ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of October 20, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .594, or about 5.09 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 2 Oklahoma 7 - 0 0.921
2 1 Virginia Tech 7 - 0 0.900
3 4 Notre Dame 7 - 0 0.899
4 3 Miami, Florida 6 - 0 0.885
5 5 Ohio St. 8 - 0 0.880
6 6 Georgia 7 - 0 0.862
7 11 Texas 6 - 1 0.844
8 10 Louisiana St. 6 - 1 0.835
9 12 Southern California 5 - 2 0.819
10 7 Florida St. 5 - 2 0.816
11 16 Iowa 7 - 1 0.796
12 14 Michigan 6 - 1 0.793
13 17 Washington St. 6 - 1 0.786
14 22 Alabama 5 - 2 0.784
15 13 North Carolina St. 8 - 0 0.784
16 8 Iowa St. 6 - 2 0.768
17 15 Air Force 6 - 1 0.767
18 21 Penn State 5 - 2 0.750
19 18 Kansas St. 5 - 2 0.736
20 9 Oregon 6 - 1 0.731
21 24 California 5 - 3 0.729
22 19 Texas A&M 5 - 2 0.728
23 32 Maryland 5 - 2 0.723
24 38 Minnesota 7 - 1 0.715
25 20 Arkansas 3 - 3 0.710
26 29 Colorado 5 - 2 0.707
27 47 Kentucky 5 - 2 0.705
28 33 Florida 5 - 3 0.702
29 25 Bowling Green 6 - 0 0.699
30 23 UCLA 4 - 3 0.697
31 27 Texas Tech 5 - 3 0.695
32 31 Pittsburgh 5 - 2 0.683
33 34 Tennessee 4 - 2 0.680
34 49 South Florida 5 - 2 0.677
35 37 Colorado St. 6 - 2 0.675
36 39 Virginia 6 - 2 0.672
37 40 Oregon St. 4 - 3 0.669
38 50 Arizona St. 6 - 2 0.669
39 46 Southern Mississippi 5 - 2 0.666
40 26 South Carolina 5 - 3 0.664
41 51 Boise State 6 - 1 0.661
42 35 Wisconsin 5 - 3 0.660
43 48 Clemson 4 - 3 0.650
44 36 Boston College 4 - 2 0.645
45 44 Marshall 5 - 1 0.638
46 30 Nebraska 5 - 3 0.629
47 43 Auburn 4 - 3 0.624
48 28 Louisville 4 - 3 0.624
49 59 Texas Christian 6 - 1 0.622
50 56 Toledo 5 - 2 0.618
51 55 West Virginia 5 - 2 0.614
52 41 Mississippi 5 - 2 0.605
53 45 Washington 4 - 3 0.603
54 42 Georgia Tech 4 - 3 0.597
55 54 Purdue 3 - 5 0.588
56 58 Miami, Ohio 5 - 3 0.582
57 52 Missouri 3 - 4 0.575
58 53 Wake Forest 4 - 4 0.574
59 63 Northern Illinois 5 - 3 0.539
60 57 Michigan St. 3 - 4 0.520
61 68 Stanford 2 - 4 0.500
62 67 Hawaii 5 - 2 0.499
63 75 Oklahoma St. 3 - 4 0.495
64 74 Tulane 5 - 3 0.487
65 64 New Mexico St. 4 - 3 0.480
66 66 Illinois 2 - 5 0.474
67 73 Cincinnati 2 - 5 0.469
68 62 Utah 2 - 5 0.468
69 60 Fresno St. 4 - 4 0.459
70 61 Arizona 3 - 4 0.456
71 65 Central Florida 2 - 4 0.455
72 71 North Carolina 2 - 5 0.445
73 77 Mississippi St. 3 - 4 0.444
74 70 Indiana 3 - 4 0.443
75 85 Nevada 3 - 4 0.422
76 72 San Jose St. 4 - 4 0.414
77 78 Western Michigan 2 - 5 0.408
78 93 Nevada-Las Vegas 3 - 4 0.397
79 69 Brigham Young 3 - 4 0.395
80 87 Temple 3 - 4 0.392
81 80 East Carolina 2 - 4 0.389
82 79 New Mexico 3 - 5 0.387
83 76 Memphis 2 - 5 0.383
84 84 Northwestern 2 - 6 0.357
85 95 North Texas 2 - 5 0.357
86 91 Duke 2 - 6 0.344
87 81 Louisiana Tech 2 - 5 0.342
88 94 Houston 3 - 4 0.340
89 98 Ball St. 3 - 4 0.339
90 83 AL-Birmingham 3 - 4 0.335
91 97 San Diego St. 2 - 5 0.329
92 88 Troy St. 2 - 6 0.321
93 82 Central Michigan 3 - 4 0.319
94 86 Connecticut 2 - 5 0.319
95 103 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 5 0.317
96 92 Baylor 3 - 4 0.309
97 89 Syracuse 1 - 6 0.305
98 104 Utah St. 2 - 5 0.293
99 109 Ohio 3 - 5 0.292
100 99 Kansas 2 - 6 0.284
101 101 Vanderbilt 1 - 6 0.278
102 96 Rice 2 - 5 0.271
103 105 Akron 1 - 6 0.256
104 90 Kent 2 - 5 0.256
105 102 LA-Lafayette 1 - 6 0.252
106 100 Arkansas St. 4 - 5 0.250
107 110 Texas-El Paso 2 - 5 0.246
108 107 Idaho 1 - 6 0.229
109 108 Eastern Michigan 3 - 5 0.214
110 106 Wyoming 1 - 6 0.214
111 111 Navy 1 - 6 0.190
112 112 Rutgers 1 - 6 0.185
113 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 52 0.155
114 117 Southern Methodist 1 - 7 0.153
115 113 Buffalo 1 - 7 0.142
116 115 LA-Monroe 1 - 6 0.139
117 116 Tulsa 0 - 7 0.120
118 118 Army 0 - 7 0.095

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 29-10 .666
SEC 31-9 .658
Big Twelve 36-14 .641
Big Ten 32-13 .634
ACC 23-10 .623
Big East 23-13 .576
Mountain West 17-23.454
Independents 19-24 .450
Conference USA 14-20.441
MAC 22-30 .411
WAC 12-27 .359
Sun Belt 8-29 .289

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