ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of September 16, 2006)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 16, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

9/14

WEST VIRGINIA 10 over Maryland; total 47

9/15

TOLEDO 1 over Kansas; total 53

9/16

CENTRAL MICHIGAN 2 over Akron; total 49
GEORGIA 17 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 44
Arizona State 8 over COLORADO; total 47
Arkansas 1 over VANDERBILT; total 45
Texas A&M 13 over Army; total 45
PURDUE 14 over Ball State; total 58
Washington State 4 over Baylor; total 50
Boise State 4 over WYOMING; total 49
Bowling Green State 4 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 51
BOSTON COLLEGE 15 over Brigham Young; total 51
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 18 over Buffalo; total 48
OHIO STATE 22 over Cincinnati; total 44
FLORIDA STATE 8 over Clemson; total 47
NEVADA pick 'em over Colorado State; total 49
VIRGINIA TECH 25 over Duke; total 42
NORTHWESTERN 16 over Eastern Michigan; total 50
Florida 1 over TENNESSEE; total 47
OKLAHOMA STATE 22 over Florida Atlantic; total 50
Fresno State 2 over WASHINGTON; total 50
IOWA 9 over Iowa State; total 47
MIAMI, OHIO 12 over Kent; total 46
AUBURN 6 over Louisiana State; total 47
ALABAMA 20 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 41
KANSAS STATE 12 over Marshall; total 52
EAST CAROLINA 2 over Memphis; total 49
LOUISVILLE 7 over Miami, Florida; total 55
NOTRE DAME 7 over Michigan; total 48
PITTSBURGH 7 over Michigan State; total 51
KENTUCKY 8 over Mississippi; total 52
Missouri 5 over NEW MEXICO; total 48
STANFORD 4 over Navy; total 51
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 17 over Nebraska; total 55
HAWAII 9 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 51
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 4 over North Carolina State; total 43
TULSA 16 over North Texas; total 52
RUTGERS 10 over Ohio; total 46
OREGON 4 over Oklahoma; total 48
WISCONSIN 17 over San Diego State; total 48
South Florida pick 'em over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 48
ILLINOIS 11 over Syracuse; total 45
MINNESOTA 30 over Temple; total 48
Texas 22 over RICE; total 52
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 3 over Texas Tech; total 50
GEORGIA TECH 13 over Troy; total 40
MISSISSIPPI STATE 10 over Tulane; total 42
Utah 11 over UTAH STATE; total 45
CONNECTICUT 2 over Wake Forest; total 45
VIRGINIA 10 over Western Michigan; total 49



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up40-10.80079-15.840
Against the spread26-23-1.53047-44-3.516
Over-under18-32.36031-49-2.390
ARGH Picks1-0.7502-0-1.833

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record89-5
Percentage0.94681
Bias toward home team-0.41489
Mean error11.1064
Mean square error177.277

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