These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 17, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-15-16
9/15
Houston 6 over CINCINNATI; total 55
9/16
Arizona State 14 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 61
UTAH STATE 8 over Arkansas State; total 58
Baylor 19 over RICE; total 61
9/17
MARSHALL 14 over Akron; total 57
Alabama 15 over MISSISSIPPI; total 58
Army 5 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 51
VIRGINIA TECH 3 over Boston College; total 50
NEVADA 12 over Buffalo; total 54
MICHIGAN 11 over Colorado; total 56
NORTHWESTERN 1 over Duke; total 46
SOUTH CAROLINA 1 over East Carolina; total 53
CHARLOTTE 3 over Eastern Michigan; total 68
KANSAS STATE 14 over Florida Atlantic; total 55
Florida International 1 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 51
LOUISVILLE 3 over Florida State; total 64
TOLEDO 15 over Fresno State; total 53
Georgia 6 over MISSOURI; total 51
WISCONSIN 26 over Georgia State; total 52
ARIZONA 22 over Hawaii; total 64
WASHINGTON STATE 14 over Idaho; total 64
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 20 over Iowa State; total 62
MEMPHIS 19 over Kansas; total 58
TEXAS TECH 7 over Louisiana Tech; total 75
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 20 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 58
Maryland 10 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 55
APPALACHIAN STATE 1 over Miami, Florida; total 53
NOTRE DAME 2 over Michigan State; total 59
BOWLING GREEN STATE 1 over Middle Tennessee State; total 66
LOUISIANA STATE 10 over Mississippi State; total 51
Navy 9 over TULANE; total 55
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 15 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 59
RUTGERS 6 over New Mexico; total 62
KENTUCKY 13 over New Mexico State; total 63
FLORIDA 27 over North Texas; total 52
TENNESSEE 30 over Ohio; total 60
Ohio State 2 over OKLAHOMA; total 61
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 10 over Old Dominion; total 60
NEBRASKA 7 over Oregon; total 67
OKLAHOMA STATE 1 over Pittsburgh; total 60
San Diego State 8 over NORTHERN ILLINOIS; total 57
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 1 over South Alabama; total 53
South Florida 5 over SYRACUSE; total 60
STANFORD 7 over Southern California; total 56
PENN STATE 4 over Temple; total 51
Texas 6 over CALIFORNIA; total 66
AUBURN 5 over Texas A&M; total 55
ARKANSAS 28 over Texas State; total 63
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 8 over Troy; total 63
BRIGHAM YOUNG 2 over UCLA; total 53
Utah 12 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 54
GEORGIA TECH 8 over Vanderbilt; total 49
CONNECTICUT 7 over Virginia; total 53
Western Kentucky 17 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 59
Western Michigan 4 over ILLINOIS; total 62
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 41-5 | .891 | 68-19 | .782 |
| Against the spread | 20-25-1 | .446 | 43-43-1 | .500 |
| Over-under | 26-20 | .565 | 44-42-1 | .511 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-7 | .417 | 6-9 | .400 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 77-10 |
| Percentage | .88506 |
| Bias toward home team | -2.67241 |
| Mean error | 10.6724 |
| Mean square error | 180.135 |
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