This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 10, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!


9/8
OKLAHOMA STATE 14 over Arizona; total 59

9/9

LOUISVILLE 7 over Florida International; total 51
Missouri 9 over ARIZONA STATE; total 52

9/10

Alabama 11 over PENN STATE; total 51
FLORIDA 20 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
SOUTH FLORIDA 21 over Ball State; total 51
CENTRAL FLORIDA 2 over Boston College; total 49
TEXAS 4 over Brigham Young; total 49
California 6 over COLORADO; total 53
KENTUCKY 11 over Central Michigan; total 51
TENNESSEE 1 over Cincinnati; total 58
Connecticut 1 over VANDERBILT; total 51
MICHIGAN STATE 26 over Florida Atlantic; total 50
NEBRASKA 19 over Fresno State; total 53
Georgia Tech 11 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 56
WASHINGTON 9 over Hawaii; total 55
Houston 21 over NORTH TEXAS; total 59
Iowa 4 over IOWA STATE; total 48
KENT 9 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 55
ARKANSAS STATE 12 over Memphis; total 56
AUBURN 4 over Mississippi State; total 58
Navy 9 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 52
OREGON 18 over Nevada; total 61
WASHINGTON STATE 11 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 59
ARKANSAS 31 over New Mexico; total 56
MINNESOTA 12 over New Mexico State; total 54
North Carolina State 1 over WAKE FOREST; total 57
KANSAS 3 over Northern Illinois; total 57
Notre Dame 4 over MICHIGAN; total 55
WISCONSIN 11 over Oregon State; total 56
Purdue 5 over RICE; total 55
NORTH CAROLINA 5 over Rutgers; total 51
San Diego State 6 over ARMY; total 56
UCLA 19 over San Jose State; total 53
South Carolina 2 over GEORGIA; total 56
Southern Mississippi 4 over MARSHALL; total 54
Stanford 16 over DUKE; total 57
Temple 10 over AKRON; total 51
Texas Christian 8 over AIR FORCE; total 56
WYOMING 20 over Texas State; total 56
SOUTHERN METHODIST 18 over Texas-El Paso; total 53
OHIO STATE 17 over Toledo; total 57
Tulsa 9 over TULANE; total 62
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 5 over Utah; total 52
Virginia 9 over INDIANA; total 55
Virginia Tech 9 over EAST CAROLINA; total 64



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up33-8.80533-8.805
Against the spread13-25-1*.34613-25-1.346
Over-under18-20*.47418-20.474
ARGH Picks0-0NA0-0NA

*Last week's Marshall-West Virginia and Western Michigan-Michigan games are considered no contests for spread/total purposes because they were declared over with more than five minutes left to play.


Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record36-5
Percentage.87805
Bias toward home team-0.01829
Mean error9.1646
Mean square error115.855

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