ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of November 10, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .591, or about 4.86 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 2 Ohio St. 11 - 0 0.918
2 3 Miami, Florida 9 - 0 0.907
3 1 Oklahoma 8 - 1 0.887
4 4 Texas 9 - 1 0.880
5 6 Iowa 10 - 1 0.859
6 8 Southern California 7 - 2 0.854
7 5 Notre Dame 9 - 1 0.853
8 7 Georgia 9 - 1 0.843
9 11 Washington St. 9 - 1 0.819
10 10 Alabama 8 - 2 0.818
11 13 Kansas St. 8 - 2 0.815
12 12 Florida St. 7 - 3 0.810
13 17 Michigan 8 - 2 0.795
14 15 Maryland 8 - 2 0.795
15 14 Louisiana St. 7 - 2 0.785
16 19 Penn State 7 - 3 0.783
17 20 Arkansas 6 - 3 0.781
18 9 Virginia Tech 8 - 2 0.772
19 27 Boise State 9 - 1 0.747
20 16 North Carolina St. 9 - 2 0.747
21 25 UCLA 7 - 3 0.746
22 24 Colorado 7 - 3 0.744
23 21 Pittsburgh 8 - 2 0.744
24 22 Florida 7 - 3 0.738
25 29 Auburn 7 - 3 0.729
26 26 Colorado St. 8 - 2 0.728
27 32 Texas Christian 8 - 1 0.728
28 33 California 6 - 4 0.720
29 18 Iowa St. 7 - 4 0.712
30 30 South Florida 7 - 2 0.702
31 38 Texas Tech 7 - 4 0.689
32 45 West Virginia 7 - 3 0.686
33 28 Oregon St. 6 - 4 0.683
34 23 Bowling Green 8 - 1 0.681
35 31 Oregon 7 - 3 0.678
36 35 Georgia Tech 6 - 4 0.667
37 48 Texas A&M 6 - 4 0.667
38 42 Nebraska 7 - 4 0.662
39 34 Boston College 5 - 4 0.653
40 37 Kentucky 6 - 4 0.650
41 43 Air Force 7 - 3 0.645
42 36 Tennessee 5 - 4 0.643
43 39 Minnesota 7 - 3 0.642
44 50 Clemson 6 - 4 0.635
45 47 Miami, Ohio 7 - 3 0.634
46 51 Southern Mississippi 6 - 3 0.633
47 40 Wisconsin 6 - 5 0.619
48 41 Arizona St. 7 - 4 0.619
49 44 Virginia 6 - 4 0.617
50 52 Purdue 4 - 6 0.612
51 46 Louisville 5 - 4 0.604
52 53 Wake Forest 5 - 5 0.594
53 56 Northern Illinois 7 - 3 0.591
54 62 Cincinnati 4 - 5 0.591
55 55 Toledo 6 - 3 0.585
56 61 Washington 5 - 5 0.580
57 49 South Carolina 5 - 5 0.571
58 54 Missouri 4 - 6 0.564
59 57 Mississippi 5 - 5 0.561
60 65 Illinois 4 - 6 0.548
61 60 Hawaii 7 - 2 0.541
62 58 Marshall 6 - 2 0.537
63 59 Oklahoma St. 4 - 5 0.522
64 63 Tulane 6 - 4 0.509
65 64 North Texas 5 - 5 0.508
66 69 Michigan St. 4 - 6 0.479
67 79 Syracuse 4 - 6 0.444
68 66 New Mexico St. 6 - 4 0.442
69 72 Central Florida 4 - 5 0.425
70 68 Fresno St. 5 - 5 0.423
71 71 Brigham Young 5 - 5 0.419
72 67 Stanford 2 - 7 0.419
73 75 Utah 3 - 6 0.418
74 81 East Carolina 3 - 5 0.416
75 70 Nevada 5 - 5 0.410
76 77 New Mexico 5 - 5 0.402
77 73 Mississippi St. 3 - 6 0.400
78 86 Connecticut 4 - 6 0.397
79 78 Temple 3 - 7 0.396
80 85 San Jose St. 5 - 6 0.382
81 76 Houston 4 - 5 0.366
82 74 Arizona 3 - 7 0.357
83 88 Ball St. 4 - 5 0.357
84 93 Troy St. 4 - 7 0.350
85 90 Northwestern 3 - 8 0.342
86 80 North Carolina 2 - 8 0.341
87 91 Western Michigan 3 - 7 0.339
88 82 Nevada-Las Vegas 4 - 6 0.338
89 84 Louisiana Tech 3 - 6 0.337
90 89 AL-Birmingham 4 - 5 0.336
91 83 Indiana 3 - 7 0.329
92 94 Duke 2 - 8 0.322
93 87 Central Michigan 4 - 6 0.318
94 98 Ohio 4 - 6 0.317
95 95 Vanderbilt 2 - 8 0.316
96 99 Memphis 2 - 8 0.306
97 102 Utah St. 3 - 6 0.306
98 92 San Diego St. 3 - 7 0.306
99 97 Rice 4 - 6 0.274
100 104 Baylor 3 - 7 0.269
101 96 Akron 2 - 8 0.267
102 100 Wyoming 2 - 8 0.265
103 101 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 7 0.265
104 107 LA-Lafayette 3 - 7 0.248
105 103 Arkansas St. 5 - 7 0.238
106 105 Kent 3 - 7 0.226
107 108 Idaho 2 - 8 0.224
108 106 Kansas 2 - 9 0.218
109 110 Navy 1 - 8 0.197
110 109 Eastern Michigan 3 - 7 0.184
111 112 Rutgers 1 - 8 0.170
112 113 LA-Monroe 2 - 8 0.165
113 111 Texas-El Paso 2 - 8 0.160
114 115 Wild Card U. 8 - 57 0.139
115 116 Southern Methodist 1 - 9 0.129
116 114 Tulsa 1 - 9 0.127
117 117 Buffalo 1 - 9 0.116
118 118 Army 0 - 9 0.102

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
SEC 34-10 .653
Pac-10 29-10 .647
Big Twelve 36-14 .636
Big Ten 33-13 .630
ACC 23-12 .614
Big East 25-13 .597
Independents 27-29 .468
Conference USA 15-22.459
Mountain West 18-23.440
MAC 22-32 .398
WAC 12-27 .353
Sun Belt 10-31 .299

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