This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 7, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/5

EAST CAROLINA 18 over Florida Atlantic; total 57

9/6

Central Florida 16 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 54
Wake Forest pick 'em over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 50

9/7

LOUISIANA STATE 26 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 57
Arizona 17 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 60
AUBURN 8 over Arkansas State; total 57
BALL STATE 16 over Army; total 60
Bowling Green State 7 over KENT; total 49
BAYLOR 19 over Buffalo; total 65
Cincinnati 7 over ILLINOIS; total 54
TULSA 16 over Colorado State; total 55
Duke 5 over MEMPHIS; total 57
PENN STATE 22 over Eastern Michigan; total 53
Florida 4 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 51
OREGON STATE 24 over Hawaii; total 57
Houston 3 over TEMPLE; total 60
WYOMING 21 over Idaho; total 57
KANSAS STATE 13 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 57
KENTUCKY 7 over Miami, Ohio; total 55
NORTH CAROLINA 10 over Middle Tennessee State; total 58
Minnesota 19 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 57
INDIANA 10 over Navy; total 62
TEXAS-EL PASO 4 over New Mexico; total 52
OHIO 2 over North Texas; total 54
Notre Dame 3 over MICHIGAN; total 51
Oklahoma State 15 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 57
MARYLAND 22 over Old Dominion; total 77
Oregon 16 over VIRGINIA; total 60
OHIO STATE 22 over San Diego State; total 57
STANFORD 17 over San Jose State; total 51
TULANE 7 over South Alabama; total 51
GEORGIA 4 over South Carolina; total 55
MICHIGAN STATE 23 over South Florida; total 51
NEBRASKA 31 over Southern Mississippi; total 57
NORTHWESTERN 16 over Syracuse; total 57
Texas 9 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 53
MISSOURI 13 over Toledo; total 58
Utah State 12 over AIR FORCE; total 56
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 19 over Washington State; total 55
OKLAHOMA 17 over West Virginia; total 60
TENNESSEE 11 over Western Kentucky; total 58


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

Final 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up38-7.84438-7.844
Against the spread22-23.48922-23.489
Over-under20-25.44420-25.444
ARGH Picks4-2.6674-2.667

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record42-3
Percentage.93333
Bias toward home team-3.6056
Mean error9.6056
Mean square error147.457

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