ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 9-10-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 10, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/8

Oklahoma State 16 over Florida Atlantic; total 49

9/9

Pittsburgh 12 over OHIO; total 51
Washington State 9 over NEVADA; total 54

9/10

PURDUE 27 over Akron; total 53
TROY 2 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 45
BOSTON COLLEGE 24 over Army; total 49
OREGON STATE pick 'em over Boise State; total 56
Bowling Green State 11 over BALL STATE; total 57
SYRACUSE 21 over Buffalo; total 48
California 10 over WASHINGTON; total 50
MIAMI, OHIO 21 over Central Michigan; total 52
PENN STATE 13 over Cincinnati; total 47
MARYLAND 2 over Clemson; total 47
MINNESOTA 12 over Colorado State; total 53
TEXAS TECH 32 over Florida International; total 58
MICHIGAN STATE 17 over Hawaii; total 59
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 8 over Idaho; total 52
Iowa 6 over IOWA STATE; total 48
Kansas State 5 over MARSHALL; total 52
ARIZONA STATE pick 'em over Louisiana State; total 52
FLORIDA 18 over Louisiana Tech; total 53
EASTERN MICHIGAN 1 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 54
WYOMING 18 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 51
AUBURN 21 over Mississippi State; total 47
MISSOURI 4 over New Mexico; total 48
COLORADO 26 over New Mexico State; total 52
GEORGIA TECH 14 over North Carolina; total 52
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 9 over North Texas; total 51
NORTHWESTERN 10 over Northern Illinois; total 52
MICHIGAN 13 over Notre Dame; total 52
UCLA 24 over Rice; total 53
AIR FORCE 8 over San Diego State; total 50
ILLINOIS 13 over San Jose State; total 56
GEORGIA 21 over South Carolina; total 49
ALABAMA 7 over Southern Mississippi; total 46
Stanford 3 over NAVY; total 47
WISCONSIN 27 over Temple; total 55
OHIO STATE 2 over Texas; total 51
Texas Christian 3 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 50
OKLAHOMA 26 over Tulsa; total 51
UTAH 29 over Utah State; total 52
ARKANSAS 18 over Vanderbilt; total 53
Virginia Tech 14 over DUKE; total 49
NEBRASKA 6 over Wake Forest; total 47
TOLEDO 23 over Western Michigan; total 57


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up33-13.71733-13.717
Against the spread21-25.45721-25.457
Over-under10-22-1.31810-22-1.318
ARGH Early Bird Picks2-4.3332-4.333
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks2-01.0002-01.000

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record37-9
Percentage.80435
Bias toward home team4.14674
Mean error11.1141
Mean square error172.243

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