These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 13, 2008. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/11
RUTGERS 10 over North Carolina; total 52
9/12
SOUTH FLORIDA 5 over Kansas; total 54
9/13
Air Force 4 over Houston (revised due to change in game location); total 56
TENNESSEE 26 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 57
Arizona 11 over NEW MEXICO; total 50
TEXAS-Arkansas postponed
Auburn 8 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 43
Ball State 3 over AKRON; total 57
BOISE STATE 13 over Bowling Green State; total 57
California 8 over MARYLAND; total 50
Central Michigan 1 over OHIO; total 55
East Carolina 12 over TULANE; total 49
MICHIGAN STATE 11 over Florida Atlantic; total 59
Georgia pick 'em over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 53
VIRGINIA TECH 9 over Georgia Tech; total 46
OREGON STATE 9 over Hawaii; total 61
IOWA 10 over Iowa State; total 52
ILLINOIS 22 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 62
MARSHALL 10 over Memphis; total 58
NOTRE DAME 1 over Michigan; total 48
KENTUCKY 16 over Middle Tennessee State; total 50
DUKE 2 over Navy; total 55
MISSOURI 25 over Nevada; total 61
ARIZONA STATE 21 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 52
NEBRASKA 25 over New Mexico State; total 59
CLEMSON 16 over North Carolina State; total 51
LOUISIANA STATE 33 over North Texas; total 57
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 2 over Ohio State; total 49
Oklahoma 8 over WASHINGTON; total 58
Oregon 9 over PURDUE; total 61
Penn State 17 over SYRACUSE; total 54
VANDERBILT 17 over Rice; total 59
SAN JOSE STATE 5 over San Diego State; total 46
TEXAS TECH 31 over Southern Methodist; total 65
ARKANSAS STATE 3 over Southern Mississippi; total 54
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 11 over Stanford; total 51
BUFFALO 5 over Temple; total 48
EASTERN MICHIGAN 6 over Toledo; total 55
BRIGHAM YOUNG 9 over UCLA; total 51
Utah 21 over UTAH STATE; total 55
CONNECTICUT 11 over Virginia; total 42
BAYLOR 4 over Washington State; total 55
ALABAMA 22 over Western Kentucky; total 47
Western Michigan 5 over IDAHO; total 59
Wisconsin 2 over FRESNO STATE; total 54
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2008 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 35-8 | .814 | 67-17 | .798 |
| Against the spread | 19-24 | .442 | 40-44 | .476 |
| Over-under | 20-20-3 | .500 | 40-37-5 | .518 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-4 | .333 | 4-4 | .500 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 75-9 |
| Percentage | .89286 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.61310 |
| Mean error | 10.9911 |
| Mean square error | 195.425 |
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