ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of September 22, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .591, or about 4.93 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 2 Miami, Florida 4 - 0 0.876
2 7 Virginia Tech 4 - 0 0.851
3 1 Florida St. 4 - 0 0.848
4 3 Oklahoma 3 - 0 0.827
5 5 Notre Dame 4 - 0 0.818
6 4 Texas 3 - 0 0.816
7 9 Ohio St. 4 - 0 0.802
8 11 Wisconsin 5 - 0 0.773
9 12 Georgia 3 - 0 0.766
10 8 Oregon 4 - 0 0.761
11 17 Oregon St. 4 - 0 0.760
12 14 Michigan 3 - 1 0.757
13 21 Penn State 3 - 0 0.754
14 19 North Carolina St. 5 - 0 0.752
15 33 Kansas St. 4 - 0 0.745
16 10 Southern California 2 - 1 0.740
17 29 Florida 3 - 1 0.734
18 20 Iowa St. 4 - 1 0.729
19 6 Tennessee 2 - 1 0.725
20 32 Auburn 3 - 1 0.718
21 27 Alabama 3 - 1 0.712
22 16 Nebraska 3 - 1 0.710
23 31 Georgia Tech 3 - 1 0.708
24 28 Clemson 3 - 1 0.705
25 15 Texas A&M 2 - 1 0.704
26 26 Washington 2 - 1 0.699
27 22 Arkansas 2 - 0 0.697
28 30 Louisiana St. 2 - 1 0.688
29 23 Colorado St. 3 - 1 0.685
30 39 Kentucky 4 - 0 0.684
31 13 UCLA 2 - 1 0.675
32 24 Southern Mississippi 3 - 1 0.671
33 37 Minnesota 4 - 0 0.668
34 25 Washington St. 3 - 1 0.664
35 18 Boston College 2 - 1 0.656
36 41 Iowa 3 - 1 0.650
37 38 Utah 2 - 2 0.643
38 49 Colorado 2 - 2 0.625
39 40 Louisville 2 - 2 0.613
40 36 Arizona 2 - 1 0.612
41 44 California 3 - 1 0.606
42 61 Maryland 2 - 2 0.605
43 52 Bowling Green 3 - 0 0.601
44 34 Texas Tech 2 - 2 0.600
45 53 Marshall 2 - 1 0.597
46 74 Air Force 3 - 0 0.589
47 54 West Virginia 2 - 1 0.582
48 45 Mississippi 3 - 1 0.581
49 65 Toledo 3 - 1 0.577
50 47 Pittsburgh 3 - 1 0.574
51 35 Purdue 2 - 2 0.574
52 43 Boise State 2 - 1 0.572
53 62 South Carolina 2 - 2 0.567
54 42 Arizona St. 3 - 1 0.566
55 56 Virginia 2 - 2 0.565
56 48 South Florida 2 - 1 0.559
57 63 Texas Christian 3 - 1 0.559
58 55 Missouri 2 - 1 0.556
59 58 Michigan St. 2 - 2 0.555
60 59 Stanford 1 - 1 0.554
61 57 Brigham Young 2 - 2 0.540
62 46 Louisiana Tech 2 - 2 0.537
63 66 Cincinnati 1 - 2 0.518
64 71 Memphis 2 - 2 0.517
65 72 Wake Forest 2 - 2 0.515
66 70 Miami, Ohio 2 - 2 0.505
67 64 Oklahoma St. 2 - 2 0.504
68 67 Syracuse 1 - 2 0.492
69 50 Illinois 1 - 3 0.489
70 79 Hawaii 2 - 1 0.489
71 51 Fresno St. 1 - 3 0.488
72 69 North Carolina 1 - 2 0.480
73 60 Mississippi St. 1 - 2 0.474
74 75 Western Michigan 1 - 2 0.451
75 82 Nevada 2 - 1 0.449
76 68 Central Michigan 3 - 1 0.447
77 90 Indiana 2 - 2 0.442
78 89 Connecticut 2 - 2 0.435
79 91 San Jose St. 2 - 2 0.429
80 77 Middle Tennessee St. 0 - 3 0.416
81 81 New Mexico 2 - 3 0.410
82 87 East Carolina 1 - 2 0.406
83 76 Tulane 2 - 2 0.405
84 80 Temple 1 - 3 0.403
85 83 Central Florida 0 - 3 0.394
86 86 Kent 2 - 2 0.393
87 84 Nevada-Las Vegas 1 - 3 0.388
88 78 Troy St. 1 - 3 0.384
89 99 Northwestern 2 - 2 0.379
90 85 North Texas 1 - 3 0.373
91 73 Northern Illinois 1 - 3 0.372
92 94 Houston 2 - 2 0.354
93 97 Vanderbilt 1 - 3 0.348
94 106 New Mexico St. 1 - 2 0.346
95 98 Baylor 2 - 2 0.345
96 93 Ball St. 1 - 2 0.332
97 100 Idaho 1 - 3 0.332
98 92 Utah St. 1 - 3 0.320
99 88 AL-Birmingham 1 - 3 0.296
100 102 Duke 1 - 3 0.293
101 95 Kansas 1 - 3 0.291
102 114 LA-Lafayette 1 - 3 0.291
103 96 Texas-El Paso 1 - 3 0.275
104 101 San Diego St. 0 - 4 0.258
105 107 Navy 1 - 2 0.258
106 109 Arkansas St. 2 - 3 0.255
107 105 Akron 0 - 4 0.251
108 103 Rice 0 - 3 0.248
109 104 Wyoming 0 - 4 0.233
110 110 Buffalo 1 - 3 0.221
111 108 Rutgers 1 - 3 0.215
112 112 Eastern Michigan 1 - 3 0.212
113 116 Wild Card U. 6 - 43 0.178
114 111 Tulsa 0 - 4 0.171
115 113 Southern Methodist 0 - 4 0.163
116 115 Ohio 0 - 4 0.159
117 118 Army 0 - 3 0.121
118 117 LA-Monroe 0 - 4 0.120

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 26-8 .664
SEC 24-8 .641
Big Twelve 29-14 .621
Big Ten 31-13 .622
ACC 18-8 .608
Big East 15-8 .581
Mountain West 12-18.468
Independents 11-11 .462
Conference USA 11-14.446
MAC 16-27 .394
WAC 9-21 .382
Sun Belt 5-20 .305

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