These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 17, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/15
Utah 5 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 47
9/16
TEXAS-EL PASO 11 over Houston; total 54
9/17
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 5 over Akron; total 51
SOUTH CAROLINA pick 'em over Alabama; total 45
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 29 over Arkansas; total 57
OKLAHOMA STATE 20 over Arkansas State; total 50
AUBURN 28 over Ball State; total 49
Baylor 6 over ARMY; total 55
SOUTH FLORIDA 18 over Central Florida; total 47
PENN STATE 19 over Central Michigan; total 50
GEORGIA TECH 18 over Connecticut; total 50
WAKE FOREST 12 over East Carolina; total 50
MICHIGAN 24 over Eastern Michigan; total 50
MINNESOTA 28 over Florida Atlantic; total 52
Florida State 1 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 45
OREGON 4 over Fresno State; total 56
WASHINGTON 10 over Idaho; total 54
CALIFORNIA 23 over Illinois; total 56
INDIANA 8 over Kentucky; total 54
KANSAS 12 over Louisiana Tech; total 51
GEORGIA 30 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 48
CLEMSON 5 over Miami, Florida; total 47
Miami, Ohio 1 over KENT; total 55
NOTRE DAME 11 over Michigan State; total 51
VANDERBILT 3 over Mississippi; total 48
TULANE 4 over Mississippi State; total 50
NEVADA 4 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 53
NEW MEXICO 23 over New Mexico State; total 51
ARIZONA STATE 11 over Northwestern; total 58
VIRGINIA TECH 25 over Ohio; total 45
UCLA 5 over Oklahoma; total 53
LOUISVILLE 8 over Oregon State; total 57
NEBRASKA 9 over Pittsburgh; total 45
Purdue 8 over ARIZONA; total 50
TEXAS 35 over Rice; total 55
Rutgers 10 over BUFFALO; total 49
OHIO STATE 22 over San Diego State; total 50
TEXAS A&M 21 over Southern Methodist; total 51
FLORIDA 4 over Tennessee; total 50
Toledo 11 over TEMPLE; total 63
MISSOURI 11 over Troy; total 48
NORTH TEXAS 9 over Tulsa; total 51
Virginia 4 over SYRACUSE; total 44
MARYLAND 7 over West Virginia; total 45
Wisconsin 2 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 59
AIR FORCE 4 over Wyoming; total 50
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.
ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 33-12 | .733 | 66-25 | .725 |
| Against the spread | 21-22-2 | .489 | 42-47-2 | .473 |
| Over-under | 16-17 | .485 | 26-39-1 | .402 |
| ARGH Early Bird Picks | 3-2 | .333 | 5-6 | .455 |
| ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 0-0 | NA | 2-0 | 1.000 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 77-14 |
| Percentage | .84615 |
| Bias toward home team | 1.60989 |
| Mean error | 10.5165 |
| Mean square error | 163.837 |
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