The following are the ARGH power ratings as of November 21, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .619, or about 6.16 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2004 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Southern California | 10 - 0 | 0.945 |
2 | 2 | Oklahoma | 11 - 0 | 0.933 |
3 | 3 | Auburn | 11 - 0 | 0.929 |
4 | 4 | California | 9 - 1 | 0.898 |
5 | 5 | Texas | 9 - 1 | 0.887 |
6 | 6 | Utah | 11 - 0 | 0.884 |
7 | 8 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 2 | 0.844 |
8 | 11 | Boise State | 10 - 0 | 0.830 |
9 | 9 | Arizona St. | 8 - 2 | 0.826 |
10 | 18 | Iowa | 9 - 2 | 0.817 |
11 | 13 | Louisville | 8 - 1 | 0.815 |
12 | 14 | Virginia | 8 - 2 | 0.814 |
13 | 15 | Virginia Tech | 8 - 2 | 0.809 |
14 | 12 | Georgia | 8 - 2 | 0.806 |
15 | 7 | Florida St. | 8 - 3 | 0.802 |
16 | 10 | Michigan | 9 - 2 | 0.789 |
17 | 16 | Louisiana St. | 8 - 2 | 0.785 |
18 | 19 | Texas A&M | 7 - 3 | 0.784 |
19 | 22 | Purdue | 7 - 4 | 0.767 |
20 | 21 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 3 | 0.765 |
21 | 20 | Tennessee | 8 - 2 | 0.748 |
22 | 17 | Wisconsin | 9 - 2 | 0.748 |
23 | 23 | Boston College | 8 - 2 | 0.723 |
24 | 24 | Texas Tech | 6 - 4 | 0.719 |
25 | 28 | Ohio St. | 7 - 4 | 0.718 |
26 | 29 | Florida | 7 - 4 | 0.707 |
27 | 27 | Texas-El Paso | 8 - 2 | 0.686 |
28 | 33 | Oregon St. | 6 - 5 | 0.683 |
29 | 25 | Notre Dame | 6 - 4 | 0.681 |
30 | 26 | West Virginia | 8 - 2 | 0.669 |
31 | 30 | Bowling Green | 8 - 2 | 0.668 |
32 | 35 | Fresno St. | 7 - 3 | 0.664 |
33 | 32 | Arkansas | 5 - 5 | 0.663 |
34 | 31 | UCLA | 6 - 4 | 0.655 |
35 | 40 | New Mexico | 7 - 4 | 0.638 |
36 | 37 | Colorado | 6 - 4 | 0.636 |
37 | 36 | Alabama | 6 - 5 | 0.633 |
38 | 43 | Clemson | 6 - 5 | 0.623 |
39 | 39 | Minnesota | 6 - 5 | 0.620 |
40 | 34 | Georgia Tech | 6 - 4 | 0.613 |
41 | 42 | North Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.612 |
42 | 46 | Northwestern | 6 - 5 | 0.605 |
43 | 38 | South Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.594 |
44 | 47 | AL-Birmingham | 7 - 3 | 0.592 |
45 | 52 | Cincinnati | 6 - 4 | 0.591 |
46 | 58 | Iowa St. | 6 - 4 | 0.590 |
47 | 48 | Troy St. | 7 - 4 | 0.587 |
48 | 64 | Kansas | 4 - 7 | 0.572 |
49 | 41 | Michigan St. | 5 - 6 | 0.570 |
50 | 51 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 6 | 0.567 |
51 | 45 | Stanford | 4 - 7 | 0.565 |
52 | 59 | Miami, Ohio | 8 - 3 | 0.557 |
53 | 44 | Oregon | 5 - 6 | 0.551 |
54 | 55 | Memphis | 7 - 3 | 0.551 |
55 | 50 | Brigham Young | 5 - 6 | 0.550 |
56 | 69 | Penn State | 4 - 7 | 0.548 |
57 | 56 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 3 | 0.543 |
58 | 57 | Washington St. | 5 - 6 | 0.533 |
59 | 73 | Navy | 8 - 2 | 0.525 |
60 | 60 | Nebraska | 5 - 5 | 0.524 |
61 | 53 | Missouri | 4 - 6 | 0.514 |
62 | 49 | Maryland | 4 - 6 | 0.513 |
63 | 61 | Wyoming | 6 - 5 | 0.511 |
64 | 67 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 3 | 0.507 |
65 | 54 | Southern Mississippi | 5 - 4 | 0.504 |
66 | 66 | Connecticut | 6 - 4 | 0.504 |
67 | 74 | Texas Christian | 5 - 5 | 0.502 |
68 | 65 | Syracuse | 5 - 5 | 0.497 |
69 | 62 | Wake Forest | 4 - 6 | 0.488 |
70 | 63 | Kansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.488 |
71 | 70 | Toledo | 7 - 3 | 0.486 |
72 | 68 | Marshall | 6 - 5 | 0.483 |
73 | 76 | Florida Atlantic* | 7 - 3 | 0.465 |
74 | 71 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.464 |
75 | 80 | Air Force | 5 - 6 | 0.453 |
76 | 78 | North Texas | 7 - 4 | 0.433 |
77 | 72 | Colorado St. | 4 - 7 | 0.426 |
78 | 79 | Mississippi | 3 - 7 | 0.415 |
79 | 75 | South Florida | 4 - 5 | 0.415 |
80 | 83 | San Diego St. | 4 - 7 | 0.404 |
81 | 77 | New Mexico St. | 5 - 6 | 0.392 |
82 | 81 | Indiana | 3 - 8 | 0.381 |
83 | 87 | Hawaii | 5 - 5 | 0.379 |
84 | 85 | Baylor | 3 - 8 | 0.369 |
85 | 84 | Illinois | 3 - 8 | 0.366 |
86 | 90 | Kent | 4 - 6 | 0.357 |
87 | 86 | Akron | 6 - 5 | 0.352 |
88 | 89 | Tulane | 4 - 5 | 0.351 |
89 | 82 | Rutgers | 4 - 6 | 0.350 |
90 | 88 | Middle Tennessee St. | 5 - 6 | 0.340 |
91 | 92 | Rice | 3 - 7 | 0.339 |
92 | 91 | Houston | 3 - 8 | 0.334 |
93 | 94 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 7 | 0.322 |
94 | 95 | Arizona | 2 - 8 | 0.313 |
95 | 98 | LA-Monroe | 5 - 6 | 0.301 |
96 | 97 | Nevada | 5 - 6 | 0.299 |
97 | 101 | Tulsa | 3 - 8 | 0.297 |
98 | 93 | Duke | 2 - 9 | 0.295 |
99 | 100 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 9 | 0.293 |
100 | 96 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 9 | 0.280 |
101 | 102 | Ohio | 4 - 7 | 0.270 |
102 | 104 | Army | 2 - 8 | 0.266 |
103 | 107 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 8 | 0.257 |
104 | 99 | LA-Lafayette | 4 - 7 | 0.256 |
105 | 106 | Kentucky | 2 - 8 | 0.254 |
106 | 103 | Temple | 2 - 9 | 0.251 |
107 | 108 | East Carolina | 2 - 8 | 0.231 |
108 | 114 | Utah St. | 3 - 8 | 0.229 |
109 | 105 | Arkansas St. | 3 - 8 | 0.224 |
110 | 110 | Washington | 1 - 10 | 0.217 |
111 | 112 | Central Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.215 |
112 | 109 | San Jose St. | 2 - 8 | 0.214 |
113 | 111 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.210 |
114 | 113 | Idaho | 3 - 9 | 0.186 |
115 | 115 | Ball St. | 2 - 9 | 0.171 |
116 | 116 | Florida A&M* | 3 - 7 | 0.156 |
117 | 120 | Wild Card U. | 8 - 48 | 0.144 |
118 | 118 | Buffalo | 2 - 9 | 0.139 |
119 | 119 | Western Michigan | 1 - 10 | 0.138 |
120 | 117 | Florida International* | 2 - 6 | 0.121 |
121 | 121 | Central Florida | 0 - 10 | 0.098 |
2004 conference power ratings:
Conference | Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Twelve | 28-8 | .648 |
ACC | 23-9 | .635 |
Big Ten | 24-9 | .630 |
Pac-10 | 18-11 | .619 |
Independents | 13-5 | .603 |
SEC | 24-11 | .596 |
Mountain West | 16-16 | .518 |
Big East | 21-13 | .505 |
Conference USA | 14-15 | .468 |
WAC | 15-17 | .443 |
MAC | 10-32 | .332 |
Sun Belt | 13-29 | .321 |