Detroit                    19-11  0.646  157  0.494

 96 Boston University          23-6   0.646  273  0.377

 97 College of Charleston      20-9   0.641  197  0.464

 98 Southwest Missouri St.     19-14  0.639  110  0.557

 99 Indiana                    14-15  0.638   15  0.684

100 Temple                     15-14  0.632   68  0.618

101 Arkansas                   12-16  0.631   31  0.659

102 Toledo                     20-11  0.627  118  0.541

103 Chattanooga                19-11  0.621  193  0.468

104 Princeton                  20-8   0.620  249  0.408

105 Niagara                    22-10  0.618  220  0.440

106 Georgia Southern           21-8   0.615  275  0.375

107 Northwestern               14-15  0.614   38  0.642

108 Mississippi                13-15  0.611   29  0.659

109 Clemson                    10-18  0.609    4  0.740

110 Drexel                     18-11  0.606  181  0.478

111 Old Dominion               17-12  0.606  140  0.515

112 Georgia St.                20-9   0.605  241  0.419

113 California                 13-15  0.599   64  0.621

114 East Carolina              13-14  0.597  119  0.541

115 IUPUI                      21-11  0.594  224  0.435

116 Miami OH                   18-11  0.593  137  0.516

117 Fresno St.                 14-15  0.591   89  0.581

118 Virginia Tech              15-14  0.591   80  0.599

119 Fairfield                  19-11  0.586  194  0.467

120 Western Kentucky           15-13  0.585  156  0.495

121 San Diego St.              14-16  0.582   85  0.594

122 Wyoming                    11-17  0.577   74  0.613

123 Middle Tennessee           17-12  0.577  177  0.481

124 Georgetown                 13-15  0.577   95  0.574

125 New Mexico                 14-14  0.575  136  0.517

126 Eastern Washington         17-13  0.572  147  0.506

127 Buffalo                    17-12  0.571  180  0.479

128 Colorado St.               13-16  0.570   66  0.619

129 Davidson                   17-12  0.566  162  0.492

130 NC Wilmington              15-15  0.565  128  0.532

131 Birmingham Southern        20-7   0.564  313  0.316

132 Southern California        13-15  0.563   59  0.624

133 Stephen F. Austin          21-9   0.563  316  0.308

134 Cal Santa Barbara          16-12  0.561  200  0.462

135 Oral Roberts               17-11  0.560  214  0.445

136 Washington St.             13-16  0.559   73  0.614

137 Pepperdine                 15-16  0.553  105  0.563

138 Minnesota                  12-18  0.548   65  0.619

139 Miami FL                   14-16  0.546  133  0.523

140 Hofstra                    14-15  0.543  109  0.558

141 Louisiana Tech             15-15  0.541  127  0.533

142 Furman                     17-12  0.538  253  0.404

143 New Orleans                17-14  0.536  130  0.529

144 Delaware                   16-12  0.531  185  0.477

145 Ohio St.                   14-16  0.530   79  0.599

146 Texas Christian            12-17  0.530   60  0.624

147 Arkansas St.               17-11  0.528  244  0.414

148 Southern Mississippi       13-15  0.525   86  0.594

149 Arkansas Little Rock       17-12  0.524  263  0.388

150 Vermont                    22-9   0.524  289  0.362

151 UCLA                       11-17  0.521   58  0.624

152 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-11  0.520  196  0.464

153 Ball St.                   14-15  0.517  134  0.519

154 San Francisco              17-14  0.517  123  0.536

155 Butler                     16-14  0.516  199  0.462

156 St. Peter's                17-12  0.509  198  0.462

157 Valparaiso                 18-13  0.508  201  0.461

158 Southern Methodist         12-18  0.504   71  0.615

159 Mississippi Valley St.     22-7   0.500  326  0.257

160 Arizona St.                10-17  0.500   83  0.597

161 Centenary                  16-12  0.499  230  0.432

162 Santa Clara                16-16  0.499  143  0.513

163 Duquesne                   12-17  0.498  111  0.556

164 Idaho                      14-16  0.495  145  0.511

165 SE Louisiana               20-9   0.492  309  0.328

166 Denver                     14-13  0.492  171  0.484

167 Oregon St.                 12-16  0.488  114  0.550

168 Weber St.                  15-14  0.487  210  0.451

169 Missouri Kansas City       15-14  0.487  231  0.428

170 Liberty                    18-15  0.483  226  0.434

171 Akron                      13-15  0.482  149  0.505

172 Drake                      12-16  0.475  126  0.533

173 Lafayette                  18-10  0.474  286  0.365

174 Tulsa                       9-20  0.472   72  0.614

175 Loyola Marymount           15-14  0.472  170  0.486

176 Northeastern               19-11  0.471  294  0.356

177 Monmouth                   21-12  0.471  258  0.393

178 Portland                   11-17  0.471   93  0.578

179 Morehead St.               16-13  0.470  221  0.436

180 American                   18-13  0.468  259  0.392

181 Maine                      20-10  0.467  318  0.302

182 Cal St. Northridge         14-16  0.466  164  0.491

183 Bradley                    15-16  0.460  152  0.502

184 Marshall                   12-17  0.459  101  0.565

185 Oakland                    13-17  0.459  173  0.483

186 Northern Arizona           15-14  0.459  234  0.426

187 Western Carolina           13-15  0.457  248  0.412

188 Wright St.                 14-14  0.450  191  0.468

189 New Mexico St.             13-14  0.449  209  0.452

190 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     15-11  0.448  270  0.379

191 Illinois St.               10-19  0.445  106  0.561

192 Eastern Kentucky           14-15  0.444  233  0.426

193 Winthrop                   16-12  0.444  280  0.370

194 Bowling Green              14-17  0.444  188  0.473

195 Holy Cross                 13-15  0.444  265  0.387

196 Texas Arlington            17-12  0.443  278  0.373

197 North Texas                13-15  0.440  195  0.465

198 High Point                 19-11  0.438  300  0.349

199 South Alabama              12-16  0.437  159  0.494

200 Tennessee Tech             13-15  0.430  222  0.436

201 Bucknell                   14-15  0.427  281  0.368

202 Lehigh                     20-11  0.424  317  0.307

203 La Salle                   10-20  0.421   92  0.578

204 Texas Pan American         14-14  0.418  246  0.413

205 Tulane                     11-17  0.417  125  0.534

206 Eastern Michigan           13-15  0.416  237  0.424

207 Brown                      14-13  0.416  247  0.412

208 Cal Riverside              11-17  0.415  168  0.489

209 Yale                       12-15  0.415  213  0.447

210 Samford                    12-16  0.414  217  0.442

211 Sacramento St.             13-15  0.413  235  0.425

212 Massachusetts              10-19  0.412  107  0.561

213 Appalachian St.             9-21  0.410  115  0.547

214 Texas A&M                   7-21  0.407   84  0.597

215 Penn St.                    9-19  0.406   52  0.633

216 Houston                     9-18  0.405   88  0.582

217 Chicago St.                12-20  0.404  120  0.541

218 Fairleigh Dickinson        17-12  0.403  303  0.345

219 Cal Irvine                 11-17  0.402  160  0.493

220 Montana St.                14-13  0.401  271  0.379

221 Texas San Antonio          19-14  0.400  295  0.352

222 NC Greensboro              11-17  0.400  178  0.481

223 Coastal Carolina           14-15  0.398  276  0.375

224 Cal Poly                   11-16  0.398  175  0.483

225 Siena                      14-16  0.397  212  0.447

226 Rider                      17-14  0.395  268  0.383

227 Loyola Chicago              9-20  0.394  104  0.564

228 Portland St.               11-16  0.394  215  0.444

229 Ohio                       10-20  0.389  138  0.516

230 Mercer                     12-18  0.387  154  0.500

231 Cal St. Fullerton          11-17  0.387  189  0.472

232 Southeast Missouri St.     11-16  0.384  227  0.433

233 South Florida               7-20  0.383   63  0.621

234 St. John's                  6-21  0.383   27  0.664

235 South Carolina St.         18-11  0.383  324  0.276

236 Central Connecticut        14-14  0.381  288  0.363

237 Indiana St.                 9-19  0.381  124  0.534

238 Montana                    10-18  0.376  192  0.468

239 Iona                       11-18  0.375  183  0.478

240 Jacksonville St.           14-14  0.375  283  0.367

241 Evansville                  7-22  0.371   76  0.604

242 Elon                       12-18  0.366  186  0.477

243 St. Francis NY             15-13  0.364  308  0.328

244 McNeese St.                11-16  0.358  245  0.414

245 Coppin St.                 18-14  0.357  312  0.320

246 Idaho St.                  13-18  0.352  204  0.456

247 Cornell                    11-16  0.351  267  0.383

248 Baylor                      8-21  0.351  100  0.566

249 Colgate                    15-14  0.350  296  0.351

250 Stetson                    12-15  0.346  223  0.435

251 Tennessee Martin           10-18  0.344  203  0.460

252 Wofford                     9-20  0.342  151  0.502

253 Binghamton                 14-16  0.341  256  0.399

254 Northern Illinois          10-20  0.340  208  0.452

255 St. Bonaventure             7-21  0.336   69  0.618

256 Jacksonville               13-15  0.334  264  0.388

257 Southern Utah              10-18  0.334  184  0.477

258 Northwestern St.           11-17  0.332  243  0.414

259 Robert Morris              14-15  0.332  287  0.363

260 Sam Houston St.            13-15  0.331  290  0.361

261 Delaware St.               13-15  0.327  297  0.350

262 Canisius                   10-20  0.327  207  0.455

263 Florida Atlantic            9-19  0.326  250  0.405

264 Louisiana Monroe           12-19  0.325  228  0.432

265 Youngstown St.              8-20  0.322  148  0.506

266 Texas St.                  13-15  0.321  306  0.336

267 William & Mary              7-21  0.321  144  0.512

268 St. Francis PA             13-15  0.319  277  0.375

269 Alabama St.                16-15  0.316  314  0.314

270 Florida A&M                15-17  0.312  299  0.350

271 Wagner                     13-16  0.309  274  0.375

272 Fordham                     6-22  0.301   54  0.627

273 Radford                    12-16  0.299  302  0.348

274 Columbia                   10-17  0.295  260  0.392

275 San Jose St.                6-23  0.293  122  0.537

276 Sacred Heart               12-15  0.293  285  0.365

277 Gardner Webb                9-20  0.292  205  0.455

278 Lamar                      11-18  0.289  301  0.348

279 James Madison               7-21  0.283  153  0.502

280 Jackson St.                12-17  0.283  298  0.350

281 Mount St. Mary's           10-19  0.281  255  0.402

282 Southern                   12-16  0.278  321  0.299

283 Hartford                   12-17  0.278  266  0.387

284 Hampton                    13-17  0.276  310  0.324

285 NC Asheville                9-20  0.263  202  0.461

286 Texas Southern             14-15  0.260  325  0.268

287 Tennessee St.               7-21  0.256  165  0.491

288 Towson                      8-21  0.255  176  0.482

289 New Hampshire              10-20  0.245  269  0.381

290 Central Michigan            6-24  0.243  135  0.518

291 Stony Brook                10-20  0.239  272  0.378

292 Grambling                  11-18  0.236  305  0.339

293 Alabama A&M                13-17  0.235  320  0.301

294 MD Baltimore County         7-21  0.234  257  0.396

295 Morgan St.                 11-16  0.231  319  0.302

296 Quinnipiac                  9-20  0.227  304  0.340

297 Eastern Illinois            6-21  0.223  232  0.427

298 Long Beach St.              6-21  0.219  179  0.480

299 San Diego                   4-26  0.217  102  0.565

300 Lipscomb                    7-21  0.216  238  0.423

301 Long Island                 8-19  0.204  291  0.358

302 Cleveland St.               4-25  0.195  166  0.491

303 Marist                      6-22  0.193  219  0.440

304 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-25  0.193  117  0.543

305 Charleston Southern         6-22  0.192  254  0.403

306 Alcorn St.                 11-18  0.191  307  0.330

307 Norfolk St.                12-17  0.177  327  0.244

308 Florida International       5-22  0.155  206  0.455

309 Prairie View A&M            7-20  0.151  284  0.365

310 Albany                      5-23  0.146  279  0.372

311 Nicholls St.                6-21  0.145  292  0.356

312 The Citadel                 6-22  0.144  242  0.416

313 Virginia Military Inst      6-22  0.144  251  0.405

314 Harvard                     4-23  0.143  229  0.432

315 Western Illinois            3-25  0.141  182  0.478

316 Bethune Cookman             8-21  0.137  322  0.298

317 Howard                      6-22  0.136  323  0.296

318 Maryland Eastern Shore      8-21  0.124  315  0.310

319 Savannah St.                4-24  0.122  161  0.493

320 Campbell                    3-24  0.121  187  0.474

321 Navy                        5-23  0.108  262  0.388

322 Dartmouth                   3-25  0.097  293  0.356

323 Army                        6-21  0.095  311  0.321

324 Wild Card U.               23-294 0.079  108  0.559

325 Loyola MD                   1-27  0.075  236  0.424

326 North Carolina A&T          3-25  0.070  282  0.368

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-26  0.034  261  0.391







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.815

  2 Southeastern                      0.769

  3 Big Twelve                        0.714

  4 Big East                          0.712

  5 Big Ten                           0.672

  6 Mountain West                     0.663

  7 Conference USA                    0.651

  8 Pacific 10                        0.634

  9 Western Athletic                  0.612

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.601

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.564

 12 West Coast                        0.538

 13 Colonial                          0.509

 14 Mid-American                      0.508

 15 Sun Belt                          0.493

 16 Horizon                           0.492

 17 Southern                          0.487

 18 Big West                          0.484

 19 Mid-Continent                     0.443

 20 Big Sky                           0.432

 21 Ohio Valley                       0.431

 22 Atlantic Sun                      0.426

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.422

 24 America East                      0.383

 25 Ivy League                        0.373

 26 Southland                         0.364

 27 Big South                         0.358

 28 Patriot                           0.349

 29 Northeast                         0.326

 30 Independents                      0.295

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.248

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.230







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-22-04:



RUTGERS 6 over West Virginia, total 132

Notre Dame 1 over Saint Louis, total 123

HAWAII 2 over Nebraska, total 128

MICHIGAN 3 over Oklahoma, total 129



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