ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2003-2004 season, after games of 3-28-04. Home court advantage is 0.636, or about 4.64 points for an average game.


Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule

  1 Duke                       31-5   0.938    7  0.723

  2 St. Joseph's               30-2   0.937   43  0.643

  3 Oklahoma St.               31-3   0.921   72  0.616

  4 Connecticut                31-6   0.914   29  0.662

  5 Stanford                   30-2   0.908   98  0.572

  6 Kentucky                   27-5   0.907   11  0.703

  7 Gonzaga                    28-3   0.902   97  0.574

  8 Mississippi St.            26-4   0.900   23  0.670

  9 Georgia Tech               27-9   0.892    6  0.728

 10 Pittsburgh                 31-5   0.888   78  0.605

 11 Wisconsin                  25-7   0.885   28  0.663

 12 Texas                      25-8   0.874   15  0.689

 13 Cincinnati                 25-7   0.872   47  0.639

 14 Illinois                   26-7   0.867   33  0.655

 15 North Carolina             19-11  0.856    1  0.755

 16 Wake Forest                21-10  0.855    5  0.737

 17 North Carolina St.         21-10  0.855    8  0.720

 18 Kansas                     24-9   0.851   18  0.683

 19 Louisville                 20-10  0.841   31  0.657

 20 Vanderbilt                 23-10  0.840   19  0.682

 21 Maryland                   20-12  0.837    3  0.749

 22 Florida                    20-11  0.835    9  0.716

 23 Texas Tech                 23-11  0.827   13  0.694

 24 Alabama                    20-13  0.825    2  0.750

 25 Providence                 20-9   0.823   20  0.677

 26 Xavier                     26-11  0.821   36  0.649

 27 Memphis                    22-8   0.821   39  0.647

 28 Syracuse                   23-8   0.808   38  0.648

 29 Nevada                     25-9   0.807   87  0.594

 30 Western Michigan           26-5   0.807  175  0.482

 31 Boston College             24-10  0.805   25  0.666

 32 Southern Illinois          25-5   0.803  120  0.539

 33 Charlotte                  21-9   0.799   55  0.635

 34 South Carolina             23-11  0.799   53  0.635

 35 Seton Hall                 21-10  0.798   34  0.651

 36 Arizona                    20-10  0.791   49  0.637

 37 Utah St.                   25-4   0.791  222  0.434

 38 Utah                       24-9   0.784   89  0.579

 39 Alabama Birmingham         22-10  0.784   54  0.635

 40 Air Force                  22-7   0.783  140  0.515

 41 Brigham Young              21-9   0.781   84  0.598

 42 Florida St.                19-14  0.775   24  0.670

 43 Michigan St.               18-12  0.769   17  0.686

 44 Texas El Paso              24-8   0.767  132  0.523

 45 Michigan                   21-11  0.755   62  0.622

 46 Richmond                   20-13  0.754   46  0.641

 47 Oklahoma                   20-11  0.753   56  0.634

 48 DePaul                     22-10  0.751   48  0.638

 49 Louisiana St.              18-11  0.747   26  0.665

 50 Manhattan                  25-6   0.746  218  0.440

 51 East Tennessee St.         27-6   0.741  213  0.446

 52 Murray St.                 28-6   0.741  240  0.419

 53 Missouri                   16-14  0.741   10  0.709

 54 Nebraska                   18-13  0.740   77  0.606

 55 Notre Dame                 19-13  0.733   35  0.651

 56 Colorado                   18-11  0.730   52  0.636

 57 Georgia                    16-14  0.725   12  0.702

 58 Washington                 19-12  0.725   44  0.643

 59 Boise St.                  23-10  0.724  115  0.549

 60 Iowa St.                   20-12  0.724   41  0.646

 61 Dayton                     24-9   0.722  100  0.567

 62 Oregon                     18-12  0.720   40  0.646

 63 Rutgers                    19-12  0.716   64  0.620

 64 Kent St.                   22-9   0.716  161  0.491

 65 Virginia                   18-13  0.715   14  0.689

 66 Central Florida            25-6   0.710  239  0.420

 67 George Washington          18-12  0.709   80  0.601

 68 St. Louis                  19-13  0.707   61  0.625

 69 Villanova                  18-17  0.706   22  0.675

 70 Virginia Commonwealth      23-8   0.706  170  0.484

 71 Illinois Chicago           24-8   0.704  173  0.483

 72 Pacific                    25-8   0.704  155  0.498

 73 Louisiana Lafayette        20-9   0.704  149  0.505

 74 Creighton                  20-9   0.702  143  0.512

 75 Purdue                     17-14  0.701   70  0.618

 76 Rice                       22-11  0.700   99  0.569

 77 Troy St.                   24-7   0.697  252  0.403

 78 Wichita St.                21-11  0.697  131  0.526

 79 Iowa                       16-13  0.697   45  0.641

 80 Auburn                     14-14  0.696   50  0.636

 81 Hawaii                     21-12  0.690   95  0.574

 82 Tennessee                  15-14  0.686   21  0.676

 83 Wisconsin Milwaukee        20-11  0.678  126  0.531

 84 St. Mary's                 19-12  0.675  157  0.494

 85 West Virginia              17-14  0.667   37  0.648

 86 Kansas St.                 14-14  0.665   75  0.611

 87 George Mason               23-10  0.665  136  0.518

 88 Northern Iowa              21-10  0.663  141  0.514

 89 Austin Peay                22-10  0.661  168  0.487

 90 Rhode Island               20-14  0.655  114  0.553

 91 Marquette                  19-12  0.654  105  0.563

 92 Belmont                    21-9   0.651  216  0.441

 93 Nevada Las Vegas           18-13  0.651   94  0.577

 94 Pennsylvania               17-10  0.648  190  0.470

 95 Boston University          23-6   0.646  273  0.377

 96 Detroit                    19-11  0.645  156  0.494

 97 Indiana                    14-15  0.640   16  0.686

 98 College of Charleston      20-9   0.640  197  0.462

 99 Southwest Missouri St.     19-14  0.638  111  0.555

100 Temple                     15-14  0.633   66  0.619

101 Arkansas                   12-16  0.629   30  0.657

102 Toledo                     20-11  0.627  118  0.541

103 Chattanooga                19-11  0.620  194  0.467

104 Princeton                  20-8   0.619  249  0.408

105 Northwestern               14-15  0.617   42  0.645

106 Niagara                    22-10  0.617  220  0.439

107 Georgia Southern           21-8   0.613  277  0.374

108 Clemson                    10-18  0.608    4  0.739

109 Mississippi                13-15  0.608   32  0.656

110 California                 13-15  0.604   60  0.626

111 Georgia St.                20-9   0.604  241  0.417

112 Drexel                     18-11  0.603  185  0.475

113 Old Dominion               17-12  0.603  144  0.512

114 IUPUI                      21-11  0.593  226  0.434

115 East Carolina              13-14  0.593  121  0.537

116 Miami OH                   18-11  0.593  137  0.516

117 Virginia Tech              15-14  0.591   83  0.598

118 Fresno St.                 14-15  0.588   91  0.578

119 Fairfield                  19-11  0.587  191  0.468

120 Western Kentucky           15-13  0.583  158  0.493

121 San Diego St.              14-16  0.583   86  0.595

122 Wyoming                    11-17  0.577   73  0.613

123 Georgetown                 13-15  0.576   96  0.574

124 Middle Tennessee           17-12  0.576  177  0.480

125 New Mexico                 14-14  0.575  138  0.516

126 Eastern Washington         17-13  0.572  147  0.506

127 Buffalo                    17-12  0.572  178  0.479

128 Colorado St.               13-16  0.570   67  0.619

129 Southern California        13-15  0.567   58  0.628

130 Davidson                   17-12  0.565  162  0.491

131 Washington St.             13-16  0.563   69  0.618

132 Birmingham Southern        20-7   0.562  313  0.314

133 Stephen F. Austin          21-9   0.561  316  0.307

134 NC Wilmington              15-15  0.561  128  0.529

135 Cal Santa Barbara          16-12  0.561  199  0.462

136 Oral Roberts               17-11  0.558  215  0.444

137 Pepperdine                 15-16  0.554  104  0.564

138 Minnesota                  12-18  0.549   65  0.620

139 Miami FL                   14-16  0.545  133  0.522

140 Hofstra                    14-15  0.540  112  0.555

141 Louisiana Tech             15-15  0.537  129  0.528

142 Furman                     17-12  0.536  253  0.403

143 New Orleans                17-14  0.534  130  0.527

144 Ohio St.                   14-16  0.532   82  0.601

145 Delaware                   16-12  0.527  186  0.474

146 Arkansas St.               17-11  0.527  244  0.413

147 Texas Christian            12-17  0.527   63  0.621

148 UCLA                       11-17  0.526   57  0.629

149 Vermont                    22-9   0.523  289  0.362

150 Arkansas Little Rock       17-12  0.523  263  0.387

151 Southern Mississippi       13-15  0.521   88  0.590

152 Wisconsin Green Bay        17-11  0.519  195  0.464

153 Ball St.                   14-15  0.518  134  0.519

154 San Francisco              17-14  0.516  122  0.536

155 Butler                     16-14  0.516  198  0.462

156 St. Peter's                17-12  0.508  200  0.461

157 Valparaiso                 18-13  0.507  201  0.461

158 Arizona St.                10-17  0.504   81  0.601

159 Southern Methodist         12-18  0.500   74  0.612

160 Santa Clara                16-16  0.499  142  0.512

161 Mississippi Valley St.     22-7   0.498  326  0.256

162 Duquesne                   12-17  0.498  110  0.555

163 Centenary                  16-12  0.498  230  0.431

164 Idaho                      14-16  0.493  145  0.510

165 Oregon St.                 12-16  0.492  113  0.553

166 Denver                     14-13  0.491  172  0.483

167 SE Louisiana               20-9   0.491  309  0.327

168 Weber St.                  15-14  0.487  210  0.450

169 Missouri Kansas City       15-14  0.486  231  0.428

170 Liberty                    18-15  0.484  223  0.434

171 Akron                      13-15  0.482  150  0.505

172 Drake                      12-16  0.475  124  0.533

173 Lafayette                  18-10  0.474  285  0.365

174 Loyola Marymount           15-14  0.472  169  0.486

175 Monmouth                   21-12  0.471  258  0.393

176 Portland                   11-17  0.471   93  0.578

177 Northeastern               19-11  0.470  294  0.354

178 Morehead St.               16-13  0.469  221  0.435

179 Tulsa                       9-20  0.467   76  0.610

180 American                   18-13  0.467  259  0.391

181 Maine                      20-10  0.466  318  0.301

182 Cal St. Northridge         14-16  0.466  164  0.491

183 Bradley                    15-16  0.460  151  0.501

184 Oakland                    13-17  0.459  171  0.484

185 Marshall                   12-17  0.459  103  0.564

186 Northern Arizona           15-14  0.458  233  0.425

187 Western Carolina           13-15  0.456  248  0.410

188 Wright St.                 14-14  0.450  192  0.468

189 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     15-11  0.448  270  0.379

190 New Mexico St.             13-14  0.447  209  0.450

191 Illinois St.               10-19  0.445  108  0.560

192 Bowling Green              14-17  0.444  187  0.473

193 Winthrop                   16-12  0.443  280  0.369

194 Holy Cross                 13-15  0.443  264  0.387

195 Eastern Kentucky           14-15  0.443  235  0.425

196 Texas Arlington            17-12  0.442  278  0.372

197 North Texas                13-15  0.439  196  0.464

198 High Point                 19-11  0.438  298  0.349

199 South Alabama              12-16  0.435  160  0.492

200 Tennessee Tech             13-15  0.429  224  0.434

201 Bucknell                   14-15  0.426  281  0.368

202 Lehigh                     20-11  0.424  317  0.306

203 La Salle                   10-20  0.421   92  0.578

204 Texas Pan American         14-14  0.417  245  0.412

205 Cal Riverside              11-17  0.415  167  0.489

206 Eastern Michigan           13-15  0.415  237  0.423

207 Brown                      14-13  0.415  247  0.411

208 Yale                       12-15  0.414  211  0.446

209 Tulane                     11-17  0.413  127  0.529

210 Samford                    12-16  0.413  217  0.441

211 Massachusetts              10-19  0.413  107  0.561

212 Sacramento St.             13-15  0.412  234  0.425

213 Penn St.                    9-19  0.409   51  0.636

214 Appalachian St.             9-21  0.408  116  0.545

215 Texas A&M                   7-21  0.407   85  0.597

216 Chicago St.                12-20  0.403  119  0.540

217 Houston                     9-18  0.402   90  0.579

218 Cal Irvine                 11-17  0.402  159  0.493

219 Fairleigh Dickinson        17-12  0.402  303  0.344

220 Montana St.                14-13  0.401  271  0.378

221 Texas San Antonio          19-14  0.400  295  0.352

222 NC Greensboro              11-17  0.398  179  0.479

223 Cal Poly                   11-16  0.398  174  0.483

224 Coastal Carolina           14-15  0.398  275  0.374

225 Siena                      14-16  0.396  212  0.446

226 Rider                      17-14  0.394  268  0.382

227 Portland St.               11-16  0.393  214  0.444

228 Loyola Chicago              9-20  0.393  106  0.563

229 Ohio                       10-20  0.389  139  0.516

230 Mercer                     12-18  0.387  153  0.499

231 Cal St. Fullerton          11-17  0.387  189  0.472

232 St. John's                  6-21  0.383   27  0.664

233 Southeast Missouri St.     11-16  0.383  227  0.432

234 South Carolina St.         18-11  0.381  324  0.275

235 Central Connecticut        14-14  0.380  288  0.363

236 Indiana St.                 9-19  0.380  123  0.533

237 South Florida               7-20  0.380   71  0.617

238 Montana                    10-18  0.376  193  0.468

239 Iona                       11-18  0.375  183  0.477

240 Jacksonville St.           14-14  0.373  283  0.366

241 Evansville                  7-22  0.370   79  0.604

242 Elon                       12-18  0.365  184  0.476

243 St. Francis NY             15-13  0.364  308  0.328

244 McNeese St.                11-16  0.357  246  0.412

245 Coppin St.                 18-14  0.356  312  0.319

246 Idaho St.                  13-18  0.352  204  0.455

247 Cornell                    11-16  0.351  267  0.383

248 Baylor                      8-21  0.351  101  0.566

249 Colgate                    15-14  0.349  296  0.351

250 Stetson                    12-15  0.345  225  0.434

251 Tennessee Martin           10-18  0.343  203  0.459

252 Binghamton                 14-16  0.340  256  0.398

253 Wofford                     9-20  0.340  152  0.500

254 Northern Illinois          10-20  0.340  208  0.452

255 St. Bonaventure             7-21  0.336   68  0.618

256 Southern Utah              10-18  0.333  182  0.477

257 Jacksonville               13-15  0.332  265  0.387

258 Northwestern St.           11-17  0.332  243  0.414

259 Robert Morris              14-15  0.332  287  0.363

260 Sam Houston St.            13-15  0.330  290  0.360

261 Delaware St.               13-15  0.327  297  0.349

262 Canisius                   10-20  0.326  205  0.454

263 Florida Atlantic            9-19  0.325  251  0.404

264 Louisiana Monroe           12-19  0.324  229  0.431

265 Youngstown St.              8-20  0.322  148  0.505

266 Texas St.                  13-15  0.320  306  0.335

267 St. Francis PA             13-15  0.318  276  0.374

268 William & Mary              7-21  0.318  146  0.508

269 Alabama St.                16-15  0.315  314  0.313

270 Florida A&M                15-17  0.311  299  0.349

271 Wagner                     13-16  0.309  274  0.374

272 Fordham                     6-22  0.302   59  0.627

273 Radford                    12-16  0.298  302  0.347

274 Columbia                   10-17  0.295  260  0.391

275 Sacred Heart               12-15  0.293  284  0.366

276 Gardner Webb                9-20  0.291  206  0.454

277 San Jose St.                6-23  0.290  125  0.533

278 Lamar                      11-18  0.288  301  0.347

279 Jackson St.                12-17  0.281  300  0.348

280 James Madison               7-21  0.281  154  0.498

281 Mount St. Mary's           10-19  0.280  255  0.401

282 Hartford                   12-17  0.277  266  0.386

283 Southern                   12-16  0.277  321  0.297

284 Hampton                    13-17  0.274  310  0.323

285 NC Asheville                9-20  0.262  202  0.459

286 Texas Southern             14-15  0.258  325  0.267

287 Tennessee St.               7-21  0.256  166  0.490

288 Towson                      8-21  0.253  180  0.479

289 New Hampshire              10-20  0.244  269  0.381

290 Central Michigan            6-24  0.244  135  0.518

291 Stony Brook                10-20  0.239  272  0.378

292 Grambling                  11-18  0.235  305  0.337

293 Alabama A&M                13-17  0.234  320  0.299

294 MD Baltimore County         7-21  0.234  257  0.395

295 Morgan St.                 11-16  0.231  319  0.301

296 Quinnipiac                  9-20  0.227  304  0.340

297 Eastern Illinois            6-21  0.223  232  0.426

298 Long Beach St.              6-21  0.219  176  0.480

299 San Diego                   4-26  0.217  102  0.564

300 Lipscomb                    7-21  0.215  238  0.422

301 Long Island                 8-19  0.204  291  0.358

302 Cleveland St.               4-25  0.195  165  0.490

303 IUPU Fort Wayne             3-25  0.193  117  0.543

304 Marist                      6-22  0.193  219  0.440

305 Charleston Southern         6-22  0.191  254  0.402

306 Alcorn St.                 11-18  0.190  307  0.329

307 Norfolk St.                12-17  0.176  327  0.244

308 Florida International       5-22  0.154  207  0.454

309 Prairie View A&M            7-20  0.150  286  0.364

310 Albany                      5-23  0.145  279  0.371

311 Nicholls St.                6-21  0.144  293  0.354

312 The Citadel                 6-22  0.144  242  0.415

313 Virginia Military Inst      6-22  0.143  250  0.404

314 Harvard                     4-23  0.143  228  0.432

315 Western Illinois            3-25  0.141  181  0.477

316 Bethune Cookman             8-21  0.136  322  0.296

317 Howard                      6-22  0.135  323  0.295

318 Maryland Eastern Shore      8-21  0.124  315  0.309

319 Savannah St.                4-24  0.121  163  0.491

320 Campbell                    3-24  0.121  188  0.472

321 Navy                        5-23  0.108  262  0.387

322 Dartmouth                   3-25  0.097  292  0.355

323 Army                        6-21  0.095  311  0.321

324 Wild Card U.               23-294 0.079  109  0.558

325 Loyola MD                   1-27  0.075  236  0.424

326 North Carolina A&T          3-25  0.070  282  0.366

327 Arkansas Pine Bluff         1-26  0.034  261  0.389







The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:



  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.814

  2 Southeastern                      0.766

  3 Big Twelve                        0.715

  4 Big East                          0.711

  5 Big Ten                           0.675

  6 Mountain West                     0.663

  7 Conference USA                    0.647

  8 Pacific 10                        0.640

  9 Western Athletic                  0.607

 10 Atlantic 10                       0.600

 11 Missouri Valley                   0.563

 12 West Coast                        0.538

 13 Mid-American                      0.508

 14 Colonial                          0.506

 15 Sun Belt                          0.492

 16 Horizon                           0.491

 17 Southern                          0.486

 18 Big West                          0.484

 19 Mid-Continent                     0.442

 20 Big Sky                           0.431

 21 Ohio Valley                       0.430

 22 Atlantic Sun                      0.425

 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.422

 24 America East                      0.382

 25 Ivy League                        0.373

 26 Southland                         0.363

 27 Big South                         0.358

 28 Patriot                           0.348

 29 Northeast                         0.325

 30 Independents                      0.295

 31 Southwestern Athletic             0.247

 32 Mideastern Athletic               0.229







ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-30-04:



Iowa State Pick 'em over Rutgers, total 145

Michigan 2 over Oregon, total 145



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