ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of October 13, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .592, or about 5.09 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Virginia Tech 6 - 0 0.910
2 4 Oklahoma 6 - 0 0.886
3 2 Miami, Florida 6 - 0 0.885
4 3 Notre Dame 6 - 0 0.877
5 6 Ohio St. 7 - 0 0.866
6 8 Georgia 6 - 0 0.854
7 7 Florida St. 5 - 2 0.816
8 10 Iowa St. 6 - 1 0.813
9 9 Oregon 6 - 0 0.812
10 16 Louisiana St. 5 - 1 0.807
11 5 Texas 5 - 1 0.801
12 11 Southern California 4 - 2 0.793
13 13 North Carolina St. 7 - 0 0.791
14 12 Michigan 5 - 1 0.783
15 19 Air Force 6 - 0 0.782
16 15 Iowa 6 - 1 0.776
17 14 Washington St. 6 - 1 0.773
18 24 Kansas St. 5 - 1 0.744
19 28 Texas A&M 4 - 2 0.736
20 38 Arkansas 3 - 2 0.734
21 18 Penn State 4 - 2 0.731
22 23 Alabama 4 - 2 0.727
23 17 UCLA 4 - 2 0.711
24 26 California 4 - 3 0.700
25 42 Bowling Green 5 - 0 0.692
26 44 South Carolina 5 - 2 0.688
27 27 Texas Tech 4 - 3 0.687
28 30 Louisville 4 - 2 0.684
29 39 Colorado 4 - 2 0.681
30 41 Nebraska 5 - 2 0.680
31 35 Pittsburgh 5 - 2 0.676
32 31 Maryland 4 - 2 0.676
33 22 Florida 4 - 3 0.675
34 32 Tennessee 4 - 2 0.673
35 20 Wisconsin 5 - 2 0.669
36 33 Boston College 3 - 2 0.668
37 29 Colorado St. 5 - 2 0.665
38 36 Minnesota 6 - 1 0.664
39 47 Virginia 5 - 2 0.664
40 25 Oregon St. 4 - 3 0.663
41 45 Mississippi 5 - 1 0.657
42 34 Georgia Tech 4 - 2 0.657
43 21 Auburn 4 - 2 0.650
44 49 Marshall 4 - 1 0.643
45 46 Washington 4 - 2 0.640
46 40 Southern Mississippi 4 - 2 0.637
47 43 Kentucky 4 - 2 0.635
48 37 Clemson 3 - 3 0.635
49 57 South Florida 4 - 2 0.635
50 56 Arizona St. 5 - 2 0.633
51 51 Boise State 5 - 1 0.618
52 52 Missouri 3 - 3 0.600
53 59 Wake Forest 4 - 3 0.595
54 48 Purdue 3 - 4 0.585
55 60 West Virginia 4 - 2 0.573
56 58 Toledo 4 - 2 0.571
57 50 Michigan St. 3 - 3 0.568
58 53 Miami, Ohio 4 - 3 0.547
59 55 Texas Christian 5 - 1 0.546
60 62 Fresno St. 4 - 3 0.523
61 61 Arizona 3 - 3 0.511
62 54 Utah 2 - 4 0.504
63 75 Northern Illinois 4 - 3 0.487
64 72 New Mexico St. 3 - 3 0.482
65 76 Central Florida 2 - 3 0.479
66 74 Illinois 2 - 5 0.478
67 70 Hawaii 4 - 2 0.477
68 66 Stanford 1 - 4 0.473
69 63 Brigham Young 3 - 3 0.465
70 79 Indiana 3 - 3 0.464
71 65 North Carolina 2 - 4 0.458
72 68 San Jose St. 4 - 3 0.457
73 64 Cincinnati 2 - 4 0.456
74 83 Tulane 4 - 3 0.449
75 67 Oklahoma St. 2 - 4 0.443
76 71 Memphis 2 - 4 0.442
77 82 Mississippi St. 2 - 4 0.418
78 69 Western Michigan 2 - 4 0.416
79 88 New Mexico 3 - 4 0.415
80 81 East Carolina 2 - 3 0.408
81 77 Louisiana Tech 2 - 4 0.402
82 85 Central Michigan 3 - 3 0.388
83 93 AL-Birmingham 3 - 3 0.381
84 84 Northwestern 2 - 5 0.378
85 73 Nevada 2 - 4 0.366
86 90 Connecticut 2 - 4 0.363
87 91 Temple 2 - 4 0.360
88 87 Troy St. 2 - 5 0.360
89 80 Syracuse 1 - 5 0.349
90 94 Kent 2 - 4 0.339
91 86 Duke 2 - 5 0.339
92 89 Baylor 3 - 3 0.335
93 78 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 4 0.333
94 92 Houston 2 - 4 0.319
95 97 North Texas 1 - 5 0.313
96 98 Rice 2 - 4 0.310
97 106 San Diego St. 1 - 5 0.308
98 96 Ball St. 2 - 4 0.301
99 99 Kansas 2 - 5 0.293
100 101 Arkansas St. 4 - 4 0.289
101 95 Vanderbilt 1 - 5 0.286
102 104 LA-Lafayette 1 - 5 0.273
103 107 Middle Tennessee St. 1 - 5 0.267
104 102 Utah St. 1 - 5 0.266
105 109 Akron 1 - 6 0.259
106 105 Wyoming 1 - 5 0.253
107 100 Idaho 1 - 6 0.235
108 103 Eastern Michigan 3 - 4 0.231
109 113 Ohio 2 - 5 0.228
110 111 Texas-El Paso 1 - 5 0.209
111 108 Navy 1 - 5 0.189
112 110 Rutgers 1 - 5 0.168
113 112 Buffalo 1 - 6 0.164
114 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 52 0.161
115 118 LA-Monroe 1 - 5 0.144
116 115 Tulsa 0 - 6 0.134
117 116 Southern Methodist 0 - 7 0.103
118 117 Army 0 - 6 0.092

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 29-10 .671
SEC 30-9 .650
Big Twelve 36-14 .642
Big Ten 32-13 .633
ACC 23-10 .626
Big East 21-13 .574
Mountain West 17-21.466
Independents 16-21 .448
Conference USA 14-18.441
MAC 21-30 .410
WAC 12-27 .360
Sun Belt 8-29 .286

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