These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 24, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-22-16
9/22
Clemson 8 over GEORGIA TECH; total 50
9/23
UTAH 7 over Southern California; total 46
Texas Christian 8 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 66
EASTERN MICHIGAN 2 over Wyoming; total 67
9/24
UTAH STATE 3 over Air Force; total 57
Appalachian State 3 over AKRON; total 58
Army 15 over BUFFALO; total 51
Ball State 4 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 59
Boise State 9 over OREGON STATE; total 57
MEMPHIS 18 over Bowling Green State; total 63
ARIZONA STATE 4 over California; total 77
Central Florida 4 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 52
Central Michigan 17 over VIRGINIA; total 54
TEMPLE 16 over Charlotte; total 56
OREGON 2 over Colorado; total 68
MINNESOTA 11 over Colorado State; total 56
NOTRE DAME 10 over Duke; total 56
VIRGINIA TECH 9 over East Carolina; total 57
TENNESSEE 7 over Florida; total 47
SOUTH FLORIDA 3 over Florida State; total 65
Georgia 2 over MISSISSIPPI; total 61
WESTERN MICHIGAN 5 over Georgia Southern; total 55
Houston 24 over TEXAS STATE; total 59
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 11 over Idaho; total 64
Iowa 2 over RUTGERS; total 56
ALABAMA 34 over Kent; total 56
Louisiana State 2 over AUBURN; total 48
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 7 over Louisiana Tech; total 66
TULANE 2 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 51
Louisville 19 over MARSHALL; total 71
CINCINNATI 20 over Miami, Ohio; total 53
Mississippi State 12 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 45
Nebraska 8 over NORTHWESTERN; total 49
PURDUE 4 over Nevada; total 58
TROY 22 over New Mexico State; total 68
RICE 3 over North Texas; total 52
BAYLOR 3 over Oklahoma State; total 64
MICHIGAN 13 over Penn State; total 59
NORTH CAROLINA 2 over Pittsburgh; total 68
San Jose State 8 over IOWA STATE; total 58
South Carolina 3 over KENTUCKY; total 57
Southern Mississippi 13 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 62
Stanford 4 over UCLA; total 51
CONNECTICUT 2 over Syracuse; total 50
Texas A&M 2 over Arkansas; total 54
OLD DOMINION 6 over Texas-San Antonio; total 53
Tulsa 9 over FRESNO STATE; total 59
WESTERN KENTUCKY 9 over Vanderbilt; total 54
INDIANA pick 'em over Wake Forest; total 51
Washington 8 over ARIZONA; total 57
West Virginia 2 over Brigham Young; total 46
Wisconsin pick 'em over MICHIGAN STATE; total 49
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 45-10 | .818 | 113-29 | .796 |
| Against the spread | 24-29-2 | .455 | 67-72-3 | .482 |
| Over-under | 28-27 | .509 | 72-69-1 | .511 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-5 | .375 | 9-14 | .391 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 133-9 |
| Percentage | .93662 |
| Bias toward home team | -2.08627 |
| Mean error | 10.4736 |
| Mean square error | 190.934 |
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