ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of the end of the 2002 season. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .581, or about 4.28 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Ohio St. 14 - 0 0.927
2 3 Southern California 11 - 2 0.900
3 4 Georgia 13 - 1 0.897
4 2 Miami, Florida 12 - 1 0.893
5 5 Oklahoma 12 - 2 0.888
6 8 Texas 11 - 2 0.864
7 7 Kansas St. 11 - 2 0.862
8 6 Iowa 11 - 2 0.840
9 9 Alabama 10 - 3 0.827
10 13 Michigan 10 - 3 0.810
11 15 Maryland 11 - 3 0.802
12 11 Penn State 9 - 4 0.800
13 16 Boise State 12 - 1 0.788
14 10 Notre Dame 10 - 3 0.786
15 20 North Carolina St. 11 - 3 0.783
16 14 Florida St. 9 - 5 0.781
17 19 Auburn 9 - 4 0.774
18 12 Washington St. 10 - 3 0.772
19 22 Virginia Tech 10 - 4 0.756
20 18 Colorado 9 - 5 0.737
21 24 South Florida 9 - 2 0.734
22 29 Pittsburgh 9 - 4 0.726
23 17 Arkansas 9 - 5 0.726
24 30 Texas Tech 9 - 5 0.725
25 23 Florida 8 - 5 0.715
26 21 West Virginia 9 - 4 0.711
27 32 Boston College 9 - 4 0.710
28 26 Louisiana St. 8 - 5 0.701
29 35 Virginia 9 - 5 0.700
30 36 Texas Christian 10 - 2 0.699
31 28 UCLA 8 - 5 0.692
32 25 Oregon St. 8 - 5 0.690
33 27 Tennessee 8 - 5 0.678
34 37 Wisconsin 8 - 6 0.675
35 33 California 7 - 5 0.669
36 31 Colorado St. 10 - 4 0.659
37 42 Purdue 7 - 6 0.652
38 47 Marshall 11 - 2 0.636
39 34 Washington 7 - 6 0.633
40 53 Minnesota 8 - 5 0.627
41 49 Oklahoma St. 8 - 5 0.626
42 38 Iowa St. 7 - 7 0.616
43 39 Arizona St. 8 - 6 0.615
44 41 Kentucky 7 - 5 0.606
45 40 Georgia Tech 7 - 6 0.604
46 46 Bowling Green 9 - 3 0.603
47 52 Texas A&M 6 - 6 0.601
48 44 Toledo 9 - 5 0.600
49 59 Wake Forest 7 - 6 0.598
50 54 Mississippi 7 - 6 0.596
51 43 Clemson 7 - 6 0.590
52 50 Nebraska 7 - 7 0.577
53 51 Air Force 8 - 5 0.576
54 48 Cincinnati 7 - 7 0.575
55 45 Oregon 7 - 6 0.572
56 63 North Texas 8 - 5 0.569
57 61 Illinois 5 - 7 0.563
58 58 Northern Illinois 8 - 4 0.562
59 60 Miami, Ohio 7 - 5 0.551
60 62 Missouri 5 - 7 0.545
61 57 Southern Mississippi 7 - 6 0.539
62 55 Louisville 7 - 6 0.533
63 56 Hawaii 10 - 4 0.533
64 66 Fresno St. 9 - 5 0.517
65 64 South Carolina 5 - 7 0.512
66 68 Tulane 8 - 5 0.509
67 65 Central Florida 7 - 5 0.501
68 67 Connecticut 6 - 6 0.476
69 69 Utah 5 - 6 0.439
70 70 New Mexico 7 - 7 0.433
71 71 New Mexico St. 7 - 5 0.427
72 72 Michigan St. 4 - 8 0.426
73 73 Syracuse 4 - 8 0.418
74 74 Arizona 4 - 8 0.398
75 75 Temple 4 - 8 0.380
76 77 East Carolina 4 - 8 0.372
77 79 Ball St. 6 - 6 0.369
78 80 San Jose St. 6 - 7 0.369
79 76 Stanford 2 - 9 0.363
80 78 Nevada-Las Vegas 5 - 7 0.363
81 81 Houston 5 - 7 0.362
82 82 Nevada 5 - 7 0.356
83 84 Western Michigan 4 - 8 0.353
84 86 North Carolina 3 - 9 0.348
85 83 Brigham Young 5 - 7 0.346
86 85 Mississippi St. 3 - 9 0.336
87 87 San Diego St. 4 - 9 0.330
88 88 AL-Birmingham 5 - 7 0.320
89 90 Akron 4 - 8 0.315
90 91 Northwestern 3 - 9 0.314
91 89 Memphis 3 - 9 0.314
92 92 Louisiana Tech 4 - 8 0.306
93 95 Indiana 3 - 9 0.303
94 93 Middle Tennessee St. 4 - 8 0.298
95 97 Ohio 4 - 8 0.295
96 94 Troy St. 4 - 8 0.294
97 96 Vanderbilt 2 - 10 0.291
98 98 Utah St. 4 - 7 0.287
99 99 Duke 2 - 10 0.280
100 100 Rice 4 - 7 0.265
101 101 Arkansas St. 6 - 7 0.260
102 102 Central Michigan 4 - 8 0.256
103 103 Baylor 3 - 9 0.253
104 104 Wyoming 2 - 10 0.222
105 106 Navy 2 - 10 0.219
106 105 LA-Lafayette 3 - 9 0.216
107 107 Idaho 2 - 10 0.196
108 108 Kansas 2 - 10 0.189
109 109 LA-Monroe 3 - 9 0.187
110 110 Kent 3 - 9 0.179
111 111 Southern Methodist 3 - 9 0.178
112 112 Eastern Michigan 3 - 9 0.169
113 113 Rutgers 1 - 11 0.147
114 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 57 0.128
115 115 Texas-El Paso 2 - 10 0.128
116 116 Tulsa 1 - 11 0.117
117 117 Buffalo 1 - 11 0.106
118 118 Army 1 - 11 0.100

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
SEC 40-16 .638
Big Ten 38-15 .631
Pac-10 32-15 .630
Big Twelve 41-18 .624
ACC 30-17 .610
Big East 30-16 .593
Independents 32-33 .466
Conference USA 17-28.432
Mountain West 18-27.421
MAC 23-34 .393
WAC 16-29 .356
Sun Belt 12-32 .308

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