These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 22, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-21-18
9/20
TEMPLE 5 over Tulsa; total 55
9/21
CENTRAL FLORIDA 15 over Florida Atlantic; total 67
Penn State 17 over ILLINOIS; total 59
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 4 over Washington State; total 54
9/22
UTAH STATE 13 over Air Force; total 66
IOWA STATE 5 over Akron; total 54
Arizona 4 over OREGON STATE; total 76
WASHINGTON 9 over Arizona State; total 48
AUBURN 20 over Arkansas; total 59
OKLAHOMA 20 over Army; total 62
Boston College 11 over PURDUE; total 65
Buffalo 7 over RUTGERS; total 57
MASSACHUSETTS 1 over Charlotte; total 62
Clemson 15 over GEORGIA TECH; total 53
Coastal Carolina 6 over LOUISIANA; total 69
SYRACUSE 29 over Connecticut; total 72
SOUTH FLORIDA 20 over East Carolina; total 62
SAN DIEGO STATE 8 over Eastern Michigan; total 53
Florida 4 over TENNESSEE; total 50
MIAMI, FLORIDA 22 over Florida International; total 65
Georgia 7 over MISSOURI; total 61
BAYLOR 6 over Kansas; total 63
WEST VIRGINIA 11 over Kansas State; total 58
MISSISSIPPI 21 over Kent State; total 73
LOUISIANA STATE 15 over Louisiana Tech; total 53
VIRGINIA 2 over Louisville; total 54
BOWLING GREEN 1 over Miami, Ohio; total 58
Michigan State 5 over INDIANA; total 53
Minnesota 2 over MARYLAND; total 52
Mississippi State 2 over KENTUCKY; total 57
Navy 3 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 66
MICHIGAN 19 over Nebraska; total 54
TOLEDO 6 over Nevada; total 69
Arkansas State 3 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 66
New Mexico State 7 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 54
North Carolina State 1 over MARSHALL; total 54
North Texas 18 over LIBERTY; total 66
FLORIDA STATE 4 over Northern Illinois; total 44
Notre Dame 10 over WAKE FOREST; total 53
Cincinnati 8 over Ohio; total 59
Pittsburgh 3 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 53
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 12 over Rice; total 59
MEMPHIS 18 over South Alabama; total 65
VANDERBILT 3 over South Carolina; total 52
Stanford 9 over OREGON; total 55
ALABAMA 19 over Texas A&M; total 61
TEXAS 2 over Texas Christian; total 57
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 4 over Texas State; total 55
OKLAHOMA STATE 14 over Texas Tech; total 76
Troy 4 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 60
OHIO STATE 27 over Tulane; total 62
Virginia Tech 19 over OLD DOMINION; total 53
BALL STATE 9 over Western Kentucky; total 50
Western Michigan 11 over GEORGIA STATE; total 64
IOWA 5 over Wisconsin; total 46
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 36-13 | .735 | 101-42 | .706 |
| Against the spread | 24-24-1 | .500 | 69-71-3 | .493 |
| Over-under | 35-14 | .714 | 81-60-2 | .573 |
| ARGH Picks | 7-2 | .778 | 10-9-1 | .525 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 129-14 |
| Percentage | .90210 |
| Bias toward home team | -1.37063 |
| Mean error | 10.7552 |
| Mean square error | 183.077 |
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