ARGH 2004 Pre-season Power Ratings

The following are the final pre-season ARGH power ratings for 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

These power ratings are computed using the following factors: Previous year's power rating; second previous year's power rating; number of returning starters; previous year's strength of schedule; whether the coach is returning; and whether the starting quarterback is returning. The factor for recruiting is not being used this year.

For more information on the methodology of the pre-season power ratings, click here.

The estimated home field advantage for 2004 will be .582, or about 4.33 points for an average game.

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2004	2003	Team	2003 Record	Power Rating
1	2	Oklahoma	12 - 2	0.887
2	5	Georgia	11 - 3	0.855
3	3	Southern California	12 - 1	0.835
4	1	Louisiana St.	13 - 1	0.814
5	4	Florida St.	10 - 3	0.800
6	13	Texas	10 - 3	0.800
7	7	Miami, Florida	11 - 2	0.795
8	6	Miami, Ohio	13 - 1	0.766
9	8	Michigan	10 - 3	0.765
10	9	Ohio St.	11 - 2	0.745
11	25	Auburn	8 - 5	0.729
12	14	Kansas St.	11 - 4	0.703
13	28	North Carolina St.	8 - 5	0.701
14	22	Clemson	9 - 4	0.699
15	10	Iowa	10 - 3	0.698
16	27	Bowling Green	11 - 3	0.697
17	11	Maryland	10 - 3	0.696
18	26	Virginia	8 - 5	0.695
19	17	Florida	8 - 5	0.683
20	21	Utah	10 - 2	0.683
21	30	California	8 - 6	0.681
22	12	Boise State	13 - 1	0.679
23	37	West Virginia	8 - 5	0.673
24	20	Purdue	9 - 4	0.672
25	15	Tennessee	10 - 3	0.668
26	38	Wisconsin	7 - 6	0.664
27	57	Notre Dame	5 - 7	0.662
28	49	Alabama	4 - 9	0.662
29	36	Texas Tech	8 - 5	0.662
30	24	Minnesota	10 - 3	0.661
31	18	Mississippi	10 - 3	0.644
32	16	Nebraska	10 - 3	0.641
33	33	Texas Christian	11 - 2	0.640
34	29	Oklahoma St.	9 - 4	0.635
35	34	Southern Mississippi	9 - 4	0.627
36	45	Oregon	8 - 5	0.625
37	40	Georgia Tech	7 - 6	0.621
38	59	Colorado	5 - 7	0.618
39	35	Oregon St.	8 - 5	0.611
40	52	Wake Forest	5 - 7	0.605
41	32	Virginia Tech	8 - 5	0.604
42	44	Memphis	9 - 4	0.599
43	51	Louisville	9 - 4	0.597
44	23	Arkansas	9 - 4	0.592
45	65	South Florida	7 - 4	0.592
46	50	Marshall	8 - 4	0.591
47	62	Fresno St.	9 - 5	0.591
48	42	Northern Illinois	10 - 2	0.590
49	55	South Carolina	5 - 7	0.588
50	19	Washington St.	10 - 3	0.587
51	39	Missouri	8 - 5	0.586
52	43	Boston College	8 - 5	0.585
53	48	Connecticut	9 - 3	0.583
54	60	Northwestern	6 - 7	0.578
55	56	North Texas	9 - 4	0.577
56	41	Pittsburgh	8 - 5	0.575
57	31	Michigan St.	8 - 5	0.573
58	67	UCLA	6 - 7	0.566
59	53	Toledo	8 - 4	0.560
60	74	Penn State	3 - 9	0.546
61	64	Hawaii	9 - 5	0.530
62	47	Colorado St.	7 - 6	0.529
63	77	Texas A&M	4 - 8	0.527
64	79	Cincinnati	5 - 7	0.519
65	71	Arizona St.	5 - 7	0.512
66	78	AL-Birmingham	5 - 7	0.509
67	93	Vanderbilt	2 - 10	0.503
68	61	Washington	6 - 6	0.498
69	75	Kentucky	4 - 8	0.488
70	63	Nevada-Las Vegas	6 - 6	0.484
71	46	New Mexico	8 - 5	0.484
72	72	Houston	7 - 6	0.481
73	81	Troy St.	6 - 6	0.473
74	70	San Diego St.	6 - 6	0.466
75	69	Tulsa	8 - 5	0.451
76	88	Tulane	5 - 7	0.450
77	58	Syracuse	6 - 6	0.442
78	73	Rutgers	5 - 7	0.439
79	89	North Carolina	2 - 10	0.425
80	104	Indiana	2 - 10	0.408
81	82	Duke	4 - 8	0.402
82	80	Louisiana Tech	5 - 7	0.402
83	83	Brigham Young	4 - 8	0.402
84	68	Kansas	6 - 7	0.397
85	66	Navy	8 - 5	0.388
86	54	Air Force	7 - 5	0.386
87	76	Akron	7 - 5	0.385
88	87	Stanford	4 - 7	0.382
89	101	Iowa St.	2 - 10	0.373
90	107	Illinois	1 - 11	0.367
91	86	Nevada	6 - 6	0.366
92	91	Kent	5 - 7	0.365
93	99	Arizona	2 - 10	0.360
94	95	Florida Atlantic*	11 - 3	0.359
95	84	Western Michigan	5 - 7	0.354
96	90	Rice	5 - 7	0.353
97	110	Temple	1 - 11	0.332
98	100	New Mexico St.	3 - 9	0.332
99	120	Florida International*	2 - 10	0.331
100	85	Wyoming	4 - 8	0.320
101	102	Baylor	3 - 9	0.319
102	106	Central Florida	3 - 9	0.314
103	111	Ohio	2 - 10	0.306
104	94	Ball St.	4 - 8	0.305
105	96	Mississippi St.	2 - 10	0.296
106	97	Utah St.	3 - 9	0.295
107	92	Middle Tennessee St.	4 - 8	0.282
108	108	Central Michigan	3 - 9	0.273
109	105	Arkansas St.	5 - 7	0.268
110	98	LA-Lafayette	4 - 8	0.265
111	114	East Carolina	1 - 11	0.245
112	112	Eastern Michigan	3 - 9	0.232
113	103	San Jose St.	3 - 8	0.216
114	116	Texas-El Paso	2 - 11	0.209
115	113	Florida A&M*	6 - 6	0.201
116	118	LA-Monroe	1 - 11	0.188
117	115	Wild Card U.	23 - 75	0.187
118	117	Buffalo	1 - 11	0.181
119	109	Idaho	3 - 9	0.176
120	121	Southern Methodist	0 - 12	0.166
121	119	Army	0 - 13	0.164

2004 preliminary preseason conference power ratings:

Conference	Power Rating
ACC	.640
SEC	.627
Big Ten	.607
Big Twelve	.596
Pac-10	.566
Independents	.525
Big East	.518
Conference USA	.493
Mountain West	.469
MAC	.423
WAC	.396
Sun Belt	.322

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