These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 20, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/18
Auburn 8 over KANSAS STATE; total 62
9/19
SOUTH FLORIDA 4 over Connecticut; total 50
9/20
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 3 over Appalachian State; total 58
WAKE FOREST 1 over Army; total 49
TOLEDO 11 over Ball State; total 60
WISCONSIN 13 over Bowling Green State; total 59
ARIZONA 19 over California; total 61
Central Michigan pick 'em over KANSAS; total 49
FLORIDA STATE 18 over Clemson; total 64
MICHIGAN STATE 28 over Eastern Michigan; total 53
ALABAMA 13 over Florida; total 53
WYOMING 3 over Florida Atlantic; total 50
SOUTH ALABAMA 4 over Georgia Southern; total 58
WASHINGTON 35 over Georgia State; total 67
VIRGINIA TECH 7 over Georgia Tech; total 56
COLORADO 10 over Hawaii; total 58
OHIO 9 over Idaho; total 57
MISSOURI 15 over Indiana; total 64
PITTSBURGH 11 over Iowa; total 49
BOISE STATE 10 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 60
Louisville 15 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 50
Marshall 7 over AKRON; total 56
SYRACUSE 6 over Maryland; total 53
PENN STATE 27 over Massachusetts; total 48
NEBRASKA 10 over Miami, Florida; total 59
CINCINNATI 26 over Miami, Ohio; total 55
MEMPHIS 6 over Middle Tennessee State; total 65
LOUISIANA STATE 5 over Mississippi State; total 52
HOUSTON 16 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 55
NEW MEXICO STATE 7 over New Mexico; total 60
EAST CAROLINA 4 over North Carolina; total 61
Northern Illinois 1 over ARKANSAS; total 64
Oklahoma 14 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 60
RICE 5 over Old Dominion; total 60
Oregon 17 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 67
NAVY 9 over Rutgers; total 56
OREGON STATE 16 over San Diego State; total 56
MINNESOTA 8 over San Jose State; total 55
South Carolina 19 over VANDERBILT; total 58
Texas A&M 29 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 62
ILLINOIS 8 over Texas State; total 59
GEORGIA 36 over Troy; total 64
DUKE 21 over Tulane; total 56
MICHIGAN 3 over Utah; total 57
Utah State pick 'em over ARKANSAS STATE; total 54
BRIGHAM YOUNG 14 over Virginia; total 51
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 41-10 | .804 | 105-29 | .771 |
| Against the spread | 18-31-2 | .373 | 52-79-2 | .398 |
| Over-under | 28-23 | .549 | 65-65-3 | .500 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-4-1 | .550 | 11-9-1 | .548 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 121-13 |
| Percentage | .90299 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.52239 |
| Mean error | 10.8806 |
| Mean square error | 192.313 |
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