ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of September 8, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .591, or about 4.98 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Miami, Florida 2 - 0 0.859
2 2 Oklahoma 2 - 0 0.834
3 6 Nebraska 3 - 0 0.813
4 3 Florida St. 2 - 0 0.812
5 4 Texas 1 - 0 0.811
6 5 Tennessee 2 - 0 0.799
7 9 Oregon 2 - 0 0.780
8 10 Michigan 2 - 0 0.762
9 17 Notre Dame 2 - 0 0.745
10 11 Texas A&M 2 - 0 0.742
11 8 Virginia Tech 2 - 0 0.741
12 23 Wisconsin 3 - 0 0.733
13 13 Boston College 2 - 0 0.725
14 7 Florida 1 - 1 0.725
15 12 Georgia 1 - 0 0.718
16 18 UCLA 1 - 0 0.705
17 15 Washington 1 - 1 0.697
18 16 Colorado 1 - 1 0.696
19 27 Washington St. 2 - 0 0.689
20 24 Ohio St. 2 - 0 0.688
21 19 Kansas St. 2 - 0 0.685
22 14 Alabama 1 - 1 0.680
23 21 Southern California 1 - 0 0.676
24 20 Colorado St. 2 - 1 0.675
25 31 Oregon St. 2 - 0 0.672
26 33 Georgia Tech 2 - 0 0.666
27 36 Southern Mississippi 2 - 0 0.660
28 26 Iowa St. 2 - 1 0.659
29 28 Louisville 1 - 1 0.659
30 48 Iowa 2 - 0 0.655
31 44 Utah 2 - 0 0.652
32 34 North Carolina St. 3 - 0 0.652
33 42 Mississippi 2 - 0 0.650
34 29 Auburn 1 - 1 0.644
35 39 Maryland 1 - 1 0.635
36 46 Clemson 1 - 1 0.634
37 40 Arkansas 1 - 0 0.632
38 53 Missouri 2 - 0 0.630
39 30 Penn State 1 - 0 0.629
40 25 Louisiana St. 1 - 1 0.628
41 32 Michigan St. 2 - 0 0.625
42 38 Texas Tech 1 - 1 0.614
43 22 Marshall 1 - 0 0.614
44 50 Brigham Young 2 - 0 0.605
45 45 Purdue 1 - 1 0.602
46 47 Fresno St. 1 - 2 0.597
47 56 South Florida 2 - 0 0.592
48 51 Arizona 1 - 0 0.575
49 57 Minnesota 2 - 0 0.571
50 68 Arizona St. 2 - 1 0.566
51 35 Illinois 0 - 2 0.561
52 41 Pittsburgh 1 - 1 0.559
53 37 South Carolina 1 - 1 0.555
54 63 North Carolina 1 - 1 0.553
55 54 Mississippi St. 0 - 1 0.541
56 52 Oklahoma St. 1 - 1 0.540
57 77 Kentucky 2 - 0 0.539
58 65 Virginia 1 - 2 0.539
59 49 Boise State 1 - 1 0.538
60 55 Cincinnati 1 - 0 0.535
61 66 Texas Christian 1 - 1 0.526
62 62 Miami, Ohio 1 - 1 0.521
63 70 Toledo 2 - 0 0.519
64 58 Louisiana Tech 1 - 1 0.518
65 43 Syracuse 0 - 2 0.516
66 60 Stanford 0 - 1 0.516
67 69 West Virginia 1 - 1 0.509
68 61 Memphis 1 - 1 0.503
69 64 Wake Forest 1 - 1 0.495
70 83 California 2 - 0 0.474
71 71 Bowling Green 1 - 0 0.471
72 78 AL-Birmingham 1 - 1 0.463
73 89 Air Force 2 - 0 0.461
74 86 Tulane 2 - 0 0.456
75 81 Nevada-Las Vegas 1 - 1 0.455
76 59 Temple 1 - 1 0.453
77 82 Western Michigan 1 - 1 0.453
78 73 North Texas 1 - 1 0.451
79 72 Middle Tennessee St. 0 - 2 0.448
80 67 Northern Illinois 1 - 1 0.447
81 80 Hawaii 1 - 1 0.444
82 74 Troy St. 0 - 2 0.441
83 90 Central Michigan 2 - 0 0.431
84 79 Indiana 1 - 1 0.400
85 75 Central Florida 0 - 2 0.395
86 76 East Carolina 0 - 2 0.390
87 94 San Jose St. 1 - 1 0.383
88 87 Ball St. 0 - 1 0.378
89 88 Utah St. 0 - 2 0.373
90 85 New Mexico 1 - 2 0.371
91 92 Kent 1 - 1 0.362
92 93 Nevada 0 - 1 0.354
93 95 Baylor 1 - 1 0.353
94 84 Northwestern 0 - 2 0.337
95 91 Texas-El Paso 1 - 1 0.330
96 105 Vanderbilt 1 - 1 0.322
97 100 San Diego St. 0 - 2 0.317
98 99 Akron 0 - 2 0.313
99 98 Connecticut 0 - 2 0.311
100 96 Wyoming 0 - 2 0.295
101 97 Kansas 0 - 2 0.294
102 104 Idaho 0 - 2 0.285
103 103 Duke 1 - 1 0.284
104 106 Houston 1 - 1 0.265
105 101 Rice 0 - 2 0.253
106 107 Tulsa 0 - 2 0.244
107 115 Arkansas St. 1 - 2 0.244
108 111 Navy 1 - 1 0.242
109 117 Buffalo 1 - 1 0.240
110 108 New Mexico St. 0 - 2 0.237
111 110 Southern Methodist 0 - 2 0.207
112 113 LA-Monroe 0 - 2 0.206
113 112 LA-Lafayette 0 - 2 0.204
114 102 Rutgers 0 - 2 0.201
115 116 Army 0 - 1 0.190
116 109 Ohio 0 - 2 0.188
117 114 Eastern Michigan 0 - 2 0.174
118 118 Wild Card U. 4 - 31 0.161

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Big Twelve 17-6 .639
Pac-10 14-3 .635
SEC 14-7 .619
Big Ten 16-6 .596
ACC 12-6 .585
Big East 9-7 .571
Mountain West 9-7.479
Conference USA 8-6.465
Independents 5-7 .451
MAC 10-13 .393
WAC 6-14 .387
Sun Belt 2-13 .296

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