ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of September 23, 2006)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 23, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

9/21

GEORGIA TECH 11 over Virginia; total 39

9/22

NEVADA 4 over Northwestern; total 45

9/23

WYOMING 6 over Air Force; total 45
Alabama 3 over ARKANSAS; total 41
CALIFORNIA 4 over Arizona State; total 53
SOUTHERN METHODIST 6 over Arkansas State; total 41
BAYLOR 10 over Army; total 39
Boston College 10 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 46
AUBURN 28 over Buffalo; total 42
Central Michigan 8 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 49
VIRGINIA TECH 18 over Cincinnati; total 42
GEORGIA 19 over Colorado; total 34
INDIANA 3 over Connecticut; total 51
SOUTH CAROLINA 18 over Florida Atlantic; total 41
MARYLAND 18 over Florida International; total 44
BOISE STATE 15 over Hawaii; total 51
OREGON STATE 19 over Idaho; total 56
Iowa 12 over ILLINOIS; total 46
TEXAS 17 over Iowa State; total 50
BOWLING GREEN STATE 16 over Kent; total 50
FLORIDA 23 over Kentucky; total 50
TEXAS A&M 19 over Louisiana Tech; total 52
Louisville 6 over KANSAS STATE; total 52
TENNESSEE 17 over Marshall; total 50
SYRACUSE 11 over Miami, Ohio; total 42
OKLAHOMA 15 over Middle Tennessee State; total 41
PURDUE 1 over Minnesota; total 62
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 9 over Mississippi State; total 38
CLEMSON 21 over North Carolina; total 54
AKRON 11 over North Texas; total 43
MICHIGAN STATE 1 over Notre Dame; total 54
MISSOURI 11 over Ohio; total 43
HOUSTON 2 over Oklahoma State; total 55
OHIO STATE 14 over Penn State; total 44
FLORIDA STATE 21 over Rice; total 46
KANSAS 1 over South Florida; total 49
Southern California 13 over ARIZONA; total 46
WESTERN MICHIGAN 23 over Temple; total 45
Texas-El Paso 6 over NEW MEXICO; total 52
NEBRASKA 16 over Troy; total 46
LOUISIANA STATE 25 over Tulane; total 46
NAVY 6 over Tulsa; total 49
UCLA 4 over WASHINGTON; total 49
Utah 5 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 45
BRIGHAM YOUNG 21 over Utah State; total 46
Wake Forest 8 over MISSISSIPPI; total 40
Washington State 7 over STANFORD; total 52
West Virginia 12 over EAST CAROLINA; total 51
MICHIGAN 11 over Wisconsin; total 45



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up40-10.800119-25.826
Against the spread25-21-4.54072-65-7.524
Over-under26-24.52057-73-2.439
ARGH Picks1-1.7503-1-1.700

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record131-13
Percentage0.90972
Bias toward home team-0.38021
Mean error10.1198
Mean square error159.521

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