These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 13, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/11
BRIGHAM YOUNG 11 over Houston; total 50
NORTH TEXAS 5 over Louisiana Tech; total 56
9/12
Baylor 14 over BUFFALO; total 66
CINCINNATI 6 over Toledo; total 60
9/13
Air Force 8 over GEORGIA STATE; total 57
Arizona State 10 over COLORADO; total 64
TEXAS TECH 6 over Arkansas; total 63
MIAMI, FLORIDA 11 over Arkansas State; total 54
STANFORD 24 over Army; total 51
Boise State 9 over CONNECTICUT; total 51
MISSOURI 4 over Central Florida; total 60
VIRGINIA TECH 12 over East Carolina; total 53
OLD DOMINION 21 over Eastern Michigan; total 68
Georgia 1 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 61
GEORGIA TECH 17 over Georgia Southern; total 59
WASHINGTON 13 over Illinois; total 61
Indiana 8 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 63
IOWA 14 over Iowa State; total 50
DUKE 20 over Kansas; total 55
OHIO STATE 26 over Kent; total 53
FLORIDA 8 over Kentucky; total 50
MISSISSIPPI 19 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 56
LOUISIANA STATE 18 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 54
Louisville 2 over VIRGINIA; total 56
VANDERBILT 19 over Massachusetts; total 53
MICHIGAN 31 over Miami, Ohio; total 52
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 1 over Minnesota; total 53
Mississippi State 14 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 56
Navy 9 over TEXAS STATE; total 56
Nebraska 2 over FRESNO STATE; total 65
ARIZONA 15 over Nevada; total 57
TEXAS-EL PASO 7 over New Mexico State; total 56
North Carolina State 2 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 54
Northern Illinois 11 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 55
MARSHALL 15 over Ohio; total 56
Penn State 2 over RUTGERS; total 55
Pittsburgh 12 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 48
NOTRE DAME 25 over Purdue; total 54
TEXAS A&M 26 over Rice; total 66
Southern California 18 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 49
ALABAMA 29 over Southern Mississippi; total 51
Syracuse 2 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 52
OKLAHOMA 19 over Tennessee; total 56
UCLA 18 over Texas; total 57
OKLAHOMA STATE 1 over Texas-San Antonio; total 57
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 1 over Tulsa; total 55
UTAH STATE 9 over Wake Forest; total 45
MARYLAND 10 over West Virginia; total 56
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 4 over Western Kentucky; total 62
IDAHO 7 over Western Michigan; total 62
OREGON 28 over Wyoming; total 58
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 36-9 | .800 | 64-19 | .771 |
| Against the spread | 19-25 | .432 | 34-48 | .415 |
| Over-under | 16-25-3 | .398 | 37-42-3 | .470 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-2 (1 no contest) | .600 | 6-5 | .545 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 75-8 |
| Percentage | .90361 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.78614 |
| Mean error | 11.5994 |
| Mean square error | 220.472 |
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