The following are the preliminary pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 115 Division 1-A teams for 2000, including one team new to Division 1-A but not to my ratings: Connecticut; and one team new to the ratings that will be playing five Division 1-A games in 2000 and will be joining Division 1-A full-time in 2001: South Florida. These ratings are calculated as of information and estimates available February 1, 2000, and are not final. The final pre-season ratings will be released in July.
These power ratings are computed using the following factors: Previous year's power rating; second previous year's power rating; number of returning starters (this is estimated for the pre-preseason ratings); previous year's strength of schedule; and whether the starting quarterback is returning. The strength of each factor varies each year based on what has happened in the three previous years. This year, the factor for previous year's power rating is down; the factor for returning starters is down but still quite high, and the factors for second previous year's power rating and returning quarterback are roughly the same as for last year. The factor for previous year's strength of schedule is back after a one-year hiatus. The factor for a returning coach is gone for this year due to a particularly successful year by new coaches in 1999. This factor will return in future years.
The final pre-season power ratings will include a factor for recruiting, new for the first time in 2000. The preliminary pre-season ratings do not include a factor for recruiting.
For more information on the methodology of the pre-season power ratings, click here.
The estimated home field advantage for 2000 will be .609.
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| 2000 | 1999 | Team | 1999 Record | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Florida St. | 12 - 0 | 0.885 |
| 2 | 4 | Kansas St. | 11 - 1 | 0.856 |
| 3 | 2 | Nebraska | 12 - 1 | 0.820 |
| 4 | 8 | Wisconsin | 10 - 2 | 0.798 |
| 5 | 9 | Alabama | 10 - 3 | 0.780 |
| 6 | 6 | Michigan | 10 - 2 | 0.772 |
| 7 | 3 | Virginia Tech | 11 - 1 | 0.765 |
| 8 | 16 | Texas | 9 - 5 | 0.759 |
| 9 | 12 | Florida | 9 - 4 | 0.755 |
| 10 | 10 | Tennessee | 9 - 3 | 0.733 |
| 11 | 15 | Southern Mississippi | 9 - 3 | 0.729 |
| 12 | 24 | Purdue | 7 - 5 | 0.715 |
| 13 | 14 | Miami, Florida | 9 - 4 | 0.709 |
| 14 | 35 | Ohio St. | 6 - 6 | 0.705 |
| 15 | 7 | Michigan St. | 10 - 2 | 0.696 |
| 16 | 25 | Georgia Tech | 8 - 4 | 0.688 |
| 17 | 22 | Texas A&M | 8 - 4 | 0.687 |
| 18 | 5 | Marshall | 13 - 0 | 0.686 |
| 19 | 67 | UCLA | 4 - 7 | 0.681 |
| 20 | 21 | Utah | 9 - 3 | 0.667 |
| 21 | 51 | Kentucky | 6 - 6 | 0.664 |
| 22 | 36 | Washington | 7 - 5 | 0.657 |
| 23 | 28 | Georgia | 8 - 4 | 0.654 |
| 24 | 31 | Colorado St. | 8 - 4 | 0.654 |
| 25 | 38 | Southern California | 6 - 6 | 0.650 |
| 26 | 18 | Oregon | 9 - 3 | 0.645 |
| 27 | 13 | Mississippi St. | 10 - 2 | 0.644 |
| 28 | 27 | Oklahoma | 7 - 5 | 0.643 |
| 29 | 40 | Virginia | 7 - 5 | 0.636 |
| 30 | 11 | Penn State | 10 - 3 | 0.627 |
| 31 | 23 | Mississippi | 8 - 4 | 0.623 |
| 32 | 41 | Texas Christian | 8 - 4 | 0.617 |
| 33 | 26 | East Carolina | 9 - 3 | 0.613 |
| 34 | 29 | Brigham Young | 8 - 4 | 0.612 |
| 35 | 45 | Oregon St. | 7 - 5 | 0.609 |
| 36 | 32 | Clemson | 6 - 6 | 0.609 |
| 37 | 20 | Minnesota | 8 - 4 | 0.604 |
| 38 | 54 | Vanderbilt | 5 - 6 | 0.599 |
| 39 | 17 | Arkansas | 8 - 4 | 0.595 |
| 40 | 42 | Auburn | 5 - 6 | 0.594 |
| 41 | 91 | Tulane | 3 - 8 | 0.584 |
| 42 | 34 | Colorado | 7 - 5 | 0.577 |
| 43 | 53 | Boston College | 8 - 4 | 0.571 |
| 44 | 50 | Memphis | 5 - 6 | 0.570 |
| 45 | 44 | Syracuse | 7 - 5 | 0.568 |
| 46 | 58 | Arizona St. | 6 - 6 | 0.553 |
| 47 | 49 | Fresno St. | 8 - 5 | 0.549 |
| 48 | 65 | Rice | 5 - 6 | 0.548 |
| 49 | 47 | Wyoming | 7 - 4 | 0.547 |
| 50 | 69 | Miami, Ohio | 7 - 4 | 0.541 |
| 51 | 77 | Missouri | 4 - 7 | 0.534 |
| 52 | 68 | Louisiana St. | 3 - 8 | 0.532 |
| 53 | 79 | Toledo | 6 - 5 | 0.532 |
| 54 | 39 | Notre Dame | 5 - 7 | 0.532 |
| 55 | 60 | Maryland | 5 - 6 | 0.532 |
| 56 | 70 | Idaho | 7 - 4 | 0.526 |
| 57 | 55 | Arizona | 6 - 6 | 0.525 |
| 58 | 30 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 3 | 0.522 |
| 59 | 19 | Illinois | 8 - 4 | 0.521 |
| 60 | 59 | North Carolina St. | 6 - 6 | 0.519 |
| 61 | 84 | Central Florida | 4 - 7 | 0.516 |
| 62 | 81 | Cincinnati | 3 - 8 | 0.515 |
| 63 | 71 | Iowa St. | 4 - 7 | 0.511 |
| 64 | 46 | Houston | 7 - 4 | 0.502 |
| 65 | 72 | Kansas | 5 - 7 | 0.484 |
| 66 | 74 | California | 4 - 7 | 0.483 |
| 67 | 73 | Indiana | 4 - 7 | 0.478 |
| 68 | 57 | Oklahoma St. | 5 - 6 | 0.474 |
| 69 | 86 | North Carolina | 3 - 8 | 0.473 |
| 70 | 43 | Boise State | 10 - 3 | 0.467 |
| 71 | 63 | Texas Tech | 6 - 5 | 0.467 |
| 72 | 61 | AL-Birmingham | 5 - 6 | 0.466 |
| 73 | 80 | Texas-El Paso | 5 - 7 | 0.461 |
| 74 | 93 | Bowling Green | 5 - 6 | 0.454 |
| 75 | 33 | Stanford | 8 - 4 | 0.451 |
| 76 | 52 | Air Force | 6 - 5 | 0.444 |
| 77 | 66 | West Virginia | 4 - 7 | 0.441 |
| 78 | 48 | Louisville | 7 - 5 | 0.437 |
| 79 | 104 | Middle Tennessee St. | 3 - 8 | 0.432 |
| 80 | 88 | Southern Methodist | 4 - 6 | 0.430 |
| 81 | 37 | Wake Forest | 7 - 5 | 0.424 |
| 82 | 82 | Akron | 7 - 4 | 0.415 |
| 83 | 98 | Northern Illinois | 5 - 6 | 0.404 |
| 84 | 83 | Duke | 3 - 8 | 0.402 |
| 85 | 92 | Ohio | 5 - 6 | 0.393 |
| 86 | 64 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 6 | 0.390 |
| 87 | 90 | Northwestern | 3 - 8 | 0.386 |
| 88 | 56 | San Diego St. | 5 - 6 | 0.378 |
| 89 | 85 | New Mexico | 4 - 7 | 0.376 |
| 90 | 78 | Navy | 5 - 7 | 0.375 |
| 91 | 89 | Utah St. | 4 - 7 | 0.374 |
| 92 | 75 | New Mexico St. | 6 - 5 | 0.365 |
| 93 | 99 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.359 |
| 94 | 76 | Western Michigan | 7 - 5 | 0.354 |
| 95 | 94 | Army | 3 - 8 | 0.342 |
| 96 | 97 | San Jose St. | 3 - 7 | 0.338 |
| 97 | 100 | Nevada | 3 - 8 | 0.320 |
| 98 | 101 | Iowa | 1 - 10 | 0.317 |
| 99 | 103 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 3 - 8 | 0.315 |
| 100 | 105 | Central Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.311 |
| 101 | 95 | LA-Monroe | 5 - 6 | 0.311 |
| 102 | 96 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.309 |
| 103 | 102 | Temple | 2 - 9 | 0.301 |
| 104 | 107 | Rutgers | 1 - 10 | 0.298 |
| 105 | 106 | Tulsa | 2 - 9 | 0.298 |
| 106 | 87 | Washington St. | 3 - 9 | 0.291 |
| 107 | 109 | South Carolina | 0 - 11 | 0.281 |
| 108 | 62 | Hawaii | 9 - 4 | 0.273 |
| 109 | NA | South Florida | 6 - 5 | 0.243 |
| 110 | 114 | Connecticut | 4 - 7 | 0.241 |
| 111 | 113 | North Texas | 2 - 9 | 0.241 |
| 112 | 111 | Baylor | 1 - 10 | 0.239 |
| 113 | 108 | Wild Card U. | 12 - 48 | 0.228 |
| 114 | 110 | LA-Lafayette | 2 - 9 | 0.223 |
| 115 | 112 | Kent | 2 - 9 | 0.203 |
| 116 | 115 | Ball St. | 0 - 11 | 0.177 |
| 117 | 116 | Buffalo | 0 - 11 | 0.069 |
The following are the 2000 preliminary preseason power ratings for the various conferences:
| Conference | Power Rating |
|---|---|
| SEC | .623 |
| Big Ten | .602 |
| Big Twelve | .588 |
| ACC | .574 |
| Pac-10 | .555 |
| Conference USA | .529 |
| Big East | .505 |
| Mountain West | .499 |
| WAC | .420 |
| Independents | .394 |
| Big West | .380 |
| MAC | .377 |