ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of October 27, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .592, or about 4.94 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Oklahoma 7 - 0 0.923
2 3 Notre Dame 8 - 0 0.902
3 2 Virginia Tech 8 - 0 0.894
4 5 Ohio St. 9 - 0 0.893
5 4 Miami, Florida 7 - 0 0.887
6 6 Georgia 8 - 0 0.880
7 7 Texas 7 - 1 0.869
8 9 Southern California 6 - 2 0.845
9 11 Iowa 8 - 1 0.827
10 15 North Carolina St. 9 - 0 0.822
11 14 Alabama 6 - 2 0.817
12 13 Washington St. 7 - 1 0.795
13 10 Florida St. 5 - 3 0.786
14 8 Louisiana St. 6 - 2 0.782
15 19 Kansas St. 6 - 2 0.770
16 16 Iowa St. 6 - 3 0.757
17 26 Colorado 6 - 2 0.755
18 18 Penn State 5 - 3 0.748
19 25 Arkansas 4 - 3 0.744
20 23 Maryland 6 - 2 0.742
21 12 Michigan 6 - 2 0.738
22 30 UCLA 5 - 3 0.720
23 29 Bowling Green 7 - 0 0.715
24 41 Boise State 7 - 1 0.714
25 37 Oregon St. 5 - 3 0.713
26 20 Oregon 6 - 2 0.703
27 38 Arizona St. 7 - 2 0.703
28 21 California 5 - 4 0.701
29 24 Minnesota 7 - 1 0.700
30 47 Auburn 5 - 3 0.699
31 32 Pittsburgh 6 - 2 0.694
32 28 Florida 5 - 3 0.694
33 35 Colorado St. 7 - 2 0.691
34 34 South Florida 5 - 2 0.689
35 17 Air Force 6 - 2 0.683
36 42 Wisconsin 6 - 3 0.682
37 39 Southern Mississippi 5 - 2 0.673
38 22 Texas A&M 5 - 3 0.669
39 46 Nebraska 6 - 3 0.668
40 31 Texas Tech 5 - 4 0.664
41 27 Kentucky 5 - 3 0.659
42 40 South Carolina 5 - 3 0.657
43 45 Marshall 6 - 1 0.650
44 33 Tennessee 4 - 3 0.643
45 36 Virginia 6 - 3 0.635
46 54 Georgia Tech 5 - 3 0.626
47 49 Texas Christian 6 - 1 0.626
48 56 Miami, Ohio 6 - 3 0.625
49 48 Louisville 5 - 3 0.623
50 55 Purdue 4 - 5 0.618
51 44 Boston College 4 - 3 0.609
52 58 Wake Forest 5 - 4 0.609
53 43 Clemson 4 - 4 0.602
54 51 West Virginia 5 - 3 0.599
55 57 Missouri 4 - 4 0.597
56 53 Washington 4 - 4 0.582
57 52 Mississippi 5 - 3 0.581
58 59 Northern Illinois 6 - 3 0.570
59 50 Toledo 5 - 3 0.569
60 67 Cincinnati 3 - 5 0.529
61 62 Hawaii 6 - 2 0.528
62 63 Oklahoma St. 3 - 4 0.510
63 66 Illinois 3 - 5 0.508
64 64 Tulane 6 - 3 0.501
65 65 New Mexico St. 5 - 3 0.486
66 61 Stanford 2 - 5 0.483
67 60 Michigan St. 3 - 5 0.478
68 71 Central Florida 3 - 4 0.465
69 73 Mississippi St. 3 - 4 0.445
70 70 Arizona 3 - 5 0.440
71 69 Fresno St. 4 - 5 0.440
72 85 North Texas 3 - 5 0.432
73 72 North Carolina 2 - 6 0.420
74 80 Temple 3 - 5 0.417
75 68 Utah 2 - 6 0.406
76 82 New Mexico 4 - 5 0.398
77 74 Indiana 3 - 5 0.395
78 75 Nevada 3 - 5 0.385
79 91 San Diego St. 3 - 5 0.384
80 77 Western Michigan 2 - 6 0.381
81 76 San Jose St. 4 - 5 0.371
82 81 East Carolina 2 - 5 0.367
83 87 Louisiana Tech 3 - 5 0.364
84 79 Brigham Young 3 - 5 0.359
85 78 Nevada-Las Vegas 3 - 5 0.358
86 92 Troy St. 3 - 6 0.354
87 88 Houston 3 - 4 0.339
88 97 Syracuse 2 - 6 0.339
89 83 Memphis 2 - 6 0.334
90 90 AL-Birmingham 4 - 4 0.332
91 89 Ball St. 3 - 5 0.326
92 101 Vanderbilt 2 - 6 0.317
93 93 Central Michigan 3 - 5 0.315
94 86 Duke 2 - 7 0.313
95 84 Northwestern 2 - 7 0.310
96 96 Baylor 3 - 5 0.296
97 94 Connecticut 2 - 6 0.294
98 110 Wyoming 2 - 6 0.292
99 99 Ohio 3 - 5 0.289
100 95 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 6 0.280
101 104 Kent 3 - 5 0.277
102 100 Kansas 2 - 7 0.272
103 102 Rice 3 - 5 0.271
104 108 Idaho 2 - 6 0.266
105 98 Utah St. 2 - 6 0.265
106 106 Arkansas St. 4 - 6 0.247
107 103 Akron 1 - 7 0.246
108 109 Eastern Michigan 3 - 5 0.208
109 105 LA-Lafayette 1 - 7 0.197
110 107 Texas-El Paso 2 - 6 0.195
111 116 LA-Monroe 2 - 6 0.185
112 111 Navy 1 - 7 0.176
113 117 Tulsa 1 - 7 0.164
114 113 Wild Card U. 8 - 53 0.155
115 112 Rutgers 1 - 7 0.154
116 114 Southern Methodist 1 - 8 0.136
117 115 Buffalo 1 - 8 0.126
118 118 Army 0 - 8 0.090

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 29-10 .669
SEC 32-9 .660
Big Twelve 36-14 .646
Big Ten 32-13 .627
ACC 23-11 .617
Big East 23-13 .574
Independents 21-27 .447
Mountain West 17-23.447
Conference USA 15-20.441
MAC 22-30 .411
WAC 12-27 .357
Sun Belt 9-29 .299

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